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NASDAQ 跟踪中 报表币种 USD · 财年截至 6 月 下次财报 2027-01-27(FY2027Q2) ⚖ 专题对比 · 云三强一年砸 6,000 亿建算力 ⚖ 专题对比 · 年砸 6,000 亿美金的算力豪赌
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349.2052 周551.15
总览/微软/财报分析/FY2026Q2/逐字稿

FY2026Q2 电话会逐字稿

2026-01-28 来源:谷歌财经 / Quartr 97 段 · 12 位发言人 4 段被报告引用FY2026Q2 季度页 →
译文 97/97 段 · 引用以英文原文为准

发言人

点击某位发言人,只突出显示其发言;再次点击恢复
姓名职位机构段落
Amy HoodCFOMicrosoft31
Satya NadellaChairman and CEOMicrosoft30
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor RelationsMicrosoft12
Operator9
Raimo LenschowAnalystBarclays3
Keith WeissAnalystMorgan Stanley2
Keith WeissAnalystMorgan Stanley2
Mark MoerdlerAnalystBernstein Research2
Karl KeirsteadAnalystUBS2
Brad ZelnickAnalystDeutsche Bank2
Mark MurphyAnalystJ.P. Morgan1
Brent ThillAnalystJefferies1

● 公司管理层 / 主持人 ● 外部分析师

P00100:00
Operator
...Greetings, and welcome to the Microsoft Fiscal Year 2026 second quarter earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce Jonathan Nielsen, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
各位好,欢迎参加微软 2026 财年第二季度财报电话会议。目前所有参会者均处于只听模式。正式介绍结束后将进入问答环节。如需接线员协助,请在电话键盘上按星号键加 0。提醒一下,本次会议正在录音。现在我很荣幸地介绍投资者关系副总裁 Jonathan Neilson。请开始。
P00200:32
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor Relations
Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today. On the call with me are Satya Nadella, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Amy Hood, Chief Financial Officer, Alice Jolla, Chief Accounting Officer, and Keith Dolliver, Corporate Secretary and Deputy General Counsel. On the Microsoft Investor Relations website, you can find our earnings press release and financial summary slide deck, which is intended to supplement our prepared remarks during today's call and provides the reconciliation of differences between GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. More detailed outlook slides will be available on the Microsoft Investor Relations website when we provide outlook commentary on today's call. On this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP items. The non-GAAP financial measures provided should not be considered as a substitute for or superior to the measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP.
各位下午好,感谢今天参加会议。和我一起参加电话会的有董事长兼首席执行官 Satya Nadella、首席财务官 Amy Hood、首席会计官 Alice Jolla,以及公司秘书兼副总法律顾问 Keith Dolliver。在微软投资者关系网站上,大家可以找到我们的财报新闻稿和财务摘要演示材料,用于补充今天电话会上的准备发言,并提供 GAAP 与非 GAAP 财务指标差异的调节表。在今天电话会上给出展望评论时,更详细的展望材料将在微软投资者关系网站上提供。本次电话会将讨论某些非 GAAP 项目。所提供的非 GAAP 财务指标不应被视为可以替代或优于按照 GAAP 编制的财务业绩指标。
P00301:25
They are included as additional clarifying items to aid investors in further understanding the company's second quarter performance, in addition to the impact these items and events have on the financial results. All growth comparisons we make on the call today relate to the corresponding period of last year, unless otherwise noted. We will also provide growth rates in constant currency when available, as a framework for assessing how our underlying businesses performed, excluding the effect of foreign currency rate fluctuations. Where growth rates are the same in constant currency, we will refer to the growth rate only. We will post our prepared remarks to our website immediately following the call until the complete transcript is available. Today's call is being webcast live and recorded. If you ask a question, it will be included in our live transmission, in the transcript, and in any future use of the recording.
它们作为额外的说明项目,帮助投资者进一步理解公司第二季度的业绩,以及这些项目和事件对财务结果的影响。除非另有说明,今天电话会上的所有增长比较均与上年同期相比。在可行的情况下,我们也会提供按固定汇率计算的增速,作为评估剔除汇率波动影响后基础业务表现的框架。当按固定汇率计算的增速相同时,我们只说一个增速。电话会结束后,我们会立即把准备发言发布到网站上,直到完整的逐字稿可用。今天的电话会正在网络直播并录音。如果您提问,问题将包含在直播、逐字稿以及录音的任何后续使用中。
P00402:21
You can replay the call and view the transcript on the Microsoft Investor Relations website. During this call, we will be making forward-looking statements, which are predictions, projections, or other statements about future events. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could materially differ because of factors discussed in today's earnings press release, in the comments made during this conference call, and in the Risk Factors section of our Form 10-K, Forms 10-Q, and other reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We do not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statement. With that, I'll turn the call over to Satya.
大家可以在微软投资者关系网站上回放电话会并查看逐字稿。本次电话会中,我们将作出前瞻性陈述,即关于未来事件的预测、预计或其他陈述。这些陈述基于当前的预期和假设,受到风险和不确定性的影响。由于今天财报新闻稿中讨论的因素、本次电话会上的评论,以及我们 10-K 表格、10-Q 表格和向美国证券交易委员会提交的其他报告和文件中风险因素部分所述的因素,实际结果可能存在重大差异。我们不承担更新任何前瞻性陈述的义务。下面我把会议交给 Satya。
P00503:07
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO
Thank you very much, Jonathan. This quarter, the Microsoft Cloud surpassed $50 billion in revenue for the first time, up 26% year-over-year, reflecting the strength of our platform and accelerating demand. We are in the beginning phases of AI diffusion and its broad GDP impact. Our TAM will grow substantially across every layer of the tech stack as this diffusion accelerates and spreads. In fact, even in this early innings, we have built an AI business that is larger than some of our biggest franchises that took decades to build. Today, I'll focus my remarks across the three layers of our stack: cloud and token factory, AI and platform, and high-value agentic experiences. When it comes to our cloud and token factory, the key to long-term competitiveness is shaping our infrastructure to support new high-scale workloads.
非常感谢 Jonathan。本季度微软云收入首次超过 500 亿美元,同比增长 26%,反映了我们平台的实力和不断加速的需求。我们正处于 AI 扩散及其对 GDP 广泛影响的初期阶段。随着这种扩散加速和蔓延,我们在技术栈每一层的总潜在市场都将大幅增长。事实上,即使在这个早期阶段,我们打造的 AI 业务已经比我们一些花了几十年才建立起来的最大业务还要大。今天我将围绕技术栈的三层展开:云与 token 工厂、AI 与平台,以及高价值的智能体体验。就云与 token 工厂而言,长期竞争力的关键在于塑造我们的基础设施,以支持新的大规模工作负载。
P00604:02
We are building this infrastructure out for the heterogeneous and distributed nature of these workloads, ensuring the right fit with the geographic and segment-specific needs for all customers, including the long tail. The key metric we are optimizing for is tokens per watt per dollar, which comes down to increasing utilization and decreasing TCO using silicon systems and software. A good example of this is the 50% increase in throughput we were able to achieve in one of our highest volume workloads, OpenAI inferencing, powering our copilots. Another example was the unlocking of new capabilities and efficiencies for our Fairwater data centers. In this instance, we connected both Atlanta and Wisconsin site through an AI WAN to build a first-of-its-kind AI super factory. Fairwater's two-story design and liquid cooling allow us to run higher GPU densities and thereby improve both performance and latencies for high-scale training.
我们正在针对这些工作负载异构和分布式的特性建设基础设施,确保契合所有客户(包括长尾客户)在地域和细分市场上的具体需求。我们优化的关键指标是“每瓦每美元的 token 数”,归根结底就是通过芯片、系统和软件提高利用率、降低总拥有成本。一个很好的例子是,我们在一个调用量最大的工作负载——为我们的 Copilot 提供支持的 OpenAI 推理——上实现了 50% 的吞吐量提升。另一个例子是为 Fairwater 数据中心解锁了新的能力和效率:我们通过 AI 广域网把亚特兰大和威斯康星两个站点连接起来,打造了首创的 AI 超级工厂。Fairwater 的双层设计和液冷让我们能够运行更高的 GPU 密度,从而提升大规模训练的性能并降低延迟。
P00704:59
All up, we added nearly 1 GW of total capacity this quarter alone. At the silicon layer, we have NVIDIA and AMD and our own Maia chips, delivering the best all-up fleet performance, cost, and supply across multiple generations of hardware. Earlier this week, we brought online our Maia 200 accelerator. Maia 200 delivers 10+ petaflops at FP4 precision with over 30% improved TCO compared to the latest generation hardware in our fleet. We will be scaling this, starting with inferencing and synthetic data gen for our super intelligence team, as well as doing inferencing for Copilot and Foundry. And given AI workloads are not just about AI accelerators, but also consume large amounts of compute, we are pleased with the progress we are making on the CPU side as well.
总体而言,仅本季度我们就新增了近 1 吉瓦的总算力。在芯片层,我们有 NVIDIA、AMD 以及自研的 Maia 芯片,在多代硬件中提供最佳的整体设备性能、成本和供给。本周早些时候,我们上线了 Maia 200 加速器。Maia 200 在 FP4 精度下提供 10 多 petaflops 的算力,总拥有成本比我们设备中的最新一代硬件改善 30% 以上。我们将扩大其规模,首先用于超级智能团队的推理和合成数据生成,以及 Copilot 和 Foundry 的推理。鉴于 AI 工作负载不仅涉及 AI 加速器,还会消耗大量通用算力,我们对 CPU 方面取得的进展也很满意。
P00805:52
Cobalt 200 is another big leap forward, delivering over 50% higher performance compared to our first custom-built processor for cloud-native workloads. Sovereignty is increasingly top of mind for customers, and we are expanding our solutions and global footprint to match. We announced DC investments in 7 countries this quarter alone, supporting local data residency needs. We offer the most comprehensive set of sovereignty solutions across public, private, and national partner clouds, so customers can choose the right approach for each workload with the local control they require. Next, I want to talk about the agent platform. Like in every platform shift, all software is being rewritten. A new app platform is being born.
Cobalt 200 是又一次巨大飞跃,在云原生工作负载上的性能比我们第一款定制处理器高出 50% 以上。主权日益成为客户最关心的问题,我们正在扩展解决方案和全球布局以满足需求。仅本季度我们就宣布在 7 个国家投资数据中心,以满足本地数据驻留需求。我们在公有云、私有云和国家合作伙伴云中提供最全面的主权解决方案,让客户可以在拥有所需本地控制权的前提下,为每个工作负载选择合适的方式。接下来我想谈谈智能体平台。和每一次平台转变一样,所有软件都在被重写,一个新的应用平台正在诞生。
P00906:38
You can think of agents as the new apps, and to build, deploy, and manage agents, customers will need a model catalog, tuning services, harness for orchestration, services for context engineering, AI safety, management, observability, and security. It starts with having broad model choice. Our customers expect to use multiple models as part of any workload that they can fine-tune and optimize based on cost, latency, and performance requirements. We offer the broadest selection of models of any hyperscaler. This quarter, we added support for GPT-5 too, as well as Claude 4.5. Already, over 1,500 customers have used both Anthropic and OpenAI models on Foundry. We are seeing increasing demand for region-specific models, including Mistral and Cohere, as more customers look for sovereign AI choices.
你可以把智能体看作新的应用。要构建、部署和管理智能体,客户需要模型目录、调优服务、编排框架、上下文工程服务、AI 安全、管理、可观测性和安全性。这从拥有广泛的模型选择开始。我们的客户希望在任何工作负载中使用多个模型,并能根据成本、延迟和性能要求进行微调和优化。我们提供所有超大规模云厂商中最丰富的模型选择。本季度我们新增了对 GPT-5 以及 Claude 4.5 的支持。已有超过 1500 家客户在 Foundry 上同时使用了 Anthropic 和 OpenAI 的模型。随着越来越多客户寻求主权 AI 选项,我们看到对 Mistral 和 Cohere 等区域性模型的需求在增加。
P01007:34
We continue to invest in our first-party models, which are optimized to address the highest value customer scenarios, such as productivity, coding, and security. As part of Foundry, we also give customers the ability to customize and fine-tune models. Increasingly, customers want to be able to capture the tacit knowledge they possess inside of model weights as their core IP. This is probably the most important sovereign consideration for firms as AI diffuses more broadly across our GDP, and every firm needs to protect their enterprise value. For agents to be effective, they need to be grounded in enterprise data and knowledge. That means connecting their agents to systems of record and operational data, analytical data, as well as semi-structured and unstructured productivity and communications data. And this is what we are doing with our Unified IQ layer, spanning Fabric, Foundry, and data powering Microsoft 365.
我们继续投资第一方模型,这些模型针对生产力、编程和安全等最高价值的客户场景进行了优化。作为 Foundry 的一部分,我们也让客户能够定制和微调模型。越来越多的客户希望把自己拥有的隐性知识沉淀到模型权重中,作为核心知识产权。随着 AI 在 GDP 中更广泛地扩散,这可能是企业最重要的主权考量,每家企业都需要保护自己的企业价值。智能体要发挥作用,就需要以企业数据和知识为依据。这意味着要把智能体与记录系统和运营数据、分析数据,以及半结构化和非结构化的生产力与沟通数据连接起来。这正是我们在横跨 Fabric、Foundry 和支撑 Microsoft 365 的数据的统一 IQ 层上所做的事情。
P01108:33
In the world of context engineering, Foundry Knowledge and Fabric are gaining momentum. Foundry Knowledge delivers better context with automated source routing and advanced agentic retrieval while respecting user permissions. Fabric brings together end-to-end operational, real-time, and analytical data. 2 years since it became broadly available, Fabric's annual revenue run rate is now over $2 billion, with over 31,000 customers, and it continues to be the fastest-growing analytics platform on the market, with revenue up 60% year-over-year. All up, the number of customers spending $1 million plus per quarter on Foundry grew nearly 80%, driven by strong growth in every industry. Over 250 customers are on track to process over 1 trillion tokens on Foundry this year. There are many great examples of customers using all of this capability on Foundry to build their own agentic systems.
在上下文工程领域,Foundry Knowledge 和 Fabric 正在获得动力。Foundry Knowledge 在尊重用户权限的前提下,通过自动来源路由和高级智能体检索提供更好的上下文。Fabric 汇集了端到端的运营数据、实时数据和分析数据。在全面上市 2 年后,Fabric 的年化收入运行率已超过 20 亿美元,客户超过 31000 家,仍是市场上增长最快的分析平台,收入同比增长 60%。总体而言,每季度在 Foundry 上支出 100 万美元以上的客户数量增长了近 80%,各行业都在强劲增长。超过 250 家客户有望在今年于 Foundry 上处理超过 1 万亿个 token。有很多客户利用 Foundry 的这些能力构建自己的智能体系统的好例子。
P01209:33
Alaska Airlines is creating natural language flight search, BMW is speeding up design cycles, Land O'Lakes is enabling precision farming for co-op members, and SymphonyAI is addressing bottlenecks in the CPG industry. And of course, Foundry remains a powerful on-ramp for the entire cloud. The vast majority of Foundry customers use additional Azure solutions like developer services, app services, databases as they scale. Beyond Fabric and Foundry, we are also addressing agent building by knowledge workers with Copilot Studio and Agent Builder. Over 80% of the Fortune 500 have active agents built using these low-code, no-code tools. As agents proliferate, every customer will need new ways to deploy, manage, and protect them. We believe this creates a major new category and significant growth opportunity for us.
Alaska Airlines 正在打造自然语言航班搜索,BMW 正在加快设计周期,Land O'Lakes 正在为合作社成员实现精准农业,SymphonyAI 正在解决快消品行业的瓶颈。当然,Foundry 仍然是通往整个云平台的强大入口:绝大多数 Foundry 客户在扩大规模时会使用开发者服务、应用服务、数据库等其他 Azure 解决方案。除了 Fabric 和 Foundry,我们还通过 Copilot Studio 和 Agent Builder 满足知识工作者构建智能体的需求。超过 80% 的财富 500 强拥有使用这些低代码、无代码工具构建的活跃智能体。随着智能体大量涌现,每个客户都需要新的方式来部署、管理和保护它们。我们相信这将创造一个重要的新品类,为我们带来巨大的增长机会。
P01310:28
This quarter, we introduced Agent 365, which makes it easy for organizations to extend their existing governance, identity, security, and management to agents. That means the same controls they already use across Microsoft 365 and Azure now extend to agents they build and deploy on our cloud or any other cloud. And partners like Adobe, Databricks, Genspark, Glean, NVIDIA, SAP, ServiceNow, and Workday are already integrating Agent 365. We are the first provider to offer this type of agent control plane across clouds. Now, let's turn to the high-value agentic experiences we are building. AI experiences are intent-driven and are beginning to work at task scope. We are entering an age of macro delegation and micro steering across domains. Intelligence using multiple models is built into multiple form factors.
本季度我们推出了 Agent 365,让组织可以轻松地把现有的治理、身份、安全和管理延伸到智能体上。这意味着他们在 Microsoft 365 和 Azure 中已经使用的那套管控措施,现在可以延伸到他们在我们的云或任何其他云上构建和部署的智能体。Adobe、Databricks、Genspark、Glean、NVIDIA、SAP、ServiceNow 和 Workday 等合作伙伴已经在集成 Agent 365。我们是第一家提供这种跨云智能体控制平面的厂商。下面谈谈我们正在打造的高价值智能体体验。AI 体验是意图驱动的,开始以任务为单位运作。我们正在进入一个在各领域“宏观委派、微观引导”的时代。使用多个模型的智能被内置在多种形态中。
P01411:26
You see this in chat, in new agent inbox apps, coworker scaffoldings, agent workflows embedded in applications and IDEs that are used every day, or even in our command line with file system access and skills. That's the approach we are taking with our first-party family of Copilot spanning key domains. In consumer, for example, Copilot experiences span chat, news, feed, search, creation, browsing, shopping, and integrations into the operating system, and it's gaining momentum. Daily users of our Copilot app increased nearly 3x year-over-year, and with Copilot Checkout, we have partnered with PayPal, Shopify, and Stripe so customers can make purchases directly within the app.... With Microsoft 365 Copilot, we are focused on organization-wide productivity. Work IQ takes the data underneath Microsoft 365 and creates the most valuable stateful agent for every organization.
你可以在聊天中、在新的智能体收件箱应用中、在“同事式”框架中、在每天使用的应用和 IDE 中嵌入的智能体工作流中,甚至在具有文件系统访问和技能的命令行中看到这一点。这就是我们在覆盖关键领域的第一方 Copilot 系列上所采用的方法。例如在消费者领域,Copilot 体验涵盖聊天、新闻、信息流、搜索、创作、浏览、购物以及与操作系统的整合,正在获得动力。Copilot 应用的日活跃用户同比增长近 3 倍;借助 Copilot Checkout,我们与 PayPal、Shopify 和 Stripe 合作,让客户可以直接在应用内购物。在 Microsoft 365 Copilot 上,我们专注于全组织范围的生产力。Work IQ 利用 Microsoft 365 底层的数据,为每个组织打造最有价值的有状态智能体。
P01512:22
It delivers powerful reasoning capabilities over people, their roles, their artifacts, their communications, and their history and memory, all within an organization's security boundary. Microsoft 365 Copilot's accuracy and latency, powered by Work IQ, is unmatched, delivering faster and more accurate work-grounded results than competition. We have seen our biggest quarter-over-quarter improvement in response quality to date. This has driven record usage intensity, with average number of conversations per user doubling year-over-year. Microsoft 365 Copilot also is becoming true daily habit, with daily active users increasing 10x year-over-year. We are also seeing strong momentum with Researcher Agent, which supports both OpenAI and Claude, as well as agent mode in Excel, PowerPoint, and Word. All up, it was a record quarter for Microsoft 365 Copilot seat adds, up over 160% year-over-year.
它能够对人员、角色、产出物、沟通记录以及历史和记忆进行强大的推理,而且全部在组织的安全边界之内。由 Work IQ 驱动的 Microsoft 365 Copilot 在准确性和延迟上无可匹敌,提供比竞争对手更快、更准确、基于工作数据的结果。我们实现了迄今最大的回答质量环比提升,这推动了创纪录的使用强度:每位用户的平均对话次数同比翻番。Microsoft 365 Copilot 也正成为真正的日常习惯,日活跃用户同比增长到 10 倍。我们还看到同时支持 OpenAI 和 Claude 的 Researcher 智能体,以及 Excel、PowerPoint 和 Word 中的智能体模式势头强劲。总体而言,Microsoft 365 Copilot 新增席位创下纪录,同比增长超过 160%。
P01613:21
We saw accelerating seat growth quarter-over-quarter, and now have 15 million paid Microsoft 365 Copilot seats and multiples more enterprise chat users. We are seeing larger commercial deployments. The number of customers with over 35,000 seats tripled year-over-year. Fiserv, ING, NASA, University of Kentucky, University of Manchester, US Department of Interior, and Westpac all purchased over 35,000 seats. Publicis alone purchased over 95,000 seats for nearly all its employees. We are also taking share in Dynamics 365 with built-in agents across the entire suite. A great example of this is how Visa is turning customer conversations data into knowledge articles with our Customer Knowledge Management Agent in Dynamics, and how Sandvik is using our Sales Qualification Agent to automate lead qualification across tens and thousands of potential customers. In coding, we are seeing strong growth across all paid GitHub Copilot.
我们看到席位增长环比加速,目前有 1500 万个 Microsoft 365 Copilot 付费席位,企业聊天用户数是其数倍。我们看到更大规模的商业部署:席位数超过 35000 的客户数量同比增长两倍。Fiserv、ING、NASA、University of Kentucky、University of Manchester、美国内政部和 Westpac 都采购了超过 35000 个席位。仅 Publicis 一家就为几乎所有员工采购了超过 95000 个席位。凭借整个套件中的内置智能体,我们也在 Dynamics 365 上获得份额。一个很好的例子是 Visa 如何借助 Dynamics 中的客户知识管理智能体把客户对话数据转化为知识文章,以及 Sandvik 如何使用销售资格审核智能体,对成千上万的潜在客户自动进行线索资格审核。在编程方面,我们看到所有付费 GitHub Copilot 产品都在强劲增长。
P01714:25
Copilot Pro plus subs for individual devs increased 77% quarter-over-quarter, and all up now, we have 4.7 million paid Copilot subscribers, up 75% year-over-year. Siemens, for example, is going all in on GitHub, adopting the full platform to increase developer productivity after a successful Copilot rollout to 30,000+ developers. GitHub Agent HQ is the organizing layer for all coding agents like Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, Cognition, and xAI in the context of customers' GitHub repos. With Copilot CLI and VS Code, we offer developers the full spectrum of form factors and models they need for AI-first coding workflows. And when you add Work IQ as a skill or an MCP to our developer workflow, it's a game changer, surfacing more context like emails, meetings, docs, projects, messages, and more.
面向个人开发者的 Copilot Pro+ 订阅环比增长 77%,目前付费 Copilot 订阅用户总数达到 470 万,同比增长 75%。例如,在向 3 万多名开发者成功推广 Copilot 之后,Siemens 正在全面拥抱 GitHub,采用整个平台以提高开发者生产力。GitHub Agent HQ 是在客户 GitHub 代码仓库的上下文中组织所有编程智能体(如 Anthropic、OpenAI、Google、Cognition 和 xAI)的一层。借助 Copilot CLI 和 VS Code,我们为开发者提供 AI 优先编程工作流所需的全套形态和模型。当你把 Work IQ 作为技能或 MCP 加入开发者工作流时,它会带来颠覆性变化,提供邮件、会议、文档、项目、消息等更多上下文。
P01815:21
You can simply ask the agent to plan and execute changes to your code base based on an update to a spec in SharePoint or using the transcript of your last engineering and design meeting in Teams. We are going beyond that with GitHub Copilot SDK. Developers can now embed the same runtime behind Copilot CLI, multi-model, multi-step planning tools, MCP integration, auth, streaming directly into their applications. In security, we added a dozen new and updated Security Copilot agents across Defender, Entra, Intune, and Purview. For example, Icertis's SOC team used Security Copilot agent to reduce manual triage time by 75%, which is a real game changer in an industry facing a severe talent shortage.
你可以直接让智能体根据 SharePoint 中某份规格说明的更新,或者使用 Teams 中最近一次工程与设计会议的转录稿,规划并执行对代码库的修改。我们还通过 GitHub Copilot SDK 更进一步:开发者现在可以把 Copilot CLI 背后同样的运行时——多模型、多步骤规划工具、MCP 集成、身份认证、流式输出——直接嵌入自己的应用中。在安全方面,我们在 Defender、Entra、Intune 和 Purview 中新增和更新了十几个 Security Copilot 智能体。例如,Icertis 的安全运营中心团队使用 Security Copilot 智能体把人工分诊时间减少了 75%,在一个面临严重人才短缺的行业中,这确实是颠覆性的变化。
P01916:12
To make it easier for security teams to onboard, we are rolling out Security Copilot to all our E5 customers, and our security solutions are also becoming essential to manage organizations' AI deployments. 24 billion Copilot interactions were audited by Purview this quarter, up 9x year-over-year. Finally, I want to talk about two additional high-impact agentic experiences. First, in healthcare, Dragon Copilot is the leader in its category, helping over 100,000 medical providers automate their workflows. Mount Sinai Health is now moving to a system-wide Dragon Copilot deployment for providers after a successful trial with its primary care physicians. All up, we helped document 21 million patient encounters this quarter, up 3x year-over-year. And second, when it comes to science and engineering, companies like Unilever in consumer goods and Synopsys in EDA are using Microsoft Discovery to orchestrate specialized agents for R&D end-to-end.
为了让安全团队更容易上手,我们正在向所有 E5 客户推出 Security Copilot,我们的安全解决方案也正成为管理组织 AI 部署的必需品。本季度 Purview 审计了 240 亿次 Copilot 交互,同比增长到 9 倍。最后,我想谈谈另外两个高影响力的智能体体验。第一,在医疗领域,Dragon Copilot 是该品类的领导者,帮助超过 10 万名医疗服务提供者实现工作流程自动化。Mount Sinai Health 在其初级保健医生试点成功后,正在全系统范围内为医护人员部署 Dragon Copilot。总体而言,本季度我们帮助记录了 2100 万次患者接诊,同比增长到 3 倍。第二,在科学与工程领域,消费品行业的 Unilever 和 EDA 领域的 Synopsys 等公司正在使用 Microsoft Discovery 编排专业智能体,实现端到端的研发。
P02017:16
They're able to reason over scientific literature and internal knowledge, formulate hypotheses, spin up simulations, and continuously iterate to drive new discoveries. Beyond AI, we continue to invest in all our core franchises and meet the needs of our customers and partners, and we are seeing strong progress. For example, when it comes to cloud migrations, our new SQL Server has over 2x the IaaS adoption of the previous version. In security, we now have 1.6 million security customers, including over 1 million who use 4 or more of our workloads. Windows reached a big milestone, 1 billion Windows 11 users, up over 45% year-over-year. We had share gains this quarter across Windows, Edge, and Bing.
它们能够对科学文献和内部知识进行推理、提出假设、启动模拟,并持续迭代以推动新的发现。除了 AI 之外,我们继续投资所有核心业务,满足客户和合作伙伴的需求,并看到了强劲的进展。例如在云迁移方面,新版 SQL Server 的 IaaS 采用量是上一版本的 2 倍以上。在安全方面,我们现在有 160 万安全客户,其中超过 100 万家使用我们 4 项或更多工作负载。Windows 达到了一个重要里程碑:Windows 11 用户达到 10 亿,同比增长超过 45%。本季度 Windows、Edge 和 Bing 都提升了份额。
P02118:05
Double-digit member growth in LinkedIn with 30% growth in paid video ads. In gaming, we are committed to delivering great games across Xbox, PC, Cloud, and every other device, and we saw record PC players and paid streaming hours on Xbox. In closing, we feel very good about how we are delivering for customers today and building the full stack to capture the opportunity ahead. With that, let me turn it over to Amy to walk through our financial results and outlook, and I look forward to rejoining for your questions.
LinkedIn 会员数实现两位数增长,付费视频广告增长 30%。在游戏方面,我们致力于在 Xbox、PC、云和其他所有设备上提供优秀的游戏,我们看到 PC 玩家数和 Xbox 付费串流时长都创下纪录。总之,我们对今天为客户交付的成果,以及为把握未来机会而打造的完整技术栈感觉非常好。下面请 Amy 介绍财务业绩和展望,我期待稍后回来回答大家的问题。
P02218:36
Amy HoodCFO
Thank you, Satya, and good afternoon, everyone. With growing demand for our offerings and focused execution by our sales teams, we again exceeded expectations across revenue, operating income, and earnings per share while investing to fuel long-term growth. This quarter, revenue was $81.3 billion, up 17% and 15% in constant currency. Gross margin dollars increased 16% and 14% in constant currency, while operating income increased 21% and 19% in constant currency. Earnings per share was $4.14, an increase of 24% and 21% in constant currency when adjusted for the impact from our investment in OpenAI. FX increased reported results slightly less than expected, particularly in Intelligent Cloud revenue.
谢谢 Satya,大家下午好。凭借产品需求的增长和销售团队专注的执行,我们的营收、营业利润和每股收益再次超出预期,同时持续投资推动长期增长。本季度营收为 813 亿美元,增长 17%,按固定汇率计算增长 15%。毛利额增长 16%,按固定汇率计算增长 14%;营业利润增长 21%,按固定汇率计算增长 19%。每股收益为 4.14 美元,剔除对 OpenAI 投资的影响后增长 24%,按固定汇率计算增长 21%。汇率对报告业绩的提振略低于预期,尤其是智能云收入。
P02319:25
Company gross margin percentage was 68%, down slightly year-over-year, primarily driven by continued investments in AI infrastructure and growing AI product usage that was partially offset by ongoing efficiency gains, particularly in Azure and M365 Commercial Cloud, as well as sales mix shift to higher margin businesses. Operating expenses increased 5% and 4% in constant currency, driven by R&D investments in compute capacity and AI talent, as well as impairment charges in our gaming business. Operating margins increased year-over-year to 47% ahead of expectations. As a reminder, we still account for our investment in OpenAI under the equity method, and as a result of OpenAI's recapitalization, we now record gains or losses based on our share of the change in their net assets on their balance sheet, as opposed to our share of their operating profit or losses from their income statement.
公司毛利率为 68%,同比略有下降,主要由于对 AI 基础设施的持续投资和 AI 产品使用量的增长,部分被持续的效率提升(尤其是在 Azure 和 M365 商业云中)以及销售结构向利润率更高的业务倾斜所抵消。营业费用增长 5%,按固定汇率计算增长 4%,主要由于在算力和 AI 人才上的研发投入,以及游戏业务的减值损失。营业利润率同比提高至 47%,好于预期。提醒一下,我们对 OpenAI 的投资仍按权益法核算;由于 OpenAI 的资本重组,我们现在按其资产负债表上净资产变动中我们所占的份额确认收益或损失,而不是按其利润表上的经营利润或亏损中我们所占的份额。
P02420:18
Therefore, we recorded a gain which drove other income and expense to $10 billion in our GAAP results. When adjusted for the OpenAI impact, other income and expense was slightly negative and lower than expected, driven by net losses on investments. Capital expenditures were $37.5 billion, and this quarter, roughly two-thirds of our CapEx was on short-lived assets, primarily GPUs and CPUs. Our customer demand continues to exceed our supply. Therefore, we must balance the need to have our incoming supply better meet growing Azure demand with expanding first-party AI usage across services like M365 Copilot and GitHub Copilot, increasing allocations to R&D teams to accelerate product innovation, and continued replacement of end-of-life server and networking equipment. The remaining spend was for long-lived assets that will support monetization for the next 15 years and beyond.
因此,我们确认了一笔收益,使 GAAP 业绩中的其他收入和费用达到 100 亿美元。剔除 OpenAI 的影响后,其他收入和费用略为负数,低于预期,主要由于投资净亏损。资本开支为 375 亿美元,本季度约三分之二的资本开支用于短寿命资产,主要是 GPU 和 CPU。客户需求继续超过我们的供给,因此我们必须在以下几方面之间平衡新增供给:更好地满足不断增长的 Azure 需求、M365 Copilot 和 GitHub Copilot 等服务中不断扩大的第一方 AI 使用、增加对研发团队的分配以加快产品创新,以及持续更换到期的服务器和网络设备。其余支出用于长寿命资产,这些资产将在未来 15 年及更长时间里支撑变现。
P02521:11
This quarter, total finance leases were $6.7 billion and were primarily for large data center sites, and cash paid for PP&E was $29.9 billion. Cash flow from operations was $35.8 billion, up 60%, driven by strong cloud billings and collections. Free cash flow was $5.9 billion and decreased sequentially, reflecting the higher cash capital expenditures from a lower mix of finance leases. Finally, we returned $12.7 billion to shareholders through dividend and share repurchases, an increase of 32% year-over-year. Now to our commercial results.
本季度融资租赁总额为 67 亿美元,主要用于大型数据中心站点;购置 PP&E 的现金支出为 299 亿美元。经营现金流为 358 亿美元,增长 60%,主要由于云业务强劲的开票和回款。自由现金流为 59 亿美元,环比下降,反映了因融资租赁占比降低而增加的现金资本开支。最后,我们通过股息和股票回购向股东返还了 127 亿美元,同比增长 32%。下面是商业业绩。
P02621:49
Commercial bookings increased 230% and 228% in constant currency, driven by the previously announced large Azure commitment from OpenAI that reflects multiyear demand needs, as well as the previously announced Anthropic commitment from November and healthy growth across our core annuity sales motions. Commercial remaining performance obligation, which continues to be reported net of reserves, increased to $625 billion and was up 110% year-over-year, with a weighted average duration of approximately 2.5 years. Roughly 25% will be recognized in revenue in the next twelve months, up 39% year-over-year. The remaining portion, recognized beyond the next twelve months, increased 156%. Approximately 45% of our commercial RPO balance is from OpenAI.
商业订单增长 230%,按固定汇率计算增长 228%,主要由于此前宣布的、反映多年需求的 OpenAI 大额 Azure 承诺,以及此前宣布的 11 月 Anthropic 承诺,加上核心年金型销售的健康增长。商业剩余履约义务(仍按扣除准备后的净额报告)增至 6250 亿美元,同比增长 110%,加权平均期限约 2.5 年。其中约 25% 将在未来十二个月内确认为收入,同比增长 39%;在未来十二个月之后确认的其余部分增长 156%。我们商业 RPO 余额中约 45% 来自 OpenAI。
P02722:42
The significant remaining balance grew 28% and reflects ongoing broad customer demand across the portfolio. Microsoft Cloud revenue was $51.5 billion and grew 26% and 24% in constant currency. Microsoft Cloud gross margin percentage was slightly better than expected at 67% and down year over year due to continued investments in AI that were partially offset by ongoing efficiency gains noted earlier. Now to our segment results. Revenue from productivity and business processes was $34.1 billion and grew 16% and 14% in constant currency. M365 Commercial Cloud revenue increased 17% and 14% in constant currency, with consistent execution in the core business and increasing contribution from strong Copilot results.
其余的大部分余额增长 28%,反映了整个产品组合持续广泛的客户需求。微软云收入为 515 亿美元,增长 26%,按固定汇率计算增长 24%。微软云毛利率为 67%,略好于预期,但因对 AI 的持续投资而同比下降,部分被前面提到的持续效率提升所抵消。下面是各分部业绩。生产力与业务流程分部收入为 341 亿美元,增长 16%,按固定汇率计算增长 14%。M365 商业云收入增长 17%,按固定汇率计算增长 14%,核心业务执行稳定,强劲的 Copilot 业绩贡献不断增加。
P02823:34
ARPU growth was again led by E5 and M365 Copilot, and paid M365 commercial seats grew 6% year-over-year to over 450 million, with installed base expansion across all customer segments, though primarily in our small and medium business and frontline worker offerings. M365 Commercial Products revenue increased 13% and 10% in constant currency ahead of expectations due to higher-than-expected Office 2024 transactional purchasing. M365 Consumer Cloud revenue increased 29% and 27% in constant currency, again driven by ARPU growth…. M365 consumer subscriptions grew 6%. LinkedIn revenue increased 11% and 10% in constant currency, driven by marketing solutions. Dynamics 365 revenue increased 19% and 17% in constant currency, with continued growth across all workloads.
ARPU 增长再次由 E5 和 M365 Copilot 带动;M365 商业付费席位同比增长 6%,超过 4.5 亿,各客户群体的装机量都在扩大,但主要来自中小企业和一线员工产品。M365 商业产品收入增长 13%,按固定汇率计算增长 10%,由于 Office 2024 交易性采购高于预期,好于预期。M365 消费云收入增长 29%,按固定汇率计算增长 27%,同样由 ARPU 增长推动。M365 消费订阅数增长 6%。LinkedIn 收入增长 11%,按固定汇率计算增长 10%,主要由营销解决方案推动。Dynamics 365 收入增长 19%,按固定汇率计算增长 17%,各类工作负载持续增长。
P02924:29
Segment gross margin dollars increased 17% and 15% in constant currency, and gross margin percentage increased, again, driven by efficiency gains at M365 Commercial Cloud that were partially offset by continued investments in AI, including the impact of growing Copilot usage. Operating expenses increased 6% and 5% in constant currency, and operating income increased 22% and 19% in constant currency. Operating margins increased year-over-year to 60%, driven by improved operating leverage, as well as the higher gross margins noted earlier. Next, the Intelligent Cloud segment. Revenue was $32.9 billion and grew 29% and 28% in constant currency.
分部毛利额增长 17%,按固定汇率计算增长 15%,毛利率上升,同样由 M365 商业云的效率提升推动,部分被对 AI 的持续投资(包括 Copilot 使用量增长的影响)所抵消。营业费用增长 6%,按固定汇率计算增长 5%;营业利润增长 22%,按固定汇率计算增长 19%。营业利润率同比提高至 60%,得益于经营杠杆的改善以及前面提到的更高毛利率。接下来是智能云分部。收入为 329 亿美元,增长 29%,按固定汇率计算增长 28%。
P03025:12
In Azure and other cloud services, revenue grew 39% and 38% in constant currency, slightly ahead of expectations, with ongoing efficiency gains across our fungible fleet, enabling us to reallocate some capacity to Azure that was monetized in the quarter. As mentioned earlier, we continued to see strong demand across workloads, customer segments, and geographic regions, and demand continues to exceed available supply. In our on-premises server business, revenue increased 2% and 1% in constant currency, ahead of expectations, driven by demand for our hybrid solutions, including a benefit from the launch of SQL Server 2025, as well as higher transactional purchasing ahead of memory price increases. Segment gross margin dollars increased 20% and 19% in constant currency. Gross margin percentage decreased year-over-year, driven by continued investments in AI and sales mix shift to Azure, partially offset by efficiency gains in Azure.
Azure 及其他云服务收入增长 39%,按固定汇率计算增长 38%,略好于预期;我们可互换设备的持续效率提升,使我们能够把部分产能重新分配给 Azure,并在当季实现变现。如前所述,我们继续看到各类工作负载、客户群体和地区的强劲需求,需求持续超过可用供给。在本地服务器业务中,收入增长 2%,按固定汇率计算增长 1%,好于预期,原因是对混合解决方案的需求,包括 SQL Server 2025 发布带来的利好,以及在内存涨价前较高的交易性采购。分部毛利额增长 20%,按固定汇率计算增长 19%。毛利率同比下降,原因是对 AI 的持续投资以及销售结构向 Azure 倾斜,部分被 Azure 的效率提升所抵消。
P03126:10
Operating expenses increased 3% and 2% in constant currency, and operating income grew 28% and 27% in constant currency. Operating margins were 42%, down slightly year-over-year, as increased investments in AI were mostly offset by improved operating leverage. Now to more personal computing. Revenue was $14.3 billion and declined 3%. Windows OEM and devices revenue increased 1% and was relatively unchanged in constant currency. Windows OEM grew 5% with strong execution, as well as a continued benefit from Windows 10 end of support. Results were ahead of expectations as inventory levels remained elevated, with increased purchasing ahead of memory price increases. Search and news advertising revenue, ex TAC, increased 10% and 9% in constant currency, slightly below expectations, driven by some execution challenges. As expected, the sequential growth rate moderated as the benefit from third-party partnerships normalized.
营业费用增长 3%,按固定汇率计算增长 2%;营业利润增长 28%,按固定汇率计算增长 27%。营业利润率为 42%,同比略有下降,因为增加的 AI 投资大部分被经营杠杆的改善所抵消。接下来是更多个人计算分部。收入为 143 亿美元,下降 3%。Windows OEM 及设备收入增长 1%,按固定汇率计算基本持平。Windows OEM 增长 5%,得益于强劲的执行以及 Windows 10 停止支持带来的持续利好。由于库存水平仍然偏高,加上内存涨价前采购增加,业绩好于预期。剔除流量获取成本后的搜索与新闻广告收入增长 10%,按固定汇率计算增长 9%,略低于预期,原因是一些执行上的挑战。正如预期,随着第三方合作带来的利好正常化,环比增速有所放缓。
P03227:08
In gaming, revenue decreased 9% and 10% in constant currency. Xbox content and services revenue decreased 5% and 6% in constant currency and was below expectations, driven by first-party content with impact across the platform. Segment gross margin dollars increased 2% and 1% in constant currency, and gross margin percentage increased year-over-year, driven by sales mix shift to higher margin businesses. Operating expenses increased 6% and 5% in constant currency, driven by the impairment charges in our gaming business noted earlier, as well as R&D investments in compute capacity and AI talent. Operating income decreased 3% and 4% in constant currency, and operating margins were relatively unchanged year-over-year at 27%, as higher operating expenses were mostly offset by higher gross margins. Now, moving to our Q3 outlook, which, unless specifically noted otherwise, is on a US dollar basis.
游戏收入下降 9%,按固定汇率计算下降 10%。Xbox 内容与服务收入下降 5%,按固定汇率计算下降 6%,低于预期,原因是第一方内容的表现影响了整个平台。分部毛利额增长 2%,按固定汇率计算增长 1%,毛利率同比上升,原因是销售结构向利润率更高的业务倾斜。营业费用增长 6%,按固定汇率计算增长 5%,主要由于前面提到的游戏业务减值损失,以及在算力和 AI 人才上的研发投入。营业利润下降 3%,按固定汇率计算下降 4%,营业利润率同比基本持平于 27%,因为更高的营业费用大部分被更高的毛利率所抵消。下面谈谈第三季度展望,除非特别说明,均以美元计。
P03328:02
Based on current rates, we expect FX to increase total revenue growth by 3 points. Within the segments, we expect FX to increase revenue growth by 4 points in Productivity and Business Processes and 2 points in Intelligent Cloud and More Personal Computing. We expect FX to increase COGS and operating expense growth by 2 points. As a reminder, this impact is due to the exchange rates a year ago. Starting with the total company, we expect revenue of $80.65 billion-$81.75 billion, or growth of 15%-17%, with continued strong growth across our commercial businesses, partially offset by our consumer businesses.
按当前汇率,我们预计汇率将使总收入增速提高 3 个百分点。在分部层面,我们预计汇率将使生产力与业务流程分部的收入增速提高 4 个百分点,使智能云和更多个人计算分部提高 2 个百分点。我们预计汇率将使营业成本和营业费用增速提高 2 个百分点。提醒一下,这一影响源于一年前的汇率水平。先看公司整体,我们预计收入为 806.5 亿至 817.5 亿美元,增长 15% 至 17%,商业业务持续强劲增长,部分被消费者业务所抵消。
P03428:41
We expect COGS of $26.65 billion-$26.85 billion, or growth of 22%-23%, and operating expense of $17.8 billion-$17.9 billion, or growth of 10%-11%, driven by continued investment in R&D, AI compute capacity, and talent against a low prior year comparable. Operating margins should be down slightly year-over-year. Excluding any impact from our investments in OpenAI, other income and expense is expected to be roughly $700 million, driven by a fair market gain in our equity portfolio and interest income, partially offset by interest expense, which includes the interest payments related to data center finance leases. We expect our adjusted Q3 effective tax rate to be approximately 19%.
我们预计营业成本为 266.5 亿至 268.5 亿美元,增长 22% 至 23%;营业费用为 178 亿至 179 亿美元,增长 10% 至 11%,主要由于在上年同期低基数上对研发、AI 算力和人才的持续投入。营业利润率应同比略有下降。剔除对 OpenAI 投资的任何影响,其他收入和费用预计约为 7 亿美元,主要来自股权投资组合的公允价值收益和利息收入,部分被利息支出(包括与数据中心融资租赁相关的利息支付)所抵消。我们预计第三季度调整后有效税率约为 19%。
P03529:29
Next, we expect capital expenditures to decrease on a sequential basis due to the normal variability from cloud infrastructure build-outs and the timing of delivery of finance leases. As we work to close the gap between demand and supply, we expect the mix of short-lived assets to remain similar to Q2. Now, our commercial business. In commercial bookings, we expect healthy growth in the core business on a growing ex-pre base when adjusted for the OpenAI contracts in the prior year. As a reminder, the significant OpenAI contract signed in Q2 represents multiyear demand needs from them, which will result in some quarterly volatility in both bookings and RPO growth rates going forward. Microsoft Cloud gross margin percentage should be roughly 65%, down year-over-year, driven by continued investments in AI. Now to segment guidance.
其次,由于云基础设施建设的正常波动以及融资租赁的交付时间,我们预计资本开支将环比下降。在我们努力缩小供需缺口的过程中,预计短寿命资产的占比将与第二季度相近。下面是商业业务。在商业订单方面,剔除上一年 OpenAI 合同的影响后,我们预计核心业务在不断增长的到期基数上实现健康增长。提醒一下,第二季度签署的大额 OpenAI 合同代表了他们的多年期需求,这将导致未来订单和 RPO 增速出现一定的季度波动。微软云毛利率应约为 65%,同比下降,原因是对 AI 的持续投资。下面是分部指引。
P03630:19
In productivity and business processes, we expect revenue of $34.25 billion-$34.55 billion, or growth of 14%-15%. In M365 Commercial Cloud, we expect revenue growth to be between 13%-14% in constant currency, with continued stability in year-over-year growth rates on a large and expanding base. Accelerating Copilot momentum and ongoing E5 adoption will again drive ARPU growth. M365 commercial products revenue should decline in the low single digits, down sequentially, assuming Office 2024 transactional purchasing trends normalize. As a reminder, M365 commercial products include components that can be variable due to in-period revenue recognition dynamics. M365 consumer cloud revenue growth should be in the mid- to high-20% range, driven by growth at ARPU, as well as continued subscription volume.
生产力与业务流程分部,我们预计收入为 342.5 亿至 345.5 亿美元,增长 14% 至 15%。M365 商业云方面,我们预计按固定汇率计算收入增长在 13% 至 14% 之间,在庞大且不断扩大的基数上同比增速保持稳定。加速的 Copilot 势头和持续的 E5 采用将再次推动 ARPU 增长。假设 Office 2024 的交易性采购趋势正常化,M365 商业产品收入应下降低个位数百分比,环比放缓。提醒一下,M365 商业产品中包含因当期收入确认而可能波动的部分。M365 消费云收入增速应在 20% 的中高段,由 ARPU 增长以及订阅量的持续增长推动。
P03731:13
For LinkedIn, we expect revenue growth to be in the low double digits, and in Dynamics 365, we expect revenue growth to be in the high teens, with continued growth across all workloads. For Intelligent Cloud, we expect revenue of $34.1 billion-$34.4 billion, or growth of 27%-29%. In Azure, we expect Q3 revenue growth to be between 37% and 38% in constant currency against a prior year comparable that included significantly accelerating growth rates in both Q3 and Q4. As mentioned earlier, demand continues to exceed supply, and we will need to continue to balance the incoming supply we can allocate here against other priorities.
LinkedIn 方面,我们预计收入增长两位数的低段;Dynamics 365 方面,我们预计收入增长百分之十几的高段,各类工作负载持续增长。智能云分部,我们预计收入为 341 亿至 344 亿美元,增长 27% 至 29%。Azure 方面,我们预计第三季度按固定汇率计算收入增长在 37% 至 38% 之间,而上年同期第三和第四季度的增速都在显著加快,基数较高。如前所述,需求持续超过供给,我们需要继续在可分配给这里的新增供给与其他优先事项之间进行平衡。
P03831:57
As a reminder, there can be quarterly variability in year-on-year growth rates depending on the timing of capacity delivery and when it comes online, as well as from in-period revenue recognition, depending on the mix of contracts. In our on-premises server business, we expect revenue to decline in the low single digits as growth rates normalize following the launch of SQL Server 2025. Though increased memory pricing could create additional volatility in transactional purchasing. In more personal computing, we expect revenue to be $12.3 billion-$12.8 billion. Windows OEM and devices revenue should decline in the low teens. Growth rates will be impacted as the benefit from Windows 10 end of support normalizes and as elevated inventory levels come down through the quarter. Therefore, Windows OEM revenue should decline roughly 10%.
提醒一下,同比增速可能因产能交付和上线的时间,以及取决于合同组合的当期收入确认而出现季度波动。在本地服务器业务中,随着 SQL Server 2025 发布后增速正常化,我们预计收入将下降低个位数百分比,不过内存价格上涨可能给交易性采购带来额外波动。在更多个人计算分部,我们预计收入为 123 亿至 128 亿美元。Windows OEM 及设备收入应下降十几个百分点的低位。随着 Windows 10 停止支持带来的利好正常化,以及偏高的库存在季度内逐步下降,增速将受到影响。因此,Windows OEM 收入应下降约 10%。
P03932:43
The range of potential outcomes remains wider than normal, in part due to the potential impact on the PC market from increased memory pricing. Search and news advertising ex-TAC revenue growth should be in the high single digits. Even as we work to improve execution, we expect continued share gains across Bing and Edge, with growth driven by volume, and we expect sequential growth moderation as the contribution from third-party partnerships continues to normalize. And in Xbox content and services, we expect revenue to decline in the mid single digits against a prior year comparable that benefited from strong content performance, partially offset by growth in Xbox Game Pass, and hardware revenue should decline year-over-year. Now, some additional thoughts on the rest of the fiscal year and beyond. First, FX.
可能结果的区间仍比平时更宽,部分原因是内存价格上涨可能对 PC 市场产生影响。剔除流量获取成本后的搜索与新闻广告收入增长应在高个位数百分比。即使我们在努力改进执行,我们预计 Bing 和 Edge 的份额将继续提升,增长由搜索量推动;随着第三方合作的贡献继续正常化,我们预计环比增速将放缓。在 Xbox 内容与服务方面,由于上年同期受益于强劲的内容表现,我们预计收入将下降中个位数百分比,部分被 Xbox Game Pass 的增长所抵消;硬件收入应同比下降。下面谈谈对本财年余下时间及以后的一些补充想法。首先是汇率。
P04033:30
Based on current rates, we expect FX to increase Q4 total revenue and COGS growth by less than 1 point, with no impact to operating expense growth. Within the segments, we expect FX to increase revenue growth by roughly 1 point in Productivity and Business Processes and More Personal Computing and less than 1 point in Intelligent Cloud. With the strong work delivered in H1 to prioritize investment in key growth areas and the favorable impact from a higher mix of revenue in our Windows OEM and commercial on-prem businesses, we now expect FY 2026 operating margins to be up slightly. We mentioned the potential impact on Windows OEM and on-premises server markets from increased memory pricing earlier. In addition, rising memory prices would impact capital expenditures, though the impact on Microsoft Cloud gross margins will build more gradually as these assets depreciate over 6 years.
按当前汇率,我们预计汇率将使第四季度总收入和营业成本增速提高不到 1 个百分点,对营业费用增速没有影响。在分部层面,我们预计汇率将使生产力与业务流程分部和更多个人计算分部的收入增速提高约 1 个百分点,使智能云分部提高不到 1 个百分点。凭借上半年在把投资优先投向关键增长领域方面所做的扎实工作,以及 Windows OEM 和商业本地部署业务收入占比提高带来的有利影响,我们现在预计 2026 财年营业利润率将小幅提高。我们前面提到了内存价格上涨对 Windows OEM 和本地服务器市场的潜在影响。此外,内存价格上涨也会影响资本开支,不过对微软云毛利率的影响会随着这些资产在 6 年内折旧而逐步显现。
P04134:19
In closing, we delivered strong top-line growth in H1 and are investing across every layer of the stack to continue to deliver high-value solutions and tools to our customers. With that, let's go to Q&A. Jonathan?
总结一下,我们在上半年实现了强劲的收入增长,并正在技术栈的每一层进行投资,继续为客户提供高价值的解决方案和工具。下面进入问答环节。Jonathan?
P04234:35
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Amy. We'll now move over to Q&A. Out of respect for others on the call, we request that participants please only ask one question. Operator, can you please repeat your instructions?
谢谢 Amy。现在进入问答环节。出于对其他参会者的尊重,请每位参与者只问一个问题。接线员,请重复一下提问方式。
问答环节
P04334:51
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad, and a confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question comes from the line of Keith Weiss with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed.
谢谢。女士们、先生们,如需提问,请在电话键盘上按星号键加 1,提示音表示您的线路已进入提问队列。如需撤回提问,请按星号键加 2。使用免提设备的参与者,可能需要拿起听筒后再按星号键。第一个问题来自 Morgan Stanley 的 Keith Weiss。请提问。
P04435:21
Keith WeissAnalyst, Morgan Stanley
Excellent. Thank you, guys, for taking the question. I'm looking at a Microsoft print where earnings is growing 24% year-on-year, which is a spectacular result. Great execution on your part. Top line growing well, margins expanding. But I'm looking at after-hours trading, and the stock is still down. And I think one of the core issues that is weighing on investors is CapEx is growing faster than we expected, and maybe Azure is growing a little bit slower than we expected. And I think that fundamentally comes down to a concern on the ROI on this CapEx spend over time. So I was hoping you guys could help us fill in some of the blanks a little bit in terms of how should we think about capacity expansion and what that can yield in terms of Azure growth going forward?
很好,感谢回答问题。我看到微软这份财报的盈利同比增长 24%,这是非常出色的成绩,执行得很好:收入增长良好,利润率扩张。但我看盘后交易,股价仍在下跌。我认为压在投资者心头的一个核心问题是,资本开支增长快于我们的预期,而 Azure 增长可能略慢于我们的预期。我认为这根本上归结为对这些资本开支长期投资回报的担忧。所以我希望你们能帮我们补上一些空白:我们应该如何看待产能扩张,以及它能为未来的 Azure 增长带来什么?
P04536:11
More to the point, how should we think about the ROI on this investment as it comes to fruition? Thanks, guys.
更直接地说,随着这些投资逐步见效,我们应该如何看待它的投资回报?谢谢。
P04636:19
Amy HoodCFO
... Thanks, Keith. And let me start, and Satya can add some broader comments, I'm sure. I think the first thing, I think you really asked a very direct correlation that I do think many investors are doing, which is between the CapEx spend and seeing an Azure revenue number. And, you know, we tried last quarter, and I think again this quarter, to talk more specifically about all the places that the CapEx spend, especially the short-lived CapEx spend across CPU and GPU, and where that'll show up. Sometimes I think it's probably better to think about the Azure guidance that we give as an allocated capacity guide about what we can deliver in Azure revenue. Because as we spend the capital and put GPUs specifically, it applies to CPUs, but GPUs more specifically, we're really making long-term decisions.
谢谢 Keith。我先说,我相信 Satya 会补充一些更宏观的评论。首先,我认为你确实问到了一个很多投资者都在做的直接关联,也就是资本开支与 Azure 收入数字之间的关联。上个季度我们尝试过、这个季度我想我们再次尝试更具体地说明资本开支——尤其是 CPU 和 GPU 上的短寿命资本开支——花在哪些地方,以及会体现在哪里。有时候,我认为更好的理解方式是把我们给出的 Azure 指引看作一个“分配后产能”的指引,即我们在 Azure 收入上能交付多少。因为当我们投入资本、部署 GPU 时——这也适用于 CPU,但 GPU 更是如此——我们实际上是在做长期决策。
P04737:12
The first thing we're doing is solving for the increased usage in sales and the accelerating pace of M365 Copilot, as well as GitHub Copilot, our first-party apps. Then we make sure we're investing in the long-term nature of R&D and product innovation. And much of the acceleration that I think you've seen from us in products over the past bit is coming because we are allocating GPUs and capacity to many of the talented AI people we've been hiring over the past years. You end up with the remainder going towards serving the Azure capacity that continues to grow in terms of demand.
我们首先要满足的是销售中不断增长的使用量,以及 M365 Copilot 和 GitHub Copilot 这些第一方应用不断加快的发展速度。然后我们要确保投资于研发和产品创新这些长期性的东西。我想你们最近看到的我们在产品上的很多加速,都来自我们把 GPU 和产能分配给了过去几年招聘的许多优秀 AI 人才。剩下的部分才用于服务需求持续增长的 Azure 产能。
P04837:58
A way to think about it, because I think I get asked this question sometimes, is, you know, if I had taken the GPUs that just came online in Q1 and Q2, in terms of GPUs, and allocated them all to Azure, the KPI would have been over 40. And I think the most important thing to realize is that this is about investing in all the layers of the stack that benefit customers, and I think that's hopefully helpful in terms of thinking about capital growth. It shows in every piece. It shows in revenue growth across the business and shows as OpEx growth as we invest in our people.
一种理解方式——因为我有时会被问到这个问题——是:如果我把第一季度和第二季度刚上线的 GPU 全部分配给 Azure,这个关键指标会超过 40。我认为最重要的是要认识到,这是在投资技术栈中所有能让客户受益的层面,希望这有助于理解资本的增长。它体现在每一个方面:体现在整个业务的收入增长中,也体现在我们投资员工带来的营业费用增长中。
P04938:39
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO
Yeah, I think you, Amy, covered it. But basically, as an investor, I think when you think about our capital, and you think about the GM profile of our portfolio, you should obviously think about Azure, but you should think about M365 Copilot, and you should think about GitHub Copilot. You should think about Dragon Copilot, Security Copilot. All of those have a GM profile and lifetime value. I mean, if you think about it, acquiring an Azure customer is super important to us, but so is acquiring an M365 or a GitHub or a Dragon Copilot, which are all, by the way, incremental businesses and TAMs for us. And so we don't want to maximize just one business of ours.
是的,我认为 Amy 已经讲到了。但基本上,作为投资者,在考虑我们的资本以及我们产品组合的毛利率结构时,你显然应该考虑 Azure,但也应该考虑 M365 Copilot、GitHub Copilot、Dragon Copilot 和 Security Copilot。所有这些都有各自的毛利率结构和生命周期价值。我的意思是,获取一个 Azure 客户对我们非常重要,但获取一个 M365、GitHub 或 Dragon Copilot 客户同样重要,顺便说一句,这些对我们来说都是增量业务和增量市场。所以我们不想只最大化某一项业务。
P05039:23
We want to be able to allocate capacity while we're sort of supply constrained in a way that allows us to essentially build the best LTV portfolio. That's on one side, and the other one that Amy mentioned is also R&D. I mean, you got to think about compute is also R&D, and that's sort of the second element of it. And so we're using all of that, obviously, to optimize for the long term.
在供给受限的情况下,我们希望能够以一种让我们基本上构建出最佳生命周期价值组合的方式来分配产能。这是一方面;Amy 提到的另一方面是研发。你必须认识到,算力也是研发,这是第二个要素。所以我们显然在利用所有这些来为长期进行优化。
P05139:48
Keith WeissAnalyst, Morgan Stanley
Excellent. Thank you.
非常好,谢谢。
P05239:50
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Keith. Operator, next question, please.
谢谢 Keith。接线员,请接下一个问题。
P05339:55
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Mark Moerdler with Bernstein Research. Please proceed.
下一个问题来自 Bernstein Research 的 Mark Moerdler。请提问。
P05440:03
Mark MoerdlerAnalyst, Bernstein Research
Thank you very much for taking my question, and congrats on the quarter. One of the other questions we believe investors want to understand is how to think about your line of sight from hardware CapEx investment to revenue and margins. You capitalize servers over 6 years, but the average duration of your RPO is 2.5 years, up from 2 years last quarter. How do investors get comfortable that since this is a lot of this CapEx is AI-centric, that you'll be able to capture sufficient revenue over the 6-year useful life of the hardware to deliver solid revenue and gross profit dollars growth? Hopefully, one similar to the CPU revenue. Thank you.
非常感谢回答我的问题,祝贺本季度的业绩。我们认为投资者想理解的另一个问题是:如何看待从硬件资本开支到收入和利润率的可见性。你们把服务器按 6 年资本化,但 RPO 的平均期限是 2.5 年,上季度是 2 年。既然这些资本开支很大部分是以 AI 为中心的,投资者如何才能放心你们能在硬件 6 年的使用寿命内获得足够的收入,实现扎实的收入和毛利额增长?希望能与 CPU 的收入情况类似。谢谢。
P05540:47
Amy HoodCFO
Thanks, Mark. Let me start with at a high level, and Satya can add as well. I think, you know, when you think about average duration, I think what you're getting to is, and we need to remember, is that average duration is a combination of a broad set of contract arrangements that we have. A lot of them around things like M365 or our BizApp portfolio are shorter dated, right? Three-year contracts, and so they have, quite frankly, a short duration. The majority then, that's remaining are Azure contracts that are longer duration, and you saw that this quarter when we saw the extension of that duration from around 2 years to 2.5.
谢谢 Mark。我先从宏观层面说,Satya 也可以补充。我想,说到平均期限,你想说的是——我们也需要记住——平均期限是我们各种合同安排的综合结果。其中很多围绕 M365 或我们业务应用组合的合同期限较短,对吧?三年期合同,所以坦白说期限较短。剩下的大部分是期限较长的 Azure 合同,你在本季度也看到了,期限从大约 2 年延长到了 2.5 年。
P05641:35
The way to think about that is, you know, the majority of the capital that we're spending today, and a lot of the GPUs that we're buying, are already contracted for most of their useful life. So a way to think about that is, you know, much of that risk that I think you're pointing to isn't there because they're already sold for the entirety of their useful life. So part of it exists because you have this shorter dated RPO because of some of the M365 stuff. If you look at the Azure-only RPO, it's a little bit more extended. A lot of that is CPU basis. It's not just GPU.
可以这样理解:我们今天花的大部分资本,以及我们购买的很多 GPU,在其大部分使用寿命内都已经签约了。所以可以这样看:我想你所指的那种风险在很大程度上并不存在,因为它们在整个使用寿命内都已经售出。所以,较短期限的 RPO 部分是因为一些 M365 的业务。如果只看 Azure 的 RPO,期限会更长一些,其中很多是以 CPU 为基础的,不仅仅是 GPU。
P05742:19
On the GPU contracts that we've talked about, including for some of our largest customers, those are sold for the entire useful life of the GPU, and so there's not the risk to which I think you may be referring. Hopefully, that's helpful.
至于我们谈到的 GPU 合同,包括一些最大客户的合同,都是按 GPU 的整个使用寿命出售的,所以不存在我想你可能指的那种风险。希望这有所帮助。
P05842:34
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO
... Yeah, and just one other thing I would add, to it is, in addition to sort of what Amy mentioned, which is it's already contracted for the useful life, is we do use software to continuously run even the latest models on, the fleet, that is aging, if you will. So that's sort of what gives us that duration. And so, at the end of the day, we want to have— That's why we even think about aging the fleet constantly, right? So it's not about buying a whole lot of gear one year. It's about each year you ride the Moore's Law, you add, you use software, and then you optimize across all of it.
是的,我再补充一点。除了 Amy 提到的、在使用寿命内已经签约之外,我们还会用软件让即使是最新的模型也能持续运行在可以说正在老化的设备上。这就是让我们获得这种期限的原因。所以说到底,我们希望——这也是为什么我们甚至会持续考虑设备的代际更替,对吧?这不是在某一年买一大堆设备,而是每年顺着摩尔定律添置新设备,利用软件,然后在全部设备上进行优化。
P05943:13
Amy HoodCFO
And Mark, maybe to state this, in case it's not obvious, is that as you go through the useful life, actually, you get more and more and more efficient at its delivery. So where you've sold the entirety of its life, the margins actually improve with time. And so I think that may be a good reminder to people as we see that, obviously, in the CPU fleet all the time.
Mark,也许要明确一点,以防这不够明显:在整个使用寿命期间,你在交付上实际上会越来越高效。所以在已经售出整个使用寿命的情况下,利润率实际上会随着时间推移而提高。我想这对大家可能是一个很好的提醒,我们显然一直在 CPU 设备上看到这一点。
P06043:36
Mark MoerdlerAnalyst, Bernstein Research已校正
That's a great answer. I really appreciate it. Thank you.
这是很好的回答,我非常感激,谢谢。
P06143:41
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Mark. Operator, next question, please.
谢谢 Mark。接线员,请接下一个问题。
P06243:45
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Brent Thill with Jefferies. Please, please proceed.
下一个问题来自 Jefferies 的 Brent Thill。请提问。
P06343:52
Brent ThillAnalyst, Jefferies已校正
Thanks, Amy. On 45% of the backlog being related to OpenAI, I'm just curious if you can comment. There's obviously concern about the, you know, the durability, and I know maybe there's not much you can say on this, but I think everyone's concerned about the exposure and if you could maybe talk through your perspective on what both you and Satya are seeing.
谢谢 Amy。关于积压订单中有 45% 与 OpenAI 相关,我想知道您能否评论一下。外界显然对其持久性有担忧,我知道在这方面您可能不便多说,但我认为大家都担心这种敞口,能否谈谈您和 Satya 对此的看法?
P06444:20
Amy HoodCFO
I think maybe I would have thought about the question quite differently, Brent. The first thing to focus on is the reason we talked about that number is because 55% or roughly $350 billion is related to the breadth of our portfolio, a breadth of customers across solutions, across Azure, across industries, across geographies. That is a significant RPO balance, larger than most peers, more diversified than most peers, and frankly, I think we have super high confidence in it. When you think about that portion alone growing 28%, it's really impressive work on the breadth as well as the adoption curve that we're seeing, which is I think what I get asked most frequently. It's grown by customer segment, by industry, and by geo, and so it's very consistent.
Brent,我可能会用完全不同的方式来看这个问题。首先要关注的是,我们之所以谈到这个数字,是因为其中 55%、大约 3500 亿美元与我们广泛的产品组合相关,涵盖各种解决方案、Azure、各个行业和各个地区的广泛客户。这是一个非常可观的 RPO 余额,比大多数同行更大、更多元,坦白说,我们对它有非常高的信心。光是这部分就增长了 28%,这在覆盖广度以及我们看到的普及曲线上都是非常了不起的成绩——我想这也是我最常被问到的问题。它在各客户群体、各行业和各地区都有增长,非常一致。
P06545:12
If you're asking me about how do I feel about OpenAI and the contract and the health, listen, it's a great partnership. We continue to be their provider of scale. We're excited to do that. We sit under one of the most successful businesses built, and we continue to feel quite good about that. It's allowed us to remain a leader in terms of what we're building and being on the cutting edge of app innovation.
如果你问我对 OpenAI、这份合同以及其健康状况怎么看,听着,这是一个很好的合作关系。我们继续是他们的规模化服务提供商,我们很乐意这样做。我们处在有史以来最成功的业务之一的底层,我们对此仍然感觉相当好。这让我们在所构建的东西上保持领先,并处于应用创新的前沿。
P06645:42
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Brent. Operator, next question, please.
谢谢 Brent。接线员,请接下一个问题。
P06745:48
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Karl Keirstead with UBS. Please proceed.
下一个问题来自 UBS 的 Karl Keirstead。请提问。
P06845:54
Karl KeirsteadAnalyst, UBS
Okay, thank you very much. Satya, Amy, regardless of how you allocate the capacity between first party and third party, can you comment qualitatively on the amount of capacity that you have coming on? I think the 1 gigawatt added in the December quarter was extraordinary and hints that the capacity adds are accelerating. But I think a lot of investors have their eyes on Fairwater, Atlanta, Fairwater, Wisconsin, and would love some comments about the magnitude of the capacity adds, regardless of how they're allocated in the coming quarters. Thank you.
好的,非常感谢。Satya、Amy,不管你们如何在第一方和第三方之间分配产能,能否定性地谈谈即将上线的产能规模?我认为 12 月季度新增的 1 吉瓦非常惊人,暗示产能增加在加速。但我想很多投资者都在关注亚特兰大的 Fairwater 和威斯康星的 Fairwater,很想听听未来几个季度产能增加的规模,不管它们如何分配。谢谢。
P06946:32
Amy HoodCFO
Yeah, Karl, I think we've said a couple of things. We're working as hard as we can to add capacity as quickly as we can. You've mentioned specific sites like Atlanta or Wisconsin. Those are multi-year deliveries, so I wouldn't focus necessarily on specific locations. The real thing we've got to do, and we're working incredibly hard at doing it, is adding capacity globally. A lot of that will be added in the United States, the two locations you've mentioned, but it also needs to be added across the globe to meet the customer demand that we're seeing and the increased usage. You know, we'll continue to add both long-lived at, infrastructure.
好的,Karl,我想我们说过几件事。我们正在尽全力尽快增加产能。你提到了亚特兰大或威斯康星这样的具体站点,那些是多年期的交付,所以我不一定会聚焦在具体地点上。我们真正要做的、也在非常努力去做的,是在全球范围内增加产能。其中很多会在美国增加,包括你提到的两个地点,但也需要在全球各地增加,以满足我们看到的客户需求和不断增长的使用量。我们会继续增加长寿命的基础设施。
P07047:13
The way to think about that is we need to make sure we've got power and land and facilities available, and we'll continue to put GPUs and CPUs in them when they're done, as quickly as we can. And then finally, we'll try to make sure we can get as efficient as we possibly can on the pace at which we do that and how we operate them so that they can have the highest possible utility. And so I think, it's not really about, you know, two places, Karl. I, I would definitely abstract away from that. Those are multi-year delivery timelines, but really, we just need to get it done every location where we're currently in a build or, or starting to do that. We're working as quickly as we can.
可以这样理解:我们需要确保有可用的电力、土地和设施,一旦建好,我们就会尽快在其中部署 GPU 和 CPU。最后,我们会尽力在部署速度和运营方式上做到尽可能高效,使它们发挥尽可能高的效用。所以 Karl,我认为这其实不是关于两个地方,我肯定会把视角从那上面抽离出来。那些是多年期的交付时间表,但实际上,我们只需要在每一个正在建设或开始建设的地点把事情做完。我们正在尽快推进。
P07147:57
Karl KeirsteadAnalyst, UBS
Okay, got it. Thank you.
好的,明白了,谢谢。
P07248:00
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Karl. Operator, next question, please.
谢谢 Karl。接线员,请接下一个问题。
P07348:04
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Mark Murphy with JP Morgan. Please proceed.
下一个问题来自 JP Morgan 的 Mark Murphy。请提问。
P07448:11
Mark MurphyAnalyst, J.P. Morgan
Thank you so much. Satya, the performance achievements of the Maia 200 accelerator for inference looked quite remarkable, especially in comparison to TPUs and Trainium and Blackwell, which have just been around a lot longer. Can, can you put that accomplishment in perspective, in terms of how much of a core competency you think silicon might become for Microsoft? And Amy, are there any ramifications worth mentioning there in terms of supporting your gross margin profile for inference costs going forward?
非常感谢。Satya,Maia 200 加速器在推理上的性能表现看起来相当出色,尤其是与 TPU、Trainium 和 Blackwell 这些已经推出更久的产品相比。能否从更大的视角看待这一成就:您认为芯片可能在多大程度上成为微软的核心能力?Amy,在支撑你们未来推理成本相关的毛利率结构方面,有没有值得一提的影响?
P07548:47
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO
Yeah, no, thanks for the question. So a couple of things. One is we've been at this, in a variety of different forms, for a long, long time in terms of building our own silicon. And, so we're very, very thrilled about the progress with Maia 200. And, you know, especially when we think about running a GPT-5 too and the, the performance we're able to get in the gems, at FP4, just proves the point that, when you have, a new workload, a new shape of a workload, you can start innovating end-to-end, between the model and, and, and the silicon. And the entire system is just not even about just the silicon, the way, the networking works at, at rack scale that's optimized, with memory for, this particular workload.
好的,谢谢这个问题。有几点。第一,在自研芯片方面,我们以各种不同的形式已经做了很长很长时间。所以我们对 Maia 200 的进展感到非常非常兴奋。特别是当我们考虑运行 GPT-5 以及在 FP4 精度下获得的性能时,这恰恰证明了一点:当你面对一种新的工作负载、一种新形态的工作负载时,就可以在模型和芯片之间开始端到端的创新。而整个系统甚至不仅仅是芯片,还包括针对这种特定工作负载、在机柜层面结合内存进行优化的网络工作方式。
P07649:38
The other thing is we are obviously round-tripping and working very closely with our own super intelligence team with all of our models. As you can imagine, whatever we build will be all optimized for Maia. We feel great about it, and I think the way to think about all up is we're in such early innings. I mean, even just look at the amount of silicon innovation and systems innovation. Even since December, I think the new thing is everybody's talking about low latency inference. Right? One of the things we want to make sure is we're not locked into any one thing. If anything, we have great partnership with NVIDIA, with AMD. They're innovating, we're innovating. We want to fleet at any given point in time to have access to the best TCO.
另一点是,我们显然在与自己的超级智能团队就我们所有的模型进行反复迭代和密切合作。可以想象,我们构建的任何东西都会针对 Maia 进行优化。我们对此感觉很好,我认为整体来看,我们还处于非常早期的阶段。我的意思是,看看芯片创新和系统创新的数量。即使从 12 月以来,我认为新的话题是每个人都在谈低延迟推理,对吧?我们想确保的一点是不被锁定在任何一种东西上。如果说有什么的话,我们与 NVIDIA、AMD 有很好的合作关系,他们在创新,我们也在创新。我们希望我们的设备在任何时候都能获得最佳的总拥有成本。
P07750:30
And it's not a one-generation game. I think a lot of folks just talk about who's ahead. It's just remember, you have to be ahead all the—for all time to come. And that means you really want to think about, you know, having a lot of innovation that happens out there to be in your fleet so that your fleet is fundamentally advantaged at the TCO level. So that's kind of how I look at it, which is we are excited about Maia, we're excited about Cobalt, we're excited about DPU, our next. So we have a lot of systems capability. That means we can vertically integrate, and because we can vertically integrate doesn't mean we just only vertically integrate. And so we want to be able to have the flexibility here, and that's what you see us do.
而且这不是一代产品的游戏。我认为很多人只谈论谁领先。要记住,你必须在未来所有时间里都保持领先。这意味着你真正需要考虑的是,让外面发生的大量创新都进入你的设备,使你的设备在总拥有成本层面具有根本性优势。这就是我的看法:我们对 Maia 感到兴奋,对 Cobalt 感到兴奋,对我们的下一个 DPU 感到兴奋。所以我们有很多系统能力,这意味着我们可以垂直整合;但能够垂直整合并不意味着我们只做垂直整合。我们希望在这方面保持灵活性,这就是你们看到我们在做的事情。
P07851:17
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Mark. Operator, next question, please.
谢谢 Mark。接线员,请接下一个问题。
P07951:21
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Brad Zelnick with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed.
下一个问题来自 Deutsche Bank 的 Brad Zelnick。请提问。
P08051:28
Brad ZelnickAnalyst, Deutsche Bank
Great. Thank you very much. Satya, we heard a lot about frontier transformations from Judson at Ignite, and we've seen customers realize breakthrough benefits when they adopt the Microsoft AI stack. Can you help frame for us the momentum in enterprises embarking on these journeys, and any expectation for how much their spend with Microsoft can expand in becoming frontier firms? Thanks.
好的,非常感谢。Satya,我们在 Ignite 大会上从 Judson 那里听到了很多关于“前沿化转型”的内容,也看到客户在采用微软 AI 技术栈后获得了突破性的收益。能否帮我们描述一下企业踏上这些转型之旅的势头,以及在成为前沿企业的过程中,它们在微软的支出预计能扩大多少?谢谢。
P08151:51
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO
Yeah, thank you for that. So I think, one of the things that we are seeing, is the adoption across the three major suites of ours, right? So if you take M365, you take, what's happening with security, and you take GitHub. In fact, it's, it's fascinating. I mean, you know, these three things had effectively compounding effects for our customers in the past, like something like Entra as an identity system or Defender as the protection system, across all three was sort of super helpful. But so what now you're seeing is something like Work IQ, right? So, I mean, just to give you a flavor for it, the most important database underneath, for any company that uses Microsoft today is the data underneath Microsoft 365, and the reason is because it has all this tacit information, right? Who are your people?
好的,谢谢。我想我们看到的一件事,是我们三大套件的采用,对吧?比如 M365、安全领域正在发生的事情,以及 GitHub。事实上,这非常有意思。过去这三样东西对客户实际上就有复利效应,比如 Entra 这样的身份系统或 Defender 这样的防护系统,在这三者中都非常有帮助。而现在你看到的是 Work IQ 这样的东西,对吧?给你们一点感觉:对于今天任何使用微软的公司来说,底层最重要的数据库就是 Microsoft 365 底下的数据,原因是它拥有所有这些隐性信息,对吧?你的员工是谁?
P08252:47
What are their relationships? What are the projects they're working on? What are their artifacts, their communications? So that's a super important asset for any business process, business workflow context. In fact, the scenario I even had in my transcript around, you can now take Work IQ as an MCP server and, you know, GitHub repo and say, "Hey, please look at my design meetings for the last month in Teams and tell me if my repo reflects it." I mean, that's a pretty high-level way to think about how what is happening previously, perhaps with our tools business and our GitHub business, are suddenly now being transformative, right? That agentic plane is really transforming companies in some sense, right? That's, I think, the most magical thing, which is you deploy these things, and suddenly the agents are helping you coordinate, bring more leverage to your enterprise.
他们的关系是什么?他们在做什么项目?他们的产出物、沟通记录是什么?所以对于任何业务流程、业务工作流的上下文来说,这都是一项非常重要的资产。事实上,我在发言中甚至举过一个场景:你现在可以把 Work IQ 作为 MCP 服务器,配合 GitHub 代码仓库,说“请看看我过去一个月在 Teams 里的设计会议,告诉我我的代码仓库是否反映了这些内容”。这是一个相当高层次的视角,说明过去也许在我们的工具业务和 GitHub 业务中发生的事情,现在突然变得具有变革性,对吧?这个智能体平面在某种意义上真正在改变企业,对吧?我认为这是最神奇的地方:你部署了这些东西,智能体就突然开始帮你协调,为企业带来更大的杠杆。
P08353:44
Then on top of it, of course, there is the transformation, which is what businesses are doing. How should we think about customer service? How should we think about marketing? How should we think about finance? How should we think about that and build our own agents? That's where all the services in Fabric and Foundry, and of course, the GitHub tooling is helping them, or even the low-code, no-code tools. I had some stats on how much that's being used. But one of the more exciting things for me is these new agents systems, M365 Copilot, GitHub Copilot, Security Copilot, all coming together to compound the benefits of all the data and all the deployment. I think is probably the most transformative effect right now.
当然,在此之上还有企业自身正在进行的转型:我们应该如何看待客户服务?如何看待营销?如何看待财务?如何思考这些并构建我们自己的智能体?这正是 Fabric 和 Foundry 中的所有服务,当然还有 GitHub 工具,甚至低代码、无代码工具在帮助他们的地方。我给出了一些关于这些工具使用量的数据。但对我来说更令人兴奋的事情之一,是 M365 Copilot、GitHub Copilot、Security Copilot 这些新的智能体系统汇聚在一起,放大所有数据和所有部署的收益。我认为这可能是目前最具变革性的效应。
P08454:30
Brad ZelnickAnalyst, Deutsche Bank
Thank you. Very helpful.
谢谢,非常有帮助。
P08554:32
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Brad. Operator, we have time for one last question.
谢谢 Brad。接线员,我们还有时间回答最后一个问题。
P08654:38
Operator
The last question will come from the line of Raimo Lenschow with Barclays. Please proceed.
最后一个问题来自 Barclays 的 Raimo Lenschow。请提问。
P08754:44
Raimo LenschowAnalyst, Barclays
... Perfect. Thanks for squeezing me in. The last few quarters, we talked, besides the GPU side, we talked about CPU as well on the Azure side, and you had some operational changes at the beginning, or January last year. Can you speak what you saw there, and maybe put it more in a bigger picture in terms of clients realizing that their move to the cloud is important if they want to deliver proper AI? So, what are we seeing in terms of cloud transitions? Thank you.
好的,谢谢挤出时间回答我的问题。过去几个季度,除了 GPU 方面,我们也谈到了 Azure 的 CPU 方面,你们在去年年初,也就是 1 月,做了一些运营调整。能否谈谈你们在那里看到了什么?也许可以放在更大的背景下:客户是否意识到,如果想做好 AI,迁移上云很重要?我们在云迁移方面看到了什么?谢谢。
P08855:14
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO
I didn't quite-
我没太听清——
P08955:16
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor Relations
Sorry, Raimo, you were asking about the SMC, CPU side, or can you just repeat the question, please?
抱歉,Raimo,你问的是 CPU 方面吗?或者能否请你重复一下问题?
P09055:21
Raimo LenschowAnalyst, Barclays
Yeah. Yeah, yeah, yes, sorry. So I was wondering about the CPU side of Azure, because we had some operational changes there. You know, we also hear from the field a lot that people are realizing they need to be in the cloud if they want to do proper AI, and if that's kind of driving momentum. Thank you.
好的,好的,抱歉。我想问的是 Azure 的 CPU 方面,因为那里有一些运营调整。我们也从一线听到很多人意识到,如果想做好 AI,就需要上云,这是否在推动势头。谢谢。
P09155:41
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO
Yeah, I think I get it. So first of all, I had mentioned in my remarks that when you think about AI workloads, you shouldn't think of AI workloads as just AI accelerator compute, right? Because in some sense, it takes any agent, the agent will then spawn through tools use maybe a container, which runs obviously on compute. In fact, we have whenever we think about even the building out of the fleet, we think of in ratios. Even for a training job, by the way, an AI training job requires a bunch of compute and a bunch of storage, very close to compute, and so therefore, and in same thing in inferencing as well. So in inferencing with agent mode, would require you to essentially provision a computer, or computing resources to the agent.
好的,我想我明白了。首先,我在发言中提到,在考虑 AI 工作负载时,不应该把 AI 工作负载仅仅看作 AI 加速器的算力,对吧?因为在某种意义上,任何一个智能体在使用工具时可能会启动一个容器,而容器显然是运行在通用算力上的。事实上,我们在考虑设备建设时,都是按比例来考虑的。顺便说一句,即使是训练任务,一个 AI 训练任务也需要大量通用算力和大量紧邻算力的存储;推理也是一样。在智能体模式下的推理,基本上需要你为智能体配置一台计算机或计算资源。
P09256:29
They don't need GPUs. They're running on GPUs, but they need computers, which are compute and storage. So that's what's happening even in the new workload. The other thing you mentioned is the cloud migrations are still going on. In fact, one of the stats I had was SQL latest SQL Server growing as an IaaS service in Azure. And so that's one of the reasons why we have to think about our commercial cloud and keep it balanced with the rest of our AI cloud, because when clients bring their workloads and bring new workloads, they need all of these infrastructure elements in the region in which they're deploying.
它们不需要 GPU。它们依托 GPU 运行,但它们需要的是计算机,也就是通用算力和存储。这就是即使在新工作负载中也在发生的事情。你提到的另一点是,云迁移仍在进行。事实上,我给出的一个数据就是最新版 SQL Server 作为 Azure 中的 IaaS 服务在增长。这也是我们必须统筹考虑商业云、让它与其余的 AI 云保持平衡的原因之一,因为当客户迁入现有工作负载和新的工作负载时,他们需要在部署所在的区域拥有所有这些基础设施要素。
P09357:14
Raimo LenschowAnalyst, Barclays
Yeah. Okay, perfect. Thank you.
好的,非常好,谢谢。
P09457:16
Jonathan NielsenVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Raimo. That wraps up the Q&A portion of today's earnings call. Thank you for joining us today, and we look forward to speaking with you all soon.
谢谢 Raimo。今天财报电话会的问答环节到此结束。感谢大家今天的参与,我们期待很快与各位再次交流。
P09557:25
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO
Thank you all.
谢谢大家。
P09657:25
Keith WeissAnalyst, Morgan Stanley
Thank you.
谢谢。
P09757:28
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and we thank you for your participation. Have a great night.
谢谢。今天的会议到此结束。现在可以挂断了,感谢参与,祝大家晚上愉快。