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松墨黄铜

美国银行BAC

NYSE 跟踪中 报表币种 USD · 财年截至 12 月 下次财报 2027-01-15(FY2026Q4)
$49.57USD
2026-11-02 收盘价 · 非实时股价(行情取于 2026-11-03)
市值 3,428.1 亿美元 · 市盈率(TTM)11.9x
46.1252 周65.22
总览/美国银行/财报分析/FY2026Q3/逐字稿

FY2026Q3 电话会逐字稿

2026-10-14 来源:谷歌财经 / Quartr 165 段 · 19 位发言人 57 段被报告引用FY2026Q3 季度页 →电话会深度解析 →
译文 165/165 段 · 引用以英文原文为准

发言人

点击某位发言人,只突出显示其发言;再次点击恢复
姓名职位机构段落
Alastair BorthwickCFOBank of America54
Brian MoynihanChair and CEOBank of America41
Operator19
Lee McEntireSVP of Investor RelationsBank of America1
David ChiaveriniAnalystJefferies5
Ken UsdinAnalystAutonomous Research5
Jim MitchellAnalystSeaport Global Securities4
Mike MayoAnalystWells Fargo Securities4
Erika NajarianAnalystUBS4
Gerard CassidyAnalystRBC Capital Markets4
Chris McGrattyAnalystKBW3
Manan GosaliaAnalystMorgan Stanley3
John McDonaldAnalystTruist Securities3
Matt O'ConnorAnalystDeutsche Bank3
Steven ChubakAnalystWolfe Research3
Vivek JunejaAnalystJPMorgan3
Ben GerlingerAnalystCiti2
Scott SiefersAnalystTD Securities2
Glenn SchorrAnalystEvercore ISI2

● 公司管理层 / 主持人 ● 外部分析师

P00100:00
Operator
Hello, and welcome everyone joining today's Bank of America earnings announcement. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, you will have the opportunity to ask questions during the question-and-answer session. You may register to ask a question at any time by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. Please note this call is being recorded. We are standing by if you should need any assistance. It is now my pleasure to turn the meeting over to Lee McEntire of Bank of America.
大家好,欢迎各位参加今天的美国银行业绩发布会。目前所有参会者处于只听模式。稍后在问答环节,您将有机会提问。您可以随时按电话键盘上的星号键和 1 登记提问。请注意,本次会议正在录音。如需协助,我们随时待命。现在我很高兴把会议交给美国银行的 Lee McEntire。
P00200:30
Lee McEntireSVP of Investor Relations
Thank you, Leo. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us to talk through our third quarter results. I am joined by Brian Moynihan, our Chair and CEO, and Alastair Borthwick, our CFO. As always, the earnings release and presentation are posted on the investor relations section of bankofamerica.com, and we will reference those materials during the call. Before we begin, a quick reminder, during the call, we may make forward-looking statements and refer to non-GAAP financial measures. These reflect management's current views and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Those are outlined along with the relevant GAAP reconciliations in our earnings materials and SEC filings on our website. With that, I will turn it over to you, Brian.
谢谢你,Leo。大家早上好,感谢各位参加我们第三季度业绩的讨论。和我一同出席的有我们的董事长兼首席执行官 Brian Moynihan,以及首席财务官 Alastair Borthwick。和往常一样,业绩新闻稿和演示材料已发布在 bankofamerica.com 的投资者关系栏目,我们会在电话会中引用这些材料。开始之前简单提醒一下,电话会中我们可能会作出前瞻性陈述,并提及非公认会计准则(non-GAAP)财务指标。这些反映的是管理层当前的看法,存在风险和不确定性。相关内容以及对应的公认会计准则调节表,载于我们网站上的业绩材料和向 SEC 提交的文件中。下面交给你,Brian。
P00301:19
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
Morning, and thank you for joining us today. Our third quarter results show the importance of a diversified company. The businesses closest to customers, wealth clients, and commercial clients, the Main Street businesses, show continued strength, higher loans and deposits, strong wealth management flows, higher NII, and better credit drove solid earnings. While the sales and trading revenue, investment banking revenue were lower. We reported net income of $6.9 billion after tax and earnings per share of $0.91. On slide 2, we have adjusted those results to take into account the non-tax deductible regulatory settlement charge of $1.2 billion, which is a $0.17 per share impact. Three points to understand about the settlement. We understand the seriousness of compliance, and we are responsible for getting it right. Second, we have invested billions of dollars in technology and dedicated thousands of employees to combat financial crime.
早上好,感谢各位今天参加。我们第三季度的业绩说明了多元化公司的重要性。离客户最近的业务——财富客户、商业客户这些面向大众的业务——继续表现强劲:贷款和存款增加、财富管理资金流入强劲、净利息收入提高、信用质量改善,带来了稳健的盈利。而销售与交易收入、投资银行收入有所下降。我们公布的税后净利润为 69 亿美元,每股收益 0.91 美元。在第 2 页,我们对这些结果作了调整,剔除了不可税前扣除的 12 亿美元监管和解费用,它对每股收益的影响为 0.17 美元。关于这项和解,有三点需要了解。第一,我们理解合规的严肃性,我们有责任把它做对。第二,我们已经在技术上投入了数十亿美元,并投入了数千名员工打击金融犯罪。
P00402:17
The team is far along with and committed to completing the work required to be addressed by the regulators. Third, we have committed the resources, and the ongoing cost remediation is embedded in our company's expense base. Excluding the regulatory settlement charge, our net income was $8.1 billion, or approximately $1.08 per share, up from last year. Our leadership across our businesses and products and geographies allows us to meet more of each client's needs, deepen relationships, and drive growth across our company. The connectivity between business units is strong and continues to be a competitive advantage. When we think about our results, it starts with the health and activity of our clients, which brings us to slide 3. We believe at Bank of America, our clearest economic signal comes from the daily activity of the 70 million clients and thousands of businesses that bank with us.
团队在完成监管机构要求处理的工作方面已经取得很大进展,并承诺完成这些工作。第三,我们已经投入了所需资源,持续的整改成本已经包含在公司的费用基数中。剔除监管和解费用,我们的净利润为 81 亿美元,即每股约 1.08 美元,高于去年同期。我们在各业务、产品和地区的领先地位,使我们能够满足每位客户更多的需求,深化客户关系,推动全公司增长。各业务单元之间的联动很强,并持续是一项竞争优势。我们看业绩,首先从客户的健康状况和活跃程度看起,这就到了第 3 页。我们认为,在美国银行,最清晰的经济信号来自与我们往来的 7000 万客户和数千家企业的日常活动。
P00503:09
The message has been consistent. Consumers continue to spend, with year-to-date money movement up 5% from 2025, and you can see that on slide 3, and that is similar to what it was for the third quarter and similar to what has shown up so far in early October. Our business clients invested and hired selectively, supported solid growth in jobs and wages across various income levels in our customer base. Wealth clients remain engaged and continue to seek advice, while commercial clients use more of our lending, treasury, and payments capabilities. Payment volumes, digital activity, loan demand, and wealth flows all remained healthy. You can see the digital activity in the slides in the appendix, as we always put in our results. The economic uncertainty that prevails and the geopolitical instability are always present.
传递出的信息一直很一致。消费者继续消费,年初至今资金流动较 2025 年增长 5%,大家可以在第 3 页看到,这与第三季度的情况相近,也与 10 月初到目前为止的情况相近。我们的企业客户有选择地投资和招聘,支撑了我们客户群中各收入层级就业和工资的稳健增长。财富客户保持活跃,继续寻求投资建议,而商业客户更多地使用我们的贷款、资金管理和支付能力。支付量、数字化活动、贷款需求和财富资金流入都保持健康。大家可以在附录的幻灯片中看到数字化活动,我们每次都会把它放在业绩材料里。当前普遍存在的经济不确定性和地缘政治不稳定一直都存在。
P00603:59
What our clients are actually doing is continuing to point to a resilient and growing economy in the U.S. That activity has produced organic growth across our company, coupled with great credit quality, and we show that in slide 4. Slide 4 shows an addition of organic growth for the quarter. In quarter 3, once again, we grew through both client acquisition and doing more with our current client customers. We added another 200,000 in the quarter of net new core consumer checking accounts. We now have 39 million checking account customers. It has been nearly eight straight years of quarterly progress and growth. That is quite a flywheel. We opened more than 1 million new card accounts. Importantly, we grew our card balances nearly 5%, consistent with our medium-term goals disclosed at Investor Day. The focus on investment in that card product is producing results.
我们客户的实际行为持续表明,美国经济具有韧性并在增长。这些活动带来了全公司的内生增长,同时信用质量很好,我们在第 4 页展示了这一点。第 4 页展示了本季度新增的内生增长。第三季度,我们再一次通过获取新客户和与现有客户做更多业务实现了增长。本季度我们又净增了 20 万个核心消费者支票账户。我们现在有 3900 万支票账户客户。这已经是近 8 年连续每个季度都在进步和增长。这是相当强的飞轮效应。我们新开了超过 100 万个信用卡账户。重要的是,我们的信用卡余额增长了近 5%,与我们在投资者日披露的中期目标一致。对这一信用卡产品的重点投入正在产生成效。
P00705:01
Our wealth clients generated approximately $41 billion of flows during the quarter. We continue to add affluent and high-net-worth relationships across global wealth and consumer investments. Across those businesses, clients entrust us with more than $5.7 trillion of their families' balances. Commercial loans grew across every single segment, from small business to business banking to global commercial banking to global corporate investment banking. That is from small businesses to largest companies in the world. Our treasury services, i.e. cash management relationships, also expanded. This bodes well for our loan growth that we will talk about later, but also shows you the strength in the economy as these commercial customers continue to be active. Growth that you see on this page reflects the investments in our people, our technology, our capabilities in digital, and our physical network. These deep relationships support earnings, balance sheet growth, and long-term shareholder value.
本季度我们的财富客户带来了约 410 亿美元的资金流入。我们继续在全球财富管理和消费者投资业务中增加富裕和高净值客户关系。在这些业务中,客户托付给我们的家庭资产超过 5.7 万亿美元。商业贷款在每一个细分市场都实现增长,从小企业到企业银行,到全球商业银行,再到全球公司及投资银行。也就是从小企业到全球最大的公司。我们的资金管理服务,即现金管理关系,也在扩大。这对我们稍后会谈到的贷款增长是好兆头,也显示了经济的强劲,因为这些商业客户继续保持活跃。大家在这一页看到的增长,反映了我们在人员、技术、数字化能力和实体网点上的投入。这些深厚的客户关系支撑着盈利、资产负债表增长和长期股东价值。
P00806:02
With that overview, let me turn it over to Alastair Borthwick for more detail on the quarter.
概览就到这里,下面请 Alastair Borthwick 详细介绍本季度情况。
P00906:07
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Thanks, Brian. I'll start with a few other income statement highlights on slide 5. As Brian said, momentum continued in our core banking businesses. Consumer banking, wealth management, and global banking's commercial businesses drove most of the revenue and earnings growth, while markets and investment banking revenue declined from prior periods. Equities delivered a record third quarter, and reduced client activity and changing market conditions, including a major shift in interest rates, significantly affected our leading FICC micro businesses, including credit mortgages and munis. Those declines more than offset growth elsewhere in trading. Revenue is approximately $30 billion, up around 3% year-over-year, and an 8% increase in NII and 17% growth in asset management fees more than offset lower investment banking and sales and trading revenue. NII reached $16.6 billion on an FTE basis, up 8% year-over-year, and was up $450 million from the second quarter.
谢谢,Brian。我先从第 5 页的其他利润表要点讲起。正如 Brian 所说,我们的核心银行业务继续保持增长势头。消费银行、财富管理以及全球银行的商业业务贡献了大部分收入和盈利增长,而市场业务和投资银行收入较前期下降。股票业务创下第三季度纪录,但客户活动减少和市场环境变化,包括利率的大幅变动,严重影响了我们领先的固定收益微观业务,包括信用、按揭和市政债券。这些下降抵消了交易业务其他部分的增长还有余。收入约 300 亿美元,同比增长约 3%,净利息收入增长 8%、资产管理费增长 17%,足以抵消投资银行和销售与交易收入的下降。按完全应税等值(FTE)口径,净利息收入达到 166 亿美元,同比增长 8%,较第二季度增加 4.5 亿美元。
P01007:15
Net interest yield of 2.16% improved 15 basis points year-over-year and 8 basis points from the prior quarter, moving us closer to the 2.3% medium-term target we outlined at Investor Day. Credit quality improved, capital and liquidity remained strong, and earnings remained solid. Let's turn to the balance sheet on slide 6, where you can see we remained strong and became more efficient as evidenced by the improvement in our net interest yield. Total assets were $3.4 trillion. That was down 2% from Q2. Ending deposits increased $14 billion from Q2 and remained above $2 trillion. Quarter-end loans rose $34 billion to $1.25 trillion, and we funded that growth by reducing securities balances, while lower markets assets and higher deposits allowed us to reduce short-term wholesale funding, thereby continuing to improve the net interest yield.
净利息收益率为 2.16%,同比提高 15 个基点,较上一季度提高 8 个基点,更接近我们在投资者日提出的 2.3% 中期目标。信用质量改善,资本和流动性保持强劲,盈利保持稳健。我们来看第 6 页的资产负债表,可以看到我们依然稳健,并且效率更高,净利息收益率的提高就是证明。总资产为 3.4 万亿美元,较第二季度下降 2%。期末存款较第二季度增加 140 亿美元,仍在 2 万亿美元以上。季末贷款增加 340 亿美元,达到 1.25 万亿美元,我们通过减少证券余额为这部分增长提供资金,同时市场业务资产减少和存款增加使我们得以减少短期批发融资,从而继续提高净利息收益率。
P01108:18
Loans have now grown for 10 consecutive quarters, reflecting continued activity across both commercial and consumer clients. Global liquidity sources remained strong at $914 billion, and capital stayed well above regulatory minimums. CET1 was 10.9%, down roughly 35 basis points from Q2, primarily reflecting higher funded and unfunded loans and a $3 billion reduction in CET1 capital. Capital distributions exceeded net income due to the regulatory settlement charge, and we also had a $1.8 billion portion of AOCI of AFS securities that impacted CET1 from higher rates. Our hedging continued to limit the AOCI effect of higher long-term rates on much of the AFS securities portfolio, and a little less than half of the total Q3 AOCI decline related to cash flow hedges and did not affect CET1. Despite the AOCI impact, tangible common equity ratio, or TCE ratio, was stable with the second quarter.
贷款现已连续 10 个季度增长,反映出商业和消费客户的持续活跃。全球流动性来源依然强劲,为 9140 亿美元,资本远高于监管最低要求。普通股一级资本充足率(CET1)为 10.9%,较第二季度下降约 35 个基点,主要反映已提用和未提用贷款增加,以及普通股一级资本减少 30 亿美元。由于监管和解费用,资本分配超过了净利润;此外,利率上升导致可供出售证券的累计其他综合收益(AOCI)中有 18 亿美元影响了 CET1。我们的套期保值继续限制长期利率上升对大部分可供出售证券组合 AOCI 的影响,第三季度 AOCI 总降幅中略低于一半与现金流量套期有关,不影响 CET1。尽管有 AOCI 的影响,有形普通股权益比率(TCE 比率)与第二季度持平。
P01209:27
We returned $8.3 billion to shareholders this quarter through dividends and share repurchases, and this combination of balance sheet strength and capital generation continues to support clients and shareholders. Let's turn to deposits on slide 7, where you can see they're at $2 trillion now, up $31 billion from the third quarter of 2025, despite our intentional runoff of $11 billion of higher-cost deposits recorded in all other. Global banking deposits grew 6%, and consumer deposits increased modestly with low interest and non-interest-bearing balances up nearly 3%. GWIM deposits remained stable and well-priced. Our deposit mix remained attractive, with non-interest-bearing deposits accounting for more than 75% of year-over-year deposit growth. We also remain disciplined on pricing with the total deposit rate rising just 3 basis points to 1.49%. Our focus on operating deposits and our low loan-to-deposit ratio allow us to compete on capabilities rather than price.
本季度我们通过股息和股票回购向股东返还了 83 亿美元,这种资产负债表实力与资本生成能力的结合,持续为客户和股东提供支持。我们来看第 7 页的存款,可以看到存款现在为 2 万亿美元,较 2025 年第三季度增加 310 亿美元,尽管我们主动让记录在“所有其他”中的 110 亿美元较高成本存款流失。全球银行存款增长 6%,消费者存款小幅增长,其中低息和无息余额增长近 3%。全球财富与投资管理(GWIM)存款保持稳定且定价合理。我们的存款结构依然有吸引力,无息存款占存款同比增量的 75% 以上。我们在定价上也保持纪律,总存款利率仅上升 3 个基点,至 1.49%。我们专注于经营性存款,加上较低的贷存比,使我们能够凭能力而不是价格竞争。
P01310:40
Clients value the safety and convenience we provide, and a significant share of balances remains in relationship-based operating accounts and other low-cost funding. Our deposit franchise remains an important competitive advantage for us and continues to fund healthy client activity. Let's turn to the loan trends Brian mentioned on slide 8. Here we show average loans up approximately 6% year-over-year, led by broad-based gains in commercial. Wealth-related lending also remained strong, and card balance growth continued to improve. Commercial loans increased 8% year-over-year, with growth across every line of business, with small business up 2%, business banking up 9%, global commercial up 6%, global corporate up 10%, and GWIM custom lending was up 22%. Within that performance, global banking international commercial loans grew 15%. Further, we saw broad-based middle-market growth across the commercial banking segments in key sectors including real estate, sports, technology, healthcare, and biopharmaceuticals.
客户看重我们提供的安全和便利,相当大一部分余额仍留在基于客户关系的经营性账户和其他低成本资金中。我们的存款业务依然是一项重要的竞争优势,并持续为健康的客户活动提供资金。我们来看 Brian 提到的第 8 页的贷款趋势。这里显示平均贷款同比增长约 6%,主要由商业贷款的全面增长带动。与财富相关的贷款也保持强劲,信用卡余额增长持续改善。商业贷款同比增长 8%,每条业务线都在增长:小企业增长 2%,企业银行增长 9%,全球商业银行增长 6%,全球公司银行增长 10%,GWIM 定制贷款增长 22%。其中,全球银行的国际商业贷款增长 15%。此外,我们看到各商业银行细分市场的中型企业在关键行业实现了全面增长,包括房地产、体育、科技、医疗保健和生物制药。
P01411:56
In consumer, card balances grew nearly 5%, while higher consumer real estate balances and small business growth were more than offset by lower auto balances. Securities-based lending and wealth management grew 21%. Fortunately, the growth remains consistent with our underwriting standards and credit discipline. It also supported another strong quarter for net interest income, which we show on slide 9. As I noted earlier, both net interest income of $16.6 billion and the net interest yield were up strongly from both Q2 and a year ago. Fixed-rate asset repricing and global markets activity both remain contributors, and commercial loans, card balances, and deposits have increasingly been the ones driving the growth. Looking forward, we expect NII to improve sequentially in Q4 and again through 2027 based on anticipated modest loan and deposit growth and continued fixed-rate asset repricing.
在消费者业务中,信用卡余额增长近 5%,而消费者房地产余额增加和小企业增长被汽车贷款余额下降抵消还有余。证券抵押贷款和财富管理贷款增长 21%。可喜的是,这些增长始终符合我们的承销标准和信贷纪律。它也支撑了净利息收入又一个强劲的季度,我们在第 9 页展示。正如我前面提到的,净利息收入 166 亿美元和净利息收益率都较第二季度和去年同期大幅提高。固定利率资产重新定价和全球市场业务活动仍然是贡献因素,而商业贷款、信用卡余额和存款越来越成为推动增长的力量。展望未来,基于预期的贷款和存款温和增长以及持续的固定利率资产重新定价,我们预计第四季度净利息收入将环比改善,并在 2027 年继续改善。
P01513:03
This outlook also assumes three 25-basis point rate increases through June of 2027, so in December 2026 and March and June of next year. At Investor Day last year, we shared an expectation we would deliver 5%-7% NII growth in the medium term. During the course of 2026, we've raised that guidance first to 7% and then more recently to 8%. We still expect to hit that full-year revised NII growth guidance of approximately 8%. For 2027, we currently expect full-year growth of NII to be 8% or more, higher than 2026, and again, higher than our original 5%-7% range. The banking book remains asset sensitive. On a dynamic deposit basis, a 100-basis point parallel shift above the forward curve would be expected to increase NII by $1.4 billion over the following 12 months, and that's a touch higher than the second quarter.
这一展望还假设到 2027 年 6 月加息三次、每次 25 个基点,即 2026 年 12 月以及明年 3 月和 6 月。去年投资者日,我们提出预计中期净利息收入增长 5%–7%。2026 年期间,我们先把指引上调到 7%,最近又上调到 8%。我们仍预计能实现上调后约 8% 的全年净利息收入增长指引。对于 2027 年,我们目前预计全年净利息收入增长 8% 或更多,高于 2026 年,也再次高于我们最初 5%–7% 的区间。银行账簿仍然是资产敏感型。按动态存款口径,比远期利率曲线平行上移 100 个基点,预计将使随后 12 个月的净利息收入增加 14 亿美元,略高于第二季度。
P01614:11
When we turn to slide 10, we see expense. We reported expense of $19.7 billion, and that included the $1.2 billion regulatory settlement charge. Excluding that charge, adjusted expense was a little more than $18.5 billion, down nearly $100 million from Q2 and up slightly less than 7% from a year ago. The year-over-year increase reflected higher revenue-related costs in asset management and equities, including incentive compensation in wealth management and brokerage clearing and exchange costs in equities, respectively. We also invested in technology modernization, AI, client acquisition, marketing, and franchise growth. At the same time, productivity continues to improve, as evidenced by our headcount. Even as we add headcount in our sales forces, our headcount was down nearly 3,500 from a year ago as we automate processes and simplify work across the company. This means we don't need to hire quite as many people to refill roles.
翻到第 10 页,我们来看费用。我们公布的费用为 197 亿美元,其中包括 12 亿美元的监管和解费用。剔除这项费用,调整后费用略高于 185 亿美元,较第二季度减少近 1 亿美元,同比增长略低于 7%。同比增长反映了资产管理和股票业务中与收入相关的成本增加,分别包括财富管理的激励薪酬以及股票业务的经纪、清算和交易所费用。我们还投资于技术现代化、人工智能、客户获取、营销和业务增长。与此同时,生产率持续提高,员工人数就是证明。即使我们在销售队伍中增加人员,员工总数仍比一年前减少了近 3500 人,因为我们在全公司实现流程自动化、简化工作。这意味着我们不需要招那么多人来填补岗位。
P01715:17
We remain focused on investing where we see the best long-term returns while we continue to improve the productivity of the organization. We expect to return to operating leverage in Q4. From expense, let's move to credit quality on slides 11 and 12. Here you can see the credit quality remains stable and in fact improved modestly once again this quarter. Provision expense was approximately $1.3 billion, lower than Q2, and the net charge-off ratio improved to 44 basis points. Consumer credit improved in line with expectations. The 3.22% card loss rate improved from Q2 and along with delinquencies declined for the sixth consecutive quarter on a year-over-year basis. Commercial criticized assets declined to their lowest level on a rate basis since 4Q 2019, and non-performing loans also fell from Q2. Together, these trends continue to point to a healthy consumer and commercial client base and credit quality.
我们继续专注于在长期回报最好的地方投资,同时持续提高组织的生产率。我们预计第四季度将重新实现正的经营杠杆。说完费用,我们来看第 11 页和第 12 页的信用质量。可以看到信用质量保持稳定,实际上本季度再次小幅改善。拨备费用约为 13 亿美元,低于第二季度,净核销率改善至 44 个基点。消费信贷符合预期地改善。信用卡损失率 3.22%,较第二季度改善,同比来看,损失率和逾期率已连续第六个季度下降。商业关注类资产按比率计降至 2019 年第四季度以来的最低水平,不良贷款也较第二季度下降。这些趋势共同表明消费者和商业客户群体健康、信用质量良好。
P01816:24
With that credit backdrop, let's now turn to each business, beginning with consumer banking on slide 13. Consumer delivered another solid quarter, combining the organic client growth and disciplined execution with continued investment in the franchise. Revenue rose about 4% to $11.6 billion, and net income increased about 2% to $3.5 billion. Year-to-date results remain robust, with revenue up 5% and net income up 10%. Year-over-year expense comparisons are tougher because we increased marketing beginning in the fourth quarter of 2025, ahead of new sponsorships and the relaunch of BofA Rewards, with spending steady for the past four quarters. We opened 14 financial centers this quarter and plan to open about another 20 or more by year-end. Since its May relaunch, BofA Rewards has enrolled nearly six million clients, deepening engagement across banking, cards, and investments.
在这样的信用背景下,我们来看各项业务,从第 13 页的消费银行开始。消费业务又交出一个稳健的季度,把客户的内生增长和有纪律的执行与对业务的持续投入结合了起来。收入增长约 4%,至 116 亿美元,净利润增长约 2%,至 35 亿美元。年初至今的业绩依然强劲,收入增长 5%,净利润增长 10%。由于我们从 2025 年第四季度开始增加营销投入,为新的赞助合作和 BofA Rewards 的重新推出做准备,同比费用比较的基数更高,过去四个季度的支出一直保持稳定。本季度我们开设了 14 家金融中心,计划到年底再开设约 20 家或更多。自 5 月重新推出以来,BofA Rewards 已吸引近 600 万客户加入,加深了客户在银行、信用卡和投资方面的参与度。
P01917:28
As a result of these investments, we've seen continued account openings and non-interest-bearing deposit growth, higher new card originations and card balance growth, and higher digital engagement and client satisfaction. The business produced a 50% efficiency ratio and a 31% return on allocated capital. In consumer, it's our deposit franchise that remains a key strength, with average deposits of about $949 billion, marking a sixth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. Non-interest-bearing deposits grew more than 4%, while 59% of balances remained in checking accounts, and 92% of those relationships were primary accounts. Consumer investment assets reached $664 billion, up 14%, supported by market gains and about $18 billion of net flows over the past year. Digital adoption reached new highs with over 50 million active users. 80% of consumer households are digitally active, and digital channels generated 71% of sales.
得益于这些投入,我们看到开户持续增加、无息存款增长、新发信用卡增加和信用卡余额增长,以及数字化参与度和客户满意度提高。该业务的效率比率为 50%,分配资本回报率为 31%。在消费业务中,存款业务仍是关键优势,平均存款约 9490 亿美元,连续第六个季度同比增长。无息存款增长超过 4%,59% 的余额仍在支票账户中,其中 92% 是主账户关系。消费者投资资产达到 6640 亿美元,增长 14%,得益于市场上涨以及过去一年约 180 亿美元的净流入。数字化使用率创新高,活跃用户超过 5000 万。80% 的消费者家庭在数字渠道活跃,数字渠道贡献了 71% 的销售。
P02018:39
Erica, Zelle, and AI-enabled tools are helping clients and helping employees to complete more activity faster and more consistently. That mix of relationship growth, digital engagement, and disciplined execution continues to strengthen consumer banking. Turning to wealth management now on slide 14. This business continued to improve profitability through strong client flows, positive operating leverage, and higher margins. Revenue rose about 13% to $7.1 billion, and net income increased 22% to more than $1.5 billion. Pre-tax margin approached 29%, return on allocated capital reached about 28%, and operating leverage was strongly positive as client activity and market levels lifted asset management fees and NII. Client balances climbed above $5 trillion for the first time, up 9%, while AUM rose 12% to about $2.4 trillion. Quarterly net client flows were about $38 billion, including approximately $20 billion of AUM flows, bringing four-quarter AUM flows to about $74 billion. Growth was broad-based.
Erica、Zelle 和人工智能工具正在帮助客户和员工更快、更稳定地完成更多操作。客户关系增长、数字化参与和有纪律的执行三者结合,持续加强消费银行业务。现在来看第 14 页的财富管理。这项业务通过强劲的客户资金流入、正的经营杠杆和更高的利润率,持续提高盈利能力。收入增长约 13%,至 71 亿美元,净利润增长 22%,超过 15 亿美元。税前利润率接近 29%,分配资本回报率达到约 28%,由于客户活动和市场水平推高了资产管理费和净利息收入,经营杠杆明显为正。客户资产首次突破 5 万亿美元,增长 9%,管理资产(AUM)增长 12%,至约 2.4 万亿美元。本季度客户净流入约 380 亿美元,其中约 200 亿美元为 AUM 流入,使四个季度的 AUM 流入达到约 740 亿美元。增长是全面的。
P02119:58
Merrill added about 4,200 net new households with at least $500,000 in assets, up 17%, and the private bank added 417 net new relationships with at least $3 million under management. These results reflect strong demand for advice and our ability to attract clients and experienced advisors to the platform. Banking relationships also deepened, as now 67% of Merrill clients have banking relationships with us. Ending loans rose about 12% to more than $280 billion, led by securities-based lending, custom lending, and mortgages. Private bank lending has now grown for 12 consecutive quarters as clients use more of our investment and banking capabilities. Advisor productivity, disciplined pricing, digital engagement, and AI tools continue to expand our capacity to deliver personalized advice at scale. That sustained organic growth leads us to global banking on slide 15.
Merrill 净增约 4200 户资产至少 50 万美元的家庭,增长 17%;私人银行净增 417 个管理资产至少 300 万美元的客户关系。这些结果反映出对投资建议的强劲需求,以及我们吸引客户和资深顾问加入平台的能力。银行关系也在加深,现在 67% 的 Merrill 客户与我们有银行业务往来。期末贷款增长约 12%,超过 2800 亿美元,主要由证券抵押贷款、定制贷款和住房按揭带动。私人银行贷款已连续 12 个季度增长,因为客户更多地使用我们的投资和银行能力。顾问生产率、有纪律的定价、数字化参与和人工智能工具,持续扩大我们大规模提供个性化建议的能力。这种持续的内生增长把我们带到第 15 页的全球银行。
P02221:04
Global banking segment benefited from strong loan and deposit growth and treasury activity, which helped offset softer investment banking results. Year to date, the commercial bank added more than 300 new companies and logos, and in September, we launched a GenAI tool designed to make prospecting and onboarding even more efficient. Revenue of $6.2 billion was relatively flat year-over-year, and net income was just under $2 billion, down modestly year-over-year. However, strong pipelines and the broader year-to-date performance put this quarter's investment banking results in context. Year to date, global banking revenue is up 5%, net income is up 7%, and the total company investment banking fees are up 16%. Return on allocated capital was 15%, and balance sheet growth reflected the continued client momentum. Average deposits rose 6% year-over-year to $669 billion.
全球银行分部受益于强劲的贷款和存款增长以及资金管理业务活动,这有助于抵消投资银行业绩的疲软。年初至今,商业银行新增了 300 多家企业客户,9 月我们推出了一款生成式人工智能工具,旨在让客户开发和开户更加高效。收入 62 亿美元,同比基本持平,净利润略低于 20 亿美元,同比小幅下降。不过,强劲的项目储备和年初至今的整体表现,可以作为看待本季度投资银行业绩的背景。年初至今,全球银行收入增长 5%,净利润增长 7%,全公司投资银行费用增长 16%。分配资本回报率为 15%,资产负债表增长反映了持续的客户势头。平均存款同比增长 6%,至 6690 亿美元。
P02322:08
Average loans increased 8% to $419 billion, and ending loans came in at $428 billion. Growth was broad-based across commercial and corporate clients. Treasury services revenue increased 10% as we helped clients manage liquidity, payments, and working capital while creating more opportunities across lending, investment banking, and global markets. Total company investment banking fees, excluding self-led transactions, were about $1.8 billion. Fees declined from a strong year-ago period, driven by lower advisory and debt underwriting fees. Looking forward, our pipelines remained healthy. We continue to invest in bankers, technology, and AI tools in an effort to improve research, preparation, and opportunity identification. That broad client connectivity also supports global markets, which we cover on slide 16. Here you can see solid results despite a tough comparison in our FICC credit businesses with slower trading activity this year.
平均贷款增长 8%,至 4190 亿美元,期末贷款为 4280 亿美元。增长遍及商业和公司客户。资金管理服务收入增长 10%,因为我们帮助客户管理流动性、支付和营运资本,同时在贷款、投资银行和全球市场方面创造更多机会。剔除自主牵头的交易,全公司投资银行费用约为 18 亿美元。费用较强劲的去年同期下降,主要由于咨询费和债券承销费减少。展望未来,我们的项目储备依然健康。我们继续投资于银行家、技术和人工智能工具,以改进研究、准备工作和机会识别。这种广泛的客户联系也支撑着全球市场业务,我们在第 16 页介绍。这里可以看到,尽管固定收益信用业务面临较高的比较基数、今年交易活动放缓,业绩依然稳健。
P02423:20
Excluding DVA, revenue was $5.8 billion, and net income was $1.2 billion, both down from Q3 2025. Even so, the year-to-date performance remains a record for the firm, with revenue up 11% and net income up 14%. Sales and trading revenue, excluding DVA, was $5.1 billion, down 5% year-over-year. It was a record third quarter for equities, and it was a record third quarter for international revenue. Equities revenue rose 10% to $2.5 billion, led by prime financing and strong client activity. The results reflect our investments in talent, technology, and financing capabilities over time. FICC revenue was $2.5 billion, down 17%. FX and commodities benefited from increased client activity, lifting our macro businesses 4%. That strength was more than offset by lower activity in mortgages, municipals, and credit following a strong year-ago period.
剔除债务估值调整(DVA),收入为 58 亿美元,净利润为 12 亿美元,均低于 2025 年第三季度。即便如此,年初至今的业绩仍创公司纪录,收入增长 11%,净利润增长 14%。剔除 DVA 的销售与交易收入为 51 亿美元,同比下降 5%。这是股票业务创纪录的第三季度,也是国际收入创纪录的第三季度。股票业务收入增长 10%,至 25 亿美元,主要由主经纪融资和强劲的客户活动带动。这些结果反映了我们长期以来在人才、技术和融资能力上的投入。固定收益、货币及大宗商品(FICC)收入为 25 亿美元,下降 17%。外汇和大宗商品受益于客户活动增加,使我们的宏观业务增长 4%。但这一增长被按揭、市政债券和信用业务活动在强劲的去年同期之后的下降抵消还有余。
P02524:29
The expense increase may seem counterintuitive given the revenue decline, but it reflects higher transaction costs tied to the equities growth, particularly in prime financing and in Asia, reflecting our continued long-term investment and expansion. Average loans rose 5%, demonstrating stronger financing relationships and connectivity across markets, global banking, and wealth management. With the business segments results covered, let's finish with all other and some closing thoughts on slide 17. All other reported a loss of $1.4 billion, and that obviously includes the $1.2 billion regulatory settlement charge, which is not tax-deductible. Excluding the regulatory settlement charge, all other shows a loss of $153 million compared with a loss of $103 million a year ago. The overall effective tax rate was 23%, and excluding the regulatory settlement charge, the adjusted effective tax rate was closer to 20%. Let me close then with some key takeaways from the quarter.
在收入下降的情况下费用增加看起来可能有违直觉,但这反映了与股票业务增长相关的交易成本上升,尤其是在主经纪融资和亚洲,体现了我们持续的长期投资与扩张。平均贷款增长 5%,显示出市场业务、全球银行和财富管理之间更强的融资关系与联动。各业务分部的业绩讲完了,最后我们用第 17 页的“所有其他”和一些总结性观点收尾。“所有其他”录得 14 亿美元亏损,这显然包括了不可税前扣除的 12 亿美元监管和解费用。剔除监管和解费用,“所有其他”亏损 1.53 亿美元,去年同期亏损 1.03 亿美元。整体有效税率为 23%,剔除监管和解费用,调整后的有效税率接近 20%。最后我用本季度的几点关键结论收尾。
P02625:39
Customers continued to spend, supporting a resilient U.S. economy, while wealth clients brought in assets to us and relied on us for advice. Business clients kept spending, borrowing, investing, and growing, and institutional clients remain active globally, even though at a slower pace. Those trends were evident across the company and drove another solid quarter. Our pipelines and our client conversations reflect the same confidence we have in the economy, even as clients keep a close eye on geopolitical uncertainty. Our balance sheet and capital remain strong, and we continue to invest in technology and develop AI capabilities to support long-term growth. This quarter demonstrates the strength of our franchise and the value of our diversified business model. With that, I'll say thank you, and we'll stop now to take your questions.
客户继续消费,支撑了有韧性的美国经济,同时财富客户把资产交给我们并依赖我们的建议。企业客户继续支出、借款、投资和增长,机构客户在全球范围内依然活跃,尽管节奏放慢。这些趋势在全公司都很明显,带来了又一个稳健的季度。我们的项目储备和与客户的交流,反映出我们对经济同样的信心,尽管客户仍在密切关注地缘政治的不确定性。我们的资产负债表和资本依然强劲,我们继续投资于技术并发展人工智能能力,以支持长期增长。本季度展示了我们业务的实力和多元化商业模式的价值。就到这里,谢谢大家,下面我们回答问题。
问答环节
P02726:36
Operator
Thank you. If you'd like to ask a question, press star one on your keypad. To leave the queue at any time, please press star two. Once again, that is star one to ask a question, and we'll pause for just a moment to allow everyone a chance to join the queue. Thank you. Our first question comes from Chris McGratty with KBW. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
谢谢。如需提问,请按键盘上的星号键和 1。如需随时退出排队,请按星号键和 2。再说一次,按星号键和 1 提问,我们稍等片刻,让大家有机会加入排队。谢谢。第一个问题来自 KBW 的 Chris McGratty。请讲,您的线路已接通。
P02827:03
Chris McGrattyAnalyst, KBW
Oh, great. Good morning. Brian or Alastair, on the capital outlook, you talked about modest balance sheet growth. I'm wondering if you could dig into your assumptions between growth of the balance sheet and returning of capital balancing the CET1 and the TCE ratio. Thanks.
好的,早上好。Brian 或 Alastair,关于资本展望,你们谈到资产负债表温和增长。我想请你们具体讲讲,在资产负债表增长和资本返还之间、在平衡 CET1 和 TCE 比率方面,你们的假设是什么。谢谢。
P02927:22
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Sure. Well, first, I'd say if you look at the course of the year, we've obviously supported all the client growth that we've seen with the capital that we generate. If we look at where we stand today, we've obviously got a considerable amount of flexibility on capital, just recognizing that we're at 10.9% CET1 and a reg minimum at 10%. We also generate substantial capital. If you look at this quarter, for example, Chris, we supported $34 billion in loan growth. We obviously had a regulatory penalty. We saw rates go up 85 basis points. We paid an increased dividend, and we bought back $6 billion in shares. So we've got a lot of flexibility with the earnings that we generate to balance exactly what we've been doing through the course of this year and over the course of time.
好的。首先我想说,看全年情况,我们显然是用自己产生的资本支持了看到的全部客户增长。看我们目前的位置,我们在资本上显然有相当大的灵活性,因为我们的 CET1 为 10.9%,而监管最低要求是 10%。我们产生资本的能力也很强。比如看本季度,Chris,我们支持了 340 亿美元的贷款增长。我们显然有一笔监管罚款。我们看到利率上升了 85 个基点。我们支付了提高后的股息,还回购了 60 亿美元股票。所以,凭借我们产生的盈利,我们有很大的灵活性来平衡我们今年以来以及长期以来一直在做的事情。
P03028:10
Always our priority is going to be support the clients and the growth. We know we have to support the regulatory minimum and the dividend, and then whatever is left, we're going to return to shareholders. So no change.
我们的优先顺序始终是支持客户和增长。我们知道必须满足监管最低要求和支付股息,然后剩下的部分,我们会返还给股东。所以没有变化。
P03128:24
Chris McGrattyAnalyst, KBW
Okay, great. On the operating leverage comment, Q4, heard you there, but could we revisit 2027? You gave us a pretty good NII update. I think the guided Investor Day was 200 to 300. Any changes of how you're feeling about that going into next year?
好的,很好。关于经营杠杆,第四季度的说法我听到了,但能否再谈谈 2027 年?你们给了相当不错的净利息收入更新。我记得投资者日的指引是 200 到 300 个基点。进入明年,你们的看法有什么变化吗?
P03228:41
Alastair BorthwickCFO
No. No change there. We've obviously had a very good first half. Q3 was slower, and we're back on creating operating leverage in Q4. I think as we get into Q4, Chris, I will likely provide guidance for next year, but it's not going to change from the 200 to 300. Based on what we see, it could be higher. But we'll see as we get closer.
没有。没有变化。我们上半年显然非常好。第三季度慢一些,第四季度我们会重新实现正的经营杠杆。我想进入第四季度时,Chris,我可能会给出明年的指引,但不会偏离 200 到 300 个基点。根据我们看到的情况,可能会更高。但我们走近了再看。
P03329:06
Chris McGrattyAnalyst, KBW
Thank you.
谢谢。
P03429:10
Operator
Thank you. We'll move on now to David Chiaverini with Jefferies. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请 Jefferies 的 David Chiaverini 提问。您的线路已接通。
P03529:17
David ChiaveriniAnalyst, Jefferies
Hi. Thanks for taking the questions. Wanted to touch on the NII guide of 8%+ looking out to next year. I was curious on the drivers behind the improvement. Is it all rate driven or anything else driving that improvement?
你好。谢谢回答问题。想谈谈明年 8% 以上的净利息收入指引。我想知道改善背后的驱动因素。全部是利率驱动的,还是有其他因素推动改善?
P03629:32
Alastair BorthwickCFO
No, it's not all rates. Rates are obviously a small component of that. But same drivers as this year, David. We've seen a little more normal deposit growth this year, and particularly where we've seen it is in non-interest bearing. So if you look at the non-interest bearing in consumer or you look at the non-interest bearing in global banking, that's returned to something a little more normal. We'd always thought deposit growth should be in kind of the 4%-5% in a normal type economy. And that's kind of where the non-interest bearing is now over the course of the last year-over-year. So that's number one. Number two, the pricing rotation is slowing. So we've seen, for example, consumers flattened out. It's now grown six quarters in a row. Wealth management, same thing.
不,不全是利率。利率显然只是其中一小部分。驱动因素和今年一样,David。今年我们看到存款增长更正常一些,尤其体现在无息存款上。所以,如果看消费业务的无息存款,或者全球银行的无息存款,都已经恢复到更正常的状态。我们一直认为,在正常的经济环境下,存款增长应该在 4%–5% 左右。过去一年同比来看,无息存款现在差不多就在这个水平。这是第一点。第二点,定价迁移在放缓。比如我们看到消费业务已经企稳,现在已连续六个季度增长。财富管理也是一样。
P03730:20
The loan growth has kind of averaged $20 billion a quarter over the course of time. We don't see that slowing at this point in time. Then we've talked about we benefit from fixed rate asset repricing, most notably in the auto loan and the residential mortgage portfolios, but also in our mortgage-backed securities and our cash flow swaps. If anything, in the last quarter just increased both floating rate yields and fixed rate yields. So do rates help us as we look into 2027? Yes. But it's the core underlying growth in deposits and loans that help us. Then I think that we have to recognize in 2027, if rates go up, we would expect global markets, it's liability sensitive. It's entirely possible that global markets will go down.
贷款增长长期以来平均每季度约 200 亿美元。目前我们没有看到放缓。然后我们谈过,我们受益于固定利率资产重新定价,最主要是在汽车贷款和住房按揭组合中,但也包括我们的抵押贷款支持证券和现金流利率互换。如果说有什么的话,上个季度浮动利率收益率和固定利率收益率都提高了。所以展望 2027 年,利率会帮助我们吗?会。但帮助我们的是存款和贷款的核心基础增长。另外我认为我们必须认识到,2027 年如果利率上升,我们预计全球市场业务——它是负债敏感型——全球市场业务完全有可能下降。
P03831:14
But remember, we continue to add loans in global markets, and we continue to invest in global markets. So that will offset that just a little bit. The gains in banking are going to more than offset that. That's the core part. The core banking book is going to be stronger in 2027 than 2026.
但请记住,我们继续在全球市场业务中增加贷款,也继续投资于全球市场业务。所以这会稍微抵消一点。银行业务的增长将足以抵消还有余。这是核心部分。2027 年的核心银行账簿将比 2026 年更强。
P03931:31
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
Yeah. To be precise, the 8% includes effectively a drag on markets because it hasn't been growing for the last couple of quarters. It's been relatively flat. So it's an all-in number overcoming that, just to be clear.
是的。准确地说,这 8% 实际上已经包含了市场业务的拖累,因为它过去几个季度没有增长,基本持平。所以这是一个克服了该拖累后的全口径数字,澄清一下。
P04031:45
David ChiaveriniAnalyst, Jefferies
Great. Thanks for that. On the consent order, are there any constraints or does this impede business operations in any way as we look forward?
很好。谢谢。关于同意令,展望未来,是否有任何限制,或者是否在任何方面妨碍业务运营?
P04132:00
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Just repeat me your question one more time. I am sorry. I was writing a note to myself. Go ahead.
请再重复一遍你的问题。抱歉,我刚才在给自己记笔记。请讲。
P04232:03
David ChiaveriniAnalyst, Jefferies
Sure. Just on the consent order.
好的。就是关于同意令。
P04332:05
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Yes.
是的。
P04432:06
David ChiaveriniAnalyst, Jefferies
Are there any constraints on the business? Does it impede your normal business operations at all?
对业务有任何限制吗?它会妨碍你们的正常业务运营吗?
P04532:12
Alastair BorthwickCFO
No, there is no asset cap here, so no, there is nothing there. In terms of it will not crowd out anything either because we have invested the technology and we have invested the people that we feel like we need to get the work done. So that is in the run rate. We have made the decisions we need to. We have added the resources we feel like we need. So it should not impact our clients in any way.
没有,这里没有资产上限,所以不会,没有任何限制。至于它也不会挤占任何其他投入,因为我们已经投入了我们认为完成这项工作所需的技术和人员。所以这已经在运行成本中了。我们已经作出了需要的决定。我们已经增加了我们认为需要的资源。所以它不应该以任何方式影响我们的客户。
P04632:35
David ChiaveriniAnalyst, Jefferies
Great. Thanks very much.
很好。非常感谢。
P04732:39
Operator
Thank you. We'll move next to Manan Gosalia with Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open.
谢谢。下面请摩根士丹利的 Manan Gosalia 提问。您的线路已接通。
P04832:48
Manan GosaliaAnalyst, Morgan Stanley
Hi. Good morning. On the consumer side, you noted that consumers continue to spend, and consumers are healthy. Maybe you can give us some more color on what you're seeing there with short-end rates moving higher for longer gas prices. Are you seeing any signs of pressure? Are there any changes that you're making at the margin in terms of where you're leaning in or leaning out?
你好。早上好。在消费者方面,你们提到消费者继续消费,消费者很健康。也许你们可以再多讲讲,在短端利率走高、油价更长时间维持高位的情况下,你们看到了什么。有没有看到任何承压的迹象?你们在边际上是否在调整哪些领域加大或减少投入?
P04933:16
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
Let's separate two things. One, on the credit quality, our underwriting standards are consistent to 5% growth. Credit cards is with the same underwriting standards, and you can see the stats, very strong. The charge-offs there, 3% and change. We feel very good about that. Any other consumer loan quality metrics continue to be strong and improve. In terms of seeing any stress in the consumer, absolutely not in terms of credit quality. Then if you go to the balance in our accounts as they're growing, and we look at the paychecks, the direct deposits coming from employers to our consumers, we see those growing across the three segments of income. We have low, medium, and high, and we see the low having picked up. That all bodes well.
我们把两件事分开说。第一,在信用质量上,我们的承销标准与 5% 的增长相一致。信用卡沿用同样的承销标准,大家可以看到数据,非常强。那里的核销率在 3% 多一点。我们对此感觉很好。其他任何消费贷款质量指标都继续保持强劲并在改善。至于是否看到消费者有压力,就信用质量而言,完全没有。再看我们账户中不断增长的余额,看工资——雇主直接发到我们消费者账户的工资——我们看到三个收入层级的工资都在增长。我们分低、中、高三个层级,我们看到低收入层级有所回升。这些都是好兆头。
P05034:05
When you go to actually what their activity is, as we said on the slide, is 5% more spending this year than last year. Yes, gas spending is up 20-odd percent. When you look at the credit and debit card spending only, that does crowd out. As you look at some of the online data, you can see the gas spending and the inside store spending is still growing in the convenience stores, but not quite at the rate that it was. So it crowds out a little bit. But frankly, it's really different stories for different types of people. In the overall positioning, the rest of the spending is very strong at the 5% and on entertainment and other categories that you see there.
再看他们实际的活动,正如幻灯片上所说,今年比去年多消费 5%。是的,加油支出增长了 20% 多。如果只看信用卡和借记卡消费,这确实会产生挤出效应。从一些线上数据可以看到,便利店的加油支出和店内消费仍在增长,但没有以前那么快了。所以确实有一点挤出。但坦白说,不同的人群情况真的不一样。整体来看,其余的消费非常强劲,在 5% 的水平,娱乐和其他类别也是如此,大家可以在那里看到。
P05134:50
Manan GosaliaAnalyst, Morgan Stanley
Got it. Then if you could give us some more color on the positive operating leverage for next year. What are the key drivers? Clearly you're dropping more of the NII growth to the bottom line, so that's certainly a positive. But if you could talk about some of the levers that you have on the expense side and if you could clarify that the 200 to 300 basis points is on the adjusted expense number for 2026 excluding the settlement charge.
明白了。那么能否再多讲讲明年正经营杠杆的情况。关键驱动因素是什么?显然你们把更多的净利息收入增长转化为利润,这当然是正面的。但能否谈谈你们在费用端有哪些抓手,并澄清一下,200 到 300 个基点是否基于剔除和解费用后的 2026 年调整后费用。
P05235:25
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Well, I think that's the best way to look at it because we wouldn't view that as being a repeated. We view that as a one time. It's not a core operating expense, so I think you've got to adjust for that. But yes, we still feel like 200 to 300 basis points is generally speaking the right kind of a zone. We put that out for Investor Day through the medium term. We'll get into what we want to guide for 2027 when we get into the fourth quarter. But you've identified the first thing, which is NII growth. A lot of it drops straight to the bottom line, and that's really important. That's a very powerful driver for our company. Then obviously we've got some terrific opportunities to continue to grow the fee businesses as we have consistently invested there.
嗯,我认为这是最好的看法,因为我们不会把它视为会重复发生的。我们把它视为一次性的。它不是核心经营费用,所以我认为必须把它调整掉。但是的,我们仍然认为 200 到 300 个基点总体上是合适的区间。这是我们在投资者日针对中期提出的。2027 年要给出什么指引,我们会在进入第四季度时再谈。但你已经指出了第一点,就是净利息收入增长。其中很大一部分直接转化为利润,这非常重要。这对我们公司是非常强大的驱动力。另外,显然我们还有很好的机会继续发展手续费业务,因为我们一直在这方面持续投入。
P05336:11
So we've got a good opportunity across the board, we feel like, whether it's wealth, global banking, and global markets to keep driving the fee side. So that we feel good about. Then on the expense, we've got a pretty good track record of headcount management all the way through this year. So if you look at what we've done in terms of what's the main driver of expense for any business, 60%-70% of it is headcount. We've done a nice job of managing headcount with discipline all year. We're going to maintain that management discipline into next year that allows us to create the operating leverage that we're talking about. Final thing I'll just say is we obviously benefit a great deal from the fact that we've got a consumer business, a wealth business, small business, medium-sized business, large businesses, and investors.
所以我们感觉在各方面都有很好的机会,无论是财富管理、全球银行还是全球市场,都能继续推动手续费收入。这一点我们感觉很好。然后在费用方面,我们今年在员工人数管理上有相当好的记录。看看我们做了什么,任何业务费用的主要驱动因素是什么,其中 60%–70% 是人员。我们全年都很好地、有纪律地管理了员工人数。我们会把这种管理纪律保持到明年,这让我们能够创造我们所说的经营杠杆。最后我只想说,我们显然很受益于我们拥有消费者业务、财富管理业务、小企业、中型企业、大型企业以及投资者客户。
P05437:03
And the interconnectedness of those, the flows of business that go between them, is another thing we've highlighted at Investor Day presentation and afterwards, and another area of additional growth for us that we continue to explore.
它们之间的相互联系,以及在它们之间流动的业务,是我们在投资者日演示中及之后强调过的另一点,也是我们继续探索的另一个额外增长领域。
P05537:20
Manan GosaliaAnalyst, Morgan Stanley
Great. Thank you.
很好。谢谢。
P05637:24
Operator
Thank you. We'll move on now to Ben Gerlinger with Citi. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
谢谢。下面请花旗的 Ben Gerlinger 提问。您的线路已接通。请讲。
P05737:32
Ben GerlingerAnalyst, Citi
Hi. Good morning. I just wanted to double-check. So you have the full year NII, and then next year's is also strong. Then you also say that non-interest-bearing deposit growth has been healthy. So are you kind of assuming that non-interest-bearing deposit growth continues to be healthy despite the three additional hikes your forward expectations include? If so, can you also unpack some of the deposit betas you might be assuming in next year's NII?
你好。早上好。我只想再确认一下。你们有全年的净利息收入,明年的也很强。你们还说无息存款增长一直很健康。那么,尽管你们的远期预期包含另外三次加息,你们是否假设无息存款会继续健康增长?如果是,能否也具体讲讲你们在明年净利息收入中假设的存款贝塔?
P05838:02
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Yep. First, with respect to non-interest-bearing. Yep, we're assuming low single digits for deposit growth broadly, and we're anticipating that we can continue to grow non-interest-bearing deposits as we have done over the course of the past year. Remember, whether rates go up by 25 basis points or not, at some point, non-interest-bearing deposits are impacted more by inflation and GDP. So we ought to see continued growth in non-interest-bearing deposits through the course of time. A lot of the rotation of rates took place when rates went from 25 basis points to 4.5. We've been in that environment now for three or four years. There's been a lot of time for consumers and wealthy clients to sort of settle into that environment. Yes, we anticipate continued growth in our deposits. In terms of deposit betas, obviously we came from 4.5% down to 375, 350.
好的。首先关于无息存款。是的,我们假设存款整体增长为低个位数,并且预计我们能像过去一年那样继续增加无息存款。请记住,无论利率是否上升 25 个基点,在某个时点,无息存款受通胀和 GDP 的影响更大。所以随着时间推移,我们应该会看到无息存款持续增长。大部分利率迁移发生在利率从 25 个基点升到 4.5% 的时候。我们在这种环境下已经三四年了。消费者和富裕客户已经有很多时间适应这种环境。是的,我们预计存款会持续增长。至于存款贝塔,显然我们是从 4.5% 降到 375、350(即 3.75%、3.5%)。
P05939:02
Now we're retracing steps. I would anticipate it'll look the same going back up as it did coming down. The areas to watch continue to be obviously in consumer. It's about CD pricing. In wealth, we tend to pass along pricing with interest rate hikes and cuts. The same thing is true in global banking. When the Fed raises rates, we're typically passing that through to our clients. So there'll be no change in our perspective on the way back up as there was originally, nor in the way that we think about it on the way down. So no change there.
现在我们在原路返回。我预计上升时的表现会和下降时一样。需要关注的领域仍然是消费业务,在于定期存单(CD)定价。在财富管理业务中,我们通常会随加息和降息传导定价。全球银行也是如此。美联储加息时,我们通常会把它传导给客户。所以我们对上升阶段的看法与原来没有变化,对下降阶段的看法也没有变化。所以没有变化。
P06039:38
Ben GerlingerAnalyst, Citi
Got it. Thank you.
明白了。谢谢。
P06139:43
Operator
Thank you. We'll move next to John McDonald with Truist Securities. Your line is now open.
谢谢。下面请 Truist Securities 的 John McDonald 提问。您的线路已接通。
P06239:51
John McDonaldAnalyst, Truist Securities
Thanks. Good morning. Brian, I was hoping you could give a little perspective in terms of the OCC and FinCEN orders, like how it gets to this point. Is it kind of a misunderstanding of what regulators are asking for or a disagreement on how to address the issues they are asking for in your processes? Just some perspective on how it comes about and your lessons learned, takeaways that we should have from this.
谢谢。早上好。Brian,我希望你能谈谈对 OCC 和 FinCEN 命令的看法,比如事情是怎么走到这一步的。是对监管机构要求的误解,还是在如何解决他们要求你们流程中处理的问题上存在分歧?就是谈谈这是怎么发生的,以及你们的经验教训、我们应该从中得到哪些启示。
P06340:16
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
Look, at the end of the day, I think we have agreed to call this a settlement and move forward, and so we are doing it. I think in the end of the day, we understand what they need us to do. We are deep in the process of remediating. Just for example, this quarter, a couple hundred million dollars plus in remediation costs for that effort. So it has been substantial and thousands of employees. So we have a clear understanding of what we need to do. We are doing it. We will complete it. It is the focus of management to get it cleaned up. Beyond that, there is not a lot to talk about in terms of our processes and our capabilities, but we are busy working away and have been for the last several months and quarters.
你看,归根结底,我认为我们已经同意把这称为和解并向前推进,所以我们正在这样做。我认为归根结底,我们理解他们需要我们做什么。我们正在深入推进整改。举个例子,本季度在这项工作上的整改成本就有两亿多美元。所以投入很大,还有数千名员工。所以我们清楚地理解需要做什么。我们正在做。我们会完成它。把它清理干净是管理层的重点。除此之外,关于我们的流程和能力没有太多可谈的,但我们一直在忙着推进,过去几个月和几个季度都是如此。
P06441:04
This settlement resolves the penalty that was in the 2024 cease and desist order. That was what took time is to kind of get the negotiations around all that. But the work started with pace back then. It is something we built up and are going to do. As we move forward, we will get more efficient at it, and it will improve any operating dynamics.
这项和解解决了 2024 年停止令中的罚款问题。花时间的是围绕所有这些事项的谈判。但相关工作从那时起就已加速推进。这是我们已经搭建起来并要去完成的事情。随着我们向前推进,我们会做得更有效率,这会改善各方面的运营状况。
P06541:31
John McDonaldAnalyst, Truist Securities
Okay. Thank you. Alastair, that was helpful context on the levers you pulled for capital management this quarter. Just want to clarify, as you look ahead, what metrics you are going to be managing to and kind of which is governing. I think you are going to triangulate maybe, is it CET1 of 11-ish and then also triangulating to TCE of six-ish?
好的。谢谢。Alastair,你关于本季度资本管理所用抓手的说明很有帮助。只想澄清一下,展望未来,你们将管理哪些指标,以哪个为准。我想你们会进行三角平衡,是 CET1 在 11% 左右,同时 TCE 在 6% 左右吗?
P06641:56
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Well, first thing we're going to do is wait for the final rules because we're anticipating those coming out in Q4. That will be important in terms of just clarifying exactly how and what we're calculating. I think it will also be helpful in terms of clarifying what the transition period looks like, John. We just have to consider that as we see that later this quarter. The reason that we look at both CET1 and tangible common equity is because we have a series of different constituencies, and we have to manage all of them. So it's important for us just to keep an eye on all of these various metrics. We're balancing at any given time capital, liquidity, earnings as we make our decisions. But I'll go back to this point. We've got a lot of flexibility on capital right now.
首先,我们要做的是等待最终规则,因为我们预计它们会在第四季度出台。这对于明确我们到底如何计算、计算什么很重要。我认为这也有助于明确过渡期是什么样的,John。我们只能等这个季度晚些时候看到规则后再考虑。我们之所以同时看 CET1 和有形普通股权益,是因为我们有一系列不同的利益相关方,我们必须兼顾所有方面。所以关注所有这些不同的指标很重要。我们在作决策时,任何时候都在平衡资本、流动性和盈利。但我要回到这一点。我们目前在资本上有很大的灵活性。
P06742:43
You saw what we could do in Q3. We generate a lot of capital. That gives us a lot of flexibility going forward, and our priorities remain the same.
大家看到了我们在第三季度能做到什么。我们产生大量资本。这让我们今后有很大的灵活性,而我们的优先顺序保持不变。
P06842:52
John McDonaldAnalyst, Truist Securities
Okay. Thank you.
好的。谢谢。
P06942:57
Operator
Thank you. We'll now move on to James Mitchell with Seaport Global Securities. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请 Seaport Global Securities 的 James Mitchell 提问。您的线路已接通。
P07043:04
Jim MitchellAnalyst, Seaport Global Securities
Hey, good morning.
嘿,早上好。
P07143:06
Operator
Morning.
早上好。
P07243:06
Jim MitchellAnalyst, Seaport Global Securities
Alastair, good morning. Just thoughts. I appreciate the 2027 commentary on NII, and it sounds like, and I just wanted to confirm that it sounds like markets-related NII could be down from 2026 levels, which would imply that ex markets NII should be north of 8%. I just wanted to confirm that. Then when I think about your commentary around operating leverage in the past, if that flows to the bottom line, that all SQL does tend to push you towards the higher end of the operating leverage range. Not trying to put words in your mouth, but just trying to think through those puts and takes. Thanks.
Alastair,早上好。只是想谈谈想法。感谢你关于 2027 年净利息收入的说明,听起来——我只是想确认一下——与市场业务相关的净利息收入可能会低于 2026 年的水平,这意味着剔除市场业务的净利息收入应该高于 8%。我只想确认这一点。另外,回想你过去关于经营杠杆的说法,如果这些都转化为利润,那往往会把你们推向经营杠杆区间的高端。不是想替你说话,只是想把这些正反因素想清楚。谢谢。
P07343:44
Alastair BorthwickCFO
I agree with both broadly. I think both statements are probably true. The first one in terms of we'd anticipate global markets in an environment where if rates go up another three hikes, that's liability sensitive it is. But we just have to recognize we continue to add balance sheet there over time, so it just gets bigger, which tends to help NII. Then also we're adding loans. So that matters also. In terms of global banking and the banking book broadly, yes, that would imply then that that would grow faster than 8%. So I think you're right. Then second yes, we intend to drop as much of this to the bottom line as we possibly can, and that tends to be very good for operating leverage.
这两点我大体都同意。我认为两种说法可能都对。第一点,我们预计在利率再加息三次的环境下,全球市场业务是负债敏感型的。但我们必须认识到,我们会持续给它增加资产负债表,所以它会变大,这往往有助于净利息收入。另外我们也在增加贷款。所以这也有影响。至于全球银行和广义的银行账簿,是的,这意味着它们的增长会快于 8%。所以我认为你说得对。然后第二点,是的,我们打算尽可能多地把这些转化为利润,而这往往对经营杠杆非常有利。
P07444:31
But again, I don't want to get drawn into that right this second because we want to look at that as we go through the fourth quarter, and then I think we'll give guidance next year. But the point is, we're not coming off of our Investor Day expectations. If you look at operating leverage over the course of the past couple of years, we've tended to do better year after year. We're positioned well for next year.
但还是那句话,我不想现在就被拉进这个话题,因为我们想在第四季度期间再看看,然后我想我们会给出明年的指引。但关键是,我们不会偏离投资者日的预期。看过去几年的经营杠杆,我们往往一年比一年做得好。我们为明年做好了准备。
P07544:51
Jim MitchellAnalyst, Seaport Global Securities
Okay. Yeah. Great. Maybe just on FICC trading, you noted higher rates hurt the micro businesses. Is that most negative marks or was the slowdown of volume? Just trying to see if this pressure could linger or could we see a snapback if rates stabilize.
好的。是的。很好。也许再谈谈 FICC 交易,你提到利率上升伤害了微观业务。主要是负面估值标记,还是成交量放缓?只是想看看这种压力会不会持续,或者如果利率企稳我们会不会看到反弹。
P07645:12
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Yeah. Generally speaking, we tend to benefit a lot from the fact that we're really big in credit mortgages and munis. Those are great leading franchises for us. It just happens when rates go up 85 basis points in a quarter, that tends not to be good for those businesses. Clients tend to slow their activity. It's not good for asset prices. So it's largely a client activity thing. We haven't seen the same kind of a performance, meaning we haven't seen rates behave the same way in Q4. So we're moving on to the fourth quarter, having gone through the third, and we retain leadership in those big businesses of ours.
是的。总体而言,我们很受益于我们在信用、按揭和市政债券方面体量很大。这些对我们来说是很好的领先业务。只是当利率在一个季度内上升 85 个基点时,往往对这些业务不利。客户往往会放慢活动。这对资产价格也不好。所以主要是客户活动的问题。我们在第四季度没有看到同样的表现,也就是说,没有看到利率出现同样的走势。所以经历了第三季度后,我们进入第四季度,并在我们这些大业务中保持领先地位。
P07745:55
Jim MitchellAnalyst, Seaport Global Securities
Okay, thanks. Appreciate it.
好的,谢谢。非常感谢。
P07845:59
Operator
Thank you. We'll move on to Mike Mayo with Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请 Wells Fargo Securities 的 Mike Mayo 提问。您的线路已接通。
P07946:06
Mike MayoAnalyst, Wells Fargo Securities
Hi. In this period of AI and AI deployment, where can that take you guys? I see revenues per employee year-to-date are up 10%, and you would think with all the tools at your disposal that you would be able to take that much higher. I know I have asked this question before, but AI is moving so quickly, and I think the banks have to keep up so much that I thought I would ask it again. Thank you.
你好。在这个人工智能和人工智能部署的时期,它能把你们带到哪里?我看到年初至今人均收入增长了 10%,你会觉得,有了这么多可用的工具,你们应该能把它提高得多得多。我知道我以前问过这个问题,但人工智能发展得太快了,我认为银行必须努力跟上,所以我想再问一次。谢谢。
P08046:35
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
I think one, just set the stage. If you look year-over-year, the total expense base was up $1.2 billion and the headcount was down 3,000 round numbers. In the $1.2 billion, $450 or so million of that is wealth management incentives with revenue growth. About $300 of it is in the markets business, the BC&E. That leaves, say it is $400 left, of which a couple hundred million plus in the third quarter were two things, remediation for the AML and remediation for the Mythos implementation. The overall expense growth absent that was a couple hundred million dollars, maybe $300, on a base of call it 17 and change last year. You think about that. How do we maintain that kind of 1%-2% expense growth with all the investments we are making.
我想首先铺垫一下背景。同比来看,总费用基数增加了 12 亿美元,员工人数减少了约 3000 人。在这 12 亿美元中,大约 450(百万美元,即 4.5 亿美元)是财富管理随收入增长而增加的激励薪酬。约 300(百万美元)在市场业务,即经纪、清算和交易所费用。剩下约 400(百万美元),其中第三季度有两亿多美元来自两件事:反洗钱整改,以及 Mythos 系统实施的整改。剔除这些,整体费用增长只有约两亿美元,可能 300(百万美元),而去年的基数大约是 170 多亿美元。你想想看。在我们进行所有这些投入的情况下,我们如何维持那种 1%–2% 的费用增长?
P08147:28
We are open five branches in Milwaukee this month and things like that, more headcount front client facing. That is by engineering both through engineering process, through AI application, et cetera. You see it already in the numbers, and we expect to continue going forward, and we expect that the Mythos remediation costs run down because we added 1,000 extra staff to work on that, not in the headcount but in consultants. You expect the orders get implemented. But what continues to recur will be that leverage you get on the core expense base. AI has helped us. We are about 130 different projects implemented. All of them have a payback, and they are very detailed projects. None of them are huge contributors. Overall, the benefits are two to three times over time of the expense you are giving out.
我们这个月在密尔沃基开设了五家网点,诸如此类,增加更多面向客户的一线人员。这是通过工程化实现的,既包括流程工程,也包括人工智能应用等。大家在数字中已经看到了,我们预计今后还会继续,并且我们预计 Mythos 的整改成本会逐步下降,因为我们为此增加了 1000 名额外人员,不计入员工人数,而是顾问。大家可以预期这些命令会得到落实。但会持续下去的,是在核心费用基数上获得的杠杆效应。人工智能帮助了我们。我们已经实施了约 130 个不同的项目。所有项目都有回报,而且都是非常细致的项目。没有一个是巨大的贡献者。总体而言,随着时间推移,收益是投入费用的两到三倍。
P08248:24
We expect that number to go from the $250, $300 this year to $700 million next year in terms of projects we put in the pipeline. A key one of those is in the development of technology, which is $4 billion in change a year. We are 10% more efficient, so next year we get 10% more work for the same cost. We are going to continue to invest in driving the growth in the franchise, and AI is a major part of that. Say, $300 million going to $700 million, headcount down by 3,000, 1.5% year-over-year. Managers down by about 5% in that, and production teammates that are doing the client-facing work are actually up year-over-year. We feel very good about the operating dynamics. Even the expense base we see grew in the third quarter.
我们预计这个数字将从今年的 250、300(百万美元,即 2.5 亿、3 亿美元)增加到明年的 7 亿美元,这是指我们放入储备的项目。其中一个关键项目在技术开发方面,每年在这方面的投入是 40 亿美元出头。我们的效率提高了 10%,所以明年同样的成本可以多完成 10% 的工作。我们会继续投资推动业务增长,人工智能是其中的重要部分。可以说,从 3 亿美元到 7 亿美元,员工人数减少 3000 人,同比下降 1.5%。其中管理人员减少约 5%,而从事面向客户工作的生产岗位员工实际上同比增加。我们对运营态势感觉非常好。即使是我们看到第三季度增长的费用基数也是如此。
P08349:14
You can point to the things that are purely capital markets, revenue-related items or things that will disappear over time from the expense base and be replaced by expense that does more for us.
你可以指出哪些纯粹是资本市场、与收入相关的项目,或者哪些会随时间从费用基数中消失、并被能为我们带来更多回报的费用所取代。
P08449:29
Mike MayoAnalyst, Wells Fargo Securities
All right. Then just a separate question. Brian, this is, I think, the 17th year of you being CEO, and I just was wondering about your thoughts on a successor. How much longer do you plan on remaining CEO? What qualities do you look for in a successor? For a successor, would you look outside the firm? Why not?
好的。另外一个问题。Brian,我想这是你担任首席执行官的第 17 年,我想知道你对接班人的想法。你还打算担任首席执行官多久?你在接班人身上看重哪些品质?对于接班人,你会考虑外部人选吗?为什么不?
P08549:54
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
It's the board's decision. Ultimately, our job as management is to tee up the talent in this company, which there's a lot. We work on it all the time because I could get hit by a truck tomorrow too, Mike. But this company's success is due to the 209,000 people out there working every day, and there'll be a great leader for it next, and the board will make the decision when the time's there. But we feel very good about the team we have and the leadership we have in the company.
这是董事会的决定。归根结底,作为管理层,我们的工作是在公司里培养好人才,而公司里人才很多。我们一直在做这件事,因为我明天也可能被卡车撞到,Mike。但这家公司的成功归功于每天在外面工作的 20.9 万名员工,下一任会有一位出色的领导者,董事会会在时机到来时作出决定。但我们对现有的团队和公司的领导层感觉非常好。
P08650:21
Mike MayoAnalyst, Wells Fargo Securities
All right. Thank you.
好的。谢谢。
P08750:22
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
You'll be the first to know, Mike, when I decide to.
等我决定的时候,你会是第一个知道的,Mike。
P08850:26
Mike MayoAnalyst, Wells Fargo Securities
All right. Thanks.
好的。谢谢。
P08950:29
Operator
Thank you. We'll move on to Ken Usdin with Autonomous Research. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请 Autonomous Research 的 Ken Usdin 提问。请讲。您的线路已接通。
P09050:38
Ken UsdinAnalyst, Autonomous Research
Okay. Good morning. Big picture question on the balance sheet. Alastair, last quarter you talked about working on balance sheet efficiency, and it seems like the last couple of quarters you've done what you've said in terms of really taking down the wholesale funding part of the balance sheet with an offset in NIM. I'm just wondering if there are any offsets to that in terms of either how much you can make in trading as a result of that. Does it change your intermediation potential? And any other thoughts you have about where the average earning assets goes from here in a totality perspective? Thanks.
好的。早上好。一个关于资产负债表的大问题。Alastair,上个季度你谈到要提升资产负债表效率,看起来过去几个季度你们确实做到了所说的,真正压降了资产负债表中的批发融资部分,同时对净息差有抵消作用。我想知道这方面是否有抵消因素,比如在交易业务上能赚多少钱。它会改变你们的中介业务潜力吗?以及你们对平均生息资产从总体上看会走向何处还有其他什么想法?谢谢。
P09151:16
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Yeah. So those are obviously two different decisions. The markets business we are going to support with the balance sheet and the capital that they need to drive profitable growth. They have done an excellent job over the course of the past 3 or 4 years of growing and improving returns. Q2, I think, was a great example. It was a really extraordinary opportunity. We took advantage of that. We gave more capital because the returns were terrific in Q2. In Q3, the returns are not quite the same. We do not have the same client activity going on. Markets, we are going to keep investing in, we are going to keep giving balance sheet, we are going to keep supporting the clients because it is an important growth opportunity for us. Second question is more just how do you manage short-term wholesale funding? The direction of travel for us is down.
好的。这些显然是两个不同的决策。对于市场业务,我们会用它所需要的资产负债表和资本来支持它实现有盈利的增长。过去 3 到 4 年里,他们在增长和提高回报方面做得非常出色。我认为第二季度就是一个很好的例子。那是一个非常特殊的机会。我们抓住了它。因为第二季度的回报非常好,我们给了更多资本。第三季度,回报就没那么好了。我们没有同样的客户活动。市场业务我们会继续投资,会继续提供资产负债表,会继续支持客户,因为这对我们是一个重要的增长机会。第二个问题更多是关于如何管理短期批发融资。我们的方向是往下走。
P09252:11
Generally speaking, deposit growth plus pay downs of securities as they come due is there to support loan growth. Every time that deposits plus pay downs is greater than loans, it allows us to just pay down a little bit of short-term wholesale funding. Look, most of the NIM improvement is coming from repricings and profitable deposit and loan growth over time. A little bit of it is this short-term wholesale funding. The two things are separate. They are not linked in any way.
一般来说,存款增长加上证券到期偿付,用来支持贷款增长。每当存款加上偿付大于贷款时,我们就可以偿还一点短期批发融资。你看,净息差的改善大部分来自重新定价以及长期以来有盈利的存款和贷款增长。其中一小部分来自短期批发融资。这两件事是分开的,它们没有任何联系。
P09352:46
Ken UsdinAnalyst, Autonomous Research
Okay. Got it.
好的。明白了。
P09452:48
If I could come back just Oh, go ahead, Brian.
如果我可以再回到……哦,请讲,Brian。
P09552:51
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
I was just going to add to that. Think about a 15 basis points improvement on it. So from 2% to 2.15. That's a 15 basis points on two improvement on a $3 trillion balance sheet. That's the efficiency of what Alastair's describing coming through. So you're replacing low-yielding securities with much higher-yielding commercial loans and consumer loans. You're also ending up with deposit growth with 5% non-interest-bearing and overall a couple percent. So your mix is even improving there. To your colleague's question a while back, zero rate deposits and low-interest savings and checking are zero in any environment for weight growth, and the deposit balances keep growing irrespective of the higher rate environment. That dynamic is really why we see this march from 215 towards 230 really just taking place as we look out over the next several quarters here.
我只是想补充一点。想想 15 个基点的改善。就是从 2% 到 2.15%。这是在 3 万亿美元资产负债表上 15 个基点的改善。这就是 Alastair 所描述的效率体现。所以你是在用收益高得多的商业贷款和消费贷款替换低收益的证券。你最终还获得了存款增长,无息存款增长 5%,整体增长百分之二左右。所以你的结构甚至在改善。回到你同事之前的问题,零利率存款以及低息储蓄和支票存款在任何利率环境下都是零,而存款余额无论利率环境多高都在持续增长。这种态势正是我们看到净利息收益率在接下来几个季度里从 215 向 230(即 2.15% 向 2.30%)稳步迈进的原因。
P09653:55
That's a really important dynamic because if you go back to the 6% TCE ratio, that gives you a chance to really push the returns on a relative size that gets you the 16%, et cetera. So that's what we've been working at, is that efficiency balance sheet because of the dynamics we are in as liquidity. We pushed the size up and now we're bringing it back down. The markets business has a balance sheet they need to run the business. They could have more if they put it to work with good returns. Al said it's completely unrelated to the efficiency we can get with the rest of the balance sheet.
这是非常重要的态势,因为回到 6% 的 TCE 比率,它让你有机会在相对规模上真正推高回报,让你达到 16% 等目标。这就是我们一直在努力的,就是在流动性环境下提高资产负债表效率。我们曾把规模推高,现在正把它降下来。市场业务有运营所需的资产负债表。如果他们能以良好的回报加以运用,可以有更多。Al 说过,这与我们在资产负债表其他部分能获得的效率完全无关。
P09754:29
Ken UsdinAnalyst, Autonomous Research
Okay. Understood. Thank you. Just coming back to the third quarter markets results, as you mentioned, Alastair, just that there weren't as many opportunities. One of the peers yesterday talked about that fourth quarter could still be down meaningfully for them sequentially just based on what normal seasonality is. I know this might not have been the typical quarter, but can you just help provide any perspective on what you think versus the 5.1 in the third quarter. What your overall view of markets might be for the fourth quarter, just given what happened in the third and what normal seasonality might do in the fourth? Thanks.
好的。明白。谢谢。再回到第三季度的市场业务业绩,正如你提到的,Alastair,机会没有那么多。昨天一家同业谈到,仅仅基于正常的季节性,他们第四季度可能仍会环比明显下降。我知道这可能不是一个典型的季度,但相对于第三季度的 5.1(即 51 亿美元),考虑到第三季度发生的情况以及第四季度正常的季节性,你们对第四季度整体市场业务有什么看法?谢谢。
P09855:07
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Yeah. We tend not to guide for any quarter in markets, recognizing that it's very challenging to forecast that business in particular. Third quarter, as I mentioned, we were obviously hurt by our mix. We have strength in credit and mortgage and munis. So you'd sort of think if that was an extreme bear market for a quarter, that moderates, which it has done through the first couple of weeks. We wouldn't see the same impact in the fourth quarter. The fourth quarter obviously has seasonality, but those two may offset one another. At the end of the day, the markets business has done a really nice job of 18 or 17 quarters in a row of year-over-year growth. So they're looking forward to the fourth quarter. We're looking forward to the fourth quarter.
好的。我们一般不对市场业务的任何季度给出指引,因为我们知道这项业务尤其难以预测。正如我提到的,第三季度我们显然受到了业务结构的拖累。我们的强项在信用、按揭和市政债券。所以可以想见,如果那是一个季度的极端熊市,它会缓和,而在头几周它确实已经缓和了。我们不会在第四季度看到同样的影响。第四季度显然有季节性,但这两者可能会相互抵消。归根结底,市场业务已经连续 18 个或 17 个季度实现同比增长,做得非常好。所以他们对第四季度有期待。我们也对第四季度有期待。
P09955:59
I think there will probably be less seasonality this year than in prior years, just based off of the way third quarter turned out. We do not predict because we are not great at predicting global markets performance in any quarter.
我认为今年的季节性可能会比往年弱一些,这只是基于第三季度的结果。我们不做预测,因为我们不擅长预测任何一个季度的全球市场业务表现。
P10056:13
Ken UsdinAnalyst, Autonomous Research
That is good color. I appreciate that, Alastair Borthwick. Thank you.
这个说明很好。感谢你,Alastair Borthwick。谢谢。
P10156:19
Operator
Thank you. We will move on now to Matt O'Connor with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请德意志银行的 Matt O'Connor 提问。您的线路已接通。
P10256:26
Matt O'ConnorAnalyst, Deutsche Bank
Good morning. It seems like the loan growth accelerated towards the end of the quarter, both based on the H.8 data that we can all see, and then also your spot loan growth was a lot stronger than average. Anything to read into that beyond just kind of quarter-end noise?
早上好。看起来贷款增长在季末有所加速,从大家都能看到的 H.8 数据来看是这样,你们的时点贷款增长也比平均值强得多。除了季末的正常波动之外,这里面有什么值得解读的吗?
P10356:46
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
No, I don't think there is. The H.8 data bounces around as you can see. We have things like lending to warehouse mortgage lenders that go up and come down. If you look at it, you get away from that kind of volatility. The really core aspects, meaning middle market grew across the board in most of its segments. The business banking franchise, which the team's done a good job, Sharon Miller team done a good job getting to grow again, it's balanced. The small business grows, the credit card grew. They may come in ebbs and flows, but generally they're stick to your ribs type growth. That sets us up nice for next quarter. The business come in and out are more the high-end businesses because a bridge loan gets taken out or the warehouse and stuff.
没有,我认为没有。大家可以看到,H.8 数据会来回波动。我们有一些业务,比如给按揭仓储贷款机构的贷款,会时增时减。如果你看一下,把这种波动剔除掉,真正的核心部分,也就是中型企业,在其大多数细分市场都全面增长。企业银行业务——团队做得很好,Sharon Miller 的团队做得很好,让它重新增长——是均衡的。小企业在增长,信用卡在增长。它们可能时起时落,但总体上是扎实的增长。这为下个季度打下了好的基础。时进时出的更多是高端业务,因为过桥贷款被置换掉了,或者仓储贷款之类的。
P10457:35
Most of that volatility is around that end. The core businesses, it just keeps coming at us each month, which is terrific.
大部分波动都在那一端。核心业务每个月都在源源不断地增长,这非常好。
P10557:43
Matt O'ConnorAnalyst, Deutsche Bank
Okay. Then a bigger picture question. As we think about this rising rate environment and the deposit betas, I feel like a lot of banks are assuming it's similar to what we saw a few years ago when rates went up. I also feel like the loan and deposit environment is totally different because last environment when rates were going up, loans were paying down, and everybody had excess deposits. Now loan growth is quite solid, and I think most people are expecting it to continue. Everyone wants to fund it with deposits. I guess the long-winded question is, isn't there a risk that deposit pricing picks up more than maybe you and others have assumed just because of more loan growth and therefore more deposit competition? Thank you.
好的。然后是一个更宏观的问题。在我们考虑这个利率上升的环境和存款贝塔时,我感觉很多银行都在假设它会和几年前利率上升时我们看到的情况类似。我也感觉贷款和存款环境完全不同,因为上一轮利率上升时,贷款在偿还,大家都有过剩的存款。现在贷款增长相当稳健,我想大多数人都预期它会持续。每家都想用存款来为它融资。我想这个冗长的问题就是,存款定价上升得比你们和其他人假设的更多,难道没有这种风险吗?仅仅因为贷款增长更多、因而存款竞争更激烈。谢谢。
P10658:33
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
I think Alastair mentioned earlier. We have $2 trillion in deposits and 1.2 trillion in loans. There is a lot of room to grow loans without thinking about needing to raise money to fund them. Within that, we have that really all sitting in cash short-term securities. Then the held-to-maturity portfolio is running off. Each day, week, months, we have $9 billion a quarter, $36 billion a year just out of the mortgage payoffs, which are holding constant. There's plenty of cash to fund up the loan balance. You look year-over-year, you can see that in the balance sheet growth. There's a lot of room in us. We're far different from most people because we're at $2 trillion and 1.2. That loan-to-deposit ratio is far less. As Alastair said, we ran off high-rate funding.
我想 Alastair 前面提到过。我们有 2 万亿美元的存款和 1.2 万亿美元的贷款。有很大的空间来发放贷款,而不需要考虑为此筹集资金。在这个范围内,这些钱其实都放在现金和短期证券里。然后持有至到期组合在逐步到期。每天、每周、每月,仅按揭偿还一项每季度就有 90 亿美元,每年 360 亿美元,而且一直保持稳定。有充足的现金为贷款余额提供资金。同比来看,大家可以在资产负债表的增长中看到这一点。我们有很大的空间。我们和大多数同业很不一样,因为我们是 2 万亿和 1.2 万亿。贷存比低得多。正如 Alastair 所说,我们让高利率资金流失了。
P10759:24
We placed CDs from our clients' money in other people so that we take our clients' money who want higher rates, and we give it to banks who pay them higher rates because they need the funding. It's just not something we need to reach for. I think leave aside rates down a little bit, up a little bit. The nominal rate environment, if you think about it across the last few years, we're growing deposits from a low of 1.8. I think after post-pandemic, we hit 1.8 and a half, something like that, up to $2 trillion plus. The pricing discipline has remained. If you look at the page on deposits slide, whatever, slide 7, you see it's 149 basis points in an environment which is 3.5%, 4% around you.
我们把客户的定期存单资金放到其他银行,也就是把想要更高利率的客户的钱交给那些支付更高利率的银行,因为它们需要资金。这根本不是我们需要去追逐的东西。我想先撇开利率稍降还是稍升。想想过去几年的名义利率环境,我们的存款从低点 1.8 增长起来。我记得疫情之后我们触及 1.8 万亿出头,类似这样,然后增长到 2 万亿美元以上。定价纪律一直保持着。大家看存款那一页,大概是第 7 页,可以看到在周围是 3.5%、4% 的环境下,我们是 149 个基点。
P1081:00:09
This is core money and movement in core transactional accounts for consumers, small businesses, wealthy clients that is growing and very stable. We don't see the dynamic because we have a lot of room to grow loans without having any pressure to raise funds for them. We have a lot of runoff of fixed-rate assets that can help fund that. On top of that, the deposits grow, and they're very advantaged. 149 basis points against the current rate environment is a pretty good place to be. Then on top of that, what's different from us than most, if not all competitors, is the efficiency on the consumer side relative to that deposit base. That cost of deposits. That gives us a chance to make money on a consumer that is very strong.
这是消费者、小企业、富裕客户核心交易账户中的核心资金和资金流动,它在增长,而且非常稳定。我们没有看到那种态势,因为我们有很大的空间发放贷款,而没有任何为此筹集资金的压力。我们有大量固定利率资产到期,可以帮助提供资金。此外,存款在增长,而且非常有优势。在当前利率环境下 149 个基点是相当好的位置。再者,我们和大多数甚至所有竞争对手不同的是,消费业务相对于存款基础的效率,也就是存款成本。这让我们有机会从非常健康的消费者身上赚钱。
P1091:00:57
Matt O'ConnorAnalyst, Deutsche Bank
Okay. Thank you.
好的。谢谢。
P1101:01:02
Operator
Thank you. We'll move on now to Erika Najarian with UBS. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请 UBS 的 Erika Najarian 提问。您的线路已接通。
P1111:01:08
Erika NajarianAnalyst, UBS
Hi. Good morning. Thank you for squeezing me in. I just want to apologize in advance. I have three questions. I am going to ask short questions, but I think it is important given the stock opened down 8%. Number one, just a clarification question on NII ex markets. Alastair Borthwick, given your comments on markets NII being down, I would essentially assume that core NII would be up around 10% year-over-year in 2027, in line with what JP Morgan said yesterday. Is that about the right geography?
你好。早上好。谢谢你们挤时间给我。我先道个歉,我有三个问题。我会问得简短,但我认为这很重要,因为股价开盘下跌了 8%。第一,关于剔除市场业务的净利息收入,只是一个澄清性问题。Alastair Borthwick,鉴于你关于市场业务净利息收入下降的说法,我基本上会假设 2027 年核心净利息收入同比增长约 10%,与摩根大通昨天说的一致。这个范围大致对吗?
P1121:01:42
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Well, look, we do not guide the two differently and independently for a variety of different reasons. I was asked the question earlier, do you think global markets could be down next year with respect to three or four rate hikes, one that just happened, three to come? The answer there is yes, because it is liability sensitive. But again, I am just reminding people they continue to add loans, and we are likely to just continue adding balance sheet. So markets piece, yes, may be down. So that 8% is including markets. So that would tell you that the number is likely higher for the core banking book. But we do not break it out because things move around, and they go between, and we manage it for the entire company. So I think directionally, that is how you should think about it.
嗯,你看,出于各种原因,我们不对这两部分分别独立给出指引。前面有人问我,你是否认为在加息三四次——一次刚刚发生,还有三次——的情况下,全球市场业务明年可能会下降?答案是会,因为它是负债敏感型的。但我还是要提醒大家,他们会继续增加贷款,我们很可能会继续增加资产负债表。所以市场业务这部分,是的,可能会下降。所以这 8% 是包含市场业务的。这会告诉你,核心银行账簿的数字可能更高。但我们不拆开,因为情况会变动,会在两者之间转移,而且我们是从整个公司的角度来管理的。所以我认为从方向上,你应该这样理解。
P1131:02:35
We may provide more guidance around what the exact number looks like as we get into Q4, but we are probably not going to break it out between the two.
进入第四季度时,我们可能会就具体数字提供更多指引,但我们大概不会在两者之间拆分。
P1141:02:44
Erika NajarianAnalyst, UBS
Thank you. The second question is, down 7% implies, I think, to the market that this is more than just the results, that there is sort of a confidence issue, perhaps deepened by the consent order. I guess a compound question, and I apologize. One, are there any incremental expenses that we should expect coming out of the third party review that needs to happen? Appreciate that this has been an issue since the cease and desist in December 2024. Given that expenses have come in higher than expected, how would you instill confidence in investors that you could do the high end of 300 basis points of operating leverage next year, much less 200-300 basis points?
谢谢。第二个问题是,下跌 7% 向市场暗示,这不只是业绩本身的问题,存在某种信心问题,也许被同意令加深了。我想这是一个复合问题,抱歉。第一,第三方审查需要进行,我们是否应该预期由此产生额外的费用?我理解这个问题从 2024 年 12 月的停止令以来就一直存在。鉴于费用高于预期,你们如何让投资者相信,你们明年能做到 300 个基点经营杠杆的高端,更不用说 200 到 300 个基点了?
P1151:03:38
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Okay. Look, on the expense, I think we've tried to be as clear as we possibly can, but we've ramped up significantly the people required to handle the consent order work. We've been working on that for some time now. We've also tried to be clear that we've ramped up the technology spend required. We feel like that is in the run rate. Just remember, Erika, we started the year with 3,000 more heads than we have currently, just to give some idea. We've been able to do that within all going on underneath the surface by repositioning people with the productivity gains we've seen. The expense side, I think, still holds together there. The operating leverage, we've said we intend to deliver 200 to 300 basis points through the medium term. We haven't changed from that.
好的。你看,关于费用,我想我们已经尽可能地说清楚了,但我们大幅增加了处理同意令工作所需的人员。我们在这方面已经做了一段时间。我们也尽量说清楚了,我们增加了所需的技术投入。我们认为这已经在运行成本中了。只要记住,Erika,我们年初的员工人数比现在多 3000 人,只是给个概念。我们能够做到这一点,是因为在表面之下,我们利用看到的生产率提升重新配置了人员。所以我认为费用这一块仍然站得住。经营杠杆方面,我们说过我们打算在中期实现 200 到 300 个基点。我们没有改变这一点。
P1161:04:24
I think as we get into Q4, I'll give you a better sense for what that looks like in 2027.
我想进入第四季度时,我会让大家更清楚 2027 年是什么样子。
P1171:04:31
Erika NajarianAnalyst, UBS
Finally, on the capital on January 1, 2027, you're set to step up a GSIB surcharge which would raise your minimum to 1050. As we think about your shareholders have enjoyed about $6 billion in buybacks per quarter, and it's been supportive of the stock. As we think about the intersection of strong capital generation, sort of a TCE constraint at 6% and that GSIB surcharge step up with the potential for reform to be finalized. How should we think about how your is it business as usual and buybacks over the near term, close to that $6 billion number? Or are we waiting for the finalization of GSIB to see whether or not they'll treat your GSIB surcharge calculation only prospectively or retroactively to prevent that step up?
最后,关于资本,2027 年 1 月 1 日,你们的 G-SIB 附加资本要求将上调,这会把你们的最低要求提高到 1050(即 10.5%)。考虑到你们的股东一直享受每季度约 60 亿美元的回购,这对股价一直是支撑。我们该如何考虑强劲的资本生成、6% 左右的 TCE 约束、G-SIB 附加资本要求上调,以及改革可能最终落地这几者的交汇?近期是照常进行、回购接近 60 亿美元的水平吗?还是我们要等 G-SIB 规则最终确定,看他们对你们 G-SIB 附加资本的计算只适用于未来、还是追溯适用以避免这次上调?
P1181:05:31
Alastair BorthwickCFO
All right, there's a lot to unpack there. We don't guide on share buyback for lots of different reasons. It's definitely business as usual in terms of how we think about that equation with one exception. We need to wait for the final rules. I know we're all desperate for the final rules. I'm desperate for the final rules. But we don't have them yet. We need to understand first what are the rules, how is it going to work? Then we need to understand the transition period. I think in your question, there's an assumption that the current, which will soon be the old rules, prevail around where capital might go. That may be the case. That may not be the case. We have to wait, and we have to see.
好,这里有很多内容需要拆开。出于很多原因,我们不对股票回购给出指引。在我们如何考虑这个等式方面,绝对是照常进行,只有一个例外。我们需要等待最终规则。我知道大家都迫切想要最终规则。我也迫切想要最终规则。但我们还没有拿到。我们首先需要理解规则是什么,如何运作。然后我们需要理解过渡期。我想在你的问题中,有一个假设,就是现行的——很快就会成为旧的——规则会在资本可能走向哪里这件事上继续适用。可能是这样,也可能不是。我们必须等待,必须观察。
P1191:06:18
That having been said, if you look at this quarter, again, what did we manage to do? Well, we're looking at both tangible common equity and CET1. We've got plenty of flexibility on the CET1 number because we're 90 basis points above the regulatory minimum. On tangible common equity, just think about it, this quarter, rates went up 85 basis points. We dealt with a regulatory penalty at the end of the quarter. We added $34 billion of loans to support our clients. We paid the dividend and bought back 6 billion shares. That gives you a sense for just how capital generative this company is every quarter. None of that changes, Erika. We just have to see how the quarter develops. We have to wait for the final rules.
话虽如此,看看本季度,我们又做到了什么?嗯,我们同时关注有形普通股权益和 CET1。我们在 CET1 上有充足的灵活性,因为我们比监管最低要求高 90 个基点。在有形普通股权益上,想想看,本季度利率上升了 85 个基点。我们在季末处理了一笔监管罚款。我们增加了 340 亿美元贷款来支持客户。我们支付了股息并回购了 60 亿美元的股票。这让你感受到这家公司每个季度的资本生成能力有多强。这些都没有改变,Erika。我们只需要看这个季度如何发展。我们必须等待最终规则。
P1201:07:04
Erika NajarianAnalyst, UBS
Thank you for taking all my questions.
感谢你们回答了我所有的问题。
P1211:07:09
Operator
Thank you. We'll move on now to Scott Siefers with TD Cowen Securities. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请 TD Cowen Securities 的 Scott Siefers 提问。您的线路已接通。
P1221:07:17
Scott SiefersAnalyst, TD Securities
Thanks, guys. Appreciate you taking the question. I know you've touched on the IB outlook at least a bit. Was hoping maybe just a little more. It's been such a strong year in the aggregate, but I think we're all fixated on this more recent pause in activity. Can you sort of speak to either what you all are discussing internally or with clients regarding anything that would kind of help distinguish between what's just hopefully a temporary pause and as we all adjust to higher rates and something that might prove potentially more lasting?
谢谢各位。感谢回答问题。我知道你们至少已经谈了一些投行业务展望。希望能再多谈一点。总体上今年非常强劲,但我想我们都在关注最近活动的停顿。能否谈谈你们内部或与客户在讨论什么,有助于区分这只是我们大家适应更高利率过程中的暂时停顿,还是可能更持久的情况?
P1231:07:47
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Well, the starting point is just to remind ourselves that after nine months, our investment banking fees are up 16% year-to-date. The activity level, generally speaking, is pretty good. Is the second quarter a little softer than Sorry. Is the third a little softer than the second? Yeah, a little. Does a move in interest rates of the magnitude that we saw impact transactional activity from our clients? Yes. That does happen. Obviously, there's a period in volatility like that where buyers and sellers just need to readjust valuations and expectations. That always happens. But if you look at our businesses generally, we can see from the loan growth activity across the commercial side that the CapEx cycle continues. We know from the investment banking pipelines that they remain strong, and our team added more in the way of pipeline in the quarter.
嗯,出发点就是提醒我们自己,九个月后,我们的投资银行费用年初至今增长了 16%。总体而言,活动水平相当不错。第二季度是不是比……抱歉。第三季度是不是比第二季度弱一点?是的,弱一点。那种幅度的利率变动会影响客户的交易活动吗?会。这确实会发生。显然,在那样的波动期间,买方和卖方需要重新调整估值和预期。这种情况总是会发生。但总体看我们的业务,从商业方面的贷款增长活动可以看到,资本开支周期仍在持续。我们从投资银行项目储备中知道,储备依然强劲,我们的团队在本季度还增加了项目储备。
P1241:08:48
It feels to us like clients all around the world are active. We've got a good U.S. economy supported by the consumer and by the AI CapEx. There's underneath it a lot of capital requirement from these AI companies and the whole environment that surrounds them. We've been a very active participant in that. So we remain optimistic on investment banking. We've got a world-leading franchise in capital markets. I think we were third in announced M&A in the third quarter. So that tends to mean good things going forward. So we're pretty constructive, and we'll see how the fourth quarter develops.
在我们看来,全世界的客户都很活跃。我们有消费者和人工智能资本开支支撑的良好美国经济。在这背后,这些人工智能公司以及围绕它们的整个生态有大量的资本需求。我们一直是其中非常活跃的参与者。所以我们对投资银行依然乐观。我们在资本市场拥有世界领先的业务。我想我们在第三季度宣布的并购中排名第三。这往往意味着未来会有好结果。所以我们相当有建设性,我们会看第四季度如何发展。
P1251:09:28
Scott SiefersAnalyst, TD Securities
All right, perfect. No, I appreciate it. I think that should do it for me. So thank you very much.
好的,非常好。不,我很感谢。我想我就问到这里。非常感谢。
P1261:09:35
Operator
Thank you. We'll move next to Steven Chubak with Wolfe Research. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请 Wolfe Research 的 Steven Chubak 提问。您的线路已接通。
P1271:09:43
Steven ChubakAnalyst, Wolfe Research
Hi. Good morning, and thanks for squeezing me in here. Maybe to start, Brian Moynihan, I was hoping you could address some of the recent concerns on Muse or agentic AI as potentially driving more yield-seeking behavior, the potential risk of flight for more idle consumer deposits, and whether you can create barriers that actually explicitly preclude agentic access, which could potentially help dampen the pace of sorting activity while also providing some additional layers of security to your customers as well.
你好。早上好,感谢挤时间给我。也许先从这个开始,Brian Moynihan,我希望你能回应一下最近关于 Muse 或智能体人工智能的一些担忧,即它们可能推动更多追逐收益的行为,存在闲置消费者存款流失的潜在风险;以及你们能否设置明确阻止智能体访问的壁垒,这可能有助于减缓这种分拣活动的速度,同时也为客户提供额外的安全保障。
P1281:10:14
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
Yeah, I think those are two different questions. One is we're working with various agent providers and others to like we worked with some of the aggregators to make sure that the customer is in control of the decision, the human remains in the loop before money is moved out of their account and items like that. So that safety and security. Look, the banking system has been the source of transactional accounts for people forever. And that safety and security people have knowing they can make a payment, it will go through the system, it'll be credited to the person they're making the payment for. They can receive payments. They have access 24 by seven. They can send money out, Zelle payments, et cetera, all of our time. They can do wires right from their phone.
是的,我认为这是两个不同的问题。一是我们正在与各种智能体提供商和其他方合作,就像我们与一些聚合服务商合作那样,确保由客户掌控决策,在资金从其账户转出之前,人始终在环节中。所以这关乎安全和保障。你看,银行体系一直以来都是人们交易账户的来源。人们拥有的那种安全感,知道自己可以付款,款项会通过系统,会记入他们付款的对象账户。他们可以收款。他们可以 24×7 全天候访问。他们可以把钱转出去,Zelle 付款等等,随时都可以。他们可以直接用手机电汇。
P1291:11:03
But it's all safe and secure in the environment, and I think that's the key. So what we in the industry and others are working on is with these providers saying, "Hey, make sure that the human stays in control," because what we don't want is a lot of decayed transactions, for lack of a better term. So that's completely separate from the question. The question of people optimizing deposits comes down to what a customer puts money with a bank for. And today, a customer can get a money market fund rate of 4% plus. Today, the customer can get a rate from us of 4% in their money market funds, et cetera, either off balance sheet or on balance sheet based on what they want to do. And so why their checking balances continue to grow, that's their transactional money that they're in motion.
但这一切都是在安全可靠的环境中进行的,我认为这才是关键。所以我们业内和其他各方正在与这些提供商合作,说“嘿,要确保人始终掌控”,因为我们不希望出现大量的——找不到更好的词——失控交易。所以这与那个问题完全是两回事。人们优化存款的问题,归结为客户把钱存到银行是为了什么。今天,客户可以拿到 4% 以上的货币市场基金收益率。今天,客户也可以从我们这里拿到 4% 的收益率,在他们的货币市场基金里等等,根据他们想怎么做,可以放在表外或表内。所以他们的支票账户余额为什么持续增长,那是他们处于流动中的交易资金。
P1301:11:52
They're making all their payments with. They have to keep that account active. So optimizing that with a penalty being transactions not going through, being not paid, and/or overdraft penalties and/or other types of issues is not the optimization. They've already optimized their cash that they put with us for investment purposes. And we got $280 billion of deposits for our wealth management customers, all of whom have a lot of money by definition. And if they want to seek higher rates, they could put it in their account structure, and our advisor would do it for them into the market into cash there. And there's a lot of cash in their investment account.
他们用它来支付所有款项。他们必须保持账户活跃。所以,以交易无法完成、无法支付和/或透支罚款和/或其他问题为代价来优化它,并不是优化。他们已经优化了放在我们这里用于投资目的的现金。我们为财富管理客户持有 2800 亿美元的存款,按定义他们都很有钱。如果他们想寻求更高的利率,可以放在他们的账户结构里,我们的顾问会替他们投到市场上的现金类产品。他们的投资账户里有大量现金。
P1311:12:33
I don't see where the agent's going to change that dynamic and the risk of it making adjustments at times when it doesn't know what the consumer's doing tomorrow, or the consumer's written a check or the consumer's done other things. I think it will settle out. We're not worried about it. We have a great company. Our Erica and others are capable of helping consumers on an agentic basis. We believe strongly the human in the loop because humans control their money and should control their money, and it'll work through. But the environment of higher rate available funds for deposits in our company, whether it's humans or general humans or wealthy humans or commercial clients. It has been there, has always been there.
我看不出智能体会在什么地方改变这种态势,也看不出它在不知道消费者明天要做什么、或者消费者已经开了一张支票、或者消费者做了其他事情的时候进行调整的风险。我认为这会自然平稳下来。我们不担心。我们是一家很棒的公司。我们的 Erica 和其他工具能够以智能体的方式帮助消费者。我们坚信人在环节中,因为人掌控自己的钱,也应该掌控自己的钱,这会顺利解决的。但无论是普通人、富裕人士还是商业客户,存款都有更高利率替代选择的这种环境,在我们公司一直存在,也一直都在。
P1321:13:18
Frankly, since the money market started 40 years ago, there's always been an off-balance sheet alternative, for example, and you see what happens. We're very confident in our deposit prospects, and we're very confident in the application of our technology is actually will be what the customer really wants because we are talking to them all the time about that.
坦白说,自从货币市场基金 40 年前出现以来,就一直存在表外替代选择,比如说,大家也看到了结果。我们对我们的存款前景非常有信心,我们也非常有信心,我们的技术应用实际上会成为客户真正想要的东西,因为我们一直在和他们讨论这方面的事情。
P1331:13:41
Steven ChubakAnalyst, Wolfe Research
Thanks for all that color, Brian. If I could just squeeze one quick clarifying question. There's been lots of discussion around the markets performance. There's also been a lot of focus on having to manage to multiple constituencies on capital. There was a lot of speculation inter-quarter that efforts to manage to a 6% TCE may have weighed on markets performance in 3Q, as evidenced by the balance sheet contraction in the segment. I was hoping you could speak to that linkage of how managing to a 6% TCE target informs your willingness to deploy more balance sheet in the markets business or frankly, any other areas that are just more leverage versus RWA intensive.
感谢这些说明,Brian。如果我可以再挤一个简短的澄清问题。关于市场业务的表现已经有很多讨论。也有很多关注点在于,你们必须在资本方面兼顾多个利益相关方。季度中有很多猜测,认为为了管理 6% 的 TCE 所做的努力可能拖累了第三季度市场业务的表现,证据是该分部资产负债表的收缩。我希望你能谈谈这种联系,即管理 6% 的 TCE 目标如何影响你们在市场业务、或者坦白说任何其他更依赖杠杆而非风险加权资产的领域投放更多资产负债表的意愿。
P1341:14:22
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
It has no bearing at all. The simple proof in that is year-over-year, the markets balance sheet is up and the revenue's down. The return opportunity is there because of customer activity when you're fixed income, both in the capital markets area, which leads to trading plus in the support for our investing clients area. If your fixed income dominated and rates go up and the clients step back, that's why the balance sheet wasn't needed. They were up significantly in the second quarter, and they gave some of that back. But there's no constraint on their growth if they can get the returns, and that's what Alastair Borthwick said earlier. The point is that we support that business. It's up several hundred billion dollars over the last few years, and we expect it to continue to grow.
完全没有影响。最简单的证明就是,同比来看,市场业务的资产负债表在增加,而收入在下降。回报机会之所以存在,是因为当你做固定收益时的客户活动,无论是在资本市场领域——这带来交易——还是在支持投资类客户的领域。如果你以固定收益为主,利率上升、客户退出,这就是为什么不需要那么多资产负债表的原因。他们在第二季度大幅增加了资产负债表,之后又退回了一部分。但只要他们能获得回报,他们的增长就没有限制,这就是 Alastair 前面说的。关键是我们支持这项业务。过去几年它增长了数千亿美元,我们预计它会继续增长。
P1351:15:04
But they have got to get the returns as they are growing. When customers stop cold like they did last quarter, that happens. It is irrelevant to the overall capital of the company because you can see the tangible common equity ratio was flat quarter-to-quarter, and the market's contribution to that flatness was and that is with an extra $1.2 billion hit, and the market's change was relatively minimal in the scheme of $3.5 trillion of assets.
但他们在增长的同时必须获得回报。当客户像上个季度那样骤然停下时,就会发生这种情况。这与公司的整体资本无关,因为你可以看到有形普通股权益比率环比持平,而市场业务对这种持平的贡献——而且这是在额外承受 12 亿美元冲击的情况下——在 3.5 万亿美元资产的大背景下,市场业务的变化相对很小。
P1361:15:32
Steven ChubakAnalyst, Wolfe Research
Helpful color, Brian. Thanks for taking my questions.
说明很有帮助,Brian。感谢回答我的问题。
P1371:15:37
Operator
Thank you. We will move on now to Vivek Juneja with J.P. Morgan. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请摩根大通的 Vivek Juneja 提问。您的线路已接通。
P1381:15:44
Vivek JunejaAnalyst, JPMorgan
Thanks. I want to follow up on two questions. Let me start with the first one. Brian and Alastair, the question that was just asked on the TCE ratio, how firm is that 6%? How much are you willing to let that go down, and under what environments?
谢谢。我想跟进两个问题。先从第一个开始。Brian 和 Alastair,刚才问到的 TCE 比率问题,这个 6% 有多坚定?你们愿意让它降到多低,在什么环境下?
P1391:16:04
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
It may drift down with outsized growth in the quarter. It is not like 6% is perfect and 5.99 is not. It is much more flexible around that. The real thing we talked about, Vivek, earlier in the call in multiple cases is there is lots of metrics around capital. We are waiting for the new capital rules. Alastair said that multiple times to ensure what happens there, and it is interface between the two that you have got to work through. The reality is, on the TCE, there is lots of optimization with a lot of excess capacity to lend $800 billion worth, and a lot of that not needed for liquidity, and a runoff of the securities portfolio that can, even within that $800 billion, can be repositioned. We have got lots of room to grow within the balance sheet and push the efficiency of balance sheet up.
在某个季度增长异常大的时候,它可能会向下漂移。并不是说 6% 就完美、5.99 就不行。它的弹性大得多。Vivek,我们在电话会前面多次谈到的真正要点是,资本有很多指标。我们在等待新的资本规则。Alastair 多次说过,要确保弄清会发生什么,还有两者之间的衔接需要处理。实际情况是,在 TCE 上有很大的优化空间,有大量的富余能力可以放贷 8000 亿美元,其中很多不是流动性所需要的,再加上证券组合到期,即使在这 8000 亿美元之内也可以重新配置。我们在资产负债表内有很大的增长空间,并能推高资产负债表的效率。
P1401:16:56
That metric will not constrain our ability to continue the consistent buyback principles of dividends, business growth, and all the current earnings goes back. Secondly, how we run the company and grow the various businesses that have calls for capital.
这个指标不会限制我们继续执行一贯的回购原则——股息、业务增长,以及把当期盈利全部返还。其次也不会限制我们如何经营公司、发展各个需要资本的业务。
P1411:17:17
Vivek JunejaAnalyst, JPMorgan
Thanks on that one. Let me just turn to the second one that I want to follow up on. Because Erika mentioned earlier there is a confidence issue which is reflecting your stock down over 7% this morning. Brian, it is obviously a surprise when you talked on the January 25 call, you talked about how everything was already in the run rate for fixing this issue, the AML issue. Yet clearly you had a huge charge this morning. It is not that you cannot absorb $1.2 billion, but obviously it is a reputational and confidence issue. What should we think about? How should we get confidence that this is really in the run rate? Is there a timeline that you can give us that we should look to would give us some update on how far you have had a deliverable that was due, and it is meeting requirements?
谢谢回答这个问题。我再转到想跟进的第二个问题。因为 Erika 前面提到存在信心问题,这反映在你们今天上午股价下跌超过 7% 上。Brian,这显然出乎意料,你在 1 月 25 日的电话会上谈到,解决这个问题——反洗钱问题——的一切都已经在运行成本中了。然而今天上午你们显然计提了一大笔费用。这并不是说你们吸收不了 12 亿美元,但这显然是一个声誉和信心问题。我们该怎么想?我们怎样才能相信这真的已经在运行成本中了?你们能否给出一个时间表,让我们据此看到你们进展到哪一步、有哪项到期的交付成果、以及它是否满足要求?
P1421:18:06
What is that next timeline so we know that it is actually now truly behind us, as opposed to the risk of more charges or more expenses?
下一个时间节点是什么,这样我们就知道它真的已经过去了,而不是有更多计提或更多费用的风险?
P1431:18:16
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
We just resolved the timely aspect of that, which is in the order. If you look at the cost across all the quarters, basically, 18.5-ish is the last three quarters, 18.6 down to 18.5, and we're telling you it's relatively flat. It's in the run rate. It's thousands of people. We're repositioning people from other units as we get the efficiencies to this, and then we'll let the headcount drain down. It's in the run rate. You could see it. I just gave some statistics to one of your colleagues. We're very confident that we're on the course. The key was to get agreement to what the resolution was, and that we have. We went back and forth on that a little bit earlier in the year. Now it's clarity as to exactly what the metrics, et cetera, they want to see.
我们刚刚解决了命令中的时间性问题。如果看所有季度的成本,基本上过去三个季度都在 18.5 左右,从 18.6 降到 18.5,我们告诉大家它相对持平。它已经在运行成本中了。涉及数千人。随着我们获得效率,我们在从其他部门调配人员来做这件事,然后我们会让员工人数自然减少。它已经在运行成本中了。大家可以看到。我刚才给你的一位同事提供了一些统计数据。我们非常有信心我们正走在正轨上。关键是就解决方案达成一致,我们已经做到了。今年早些时候我们在这方面有过一些来回。现在已经清楚他们具体想看到哪些指标等等。
P1441:19:10
We file a lot of SARs, et cetera, and we just had to be clear about what the metrics they were looking for under a new regime that modified the programs, and we're all set. Thank you.
我们提交了大量可疑活动报告(SAR)等等,我们只是需要弄清楚,在修改了这些项目的新制度下,他们希望看到哪些指标,现在我们都准备好了。谢谢。
P1451:19:26
Operator
Thank you. We'll move on now to Glenn Schorr with Evercore ISI. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请 Evercore ISI 的 Glenn Schorr 提问。您的线路已接通。
P1461:19:34
Glenn SchorrAnalyst, Evercore ISI
Hi there. Thanks. Follow-up on the fixed income markets front. I do think you have a great, excuse me, corporate munis and mortgage business, and the rate move was weird in the quarter. I get all that. My question is, have you been pushing to build rates, currencies, and commodities to be as big and broad as the other micro franchises, just so you don't have this imbalance from time to time that will always happen in markets?
你好。谢谢。跟进一下固定收益市场方面。我确实认为你们有一个很棒的——不好意思——公司债、市政债券和按揭业务,而本季度的利率变动很不寻常。这些我都理解。我的问题是,你们是否一直在推动把利率、货币和大宗商品业务做得和其他微观业务一样大、一样广,这样就不会时不时出现这种总会在市场业务中发生的失衡?
P1471:20:08
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Well, I should have said that earlier, Glenn. I feel like that has been a core discussion that we have sort of laid out over the course of the past two or three years. If you date back a while ago, Jimmy first started talking about we want to fill the gaps in our franchise. When we talk about investing in people and technology and balance sheet, what we are trying to do is take the strengths that we have, use those, continue to add, and then we want to invest in some other pieces. So we happen to have a bigger fixed income shop than we do equities. We know we can continue to invest in the equities business. As you point out, we feel like we can continue to do more with clients around the world in rates and foreign exchange and commodities.
嗯,我早该说这一点的,Glenn。我觉得这是我们过去两三年里一直在阐述的核心议题。往回看一段时间,Jimmy 最初就开始谈我们要补齐业务中的短板。我们谈到在人员、技术和资产负债表上投资时,我们试图做的是利用我们已有的优势,继续加码,然后投资于其他一些部分。所以我们的固定收益业务恰好比股票业务大。我们知道我们可以继续投资于股票业务。正如你指出的,我们认为在利率、外汇和大宗商品方面,我们可以与全球客户做更多业务。
P1481:20:50
This is one of the reasons that we stood up at Investor Day and said we see growth in all of our lines of business because this is an important contributor to us, and we have got pretty good growth opportunities in those areas. So yes is the answer. We have known that for a while. We continue to invest there, and I think you should expect to see us continue to grow.
这是我们在投资者日站出来说我们在所有业务线都看到增长的原因之一,因为这是我们重要的贡献来源,而且我们在这些领域有相当好的增长机会。所以答案是肯定的。我们早就知道这一点。我们继续在那里投资,我认为大家应该期待看到我们继续增长。
P1491:21:10
Glenn SchorrAnalyst, Evercore ISI
Okay. I appreciate that. Thank you.
好的。我很感谢。谢谢。
P1501:21:17
Operator
Thank you. We will move on now to Gerard Cassidy of RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.
谢谢。下面请 RBC Capital Markets 的 Gerard Cassidy 提问。您的线路已接通。
P1511:21:24
Gerard CassidyAnalyst, RBC Capital Markets
Thank you. Hi, Brian. Hi, Alastair.
谢谢。你好,Brian。你好,Alastair。
P1521:21:26
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Hi there.
你好。
P1531:21:28
Gerard CassidyAnalyst, RBC Capital Markets
Can you guys share with us, I noticed in your credit area asset quality, I think it's slide 12, you show us the reservable criticized utilized exposure, about $19.9 billion, down 25% year-over-year. Can you share with us the trends that drove that number lower? I know, Alastair, you talked about the consumer credit's in great shape. We all see that. What's driving these numbers this way, and you think those trends continue into 2027?
你们能否和我们分享一下,我注意到你们的信用资产质量部分,我想是第 12 页,你们展示了可计提拨备的关注类已用敞口,约 199 亿美元,同比下降 25%。能否和我们分享推动这个数字下降的趋势?我知道,Alastair,你谈到消费信贷状况很好。我们都看到了。是什么推动这些数字朝这个方向走,你认为这些趋势会延续到 2027 年吗?
P1541:22:00
Alastair BorthwickCFO
Well, this is our commercial metric, so it just takes into impact the lending we've done across the commercial loan categories. We've got pretty broad-based improvement. I'd say one of the bigger areas of improvement over the course of the past year has been commercial real estate office. We're at the very tail end of that now. The res crit is, I think, down 50% or 60% in that one area. So that's been an important contributor. When you're talking about a decline like this, i.e. an improvement like this in res crit, it's obviously broad-based. It's helped a great deal that the consumer is so strong and that the economy is strong. So that is just another piece of that evidence, Gerard, that the economy is in good place at this point.
嗯,这是我们的商业指标,所以它只反映了我们在各商业贷款类别中发放贷款的影响。改善相当全面。我想说,过去一年改善较大的领域之一是商业地产中的写字楼。我们现在已经处于尾声了。我想,仅这一个领域的关注类资产就下降了 50% 或 60%。所以这是一个重要的贡献因素。当你谈论这样的下降,也就是这样的关注类资产改善时,它显然是全面的。消费者如此强劲、经济如此强劲,对此帮助很大。所以,Gerard,这只是又一项证据,表明当前经济处于良好状态。
P1551:22:50
In terms of 2027, I would say this res crit number is pretty low relative to even pre-COVID numbers. I think this is the lowest we have had since COVID. So can it improve? Yes. But if you look at the charge-offs today in commercial, they are really, really low at $220 million for the quarter. So can they go a lot lower? Maybe a little lower, but I think we feel good about 2027. We do not necessarily see any change right now to the underlying credit quality, but it is a really low number at this point.
至于 2027 年,我想说,这个关注类资产数字相对于甚至疫情前的数字都相当低。我认为这是疫情以来我们的最低水平。所以它还能改善吗?能。但如果看今天的商业贷款核销,非常非常低,本季度只有 2.2 亿美元。所以它还能低很多吗?也许再低一点,但我认为我们对 2027 年感觉良好。我们目前不一定看到基础信用质量有任何变化,但这已经是一个非常低的数字了。
P1561:23:27
Gerard CassidyAnalyst, RBC Capital Markets
Very good. As a follow-up, I know this is not necessarily an easy question to answer, but clearly the economy, and we are all benefiting from the boom in AI and CapEx. We all see about the hyperscalers, what they are spending. Have you guys been able to get your arms or frame out what kind of indirect exposure Bank of America might have to the food service companies that are going out to these sites that are being built or the lodging owners that are housing people that are building these sites? Is there any secondary derivative analysis that you guys can do so that when the AI boom slows down, those businesses probably will be impacted at some point. Any thoughts on that?
很好。作为跟进,我知道这不一定是个容易回答的问题,但显然经济,我们都在受益于人工智能和资本开支的繁荣。我们都看到了超大规模云厂商的支出。你们有没有能够把握或勾勒出美国银行可能对以下领域有哪些间接敞口:去这些在建工地服务的餐饮服务公司,或者为建设这些工地的人提供住宿的酒店业主?有没有什么二次衍生分析,因为当人工智能繁荣放缓时,这些企业可能在某个时点受到影响。对此有什么想法?
P1571:24:16
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
I think, Gerard, the last part of your question kind of hits the point, which is if a chunk of growth, and the question of how big it is, you can get different economists and different people to argue, going on this year is due to AI activity, and that were to slow down, that would slow down sort of what is apparent AI, but also could have ripple effects through construction, staffing, and all the things you labeled. I think that would be a general economic move, and I think right now the nominal economy growing 5%+ with inflation down to 2%+ by our team. There is a lot of nominal activity, and that would slow down. The question then would be would inflation slow down and other things around it?
Gerard,我想你问题的最后一部分基本点到了要害,就是如果今年相当一部分增长——至于有多大,你可以找到不同的经济学家和不同的人来争论——是由人工智能活动带来的,而它放缓的话,那会放缓明显属于人工智能的部分,但也可能通过建筑、人员配置以及你列出的所有事情产生连锁反应。我认为那会是一种整体经济的变动,而且我认为目前名义经济增长 5% 以上,通胀在我们团队看来降至 2% 多一点。名义经济活动很多,而那会放缓。那么问题就是,通胀会不会放缓,以及它周边的其他因素?
P1581:25:02
At the end of the day, how much unemployment it would cause, which would be the ripple effects through the economy. If you think about new claims for unemployment, the last four weeks, I think, averaged 190 something, which is lower nominally than prior to the pandemic, which was less people working in the U.S. So people are employed. We can see that. They can see them getting more money. The question would be what would be the effect? We always are looking about every individual customer in terms of where the revenues come from in a commercial underwriting, do they have a concentration of customers that they are beholden to? If those change, how does that affect them as part of the underwriting? In other words, the strength of the cash flows, the diversity of cash flows, et cetera.
归根结底,它会造成多少失业,那将是对整个经济的连锁反应。看看新申领失业救济的人数,我想过去四周平均是 190 多(千人),这在名义上低于疫情前的水平,而当时美国就业的人更少。所以人们是有工作的。我们可以看到这一点。他们可以看到自己拿到更多的钱。问题在于影响会是什么。我们在商业承销中总是会看每一位客户的收入来源,他们是否集中依赖某些客户?如果这些发生变化,在承销时会对他们产生什么影响?换句话说,就是现金流的强度、现金流的多样性等等。
P1591:25:49
All that's taken into account. You know our credit quality is something in the commercial side, in the consumer side both, but especially commercial side, that is very durable through COVID, through other ups and downs. Commercial real estate, remember two years ago, you all thought we were going to eat a lot of commercial real estate. Didn't turn out to be true because the underlying underwriting we do is strong, and you should expect that that's going on through all our portfolios on a given day.
所有这些都考虑在内了。大家知道我们的信用质量,无论在商业方面还是消费方面,尤其是商业方面,在疫情期间以及其他起伏中都非常耐久。商业地产,记得两年前,你们都以为我们会在商业地产上吃大亏。结果并非如此,因为我们做的基础承销很扎实,你们应该预期在任何一天我们所有的组合都是如此。
P1601:26:17
Gerard CassidyAnalyst, RBC Capital Markets
Thank you. I look forward to seeing you guys at BAAB in November in Boston. Thank you, Brian. Thank you, Alastair.
谢谢。期待 11 月在波士顿的 BAAB 见到你们。谢谢你,Brian。谢谢你,Alastair。
P1611:26:22
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
That's all right. Thank you.
好的。谢谢。
P1621:26:25
Operator
Thank you. At this time, there are no further questions in queue. I will now turn the meeting over to Brian Moynihan.
谢谢。目前队列中没有更多问题。现在我把会议交还给 Brian Moynihan。
P1631:26:33
Brian MoynihanChair and CEO
I want to thank all of you. As you think about themes for the quarter, the key is we resolved the government discussion in the AML area. That penalty's paid in the third quarter. The expenses are in the run rate. Secondly, the markets activity, because of our strong business mix towards fixed income, hit us. We still made a lot of money trading this quarter. We made it very few days with low revenues. We feel very good about it. As we look forward, as Alastair said, we expect that we may not see quite the seasonal drop we've seen in past practices. But the key for Bank of America is diversity in businesses.
我要感谢大家。大家在思考本季度的主题时,关键在于我们在反洗钱领域解决了与政府的讨论。这笔罚款在第三季度支付。相关费用已在运行成本中。其次,市场业务活动由于我们偏重固定收益的强大业务结构而受到冲击。本季度我们的交易业务仍然赚了很多钱。我们只有极少数几天收入很低。我们对此感觉很好。展望未来,正如 Alastair 所说,我们预计可能不会看到过去那样的季节性回落。但对美国银行来说,关键在于业务的多元化。
P1641:27:15
On a normalized basis, we earned $8 billion plus $3.5 billion in the consumer business, $2 billion in the commercial lending business, $1.5 billion in the wealth management business, all of which had strong growth in revenue, strong growth in organic activity, great credit quality. You see that in the overall growth in deposits, loans, and importantly, the net interest income and the confidence we have going forward of both the projected growth and the net interest yield. Thank you, and we'll continue to drive this company for the benefit of our clients and you.
在正常化的基础上,我们赚了 80 亿美元以上,其中消费业务 35 亿美元,商业贷款业务 20 亿美元,财富管理业务 15 亿美元,这些业务都实现了强劲的收入增长、强劲的内生活动增长和很好的信用质量。大家可以从存款、贷款的整体增长中看到这一点,更重要的是从净利息收入,以及我们对预期增长和净利息收益率两方面的信心中看到这一点。谢谢大家,我们会继续为客户和大家的利益推动公司发展。
P1651:27:50
Operator
Thank you. This brings us to the end of today's meeting. We appreciate your time and participation. You may now disconnect.
谢谢。今天的会议到此结束。感谢各位的时间和参与。现在可以挂断了。