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英伟达NVDA

NASDAQ 跟踪中 报表币种 USD · 财年截至 1 月 下次财报 2026-11-17(FY2027Q3) ⚖ 专题对比 · 推理时代算力分流
$202.06USD
2026-11-02 收盘价 · 非实时股价(行情取于 2026-11-03)
市值 4.83 万亿美元 · 表观市盈率(TTM)25.1x · 实际市盈率(TTM)29.1x
164.2752 周243.37
总览/英伟达/财报分析/FY2027Q2/逐字稿

FY2027Q2 电话会逐字稿

2026-08-26 来源:谷歌财经 / Quartr 75 段 · 12 位发言人 28 段被报告引用FY2027Q2 季度页 →电话会深度解析 →
译文 75/75 段 · 引用以英文原文为准

发言人

点击某位发言人,只突出显示其发言;再次点击恢复
姓名职位机构段落
Jensen HuangPresident and CEONVIDIA28
Colette KressEVP and CFONVIDIA23
Operator11
Toshiya HariVP of Investor Relations and Strategic FinanceNVIDIA3
Vivek AryaAnalystBank of America Securities2
Aaron RakersAnalystWells Fargo2
Joseph MooreAnalystMorgan Stanley1
C.J. MuseAnalystCantor Fitzgerald1
Stacy RasgonAnalystBernstein Research1
Timothy ArcuriAnalystUBS1
Ben ReitzesAnalystMelius Research1
Jim SchneiderAnalystGoldman Sachs1

● 公司管理层 / 主持人 ● 外部分析师

P00100:00
Operator
Good afternoon. My name is Tiffany, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to NVIDIA's second quarter earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star, followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star one again. Thank you. Toshiya Hari, you may begin your conference.
下午好。我叫 Tiffany,今天由我担任会议主持人。现在欢迎各位参加英伟达第二季度财报电话会。为避免背景噪音,所有线路均已静音。发言人讲话结束后将进入问答环节。如需在此期间提问,请在电话键盘上按星号键,然后按数字 1。如需撤回提问,请再按一次星号键和 1。谢谢。Toshiya Hari,请开始。
P00200:38
Toshiya HariVP of Investor Relations and Strategic Finance
Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome to NVIDIA's conference call for the second quarter of fiscal 2027. With me today from NVIDIA are Jensen Huang, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Colette Kress, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Our call is being webcast live on NVIDIA's investor relations website. The webcast will be available for replay until the conference call to discuss our financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2027. The content of today's call is NVIDIA's property. It cannot be reproduced or transcribed without our prior written consent. During this call, we may make forward-looking statements based on current expectations. These are subject to a number of significant risks and uncertainties, and our actual results may differ materially.
谢谢。下午好,欢迎参加英伟达 2027 财年第二季度电话会。今天与我一同出席的有英伟达总裁兼首席执行官 Jensen Huang,以及执行副总裁兼首席财务官 Colette Kress。本次电话会在英伟达投资者关系网站上同步网络直播,回放将保留至讨论 2027 财年第三季度财务业绩的电话会召开为止。今天电话会的内容属于英伟达的财产,未经我们事先书面同意,不得复制或转录。在本次电话会中,我们可能会基于当前预期作出前瞻性陈述,这些陈述受诸多重大风险和不确定性影响,实际结果可能与之存在重大差异。
P00301:26
For a discussion of factors that could affect our future financial results and business, please refer to the disclosure in today's earnings release, our most recent Forms 10-K and 10-Q, and the reports that we may file on Form 8-K with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All our statements are made as of today, August 26, 2026, based on information currently available to us. Except as required by law, we assume no obligation to update any such statements. During this call, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures. You can find a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures in our CFO commentary, which is posted on our website. With that, let me turn the call over to Colette.
关于可能影响我们未来财务业绩和业务的因素,请参阅今天财报新闻稿中的披露、我们最近的 10-K 和 10-Q 表格,以及我们可能向美国证券交易委员会提交的 8-K 表格报告。我们的所有陈述均基于截至今天,即 2026 年 8 月 26 日可获得的信息作出。除法律要求外,我们不承担更新任何此类陈述的义务。在本次电话会中,我们将讨论非 GAAP 财务指标。非 GAAP 与 GAAP 财务指标的调节表可在我们网站上发布的 CFO 评论中找到。下面我把时间交给 Colette。
P00402:10
Colette KressEVP and CFO
Thanks, Toshiya. We delivered another outstanding quarter with record revenue, operating income, and EPS. Total revenue of $96 billion more than doubled year-over-year as growth accelerated for the fourth consecutive quarter. The surge in AI demand is driving a global infrastructure build-out, supported by an expanding and diverse set of growth opportunities, spanning hyperscalers, AI labs, AI natives, enterprises, and sovereign customers. We expect to grow revenue by approximately 70% in fiscal 2028. This is a supply-constrained outlook. Q2 data center revenue increased 18% quarter-over-quarter to $89 billion, with strong contributions from both sub-segments, hyperscale and ACIE, which includes our NeoCloud, industrial, and enterprise customers. Hyperscale revenue of $49 billion grew 13% sequentially, driven by sustained strength in Blackwell.
谢谢 Toshiya。我们又交出了一个出色的季度,营收、营业利润和每股收益均创纪录。总营收 960 亿美元,同比增长超过一倍,增长已连续第四个季度加速。AI 需求的激增正推动全球基础设施建设,背后是不断扩大且多元的增长机会,涵盖超大规模云厂商、AI 实验室、AI 原生公司、企业客户和主权客户。我们预计 2028 财年营收将增长约 70%。这是一个供给受限的展望。第二季度数据中心营收环比增长 18%,达到 890 亿美元,两个子板块——超大规模和 ACIE(包括我们的 NeoCloud、工业和企业客户)——都贡献强劲。超大规模营收 490 亿美元,环比增长 13%,由 Blackwell 的持续强劲驱动。
P00503:21
Reinforcing that more compute drives more revenue as new GPU capacity comes online, our hyperscale customers delivered strong financial results in the quarter, with accelerating revenue growth and expanding margins. With cloud industry backlog now greater than $2 trillion, CapEx by the top five hyperscalers is expected to reach nearly $800 billion in 2026 and $1.3 trillion in 2027. Today, we are delighted to announce an expansion of our partnership with AWS. Building on its already vast installed base of NVIDIA Compute, AWS is deploying an additional 2 million GPUs starting this quarter through the second quarter of fiscal 2029, along with Vera CPUs, some integrated with Rubin, others standalone. AWS will serve NVIDIA Nemotron family of open models on Amazon Bedrock and SageMaker. Amazon will also adopt our full physical AI stack, Omniverse, Cosmos, Isaac, and Jetson to power its fleet of warehouse robots.
随着新的 GPU 产能上线,更多算力带来更多收入这一点得到进一步印证:我们的超大规模客户本季度财务业绩强劲,收入增长加速、利润率扩大。目前云行业积压订单已超过 2 万亿美元,前五大超大规模云厂商的资本开支预计 2026 年将达到近 8000 亿美元,2027 年达到 1.3 万亿美元。今天,我们很高兴宣布扩大与 AWS 的合作。在其已有的庞大英伟达算力装机基础上,AWS 将从本季度起至 2029 财年第二季度额外部署 200 万块 GPU,并配套部署 Vera CPU,其中一部分与 Rubin 集成,另一部分独立部署。AWS 将在 Amazon Bedrock 和 SageMaker 上提供英伟达 Nemotron 系列开源模型。亚马逊还将采用我们完整的物理 AI 技术栈——Omniverse、Cosmos、Isaac 和 Jetson——来驱动其仓储机器人车队。
P00604:35
ACIE revenue of $40 billion increased 25% sequentially and 138% year-over-year. Growth was driven by NeoCloud capacity additions to meet the rising demand from enterprises, AI startups, and sovereigns, as well as hyperscalers purchasing capacity to supplement their own build-outs. Using NVIDIA DSX reference designs, our NeoCloud partners are bringing capacity online faster and at lower token cost. They are expected to exit the year with 8 gigawatts in total installed capacity, up from approximately 3 gigawatts at the end of 2025. Incredibly, we are seeing demand acceleration even at our scale. Customers' forecasts point to our growth doubling next year. However, as I mentioned earlier, we expect to grow approximately 70% as we are supply-constrained. NVIDIA Compute is fully utilized across every cloud we serve. The economic value it generates for our hyperscale, NeoCloud, and AI lab partners keeps rising.
ACIE 营收 400 亿美元,环比增长 25%,同比增长 138%。增长来自 NeoCloud 为满足企业客户、AI 初创公司和主权客户不断增长的需求而新增的产能,以及超大规模云厂商为补充自建能力而购买的产能。借助英伟达 DSX 参考设计,我们的 NeoCloud 合作伙伴正以更快的速度、更低的 token 成本让产能上线。预计到今年年底,它们的总装机容量将达到 8 GW,高于 2025 年底的约 3 GW。令人难以置信的是,即使在我们目前的规模下,需求仍在加速。客户的预测显示我们明年的增长将翻倍。然而,正如我之前提到的,由于供给受限,我们预计增长约 70%。在我们服务的每一朵云中,英伟达算力都被充分利用。它为我们的超大规模、NeoCloud 和 AI 实验室合作伙伴创造的经济价值持续上升。
P00705:52
Besides building the best AI computing technologies and the most capable supply chain, NVIDIA has three unique capabilities that are engines powering our growth. First, NVIDIA's architecture runs every model, and we're growing share as closed and open model adoption grow. Closed and open models alike, adoption is skyrocketing. NVIDIA runs the leading closed models, OpenAI, Anthropic, Groq, Meta, Gemini, and the leading open models, Thinking Machines Lab, Mistral AI, Qwen, Kimi, GLM, DeepSeek, MiniMax, and Nemotron. We're great at small models and giant ones, large or video, auto, regressive or diffusion, in the cloud or in the edge. NVIDIA is great at training, great at inference, great at agentic workloads. One platform, fungible for every model and workload. Durable for the entire life cycle of AI. That combination of performance, fungibility, and durability is what makes NVIDIA the productive and financiable compute infrastructure.
除了打造最好的 AI 计算技术和最强的供应链,英伟达还拥有三项独特能力,它们是驱动我们增长的引擎。第一,英伟达的架构能运行所有模型,随着闭源和开源模型的采用增长,我们的份额也在提升。无论闭源还是开源模型,采用量都在飙升。英伟达运行领先的闭源模型——OpenAI、Anthropic、Groq、Meta、Gemini,以及领先的开源模型——Thinking Machines Lab、Mistral AI、Qwen、Kimi、GLM、DeepSeek、MiniMax 和 Nemotron。无论是小模型还是巨型模型,语言还是视频,自回归还是扩散,在云端还是边缘,我们都很出色。英伟达擅长训练、擅长推理、擅长智能体工作负载。一个平台,可灵活适配所有模型和工作负载,并在 AI 的整个生命周期内经久耐用。性能、通用性与耐用性的结合,使英伟达成为高产出且可融资的算力基础设施。
P00807:13
Our second unique capability is our full stack AI factory platform that is expanding our share of the data center TAM. Since Hopper, our revenue opportunity has grown from roughly $18 billion per gigawatt to $25 billion with Blackwell, to $40 billion with Vera Rubin, which now spans Vera CPU, Rubin GPU, NVLink, InfiniBand or Ethernet, and Groq LPU, announced earlier this week. Our ability to extreme co-design across GPU, CPU, NVLink scale-up networking, scale-out networking, systems, algorithms, and software enables us to deliver X factor performance gain every generation. Vera Rubin exemplifies this, delivering 30x higher throughput per megawatt and 35x lower token cost relative to Grace Blackwell Ultra. We commenced production shipments of Vera Rubin earlier this month. Having already received purchase orders from every major hyperscaler, AI cloud, and system OEM, we expect Vera Rubin to mark the fastest product ramp in NVIDIA's history.
我们的第二项独特能力是全栈 AI 工厂平台,它正在扩大我们在数据中心 TAM 中的份额。自 Hopper 以来,我们的收入机会已从每 GW 约 180 亿美元,增长到 Blackwell 的 250 亿美元,再到 Vera Rubin 的 400 亿美元;Vera Rubin 现在涵盖 Vera CPU、Rubin GPU、NVLink、InfiniBand 或以太网,以及本周早些时候发布的 Groq LPU。我们在 GPU、CPU、NVLink 纵向扩展网络、横向扩展网络、系统、算法和软件之间进行极致协同设计的能力,使我们每一代都能实现数倍的性能提升。Vera Rubin 就是例证:相对 Grace Blackwell Ultra,每兆瓦吞吐量提高 30 倍,token 成本降低 35 倍。我们已于本月早些时候开始 Vera Rubin 的量产出货。我们已收到所有主要超大规模云厂商、AI 云和系统 OEM 的采购订单,预计 Vera Rubin 将成为英伟达历史上爬坡最快的产品。
P00908:39
Our networking business had another record quarter, with revenue growing 18% on a sequential basis. Spectrum-X Ethernet, which grew 2.6x on a year-over-year basis, is already helping us become the largest and fastest-growing network company in the world. Rising adoption of agentic AI is driving an acceleration in demand for data center CPUs. Our Grace CPU, introduced in 2021, has been a great success, with revenue on a trailing 12-month basis exceeding $5 billion. Today, we are in full production of our next generation Vera CPU. As a standalone product, Vera expands our TAM even further. Vera completes agentic tasks 1.8x faster on the spec benchmark and provides five times the bandwidth per watt than any other data center CPU.
我们的网络业务又一个季度创下纪录,营收环比增长 18%。Spectrum-X 以太网同比增长 2.6 倍,已在帮助我们成为全球规模最大、增长最快的网络公司。智能体 AI 采用率的上升正推动数据中心 CPU 需求加速。我们于 2021 年推出的 Grace CPU 非常成功,过去 12 个月营收超过 50 亿美元。今天,我们的下一代 Vera CPU 已全面投产。作为独立产品,Vera 进一步扩大了我们的 TAM。在 SPEC 基准测试中,Vera 完成智能体任务的速度快 1.8 倍,每瓦带宽是其他任何数据中心 CPU 的 5 倍。
P01009:43
We expect Vera to be deployed by every major hyperscaler, NeoCloud, AI lab, and system OEM, with shipments already underway to our lead partners, including Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, SpaceX AI, and starting this quarter, AWS. We continue to see demand for approximately $20 billion in total server CPUs. Based on our customer demand and improving supply outlook, our preliminary expectation is for CPU revenue to more than double in fiscal 2028, positioning us as one of the world's leading server CPU suppliers. Since the announcement of our Groq partnership last year, we've been working to unite NVIDIA's high throughput and Groq's high interactivity architectures. At Hot Chips earlier this week, we announced that Groq 3 LPX, our first rack-scale LPU system, is in full production and already setting records, demonstrating nearly 4x the number of tokens per second against the next best alternative on our Artificial Analysis benchmark.
我们预计 Vera 将被所有主要超大规模云厂商、NeoCloud、AI 实验室和系统 OEM 部署,目前已开始向我们的首批合作伙伴出货,包括 Oracle Cloud Infrastructure、SpaceX AI,以及从本季度开始的 AWS。我们继续看到服务器 CPU 总需求约 200 亿美元。基于客户需求和不断改善的供应前景,我们初步预计 2028 财年 CPU 营收将增长一倍以上,使我们跻身全球领先的服务器 CPU 供应商之列。自去年宣布与 Groq 合作以来,我们一直在努力把英伟达的高吞吐架构与 Groq 的高交互性架构结合起来。在本周早些时候的 Hot Chips 大会上,我们宣布首款机架级 LPU 系统 Groq 3 LPX 已全面投产并已创下纪录:在 Artificial Analysis 基准测试中,每秒 token 数接近次优方案的 4 倍。
P01111:01
We expect to ship Groq 3 LPX in volume later this quarter to early adopters. Nebius will be the first. Today, we're not just selling the best chips, we're selling a full stack AI factory platform, offering superior economics for customers and capturing a bigger share of the data center TAM. Our third unique capability is the combination of our full stack AI factory and rich CUDA ecosystem, allowing us to extend AI into markets a single chip alone can never reach. Beyond the hyperscalers lies a massive market anxious to adopt AI, customers with no interest in designing their own custom silicon.
我们预计本季度晚些时候向早期采用者批量出货 Groq 3 LPX,Nebius 将是第一家。今天,我们卖的不只是最好的芯片,而是全栈 AI 工厂平台,为客户提供更优的经济性,并在数据中心 TAM 中获取更大份额。我们的第三项独特能力是全栈 AI 工厂与丰富的 CUDA 生态的结合,使我们能把 AI 拓展到单颗芯片永远无法触及的市场。在超大规模云厂商之外,还有一个渴望采用 AI 的巨大市场,这些客户无意自行设计定制芯片。
P01211:49
NVIDIA's fully proven full stack platform is uniquely suited to help sovereigns, NeoClouds, and enterprises build their AI infrastructure, bring it to full operation, continuously optimize it through CUDA software, and connect it to offtake demand from our vast developer ecosystem. Hyperscalers will remain a major growth driver, but non-hyperscaler growth, our ACIE segment spanning sovereign regional NeoClouds, enterprise edge, and air gap data centers will represent roughly half of our data center business. Our AI native startup ecosystem, developed and running primarily on the NVIDIA compute platform, is scaling at a rapid pace. Global VC funding in AI, roughly 70% of which is spent on compute, exceeded $400 billion in the first half of 2026, surpassing the $265 billion raised in all of 2025.
英伟达经过充分验证的全栈平台,特别适合帮助主权客户、NeoCloud 和企业客户建设 AI 基础设施、使其全面投入运行、通过 CUDA 软件持续优化,并将其与我们庞大开发者生态的需求对接。超大规模云厂商仍将是主要增长动力,但非超大规模的增长——我们的 ACIE 板块,涵盖主权与区域 NeoCloud、企业边缘和物理隔离数据中心——将占我们数据中心业务的大约一半。我们的 AI 原生初创公司生态主要基于英伟达计算平台开发和运行,正在快速扩张。2026 年上半年全球 AI 风险投资超过 4000 亿美元,其中大约 70% 用于算力,超过了 2025 年全年募集的 2650 亿美元。
P01312:57
Nearly 20 companies, including Cursor, owned by SpaceX, Figma, and Together AI, now exceed $1 billion in annualized run rate revenue, up from 13 companies in Q4 of last year, with vertical enterprise software logging the fastest growth. In enterprise, on a trailing 12-month basis, on-prem revenue in the automotive vertical reached $8 billion, while financial services, manufacturing, and healthcare combined contributed $7 billion in revenue. Hudson River Trading and Jane Street are leveraging NVIDIA-powered AI factories to accelerate quantitative trading. Samsung Electronics is using NVIDIA cuLitho to achieve up to 20x greater performance in computational lithography, while Bristol Myers Squibb is investing in Vera Rubin AI factory, a fast follow to the Roche and Lilly build-outs as drug R&D timelines compress from years to months. In sovereign AI, our business, primarily through the regional NeoClouds, grew 35% sequentially and more than tripled year-over-year in Q2.
近 20 家公司——包括 SpaceX 旗下的 Cursor、Figma 和 Together AI——年化收入运行率已超过 10 亿美元,高于去年第四季度的 13 家,其中垂直企业软件增长最快。在企业客户方面,过去 12 个月汽车行业的本地部署营收达到 80 亿美元,金融服务、制造和医疗合计贡献 70 亿美元。Hudson River Trading 和 Jane Street 正在利用英伟达驱动的 AI 工厂加速量化交易。三星电子使用英伟达 cuLitho 在计算光刻中实现高达 20 倍的性能提升;百时美施贵宝正在投资 Vera Rubin AI 工厂,紧随罗氏和礼来的建设,药物研发周期正从数年压缩到数月。在主权 AI 方面,我们主要通过区域 NeoCloud 开展的业务第二季度环比增长 35%,同比增长超过两倍。
P01414:15
A country or region can allocate land and power directly to a regional cloud partner in ways it never would to a foreign hyperscaler. We don't own a cloud ourselves. We are a neutral partner to every sovereign and NeoCloud. Because NVIDIA Compute is productive, fungible, rentable, and durable, regional cloud interest is surging around the world. We helped CoreWeave, Nebius, and Nscale build entire infrastructure businesses, and NeoClouds are emerging everywhere. Firebird in Armenia, Cassava Technologies across Africa, GMI Cloud in Taiwan, Yotta and Neysa in India, Firmus in Australia, YTL AI Cloud in Malaysia, pairing local land, power, and operating expertise with our platform. Last month, we announced a partnership with Noetra, Japan's national AI company, to build an NVIDIA DSX AI factory that will create open models to power AI agents, digital twins, robotics, and physical AI applications.
一个国家或地区可以把土地和电力直接分配给区域云合作伙伴,而这是它们绝不会给外国超大规模云厂商的。我们自己不拥有云,我们是每一个主权客户和 NeoCloud 的中立合作伙伴。由于英伟达算力高产出、通用、可出租且耐用,全球对区域云的兴趣正在激增。我们帮助 CoreWeave、Nebius 和 Nscale 建立了完整的基础设施业务,NeoCloud 正在各地涌现:亚美尼亚的 Firebird、遍布非洲的 Cassava Technologies、台湾的 GMI Cloud、印度的 Yotta 和 Neysa、澳大利亚的 Firmus、马来西亚的 YTL AI Cloud,它们把本地的土地、电力和运营经验与我们的平台结合。上个月,我们宣布与日本国家级 AI 公司 Noetra 合作,建设英伟达 DSX AI 工厂,开发开源模型,以驱动 AI 智能体、数字孪生、机器人和物理 AI 应用。
P01515:34
South Korea's LG and Hyundai Motor Group are partnering with NVIDIA to build and scale AI. In Europe, a record 35 new NVIDIA-powered AI supercomputers were unveiled to advance industry and scientific breakthroughs. NeoClouds are seeing strong demand pipelines for many diverse offtakers. Rather than allocating their entire capacity to a single long-term offtake guarantee that lenders typically require to finance a data center independently, we have introduced a revenue-sharing structure. NVIDIA provides a take or pay commitment on a portion of the facility's capacity, a minimum revenue guarantee that gives lenders the confidence to underwrite the project, and in exchange, we share in a portion of the NeoCloud's revenue earned above that floor. Independent capital still underwrites every deal on its own merits. We're not making loans.
韩国的 LG 和现代汽车集团正与英伟达合作,建设并扩展 AI。在欧洲,创纪录的 35 台由英伟达驱动的新 AI 超级计算机亮相,用于推动产业和科学突破。NeoCloud 正看到来自众多不同采购方的强劲需求储备。贷款方通常要求数据中心把全部产能分配给单一长期采购担保才能独立融资;为此,我们推出了一种收入分成结构。英伟达对设施的一部分产能提供 take-or-pay 承诺,即最低收入保证,让贷款方有信心为项目提供融资;作为交换,我们分享 NeoCloud 在该保底之上所赚收入的一部分。每一笔交易仍由独立资本按其自身条件审核承保。我们不是在放贷。
P01616:36
In this model, we get paid twice, once on the hardware sale and again through the share of rental revenue, a highly reoccurring stream layered on top of a one-time equipment purchase. Over time, this model can expand our addressable market and create reoccurring usage-linked revenue stream alongside our core platform revenue, with the potential to drive billions in revenue over the medium to long term. Together, NVIDIA's three unique capabilities, a platform that runs every model, a full stack AI factory platform capturing more of the data center TAM, and a CUDA ecosystem that extends AI into markets no single chip could reach alone, reinforce one another and are the engines of our growth. Let me update you on our progress with our Frontier AI labs.
在这一模式下,我们获得两次收入:一次来自硬件销售,另一次来自租金收入分成,即在一次性设备采购之上叠加一笔高度经常性的收入流。随着时间推移,这一模式可以扩大我们的可服务市场,并在核心平台收入之外创造与使用量挂钩的经常性收入流,在中长期有潜力带来数十亿美元的收入。英伟达的三项独特能力——能运行所有模型的平台、在数据中心 TAM 中获取更多份额的全栈 AI 工厂平台,以及把 AI 拓展到单颗芯片无法触及的市场的 CUDA 生态——相互强化,共同构成我们的增长引擎。下面我介绍一下我们与前沿 AI 实验室合作的进展。
P01717:35
The Frontier AI labs have extraordinary demand for training and inference compute, but they are growing faster than what their balance sheets and credit profiles can support. They have rapidly growing customer demand, yet still lack the decades-long infrastructure contracts and investment-grade financing capacity needed to secure the AI factory infrastructure independently. In other words, their growth is not limited by their technology or customer demand. It is limited by compute. For these companies, more compute means more intelligence, more users, and more revenue. NVIDIA is needed to help power this flywheel. First, we have invested nearly $50 billion in the Frontier AI labs. This was a meaningful commitment, but it represented a small fraction of our expected free cash flow over the same period.
前沿 AI 实验室对训练和推理算力有着非同寻常的需求,但它们的增长速度超过了其资产负债表和信用状况所能支撑的水平。它们的客户需求快速增长,但仍缺乏独立获取 AI 工厂基础设施所需的长达数十年的基础设施合同和投资级融资能力。换句话说,它们的增长不受技术或客户需求限制,而是受算力限制。对这些公司来说,更多算力意味着更强的智能、更多的用户和更多的收入。需要英伟达来帮助推动这个飞轮。首先,我们已向前沿 AI 实验室投资近 500 亿美元。这是一项重要的承诺,但只占我们同期预期自由现金流的一小部分。
P01818:32
Further, to support the Frontier labs infrastructure build-outs, we recently announced partnerships with six of the world's leading infrastructure capital providers, Apollo Global Management, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield Asset Management, Goldman Sachs, and KKR, to establish financing platforms that will raise over $500 billion of third-party capital. With these partnerships, building on our unique, fungible, and durable computing platform, the AI labs will be able to build and assess AI infrastructure funded by long-term institutional capital at relatively attractive rates. Last week, we announced that we secured land power shell capacity through our partnership with SB Energy to exclusively host NVIDIA Compute at their Portsmouth campus. The initial deployment, expected to support 4.25 gigawatts of AI factory capacity, will be utilized by OpenAI. Each generation of NVIDIA AI factory systems deployed at PORTS-Pike could represent approximately 1.5 million NVIDIA GPUs, and over 20 years, the site could support multiple upgrade cycles.
此外,为支持前沿实验室的基础设施建设,我们最近宣布与全球 6 家领先的基础设施资本提供方——Apollo Global Management、BlackRock、Blackstone、Brookfield Asset Management、高盛和 KKR——合作,建立将募集超过 5000 亿美元第三方资本的融资平台。借助这些合作,并依托我们独特、通用且耐用的计算平台,AI 实验室将能够以相对有吸引力的利率,用长期机构资本来建设和获取 AI 基础设施。上周,我们宣布通过与 SB Energy 的合作,在其 Portsmouth 园区锁定了土地、电力和机房(LPS)容量,专门用于部署英伟达算力。初始部署预计支持 4.25 GW 的 AI 工厂容量,将由 OpenAI 使用。部署在 PORTS-Pike 的每一代英伟达 AI 工厂系统可能对应大约 150 万块英伟达 GPU,在 20 年间,该园区可支持多个升级周期。
P01919:49
Here is the essential economic point. The LPS commitment secures a long-lived AI factory site, while the NVIDIA Compute within the data center can be upgraded repeatedly. This project deepens our longstanding partnership with OpenAI. OpenAI has committed to substantial deployments of NVIDIA AI infrastructure through 2030. OpenAI's existing and planned commitments represent approximately 12 gigawatts of NVIDIA Compute. For another Frontier AI lab, we will provide selective credit enhancement for nearly 2 gigawatts of compute. This complements the substantial NVIDIA Compute capacity they have secured independently without NVIDIA's credit support. We recognize the scale of this support, and we know some will call this circular financing. We see it differently. We are going through a major computing platform shift, the creation of one of the most important technologies in human history, and these are once-in-a-generation companies. Their technology leadership is proven, and their customer traction and usage are skyrocketing.
关键的经济逻辑在于:LPS 承诺锁定的是一个长期使用的 AI 工厂场址,而数据中心内的英伟达算力可以反复升级。该项目深化了我们与 OpenAI 的长期合作。OpenAI 已承诺在 2030 年前大规模部署英伟达 AI 基础设施。OpenAI 现有和计划中的承诺合计约 12 GW 英伟达算力。对于另一家前沿 AI 实验室,我们将为近 2 GW 的算力提供选择性信用增强。这是对其在没有英伟达信用支持的情况下已独立锁定的大量英伟达算力的补充。我们意识到这种支持的规模,也知道有人会把它称为循环融资。我们的看法不同。我们正在经历一次重大的计算平台变革,创造人类历史上最重要的技术之一,而这些是一代人仅见的公司。它们的技术领先已得到证明,客户增长和使用量正在飙升。
P02021:08
We expect them to become the largest technology companies in history. We believe these investments, measured against the strength of their demand, the business they create for us, the ecosystem they build on NVIDIA's platform, and the equity returns on our invested capital will be excellent, and our risk is limited. The NVIDIA Compute platform is fungible and durable and can be redeployed to support other customers. For context, we expect demand from the AI labs for which we expect to leverage our balance sheet to contribute toward roughly a quarter of our business next year. This remains compute we ship will be consumed by investment-grade customers or those that are backed by one. In Q2, we shipped less than 1% of our total data center revenue in Hopper 200 products to customers based in China in accordance with the U.S. government licenses.
我们预计它们将成为历史上最大的科技公司。我们相信,从其需求的强度、它们为我们创造的业务、它们在英伟达平台上构建的生态以及我们投入资本的股权回报来衡量,这些投资都将非常出色,而我们的风险有限。英伟达算力平台通用且耐用,可以重新部署以服务其他客户。作为参考,我们预计,那些我们预计会动用自身资产负债表支持的 AI 实验室所带来的需求,明年将占我们业务的大约四分之一。我们出货的算力仍将由投资级客户或有投资级主体支持的客户使用。第二季度,我们依据美国政府许可,向中国客户出货的 Hopper 200 产品占数据中心总营收不到 1%。
P02122:14
Current Hopper shipments are dilutive to corporate gross margins, and given ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, there is no China data center compute revenue in our forward outlook. Moving to the rest of the P&L. GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins were both 75%, largely unchanged from last quarter due to a similar product mix. GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses were up 10% and 11% sequentially, primarily due to high compute infrastructure costs and compensation and benefits costs. Our non-GAAP effective tax rate of 16% increased from a year ago, primarily due to higher revenue. On our balance sheet, inventory increased to $32 billion as we prepared for the Vera Rubin launch. Days of sales outstanding increased to 60 days, reflecting extended payment terms for large purchases by certain investment-grade customers to be shipped over multiple quarters.
当前的 Hopper 出货会拉低公司整体毛利率;鉴于持续的地缘政治不确定性,我们的前瞻展望中不包含任何中国数据中心算力收入。接下来是损益表的其余部分。GAAP 和非 GAAP 毛利率均为 75%,由于产品组合相似,与上季度基本持平。GAAP 和非 GAAP 运营费用分别环比增长 10% 和 11%,主要由于较高的算力基础设施成本以及薪酬福利成本。非 GAAP 有效税率为 16%,高于去年同期,主要是由于营收增加。资产负债表方面,由于为 Vera Rubin 发布做准备,存货增至 320 亿美元。应收账款周转天数增至 60 天,反映了对部分投资级客户分多个季度出货的大额采购给予的延长付款账期。
P02223:21
In Q2, we returned a record $26 billion to shareholders, $20 billion through share repurchases, and $6 billion through our quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share. Relative to our plan to return 50% or more of free cash flow, we have returned 60% on a year-to-date basis. Going forward, we intend to increase and return excess free cash flow net of strategic uses. Let me turn to the outlook for the third quarter. Total revenue is expected to be $108 billion ±2%. We expect sequential growth to be driven primarily by ACIE with data center, while growth in hyperscale is expected to re-accelerate in Q4 and into fiscal year 2028 as supply of Vera Rubin grows over time. We see Vera Rubin accounting for about 20% of data center revenue in Q3.
第二季度,我们向股东返还了创纪录的 260 亿美元,其中 200 亿美元通过股票回购,60 亿美元通过每股 0.25 美元的季度股息。相对于返还 50% 或以上自由现金流的计划,年初至今我们已返还了 60%。展望未来,我们打算增加并返还扣除战略性用途后的超额自由现金流。下面谈谈第三季度展望。总营收预计为 1080 亿美元 ±2%。我们预计环比增长主要由数据中心内的 ACIE 驱动,而随着 Vera Rubin 的供应逐步增加,超大规模业务的增长预计将在第四季度并延续到 2028 财年重新加速。我们预计 Vera Rubin 将占第三季度数据中心营收的约 20%。
P02324:25
Looking ahead, our preliminary expectation is for fiscal year 2028 revenue to grow approximately 70% year-over-year. Although we will work to close the supply-demand gap, we expect supply to remain a bottleneck at least through the end of fiscal year 2028. Many of you have expressed concerns regarding our gross margins, as component costs have risen significantly. As you are already aware, we are experiencing extreme pricing conditions in memory. The magnitude of the price increase has exceeded our prior expectations and are headed even higher into next year. As a result, we are resetting expectations today. For Q3, we expect GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins to be 74% ±50 basis points. We expect margins to bottom in Q4 in the 71%-72% range before settling at 72%-73% in fiscal year 2028 as executed price increases take effect in Q1.
展望未来,我们初步预计 2028 财年营收同比增长约 70%。尽管我们会努力缩小供需缺口,但预计至少到 2028 财年末,供给仍将是瓶颈。由于元器件成本大幅上涨,许多人对我们的毛利率表示担忧。各位已经知道,我们正在经历存储价格的极端状况。涨价幅度已超出我们此前的预期,而且明年还会进一步走高。因此,我们今天重新设定预期。第三季度,我们预计 GAAP 和非 GAAP 毛利率为 74% ±50 个基点。我们预计毛利率将在第四季度触底,落在 71%-72% 区间,随后随着已执行的提价在第一季度生效,在 2028 财年稳定在 72%-73%。
被引用:↩ 基本面档案 · 投资要点↩ 基本面档案 · 主要风险 · 存储涨价压低毛利率 ×2↩ 基本面档案 · 主要风险 · 客户自研芯片,加上产能瓶颈↩ FY2027Q2 季度复盘 · 结论摘要↩ FY2027Q2 季度复盘 · 当季异动↩ FY2027Q2 季度复盘 · 电话会要点 · 指引与展望 ×2↩ FY2027Q2 季度复盘 · 电话会要点 · 风险与逆风↩ FY2027Q2 季度复盘 · 叙事 vs 报表↩ FY2027Q2 电话会解析 · 核心判断 ×2↩ 指引与语气 · 指引演变 · 营收(下季与下一财年)↩ 指引与语气 · 指引演变 · 毛利率 ×2↩ 云三强一年砸 6,000 亿建算力:用同一把尺子量,谁的投入回本最快? · 多方原话交锋与验真标尺 · 对质二:自研芯片能省多少?——结论:省钱的说法都来自卖方或自用方,可核对的只有亚马逊的“客户省了 20 亿美元”↩ 年砸 6,000 亿美金的算力豪赌:云三强烧穿自由现金流、集体举债,谁最先跑通真金白银的正循环? · 底层逻辑与关键账本 · 表二:上游芯片(AVGO/NVDA)交叉对账、单吉瓦(GW)算力物理经济账与 2027 折旧/净现金底牌↩ 年砸 6,000 亿美金的算力豪赌:云三强烧穿自由现金流、集体举债,谁最先跑通真金白银的正循环? · 多方原话交锋与验真标尺 · 对质二:自研芯片能不能扛住硬件涨价与折旧?——结论:博通实锤“定制 XPU 成本不到 GPU 一半”,谷歌与亚马逊享自研红利,微软硬扛存储与 GPU 涨价↩ 推理时代算力分流:定制 ASIC 与开放架构能不能抢走通用 GPU 的份额? · 核心判断↩ 推理时代算力分流:定制 ASIC 与开放架构能不能抢走通用 GPU 的份额? · 核心争议拆解 · 争议三:HBM 内存暴涨下的毛利率传导测试——谁能提价顺导,谁靠砍研发费硬扛,谁靠服务器 CPU 对冲?↩ 推理时代算力分流:定制 ASIC 与开放架构能不能抢走通用 GPU 的份额? · 多方原话交锋与验真标尺 · 对质三:存储芯片涨价与产品切换下的利润率防线↩ 推理时代算力分流:定制 ASIC 与开放架构能不能抢走通用 GPU 的份额? · 多方原话交锋与验真标尺 · 未来 2–4 个季度检验「算力分流」走向的四大标尺
P02425:40
We want to be direct about this rather than let it linger as an open question. Memory scarcity today is being driven in large part by the AI build-out itself, and unlike a component that simply raises our cost with no offset benefit. Tighter memory supply is a symptom of the same demand surge that is driving our own growth. We have longstanding, deep relationships with all three major memory suppliers, and we are working closely with them to further increase the capacity our roadmap requires. GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $9.2 billion and $9.0 billion respectively. For the full year, we now expect OpEx to grow in the low 50s, driven by a broadening of our product portfolio and further increase in the usage of AI tools, which has already and will continue to enhance engineering productivity.
我们希望直接说清楚这一点,而不是让它一直悬而未决。当前的存储短缺很大程度上正是由 AI 建设本身驱动的,它不同于那种只会抬高成本、没有任何抵消收益的元器件。存储供应趋紧,是驱动我们自身增长的同一波需求激增的症状。我们与三大存储供应商都有长期、深入的关系,正与它们密切合作,进一步提升我们产品路线图所需的产能。GAAP 和非 GAAP 运营费用预计分别约为 92 亿美元和 90 亿美元。全年来看,我们现在预计运营费用增长 50% 出头,驱动因素是产品组合的拓宽以及 AI 工具使用的进一步增加,后者已经并将继续提升工程效率。
P02526:40
For full year fiscal year 2027, we continue to expect GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates to be between 16% and 18%, excluding any discrete items and material changes to our tax environment. With that, we will now transition to Q&A. Operator, please poll for questions.
对于 2027 财年全年,我们继续预计 GAAP 和非 GAAP 税率在 16% 至 18% 之间,不含任何离散项目和税收环境的重大变化。接下来进入问答环节。主持人,请开始接受提问。
问答环节
P02627:06
Operator
At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. We will pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Joseph Moore with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.
现在提醒各位,如需提问,请在电话键盘上按星号键,然后按数字 1。我们稍停片刻,整理提问名单。第一个问题来自摩根士丹利的 Joseph Moore。请讲。
P02727:28
Joseph MooreAnalyst, Morgan Stanley
Great. Thank you. I wonder if you could give us color on the 70%, and what gives you the confidence to guide a full year out if you haven't been doing that? What is the key constraint that separates those numbers, and could you close those gaps over time?
好的,谢谢。能否谈谈 70% 这个数字的细节?既然你们以前没有这样做过,是什么让你们有信心给出一整年后的指引?把这两个数字拉开差距的关键约束是什么?这些差距能否随时间缩小?
P02827:50
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO已校正
Yeah. Thanks, Joe. As you probably are aware, AI has become useful. The AI agents that are being adopted everywhere use an enormous amount of compute. First of all, the large language models are larger than ever because they are smarter than ever. These agents go through reasoning and planning multiple turns of tool use. The amount of compute necessary for an agent versus a human using it is probably 15 to 100 times, depending on the type of problem you are trying to solve. The amount of compute necessary is just extraordinary. That is a factor that almost everybody sees. The part that people don't see about our growth, because we are practically singular, because the nature of how we deliver products. We are the only company in the world that creates and builds, offers an entire AI factory platform, a full stack system.
好的,谢谢 Joe。你可能已经注意到,AI 已经变得有用了。各处都在采用的 AI 智能体使用大量算力。首先,大语言模型比以往任何时候都大,因为它们比以往任何时候都聪明。这些智能体要经过推理、规划和多轮工具调用。智能体所需的算力与人类直接使用相比,可能是 15 到 100 倍,取决于你要解决的问题类型。所需的算力量实在惊人。这是几乎每个人都能看到的因素。而人们看不到的是我们增长的另一部分,因为我们实际上是独一无二的,这源于我们交付产品的方式。我们是世界上唯一一家创造、构建并提供完整 AI 工厂平台——即全栈系统——的公司。
P02928:52
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO已校正
Customers can still mix and match. However, most companies just don't have the skills to do that or a desire to do that. There is an entire part of the market that we experience growth. There is sovereign AI, there are regional AIs, there are NeoClouds, there are AI startups at enterprises where we are seeing, which represents about half of our business, and that is growing 100% a year. That part of the world's computing is likely to be larger over time than even what we are currently experiencing in the cloud. I think the demand that we see is driven by all of those factors. It is also the case that you can no longer procure technology per se and stand up this infrastructure. You have got to go secure the LPS, which oftentimes is a couple, 2, 3 years out.
客户仍然可以自行混搭。但大多数公司既没有这样的能力,也没有这样的意愿。有一整块市场正在为我们带来增长:主权 AI、区域 AI、NeoCloud、AI 初创公司以及企业客户,这部分大约占我们业务的一半,并且每年增长 100%。随着时间推移,全球计算的这一部分很可能会比我们目前在云端看到的规模还要大。我认为我们看到的需求是由所有这些因素共同驱动的。另外,现在已经不能仅靠采购技术就把这些基础设施建起来了。你必须去锁定土地、电力和机房(LPS),而这往往要提前 2、3 年。
P03029:47
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO已校正
All of the rest of the supply chain necessary to align the construction, the power, the cooling, all of the labor that is necessary. AI infrastructure is creating so many jobs all over the U.S. and all around the world. It just takes a lot more planning. We are involved in securing infrastructure now, further down the pipeline. Just as a long time ago, people asked me why is it that we are working with memory suppliers when we are a chip company? Today, people understand it is really quite genius that we were working on our supply chain so far upstream. We work with power generator companies downstream. We work with LPS companies all around the world.
还要协调供应链的其余各个环节:建设、电力、冷却,以及所需的全部劳动力。AI 基础设施正在美国和全世界创造大量就业。这只是需要多得多的规划。我们现在已参与到更下游的基础设施锁定工作中。就像很久以前,人们问我:你们是芯片公司,为什么要和存储供应商合作?今天,人们明白了,我们在供应链上游如此远的地方布局是相当高明的。在下游,我们与发电公司合作;我们与世界各地的 LPS 公司合作。
P03130:35
That helps prepare all of this computing that is going to be built, that will ultimately deploy for our ecosystem and our customers. We just have a lot greater visibility now, upstream and downstream. It is the case that we have never forecasted or never guided to a year in advance. Even though our demand is much greater than 70%, our supply allows us to confidently deliver 70%. We are going to continue to work with our supply chain to increase on that. What we wanted to do is to be consistent with everybody from our customers, our shareholders, our supply chain. Everybody sees the same view. The reason why that is important is because everybody is putting a lot of resources at play. We wanted to make sure that everybody has the same set of information.
这有助于为所有即将建设、最终为我们的生态和客户部署的算力做好准备。我们现在对上游和下游都有了大得多的可见度。确实,我们从未提前一年做过预测或给过指引。尽管我们的需求远大于 70%,但我们的供给让我们有信心实现 70%。我们会继续与供应链合作,在此基础上进一步提升。我们希望对所有人——客户、股东、供应链——保持一致,让大家看到同样的画面。这之所以重要,是因为每个人都在投入大量资源。我们希望确保每个人拥有同样的信息。
P03231:30
We have got a huge year coming up next year, and it is going to be pretty extraordinary.
明年将是非常重要的一年,而且会相当不同凡响。
P03331:41
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of C.J. Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is open.
下一个问题来自 Cantor Fitzgerald 的 C.J. Muse。请讲。
P03431:49
C.J. MuseAnalyst, Cantor Fitzgerald
Yeah, good afternoon. Thank you for taking the question. There is tremendous investor focus on your inference market share. Can you speak to the evolving workloads you are seeing with agentic AI and how you see your share evolving here over time, particularly when you reflect on the growing value of the TAM you are seeing with each new full stack generation, your expectation for greater growth from ACIE, and then also including Groq 3 LPX? We would love to hear your thoughts.
好的,下午好,谢谢回答我的问题。投资者非常关注你们在推理市场的份额。能否谈谈你们在智能体 AI 方面看到的工作负载演变,以及你们认为自己的份额会如何随时间变化?特别是结合每一代新全栈产品带来的 TAM 价值增长、你们对 ACIE 更快增长的预期,以及 Groq 3 LPX。很想听听你们的想法。
P03532:15
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO
Yeah, thanks, C.J. The AI life cycle is getting way more complex than it used to be. It is playing into NVIDIA's architecture much more greatly than it used to be. You could kind of see it as four phases. There is the first phase, which is preparing all of the data that you need. Some of it is synthetic, some of it is real, some of it is human labeled and generated, pre-train the models. Then there is post-training, the third phase, and then there is the agentic inference. Agentic inference is extremely complicated. Every one of those phases are complicated. The thing that is really great about the NVIDIA architecture, and we created this with NVL72, it was a big surprise on the world when we first created the world's first rack scale architecture.
好的,谢谢 C.J.。AI 的生命周期正变得比以前复杂得多,这比以前更大程度地发挥了英伟达架构的优势。你可以把它看作 4 个阶段。第一阶段是准备你需要的所有数据,其中有合成数据、真实数据,也有人工标注和生成的数据;然后是预训练模型;接着是后训练,也就是第三阶段;再然后是智能体推理。智能体推理极其复杂。每一个阶段都很复杂。英伟达架构真正出色的地方在于——我们用 NVL72 创造了它,当我们首次打造出世界上第一个机架级架构时,全世界都很惊讶。
P03633:11
It was hardly easy, and it was very challenging building the first generation. We are now in our third generation of NVL72 rack scale systems. We had to reinvent the entire supply chain, reinvent systems, reinvent the technology, redistribute our software, refactor our software, everything. Every aspect of it was hard. What it allowed us to do was to create one fungible system that allows us to transition from data creation, data preparation, to pre-training, to post-training, to agentic inference. The benefits to customers is incredible. The reason for that is because you have just spent, and we just mentioned, each gigawatt of technology and NVIDIA's revenue exposure in the Hopper timeframe with Hopper plus InfiniBand, and now Vera Rubin and CPU and three types of different networking, because it takes that many types of networking to address the entire world's data center.
这绝非易事,打造第一代非常有挑战性。我们现在已经是第三代 NVL72 机架级系统。我们不得不重塑整个供应链、重塑系统、重塑技术、重新分布和重构我们的软件,一切都要重做。每个方面都很难。它让我们得以创造一个通用系统,可以从数据创建、数据准备,过渡到预训练、后训练,再到智能体推理。这对客户的好处是巨大的。原因在于,正如我们刚才提到的,每 GW 的技术投入以及英伟达的收入敏口,在 Hopper 时代是 Hopper 加 InfiniBand,而现在是 Vera Rubin、CPU 和 3 种不同的网络,因为要覆盖全世界的数据中心就需要这么多种网络。
P03734:13
Not to mention the scale-in security networking and the scale across multi-campus networking. You could argue 5 different types of networking systems. Then, of course, Groq. All of that increased our revenue contribution or revenue opportunity per gigawatt to $40 billion. Each gigawatt of data center increased from, say, $30 billion about 5 years ago to now $60 billion today. Of course, the productivity's tremendous. The performance is incredible in comparison. But you are talking about a $60 billion investment. To the extent that you could use it across multiple phases of the AI life cycle, run every single type of model you can imagine running on it, whether it is diffusion or autoregressive or state space or some hybrid version of that, every version of attention mechanism you can think of, small or large models.
更不用说机架内的安全网络和跨园区的多园区网络。可以说有 5 种不同的网络系统。然后当然还有 Groq。所有这些把我们每 GW 的收入贡献或者说收入机会提高到了 400 亿美元。每 GW 数据中心的投资从大约 5 年前的约 300 亿美元增加到了今天的 600 亿美元。当然,生产力也提高了很多,相比之下性能提升惊人。但你谈的是一笔 600 亿美元的投资。如果你能把它用在 AI 生命周期的多个阶段,在上面运行你能想到的每一种模型——无论是扩散、自回归、状态空间还是某种混合版本,你能想到的每一种注意力机制,小模型或大模型——
P03835:20
The investment that you make will be preserved and useful and productive for a lot longer time. I think our advantage in this new world is really quite extraordinary, and it could explain why it is that our growth is actually accelerating. It was already large, but now it is accelerating. Let us see. You asked about Groq. Super excited about Groq 3. We achieved a record token interactivity rate, extremely low latency, performance generation. The team is doing fantastically. We spent the last several months fusing the NVLink architecture, which will be the core engine. Then for services that would like to have super high interactivity, super high speed token generation done, the throughput is going to be a lot lower. The cost per token will be higher. But you could associate it with high ASP services.
那么你的投资就能在长得多的时间里保持价值、保持有用和高产出。我认为我们在这个新世界里的优势确实非同寻常,这也可以解释为什么我们的增长实际上在加速。本来规模就已经很大,但现在还在加速。我想想,你问到了 Groq。我对 Groq 3 非常兴奋。我们实现了创纪录的 token 交互速率、极低的延迟和生成性能。团队做得非常好。过去几个月我们一直在把它与 NVLink 架构融合,NVLink 将是核心引擎。对于那些希望实现超高交互性、超高速 token 生成的服务,吞吐量会低很多,每 token 成本会更高,但可以对应高客单价的服务。
P03936:34
For those companies, you could bolt on one of our Groq accelerators. I am super excited about that. But the vast majority of the world's data centers will just be Vera Rubin NVL72.
对这些公司来说,可以加装一块我们的 Groq 加速器。我对此非常兴奋。但世界上绝大多数数据中心仍将只是 Vera Rubin NVL72。
P04036:48
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein Research. Your line is open.
下一个问题来自 Bernstein Research 的 Stacy Rasgon。请讲。
P04136:55
Stacy RasgonAnalyst, Bernstein Research
Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. The 70% growth in fiscal 2028, which I guess is sort of calendar 2027, that is something like, I don't know, a $200 billion uptick versus the prior outlook if I back it out. The prior outlook was $1 trillion over the 3 years, so this is probably $200 billion more. I was just wondering if you could talk us through the contributors to that increase across the different products, Vera and CPUs and Groq and everything else. You talked about your price increase that takes effect in Q1, so I assume some of this is pricing. I guess I am also curious, maybe I am squeezing too many questions in here, but I am also curious because it is a constrained number. What would it be if it was not constrained?
大家好,谢谢回答我的问题。2028 财年 70% 的增长,我想大致对应 2027 日历年,如果我倒推一下,相比之前的展望大概上调了 2000 亿美元左右。之前的展望是 3 年 1 万亿美元,所以这可能多出 2000 亿美元。我想问能否说明一下这部分增量在不同产品之间的来源,比如 Vera、CPU、Groq 和其他产品。你们提到第一季度生效的提价,所以我假设其中一部分是价格因素。我还很好奇——也许我塞了太多问题——既然这是一个受约束的数字,如果不受约束,会是多少?
P04237:42
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO
The unconstrained would be a lot higher. We grew 100% year-over-year this year. The unconstrained is significant. We are just going to have to go work hard to get more capacity. We have a large supply chain. We have a really gigantic supply chain. We have incredible partners. We have secured a lot of supply, but we just need a lot more. To break it down, the way to think about that is most people see just hyperscalers. That is half of the picture. The other half of the picture is what we call ACIE, and that is all the enterprise, the NeoClouds, the sovereign AIs. That part of the world is invisible to everybody. The reason for that is because they do not buy custom chips. They do not buy chips one at a time.
不受约束的数字会高得多。我们今年同比增长了 100%。不受约束的需求是巨大的。我们只能努力去争取更多产能。我们有庞大的供应链,真的非常庞大,我们有出色的合作伙伴。我们已经锁定了大量供应,但我们还需要更多。分拆来看,大多数人只看到了超大规模云厂商,那只是一半的画面。另一半是我们所说的 ACIE,也就是所有的企业客户、NeoCloud 和主权 AI。世界的这一部分对所有人都是不可见的,原因是它们不买定制芯片,也不是一颗一颗地买芯片。
P04338:44
They really need an entire factory platform built for them. That is a space that we add just a tremendous amount of value. Now, of course, back in this hyperscale space, that is growing incredibly too, right? You know that they now have backlogs of $2 trillion. You know that when they stand up NVIDIA Compute, when that happens, their revenues go up, their earnings contribution go up. Compute is profitable, very profitable today, and compute directly translates into increased revenues. There is just a race to want to bring more NVIDIA Compute online, both at the hyperscalers. What you do not see is just really tremendous opportunities outside of the hyperscalers. The other part of it is, and this is the reason why we mapped it out for you. In the case of Hopper, we were at about $18 billion per gigawatt.
它们真正需要的是为它们打造的一整套工厂平台。这是我们能创造巨大价值的领域。当然,回到超大规模领域,那里也在惊人地增长,对吧?你们知道它们现在的积压订单达到 2 万亿美元。你们知道,当它们部署英伟达算力时,它们的收入会上升,利润贡献也会上升。算力今天是盈利的,而且非常盈利,算力直接转化为收入增长。大家都在竞相让更多英伟达算力上线,超大规模云厂商也是如此。你看不到的是超大规模云厂商之外那些真正巨大的机会。另一部分是——这也是我们为你们梳理出来的原因——在 Hopper 时代,我们每 GW 大约是 180 亿美元。
P04439:43
For Grace Blackwell, we are about $25 billion per gigawatt. For Vera Rubin, it is about $40 billion per gigawatt. The productivity is X factors increase in each generation. Customers want to race to the next generation as fast as they can. Meanwhile, because NVIDIA's compute is so productive, the tokens they are generating, the GPU hours they are renting out is insanely profitable as you know. Their margins are fantastic. All of that is just simultaneously happening. I think the big picture is that we are going through this platform shift, and it affects every computer company. Every industry in the world uses computers, so therefore every industry is affected, every company is affected. This new way of doing computing is intelligent. It is not based on retrieval of files, but it is now generative, generating intelligence, and that requires compute.
Grace Blackwell 大约是每 GW 250 亿美元,Vera Rubin 大约是每 GW 400 亿美元。每一代的生产力都提高数倍。客户都想尽快升级到下一代。与此同时,由于英伟达的算力如此高产出,正如你们所知,它们生成的 token、出租的 GPU 小时利润极高,它们的利润率非常好。所有这些都在同时发生。我认为大局是,我们正在经历这场平台变革,它影响每一家计算机公司。世界上每个行业都用计算机,因此每个行业、每家公司都会受到影响。这种新的计算方式是智能的,它不再基于文件检索,而是生成式的,生成智能,而这需要算力。
P04540:50
The results you get is phenomenal. The results you get is tremendously better. We are just seeing that across the world. Everybody wants to be part of the AI revolution. Everybody will have to be part of this computing shift, and everybody has to build infrastructure.
你得到的结果是惊人的,好得多。我们在全世界都看到了这一点。每个人都想成为 AI 革命的一部分。每个人都将不得不加入这场计算变革,每个人都必须建设基础设施。
P04641:12
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Vivek Arya with BofA Securities. Your line is open.
下一个问题来自美银证券的 Vivek Arya。请讲。
P04741:20
Vivek AryaAnalyst, Bank of America Securities
Thanks for taking my question. Thanks for providing all the transparency and all the commitments and guarantees that you have for a number of years. When I just add up everything that is in the CFO commentary, I get to a number of about $500 billion or so, obviously over the next several years. So I had a few questions related to that. First is that the takeaway? That the sum of all your ecosystem investments over the next several years is in that ballpark, or are there other equity or other investments that could still be ahead? That is one. Secondly, if there is a specific cash part of that we should think about in fiscal 2028. Then, Jensen, a lot of these investments are designed to help the frontier labs, especially OpenAI and Anthropic, but both of them are designing their own custom chips.
谢谢回答我的问题,也感谢你们对未来若干年的各项承诺和担保所提供的透明度。当我把 CFO 评论里的所有内容加起来,得到的数字大约是 5000 亿美元,当然是在未来几年内。所以我有几个相关问题。第一,这是否就是结论?也就是说未来几年你们所有生态投资的总和大致在这个量级,还是说未来还可能有其他股权投资或其他投资?这是第一个问题。第二,其中是否有我们应该在 2028 财年考虑的具体现金部分。然后,Jensen,很多投资是为了帮助前沿实验室,特别是 OpenAI 和 Anthropic,但它们俩都在设计自己的定制芯片。
P04842:10
In fact, OpenAI just in the last few days spoke about Jalapeño and their claims about being better than Blackwell and so forth. So how are you balancing this dynamic where you want to invest a lot in the ecosystem, but part of that ecosystem wants to develop competitive solutions? Thank you.
事实上,OpenAI 就在过去几天谈到了 Jalapeño,并声称它优于 Blackwell 等等。那么,你们想在生态上大量投资,而生态中的一部分又想开发竞争方案,你们如何平衡这种关系?谢谢。
P04942:28
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO
Well, we're building something very different. Whereas many of these XPUs are inference-specific chips for one cloud or one service, NVIDIA is a platform, an entire AI factory platform that spans the entire AI life cycle that you can use in any cloud. It's in every cloud. You can run anywhere. We'll help you set it up anywhere. We built something very different. All of the AI services, at some point, are going to want to go around the world, and those data centers won't necessarily be just built by them. They're going to run, and I think they're going to run on NVIDIA all around the world.
嗯,我们在打造的是非常不同的东西。许多 XPU 是为某一朵云或某一项服务设计的专用推理芯片,而英伟达是一个平台,是覆盖整个 AI 生命周期、可以在任何云中使用的完整 AI 工厂平台。它在每一朵云里,可以在任何地方运行,我们会帮你在任何地方搭建。我们打造的东西非常不同。所有 AI 服务在某个时候都会想走向全球,而那些数据中心不一定只由它们自己建。它们会运行,我认为它们会在世界各地运行在英伟达上。
P05043:34
And of course, I think our technology, I have 100% confidence that our technology will continue to be extraordinary for them and that the economics of using our technology, whether it's from data processing to training, to post-training, to agentic processing, our technology's going to be extraordinary for them. They're going to use it. I'm very confident that they're going to be customers and partners of ours for a very long time. Now, having said that, taking a step backwards, investing in these two companies, or there are several AI labs that we've invested in, investing in these companies are a once-in-a-generation opportunity. I think the only regret that I have is that I didn't invest more and sooner. Two of the companies will likely go public soon, and others will follow. These will be some of the most consequential technology companies in history.
当然,我认为我们的技术——我 100% 相信我们的技术对它们来说仍会非常出色,使用我们技术的经济性,无论是数据处理、训练、后训练还是智能体处理,对它们来说都会非常出色。它们会使用它。我非常有信心它们将在很长一段时间内是我们的客户和合作伙伴。话虽如此,退一步讲,投资这两家公司——或者说我们投资的几家 AI 实验室——是一代人仅有一次的机会。我唯一的遗憾是没有投得更多、更早。其中两家公司可能很快上市,其他公司也会跟进。它们将是历史上最具影响力的科技公司之一。
P05144:29
I'm delighted to be their friend. I'm delighted to partner with them. I'm delighted that they're building an ecosystem on top of the NVIDIA architecture. I'm delighted that they're counting on us to scale up, and I have 100% confidence that through quite a long period of time, they're going to be utilizing NVIDIA Compute for a lot of their computing. I feel great about it.
我很高兴成为它们的朋友,很高兴与它们合作,很高兴它们在英伟达架构之上构建生态,很高兴它们依靠我们来扩大规模。我 100% 相信,在相当长的时间里,它们的大量计算都将使用英伟达算力。我对此感觉很好。
P05244:59
Colette KressEVP and CFO
So Vivek, let me add a little bit more regarding the commitments and the portion within those commitments, which is our supply commitments. This is essential. This is essential for the raising of Vera Rubin today, as well as all next year. You can see that those commitments, the biggest parts of them are in the first 3 years, and we will use that to build the products that we need. That's what also gives us the confidence in terms of our growth and revenue, given how much we have already aligned in commitment in terms of our supply as well as capacity that we would need.
Vivek,我再补充一下关于这些承诺以及其中供应承诺部分的情况。这非常关键,对于今天以及整个明年 Vera Rubin 的产能爬坡至关重要。你可以看到,这些承诺的最大部分都在前 3 年,我们将用它来制造我们需要的产品。正是因为我们已经在供应和所需产能上做出了大量承诺,我们才对增长和收入有信心。
P05345:39
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Timothy Arcuri with UBS. Your line is open.
下一个问题来自瑞银的 Timothy Arcuri。请讲。
P05445:46
Timothy ArcuriAnalyst, UBS
Hi. Thanks a lot. Jensen, I wanted to ask about open source. There is a lot of talk that these models could gain share for workload in the U.S. You are obviously well-positioned with Nemotron, but on the other hand, a lot of the end demand is being driven by these big frontier model companies. There is a lot of investors that equate open models as being negative for the growth of those companies. How do you put and take that? Do you see the rise of open models as being good for NVIDIA or ultimately negative? Thanks.
你好,非常感谢。Jensen,我想问一下开源的问题。很多人认为这些模型可能在美国获得更多工作负载份额。你们凭借 Nemotron 显然处于有利位置,但另一方面,大量终端需求是由那些大型前沿模型公司驱动的。很多投资者认为开源模型不利于这些公司的增长。你如何权衡?你认为开源模型的崛起对英伟达是好事,还是最终是坏事?谢谢。
P05546:17
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO
The world will need both closed models and open models. Both closed models and open models are skyrocketing in use. I would say nearly all open models run on NVIDIA, and the reason for that is because NVIDIA's footprint around the world is the highest, and our architecture is the most fungible. It is everywhere. It is in PCs and edge devices like DGX Spark, which is doing great, all the way to robots and workstations and your on-prem data centers. Open models are doing incredibly well. Closed models we know are doing incredibly well. The frontier labs, their sales are skyrocketing. Their margins are fantastic. They are generating profitable tokens. They are only limited by the amount of compute. That is equally true for open models. Our position in open models is very good because the CUDA ecosystem is literally everywhere.
世界既需要闭源模型,也需要开源模型。闭源和开源模型的使用量都在飙升。我会说几乎所有开源模型都运行在英伟达上,原因是英伟达在全球的装机量最大,我们的架构最通用。它无处不在:从 PC 和边缘设备(如表现很好的 DGX Spark),一直到机器人、工作站和你的本地数据中心。开源模型表现极好,我们知道闭源模型也表现极好。前沿实验室的销售额正在飙升,利润率非常好,它们生成的是盈利的 token,只受算力限制。开源模型也是如此。我们在开源模型中的地位非常好,因为 CUDA 生态真的无处不在。
P05647:31
The open models are also foundational to just about every AI startup and every enterprise company around the world. It is vital to them. The reason for that is because you should rent intelligence, strong intelligence, smart intelligence wherever you can, which is the reason why we rent it, and I encourage my employees to use the cloud service as much as they can. But every major company and surely every country and every startup needs to build their domain-specific, their proprietary AI, their proprietary alpha. The open models reaching frontier levels has made it possible, has enabled them to all do that. One of the areas where frontier models is vital is cybersecurity. You see the number of cybersecurity companies that are enabled by frontier models so that they could have distributed, massively distributed, continuously running autonomous cybersecurity systems to defend. Those companies are emerging.
开源模型也是全世界几乎每一家 AI 初创公司和每一家企业的基础,对它们至关重要。原因是,你应该尽可能去租用智能——强大的智能、聪明的智能——这也是我们自己租用的原因,我鼓励员工尽可能多地使用云服务。但每一家大公司、当然还有每一个国家和每一家初创公司,都需要构建自己的领域专用 AI、专有 AI、专有优势。开源模型达到前沿水平,使它们都能做到这一点。前沿模型至关重要的领域之一是网络安全。你会看到越来越多的网络安全公司借助前沿模型,构建分布式、大规模分布、持续运行的自主网络安全防御系统。这些公司正在涌现。
P05748:44
They are some amazing companies. They couldn't do it without open models. Open models is both incredibly successful and has finally reached the frontier, but it's also vital to the American economy, it's vital to the world economy, it's vital to companies to build their own proprietary AI. You can't do it without one or the other. Both are going to be extraordinarily successful. Lastly, as you know, our market footprint of all AI models, I think we're the only platform. I'm fairly certain we're the only platform that runs every frontier model, whether it's closed or open. Most of them were built on NVIDIA, so they run great on NVIDIA. So we're delighted by any model succeeding. So long as models succeed, I'm very happy. Both closed and open models are going to succeed, and they're both simultaneously driving our sales.
它们是一些了不起的公司,没有开源模型它们做不到。开源模型不仅极其成功、终于达到了前沿水平,而且对美国经济、对世界经济、对公司构建自己的专有 AI 都至关重要。两者缺一不可。两者都将取得巨大成功。最后,正如你所知,就所有 AI 模型的市场覆盖而言,我认为我们是唯一的平台。我相当确定我们是唯一能运行所有前沿模型的平台,无论闭源还是开源。它们大多是在英伟达上构建的,所以在英伟达上运行得很好。因此任何模型成功我们都很高兴。只要模型成功,我就很高兴。闭源和开源模型都将成功,它们同时在拉动我们的销售。
P05849:57
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Ben Reitzes with Melius Research. Your line is open.
下一个问题来自 Melius Research 的 Ben Reitzes。请讲。
P05950:05
Ben ReitzesAnalyst, Melius Research
Yeah. Hey, thanks. I wanted to ask you a question, Jensen, about demand in a different way. You talked about demand growing 100% next year, and I wanted to get a sense for a couple of things driving that and even beyond that. There's two concepts here. There's recursive self-improvement, which apparently at Anthropic and OpenAI is going very well with AI that improves itself. Even OpenAI said they could hit AGI by the end of this year. With the developments in RSI as well as AGI, what happens to industry demand? Does it inflect further? What does it mean for NVIDIA when those things take place? How are you looking at that as a demand catalyst? Thanks.
好的,谢谢。Jensen,我想换个角度问需求。你提到明年需求增长 100%,我想了解驱动它的几个因素,甚至更长远的情况。这里有两个概念。一是递归自我改进,据说在 Anthropic 和 OpenAI 进展很顺利,AI 可以自我改进。OpenAI 甚至说他们可能在今年年底实现 AGI。随着 RSI 和 AGI 的发展,行业需求会怎样?会进一步加速吗?这些事情发生时对英伟达意味着什么?你如何看待它作为需求催化剂?谢谢。
P06050:54
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO
I appreciate that. It's going to inflect further. Today, the vast majority of AI is prompted by people. I believe that this last month it has crossed. Most AI are now agentic. But in the future, every company will have a whole bunch of agents. We have 40,000 employees, roughly. In the future, we'll have 400,000 agents, 4 million agents. Those agents are running continuously. They're running in the background. If you know anybody who builds edge personal AI agents, and they run it on their DGX Spark. I know a lot of people who run it on DGX stations, this incredible workstation that we've built, and you can buy it from Dell, and they're incredible. These AI agents running on a DGX station runs 24/7, because you got stuff for it to do all the time.
感谢这个问题。它会进一步加速。今天,绝大多数 AI 是由人发起提示的。我相信就在上个月,这一点已经反转,现在大多数 AI 是智能体。而在未来,每家公司都会有一大批智能体。我们大约有 40,000 名员工,未来我们会有 400,000 个、400 万个智能体。这些智能体持续运行,在后台运行。如果你认识构建边缘个人 AI 智能体的人,他们会把它跑在 DGX Spark 上。我认识很多人把它跑在 DGX Station 上,这是我们打造的出色工作站,可以从戴尔购买,非常棒。运行在 DGX Station 上的 AI 智能体 24/7 不间断运行,因为你总有事情要它做。
P06151:56
When the world goes to agentic, fully agentic systems, you are going to have agents running all the time, working with other agents running all the time. Those will be working in the background, improving your company, improving your lives. In a lot of ways, we are kind of recursive at this point. You could argue it is coarse-grained, but every time you run through an agent, it reflects on how it could do a better job next time, and it updates the skill file. The skills document, the markdown, is updated at the end of every single one of them. Next time you run it is going to get better. It is a kind of a loosely coarse grain self-improvement. You see that always. In a lot of ways, and for many tasks, we could say that we have already achieved AGI.
当世界走向智能体、完全的智能体系统时,智能体将始终运行,与其他始终运行的智能体协作,在后台工作,改善你的公司、改善你的生活。在很多方面,我们现在已经在某种程度上是递归的。你可以说它还很粗糙,但每次运行一个智能体,它都会反思下次如何做得更好,并更新技能文件。技能文档,也就是那个 markdown,在每一次运行结束时都会更新,下次运行就会更好。这是一种松散的、粗粒度的自我改进,你一直都能看到。在很多方面,对于很多任务,我们可以说已经实现了 AGI。
P06252:52
I think all of those milestones and all those, they are kind of senseless at this point. I think the most important thing that matters for the industry is that, one, AI is now doing productive and useful work. Two, AI is generating profitable tokens. Three, if we had more compute, we could generate more profitable tokens, which results in more profit for all of the services. This is the exact phase where we are at, which is the reason why everybody is leaning in.
我认为所有这些里程碑之类的东西,在这个时候有点没有意义了。我认为对行业最重要的是:第一,AI 现在在做有生产力、有用的工作;第二,AI 正在生成盈利的 token;第三,如果我们有更多算力,就能生成更多盈利的 token,从而为所有服务带来更多利润。这正是我们所处的阶段,也是每个人都在加大投入的原因。
P06353:25
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of James Schneider with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
下一个问题来自高盛的 James Schneider。请讲。
P06453:33
Jim SchneiderAnalyst, Goldman Sachs
Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. If you think about the 100% growth you talked about in terms of the plus unconstrained demand growth you are expecting, the 70% you expect to fulfill in terms of supply, can you maybe talk about some of the, or rank order some of the most acute constraints, whether that be things like data center, power and shell availability, DRAM, wafer foundry availability, et cetera? If you could maybe help us understand which are the biggest among those, that would be very helpful. Thank you.
下午好,谢谢回答我的问题。结合你提到的 100% 增长,也就是你们预期的不受约束的需求增长,以及你们预计在供给上能满足的 70%,能否谈谈或者排一下最严重的约束,比如数据中心、电力与机房可得性、DRAM、晶圆代工产能等?如果能帮我们弄清楚其中哪些最大,会非常有帮助。谢谢。
P06554:10
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO
There's something funny I could say, but I'm going to just not. Last year, one of the funnest things to do is just to go figure out where I go for dinner and who I have dinner with, and their stock price doubles the next day. I think the answer is, our entire supply chain is challenged. Everybody is really running flat out. More capacity is coming online all the time, which is one of the advantages of what's going to happen this year. It's not going to come online in an instance in time, but it's going to come online every day. Yields are going to get improved. We're going to be doing yield improvement. We're going to work hard on working with every one of our suppliers.
我本可以说点有趣的,但还是算了。去年,最有趣的事情之一就是去猜我在哪里吃饭、跟谁吃饭,然后他们的股价第二天就翻倍。我想答案是,我们整个供应链都面临压力。每个环节都在全速运转。更多产能一直在不断上线,这是今年会发生的事情的优势之一。产能不会在某个时间点一下子上线,而是每天都在上线。良率会提升,我们会做良率改善,我们会努力与每一家供应商合作。
P06655:04
We have a It's not even next year yet, so we've got lots and lots of time to work hard every day. So at this moment, we have supply for 70%. We have more supply than 70%, but about 70%. Our demand is much higher than that, and we've got to go work hard, or we're going to be disappointing customers. We like not to disappoint our customers, and we like to work hard for them. So I'm going to need the help of the entire supply chain to help me out here. They all know that. What I'm telling you about our needs for next year is exactly consistent with what I've told them. Everybody's on the exact same song sheet, and I'm trying to be as transparent as we can because we're talking about big numbers.
我们有——现在还没到明年,所以我们还有大量时间每天去努力。所以此刻,我们有足以支撑 70% 的供应。我们的供应比 70% 多一些,但大约是 70%。我们的需求远高于此,我们必须努力,否则就会让客户失望。我们不希望让客户失望,我们愿意为他们努力。所以我需要整个供应链来帮我。他们都知道这一点。我告诉你们的明年需求,与我告诉他们的完全一致。每个人都在唱同一首歌,而且我尽量做到透明,因为我们谈的是很大的数字。
P06756:04
Operator
Your final question comes from the line of Aaron Rakers with Wells Fargo. Your line is open.
最后一个问题来自富国银行的 Aaron Rakers。请讲。
P06856:12
Aaron RakersAnalyst, Wells Fargo
Yeah. Thanks for taking the question. I want to go back to the gigawatts, the 25 to 40, and maybe try and understand. I think, Jensen, you said at some recent conferences that's going to further scale. So, as we think about the path even beyond Vera Rubin, we think about Vera Rubin Ultra and so on and so forth. Should we really conceptualize 40 billion goes to 60 billion, 80 billion? I guess underneath of that question is how do we think about your ability to scale the capacity deployments? Is it a linear function, or is there something that unlocks your ability to supply more demand as we look through fiscal 2027?
好的,谢谢回答问题。我想回到每 GW 的话题,从 25 到 40,试着理解一下。Jensen,我记得你在最近几次会议上说过这个数字还会继续提高。那么,当我们考虑 Vera Rubin 之后的路径,比如 Vera Rubin Ultra 等等,是否应该理解为 400 亿会变成 600 亿、800 亿?我想这个问题背后是:我们该如何看待你们扩大产能部署的能力?它是线性的,还是在展望 2027 财年时,有什么因素能解锁你们满足更多需求的能力?
P06956:54
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO
Great question.
很好的问题。
P07056:55
Aaron RakersAnalyst, Wells Fargo
Or 28, sorry.
抱歉,是 28 财年。
P07156:56
Jensen HuangPresident and CEO
Yeah, great question. Great question. It is very simple. Is our goal to put as much compute on a plot of land? Is our goal to put more compute into 1 gigawatt or less? Obviously, we would like the speed of light answer. The perfect answer is actually infinity per gigawatt. If we could literally get $1 trillion of compute into 1 gigawatt and 1 piece of LPS, it would be a fantastic outcome. The answer is directionally in that direction. We started in the world of general purpose computing during Moore's Law. We were probably, pick your favorite number, but I am going to go with something like $5 billion, $3 billion per gigawatt of compute with general purpose computing. Then eventually with Hopper, it was 18. Now Grace Blackwell is 25.
是的,很好的问题。很好的问题。这很简单。我们的目标是在一块地上放尽可能多的算力吗?我们的目标是在 1 GW 里放更多还是更少的算力?显然,我们想要的是极限答案。完美的答案其实是每 GW 无穷大。如果我们真能把 1 万亿美元的算力放进 1 GW、1 处 LPS 里,那将是极好的结果。方向就是朝着那个方向。我们在摩尔定律时代从通用计算起步。当时大概是——你可以挑一个你喜欢的数字,我就说通用计算每 GW 算力大约 50 亿、30 亿美元。后来到了 Hopper 是 18,现在 Grace Blackwell 是 25。
P07257:58
Next, Vera Rubin is 40, and after that it is going to be higher. That is excellent. That is fantastic for the industry. It is fantastic for customers. So long as the productivity of it continues to grow, the durability and the fungibility continues to grow, then people are happy to invest in assets that generates revenues, generates profits, and helps them recoup their returns so incredibly fast. I heard the other day that return on investment capital is now less than 1 year, and we are talking about $50 billion data centers. That tells you something about the productivity of NVIDIA's technology and the rentability of it. I want to thank all of you for joining us today.
接下来 Vera Rubin 是 40,再往后还会更高。这非常好,对行业、对客户都非常好。只要它的生产力持续提高、耐用性和通用性持续提高,人们就乐于投资这些能产生收入、产生利润、并帮助他们极快收回回报的资产。我前几天听说,投资回收期现在不到 1 年,而我们谈的是 500 亿美元的数据中心。这说明了英伟达技术的生产力和可出租性。感谢各位今天参加会议。
P07358:51
Operator
There are no further questions at this time. Toshiya Hari, I turn the call back over to you.
目前没有更多提问了。Toshiya Hari,把时间交还给你。
P07458:57
Toshiya HariVP of Investor Relations and Strategic Finance
Thank you. Before we close, please note that Jensen will be participating in a keynote fireside chat at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia & Technology Conference in San Francisco on September 10. He will also be giving a keynote at GTC Berlin on October 21. Our earnings call to discuss the results of our third quarter of fiscal 2027 is scheduled for November 17. Thank you for joining us today. Operator, please close the call.
谢谢。在结束之前,请注意,Jensen 将于 9 月 10 日在旧金山的高盛 Communacopia & Technology 大会上参加主题炉边谈话,并将于 10 月 21 日在 GTC Berlin 发表主题演讲。讨论 2027 财年第三季度业绩的财报电话会定于 11 月 17 日举行。感谢各位今天的参与。主持人,请结束会议。
P07559:26
Operator
This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
今天的电话会到此结束,您现在可以挂断。