FY2026Q1 电话会逐字稿
发言人
点击某位发言人,只突出显示其发言;再次点击恢复| 姓名 | 职位 | 机构 | 段落 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hood | CFO | Microsoft | 34 |
| Satya Nadella | Chairman and CEO | Microsoft | 28 |
| Jonathan Neilson | VP of Investor Relations | Microsoft | 12 |
| Operator | 9 | ||
| Keith Weiss | Analyst | Morgan Stanley | 3 |
| Kash Rangan | Analyst | Goldman Sachs | 3 |
| Brent Thill | Analyst | Jefferies | 2 |
| Mark Moerdler | Analyst | Bernstein Research | 2 |
| Karl Keirstead | Analyst | UBS | 2 |
| Mark Murphy | Analyst | JPMorgan | 2 |
| Brad Zelnick | Analyst | Deutsche Bank | 2 |
● 公司管理层 / 主持人 ● 外部分析师
P00100:00
Operator
Greetings and welcome to the Microsoft Fiscal Year 2026 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance, please press *0 on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce Jonathan Neilson, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
各位好,欢迎参加微软 2026 财年第一季度财报电话会议。目前所有参会者均处于只听模式。正式介绍结束后将进入问答环节。如需接线员协助,请在电话键盘上按星号键加 0。提醒一下,本次会议正在录音。现在我很荣幸地介绍投资者关系副总裁 Jonathan Neilson。请开始。
P00200:32
Jonathan NeilsonVP of Investor Relations
Good afternoon and thank you for joining us today. On the call with me are Satya Nadella, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Amy Hood, Chief Financial Officer, Alice Jolla, Chief Accounting Officer, and Keith Dolliver, Corporate Secretary and Deputy General Counsel. On the Microsoft Investor Relations website, we will provide an earnings press release and financial summary slide deck, which is intended to supplement our prepared remarks and provide the reconciliation of differences between GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. More detailed Outlook slides will be available on the Microsoft Investor Relations website. On this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP items. The non-GAAP financial measures provided should not be considered as a substitute for or superior to the measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP.
各位下午好,感谢今天参加会议。和我一起参加电话会的有董事长兼首席执行官 Satya Nadella、首席财务官 Amy Hood、首席会计官 Alice Jolla,以及公司秘书兼副总法律顾问 Keith Dolliver。我们将在微软投资者关系网站上提供财报新闻稿和财务摘要演示材料,用于补充准备发言,并提供 GAAP 与非 GAAP 财务指标差异的调节表。更详细的展望材料将在微软投资者关系网站上提供。本次电话会将讨论某些非 GAAP 项目。所提供的非 GAAP 财务指标不应被视为可以替代或优于按照 GAAP 编制的财务业绩指标。
P00301:23
They are included as additional clarifying items to aid investors in further understanding the company's first quarter performance, in addition to the impact these items and events have on the financial results. All growth comparisons we make on the call today relate to the corresponding period of last year unless otherwise noted. We will also provide growth rates in constant currency, when available, as a framework for assessing how our underlying business performed, excluding the effect of foreign currency rate fluctuations. Where growth rates are the same in constant currency, we will refer to the growth rate only. We will post our prepared remarks to our website. Today's call is being recorded. If you ask a question, it will be included in our live transmission, in the transcript, and in any future use of the recording.
它们作为额外的说明项目,帮助投资者进一步理解公司第一季度的业绩,以及这些项目和事件对财务结果的影响。除非另有说明,今天电话会上的所有增长比较均与上年同期相比。在可行的情况下,我们也会提供按固定汇率计算的增速,作为评估剔除汇率波动影响后基础业务表现的框架。当按固定汇率计算的增速相同时,我们只说一个增速。我们会把准备发言发布到网站上。今天的电话会正在录音。如果您提问,问题将包含在直播、逐字稿以及录音的任何后续使用中。
P00402:15
You can replay the call and view the transcript on the Microsoft Investor Relations website. During this call, we will be making forward-looking statements, which are predictions, projections, or other statements about future events. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could materially differ because of factors discussed in today's earnings press release, in the comments made in this conference call, and in the risk factor section of our Form 10-K, Forms 10-Q, and other reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We do not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statements. With that, I'll turn the call over to Satya.
大家可以在微软投资者关系网站上回放电话会并查看逐字稿。本次电话会中,我们将作出前瞻性陈述,即关于未来事件的预测、预计或其他陈述。这些陈述基于当前的预期和假设,受到风险和不确定性的影响。由于今天财报新闻稿中讨论的因素、本次电话会上的评论,以及我们 10-K 表格、10-Q 表格和向美国证券交易委员会提交的其他报告和文件中风险因素部分所述的因素,实际结果可能存在重大差异。我们不承担更新任何前瞻性陈述的义务。下面我把会议交给 Satya。
P00503:02
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO
Thank you, Jonathan. It was a very strong start to our fiscal year. Microsoft Cloud revenue surpassed $49 billion, up 26% year over year, and our commercial RPO increased over 50% to nearly $400 billion with a weighted average duration of only two years. We are seeing increasing demand and diffusion of our AI platform and family of Copilots, which is fueling our investments across both capital and talent. When it comes to infrastructure, we're building a planet-scale cloud and an AI factory, maximizing tokens per dollar per watt while supporting the sovereignty needs of customers and countries. We're innovating rapidly across the family of Copilots, spanning the high-value domains of information work, coding, security, science, health, and consumer.
谢谢 Jonathan。这是本财年一个非常强劲的开局。微软云收入超过 490 亿美元,同比增长 26%;商业 RPO 增长超过 50%,接近 4000 亿美元,加权平均期限只有两年。我们看到对 AI 平台和 Copilot 系列的需求和普及都在增加,这推动了我们在资本和人才两方面的投入。在基础设施方面,我们正在打造全球规模的云和 AI 工厂,在满足客户和各国主权需求的同时,最大化每美元每瓦的 token 数。我们正在 Copilot 系列上快速创新,覆盖信息工作、编程、安全、科学、医疗和消费者等高价值领域。
P00603:50
As you saw yesterday, we closed a new definitive agreement with OpenAI, marking the next chapter in what is one of the most successful partnerships and investments our industry has ever seen. This is a great milestone for both companies, and we continue to benefit mutually from each other's growth across multiple dimensions. Already, we have roughly 10x our investment. OpenAI has contracted an incremental $250 billion of Azure services. Our rev share, exclusive IP rights, and API exclusivity for Azure continue until AGI or through 2030, and we have extended the model and product IP rights through 2032. We are also energized to innovate and pursue AI advancements with both talent and compute investments that have real-world impact. With that, let's turn to our momentum across our AI platform and Copilots, as well as with agents.
正如大家昨天看到的,我们与 OpenAI 签署了新的最终协议,开启了我们行业有史以来最成功的合作和投资之一的新篇章。这对两家公司都是一个重要里程碑,我们在多个维度上持续从彼此的增长中共同受益。我们的投资回报已经达到约 10 倍。OpenAI 已签约增购 2500 亿美元的 Azure 服务。我们的收入分成、独家知识产权以及 Azure 的 API 独家权将持续到实现 AGI 或 2030 年为止,我们还把模型和产品知识产权的使用权延长到 2032 年。我们也很振奋,将通过人才和算力投资推动具有现实影响的 AI 创新与进步。下面谈谈我们在 AI 平台、Copilot 以及智能体方面的势头。
P00704:46
We have the most expansive data center fleet for the AI era, and we are adding capacity at an unprecedented scale. We will increase our total AI capacity by over 80% this year and roughly double our total data center footprint over the next two years, reflecting the demand signals we see. Just this quarter, we announced the world's most powerful AI data center, Fairwater in Wisconsin, which will go online next year and scale to 2 gigawatts alone. We have deployed the world's first large-scale cluster of NVIDIA GB300s. We are building a fungible, global fleet that's being continuously modernized and spans all stages of the AI lifecycle, from pre-training to post-training to synthetic data generation and inference. It also goes beyond Gen AI workloads to recommendation engines, databases, and streaming. We're optimizing this fleet across silicon, systems, and software to maximize performance and efficiency.
我们拥有面向 AI 时代最庞大的数据中心设备群,并正以前所未有的规模增加产能。根据我们看到的需求信号,今年我们将把 AI 总产能提高 80% 以上,并在未来两年把数据中心总规模大约翻一番。仅本季度,我们就宣布了世界上最强大的 AI 数据中心——位于威斯康星州的 Fairwater,它将于明年上线,单一站点将扩展到 2 吉瓦。我们部署了全球首个大规模 NVIDIA GB300 集群。我们正在建设一个可互换、持续更新的全球设备群,覆盖 AI 生命周期的各个阶段,从预训练到后训练,再到合成数据生成和推理。它还超越生成式 AI 工作负载,延伸到推荐引擎、数据库和流处理。我们正在芯片、系统和软件层面优化这个设备群,以实现性能和效率的最大化。
P00805:45
It's this combination of fungibility and continuous optimization that allows us to deliver the best ROI and TCO for us and our customers. For example, during the quarter, we increased the token throughput for GPT-4-1 and GPT-5, two of the most widely used models, by over 30% per GPU. We also have the most comprehensive digital sovereignty platform. Azure customers in 33 countries are now developing their own cloud and AI capabilities within their borders to meet local data residency requirements. In Germany, for example, OpenAI and SAP will rely on Azure to deliver new AI solutions to the public sector. On top of this infrastructure, we're building Azure AI Foundry to help customers build their own AI apps and agents. We have 80,000 customers, including 80% of the Fortune 500.
正是这种可互换性与持续优化的结合,让我们能够为自己和客户实现最佳的投资回报和总拥有成本。例如,本季度我们把 GPT-4.1 和 GPT-5 这两个使用最广泛的模型的每 GPU token 吞吐量提高了 30% 以上。我们还拥有最全面的数字主权平台:33 个国家的 Azure 客户正在本国境内发展自己的云和 AI 能力,以满足本地数据驻留要求。例如在德国,OpenAI 和 SAP 将依托 Azure 为公共部门提供新的 AI 解决方案。在这一基础设施之上,我们正在打造 Azure AI Foundry,帮助客户构建自己的 AI 应用和智能体。我们有 80000 家客户,包括 80% 的财富 500 强。
P00906:37
We offer developers and enterprise access to over 11,000 models, more than any other vendor, including, as of this quarter, OpenAI's GPT-5, as well as xAI's Grok-4. For example, Ralph Lauren used Foundry to build a conversational shopping experience in its app, enabling customers to describe what they're looking for and get personalized recommendations. Open Evidence used Foundry to create its AI-powered clinical assistant, which surfaces relevant medical information to physicians and helps streamline charting. When it comes to our first-party models, we're excited by the performance of our new MAI models for text, voice, and image generation, which debuted among the top in the industry leaderboards. We continue to make great progress with our Phi-3 family of SLMs, which now have been downloaded over 60 million times, up 3x YoY.
我们为开发者和企业提供超过 11000 个模型,比任何其他厂商都多,从本季度起包括 OpenAI 的 GPT-5 以及 xAI 的 Grok-4。例如,Ralph Lauren 使用 Foundry 在其应用中打造了对话式购物体验,让顾客描述想找的东西并获得个性化推荐。OpenEvidence 使用 Foundry 打造了 AI 驱动的临床助手,为医生提供相关医学信息并帮助简化病历记录。在第一方模型方面,我们对新的 MAI 文本、语音和图像生成模型的表现感到兴奋,它们一亮相就跻身行业排行榜前列。我们的 Phi-3 系列小语言模型也持续取得很好的进展,下载量已超过 6000 万次,同比增长到 3 倍。
P01007:33
Beyond models in Foundry, we are providing everything developers need to design, customize, and manage AI applications and agents at scale. Our new Microsoft Agent Framework helps developers orchestrate multi-agent systems with compliance, observability, and deep integration out of the box. For example, KPMG used the framework to modernize the audit process, connecting agents to internal data with enterprise-grade governance and observability. These kinds of real production-scale AI deployments are driving Azure's overall growth, and once again, this quarter, Azure took share. Now let's turn to applications and agents we ourselves are building on this platform. We now have 900 million monthly active users of our AI features across our products. Our first-party family of Copilots now has surpassed 150 million monthly active users across information work, coding, security, science, health, and consumer. When it comes to information work, we continue to innovate with Microsoft 365 Copilot.
除了 Foundry 中的模型,我们还提供开发者大规模设计、定制和管理 AI 应用及智能体所需的一切。新的 Microsoft Agent Framework 帮助开发者编排多智能体系统,开箱即具备合规、可观测性和深度集成能力。例如,KPMG 使用该框架实现了审计流程的现代化,把智能体与内部数据连接,并具备企业级的治理和可观测性。这类真正达到生产规模的 AI 部署正在推动 Azure 的整体增长,本季度 Azure 再次提升了份额。下面谈谈我们自己在这个平台上构建的应用和智能体。我们的 AI 功能在各产品中的月活跃用户达到 9 亿。我们的第一方 Copilot 系列在信息工作、编程、安全、科学、医疗和消费者领域的月活跃用户已超过 1.5 亿。在信息工作方面,我们继续围绕 Microsoft 365 Copilot 进行创新。
P01108:36
Copilot is becoming the UI for the Agentic AI experience. We have integrated chat and Agentic workflows into everyday tools like Outlook, Word, Excel, PowerPoint, and Teams. Just nine months since release, tens of millions of users across the Microsoft 365 customer base are already using chat. Adoption is accelerating rapidly, growing 50% quarter over quarter, and we continue to see usage intensity increase. This quarter, we also introduced Agent Mode, which turns single prompts into expert-quality Word documents, Excel spreadsheets, PowerPoint presentations, and then iterates to deliver the final product, much like Agent Mode in coding tools today. We're thrilled by the early response, including third-party benchmarks that rank it best in class. Beyond individual productivity, Copilot is multiplayer with Teams Mode announced this week.
Copilot 正在成为智能体 AI 体验的用户界面。我们已把聊天和智能体工作流整合进 Outlook、Word、Excel、PowerPoint 和 Teams 等日常工具。发布仅九个月,Microsoft 365 客户群中已有数千万用户在使用聊天功能。采用速度迅速加快,环比增长 50%,使用强度也持续提高。本季度我们还推出了智能体模式,它能把单条提示转化为专家水准的 Word 文档、Excel 表格和 PowerPoint 演示文稿,然后不断迭代交付最终成品,很像今天编程工具中的智能体模式。早期反响令我们非常兴奋,包括第三方基准测试将其评为同类最佳。除了个人生产力,随着本周发布的 Teams 模式,Copilot 也支持多人协作。
P01209:32
You can now invite colleagues into a Copilot conversation, and our collaborative agents like Facilitator and Project Manager prep meeting agendas, take notes, capture decisions, and kick off group tasks. We are seeing a growing Copilot agent ecosystem with top ISVs like Adobe, Asana, Jira, LexisNexis, SAP, ServiceNow, Snowflake, and Workday all building their own agents that connect to Copilot. Customers are also building agents for their mission-critical business processes and workflows using tools like Copilot Studio and integrating them into Copilot. The overall number of agent users doubled quarter over quarter, and just yesterday, we announced App Builder, a new Copilot agent that lets anyone create and deploy task-specific apps and agents in minutes grounded in Microsoft 365 context. All this innovation is driving our momentum. Customers continue to adopt Microsoft 365 Copilot at a faster rate than any other new Microsoft 365 suite.
你现在可以邀请同事加入 Copilot 对话,Facilitator、Project Manager 等协作型智能体会准备会议议程、做笔记、记录决定并启动小组任务。我们看到 Copilot 智能体生态不断壮大,Adobe、Asana、Jira、LexisNexis、SAP、ServiceNow、Snowflake 和 Workday 等顶级软件开发商都在构建与 Copilot 连接的智能体。客户也在使用 Copilot Studio 等工具为其关键业务流程和工作流构建智能体,并把它们整合进 Copilot。智能体用户总数环比翻番。就在昨天,我们发布了 App Builder,这是一个新的 Copilot 智能体,让任何人都能基于 Microsoft 365 上下文在几分钟内创建并部署面向特定任务的应用和智能体。所有这些创新都在推动我们的势头。客户采用 Microsoft 365 Copilot 的速度继续快于任何其他新的 Microsoft 365 套件。
P01310:38
All up, more than 90% of the Fortune 500 now use Microsoft 365 Copilot. Accenture, Bristol-Myers Squibb, EY Global, and the UK's Tax and Payment and Customs Authority all purchased over 15,000 seats this quarter. Lloyd’s Banking Group has deployed 30,000 seats, saving each employee an average of 46 minutes daily. A large majority of our enterprise customers continue to come back to purchase more seats. Our partner, PwC, alone added 155,000 seats this quarter and now has over 200,000 deployed across its global operations. In just six months, PwC employees interacted with Microsoft 365 Copilot over 30 million times, and they credit this agentic transformation with saving millions of hours in employee productivity. When it comes to coding, GitHub Copilot is the most popular AI pair programmer now with over 26 million users.
总体而言,超过 90% 的财富 500 强现在都在使用 Microsoft 365 Copilot。Accenture、Bristol-Myers Squibb、EY Global 以及英国税务海关总署本季度都采购了超过 15000 个席位。Lloyds Banking Group 已部署 30000 个席位,每位员工平均每天节省 46 分钟。我们的大多数企业客户都会回来采购更多席位。仅我们的合作伙伴 PwC 本季度就新增了 155000 个席位,目前已在全球业务中部署超过 200000 个。仅六个月里,PwC 员工与 Microsoft 365 Copilot 的交互就超过 3000 万次,他们认为这一智能体转型节省了数百万小时的工时。在编程方面,GitHub Copilot 是目前最受欢迎的 AI 结对编程工具,用户超过 2600 万。
P01411:36
For example, tens of thousands of developers at AMD use GitHub Copilot, accepting hundreds of thousands of lines of code suggestions each month and crediting it with saving months of development time. All up, GitHub is now home to over 180 million developers, and the platform is growing at the fastest rate in its history, adding a developer every second. 80% of new developers on GitHub start with Copilot within the first week. Overall, the rise of AI coding agents is driving record usage with over 500 million pull requests merged over the past year. Just yesterday at GitHub Universe, we introduced Agent HQ. GitHub Copilot and Agent HQ are the organizing layer for all coding agents, extending the GitHub primitives like PRs, issues, and actions to coding agents from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Cognition, xAI, as well as OSS and in-house models.
例如,AMD 的数万名开发者使用 GitHub Copilot,每月采纳数十万行代码建议,并认为它节省了数月的开发时间。总体而言,GitHub 目前是超过 1.8 亿开发者的家园,平台正以其历史上最快的速度增长,每秒新增一位开发者。GitHub 上 80% 的新开发者在第一周内就开始使用 Copilot。总的来说,AI 编程智能体的兴起正在推动创纪录的使用量,过去一年合并了超过 5 亿个拉取请求。就在昨天的 GitHub Universe 上,我们推出了 Agent HQ。GitHub Copilot 和 Agent HQ 是所有编程智能体的组织层,把拉取请求、问题和操作等 GitHub 基础构件延伸到来自 OpenAI、Anthropic、Google、Cognition、xAI 的编程智能体以及开源和内部模型。
P01512:35
GitHub now provides a single mission control to launch, manage, and review these agents, each operating from its own branch with built-in controls, observability, and governance. We're building a similar system in security with over three dozen agents in Copilot integrated across Entra, Defender, Purview, and Intune. For example, with our phishing triage agent in Defender, studies show that analysts can be up to 6.5 times more efficient in detecting malicious mails. In health, Dragon Copilot helps providers automate critical workflows. This quarter alone, we helped document over 17 million patient encounters, up nearly 5x year over year. More than 650 healthcare organizations have purchased our ambient listening tech to date, including University of Michigan Health, where over 1,000 physicians are actively using it. Finally, when it comes to AI consumer experiences, we are excited about all the progress Copilot is making, starting with Windows.
GitHub 现在提供统一的任务控制中心来启动、管理和审查这些智能体,每个智能体都在各自的分支上运行,并内置管控、可观测性和治理。我们正在安全领域构建类似的体系,在 Copilot 中整合了横跨 Entra、Defender、Purview 和 Intune 的三十多个智能体。例如,借助 Defender 中的钓鱼邮件分诊智能体,研究显示分析师检测恶意邮件的效率最多可提高 6.5 倍。在医疗领域,Dragon Copilot 帮助医疗服务提供者自动化关键工作流程。仅本季度,我们就帮助记录了超过 1700 万次患者接诊,同比增长到近 5 倍。迄今已有超过 650 家医疗机构采购了我们的环境聆听技术,包括 University of Michigan Health,那里有超过 1000 名医生在积极使用。最后,在 AI 消费者体验方面,我们对 Copilot 取得的所有进展感到兴奋,先从 Windows 说起。
P01613:36
Every Windows 11 PC now is an AI PC. Two weeks ago, we introduced new ways to speak naturally to your computer, including a Copilot wake word. With Vision, Copilot sees what you see on your screen, and you can have a real-time conversation about it. With Action, it takes real action on your behalf, interacting with both web and desktop apps. In Edge, we are introducing first-of-its-kind AI features to automate multi-step workflows within the browser and help you pick up right where you left off. Edge now has taken share for 18 consecutive quarters. In Bing, our overview pages now include embedded conversational capabilities. We took share again in search. Daily users of our Copilot consumer app increased nearly 50% quarter over quarter. Among many updates we made last week is Groups, which turns Copilot for the first time into a shared experience.
现在每台 Windows 11 电脑都是 AI 电脑。两周前,我们推出了用自然语言与电脑对话的新方式,包括 Copilot 唤醒词。借助 Vision,Copilot 能看到你屏幕上看到的内容,你可以就此进行实时对话;借助 Action,它能代表你采取实际行动,与网页和桌面应用交互。在 Edge 中,我们正在推出首创的 AI 功能,在浏览器内自动完成多步骤工作流,并帮助你从上次中断的地方继续。Edge 已连续 18 个季度提升份额。在 Bing 中,我们的概览页面现在内嵌了对话能力,我们在搜索上再次提升了份额。Copilot 消费者应用的日活跃用户环比增长近 50%。上周的众多更新中有一项是 Groups,它首次让 Copilot 成为一种共享体验。
P01714:37
We also are creating a great consumer subscription offer with Microsoft 365 Premium. It brings together our Office applications and advanced Copilot features with high usage limits, giving individuals the flexibility to bring their own AI to work in a secure way. Finally, in gaming, Copilot provides a voice-first immersive experience across PC, mobile, and our new Xbox Ally. Beyond our family of Copilots and AI platform, we are seeing strong momentum across the portfolio. Cloud migrations are accelerating. In data and analytics, Fabric revenue grew 60%, which is faster than any other data and analytics platform in the industry. We now have 28,000 paid Fabric customers. In databases, SQL DB hyperscale revenue was up nearly 75%, 50% in Cosmos DB. In business applications, Dynamics 365 gained share.
我们还在通过 Microsoft 365 Premium 打造出色的消费者订阅产品。它整合了 Office 应用和高级 Copilot 功能,并提供很高的使用上限,让个人能够以安全的方式把自己的 AI 带到工作中。最后,在游戏方面,Copilot 在 PC、移动端以及我们新的 Xbox Ally 上提供以语音为先的沉浸式体验。除了 Copilot 系列和 AI 平台,我们在整个产品组合中都看到了强劲势头。云迁移正在加速。在数据和分析方面,Fabric 收入增长 60%,快于业内任何其他数据和分析平台,我们现在有 28000 家 Fabric 付费客户。在数据库方面,SQL DB Hyperscale 收入增长近 75%,Cosmos DB 增长 50%。在业务应用方面,Dynamics 365 提升了份额。
P01815:32
In security, our end-to-end stack is now informed by 100 trillion daily signals, 1 billion monthly active users of Entra, 16 billion Copilot interactions audited by Purview, up 72% quarter over quarter, 40,000 Sentinel customers. We took share across all categories we serve in security. In LinkedIn, nearly 1.3 billion members. In gaming, we expanded our reach across every endpoint focused on our high-margin content and services. We launched critically acclaimed games like Keeper, Ninja Gaiden 4, and Outer Worlds 2, reaching 155 million monthly active users in Minecraft, an all-time high, and set new records for overall content and services revenue for the quarter. We also saw a great response to Xbox Ally launch two weeks ago and set new records for players on PC. In closing, our planet-scale cloud and AI factory, together with Copilots across high-value domains, is driving broad diffusion and real-world impact.
在安全方面,我们的端到端技术栈目前每天依托 100 万亿条信号,Entra 月活跃用户 10 亿,Purview 审计了 160 亿次 Copilot 交互(环比增长 72%),Sentinel 客户达 40000 家。我们在所服务的所有安全品类中都提升了份额。LinkedIn 会员接近 13 亿。在游戏方面,我们以高利润率的内容和服务为重点,扩大了在各类终端上的覆盖。我们推出了 Keeper、Ninja Gaiden 4 和 Outer Worlds 2 等广受好评的游戏,Minecraft 月活跃用户达到 1.55 亿,创历史新高,本季度内容与服务总收入也创下新纪录。两周前推出的 Xbox Ally 反响也很好,PC 玩家数创下新纪录。总之,我们的全球规模云和 AI 工厂,加上覆盖高价值领域的 Copilot,正在推动广泛的普及和现实影响。
P01916:38
We continue to increase our investments in AI across both capital and talent to meet the massive opportunity ahead. With that, let me turn it over to Amy to walk through our financial results and outlook. I look forward to rejoining for your questions.
我们将继续在资本和人才两方面加大对 AI 的投入,以把握面前的巨大机会。下面请 Amy 介绍财务业绩和展望,我期待稍后回来回答大家的问题。
P02016:50
Amy HoodCFO
Thank you, Satya, and good afternoon, everyone. First, as you heard from Satya, we were pleased to announce the next phase of our partnership with OpenAI yesterday. They continue to choose Microsoft to power their workloads, and together, we remain committed to driving innovation that meets real-world needs. Our Q1 results were not impacted by the deal signed this week. Now, on to the quarter. We delivered a strong start to our fiscal year, exceeding expectations across revenue, operating income, and earnings per share. We also saw continued share gains across many of our businesses, demonstrating our leadership position in key markets. This quarter, revenue was $77.7 billion, up 18% and 17% in constant currency. Gross margin dollars increased 18% and 16% in constant currency, while operating income increased 24% and 22% in constant currency.
谢谢 Satya,大家下午好。首先,正如大家从 Satya 那里听到的,我们很高兴昨天宣布了与 OpenAI 合作的下一阶段。他们继续选择微软来支撑其工作负载,我们将共同致力于推动满足现实需求的创新。我们第一季度的业绩没有受到本周所签协议的影响。下面谈谈本季度。我们为本财年开了一个好头,营收、营业利润和每股收益都超出预期。我们的许多业务也在持续提升份额,彰显了我们在关键市场的领先地位。本季度营收为 777 亿美元,增长 18%,按固定汇率计算增长 17%。毛利额增长 18%,按固定汇率计算增长 16%;营业利润增长 24%,按固定汇率计算增长 22%。
P02117:43
Earnings per share was $4.13, an increase of 23% and 21% in constant currency when adjusted for the impact of our investments in OpenAI. FX impact was roughly in line with guidance. Company gross margin percentage was 69%, down slightly year over year, driven by investments in AI, including the impact of scaling our AI infrastructure and the growing usage of our AI product features. This was partially offset by ongoing efficiency gains, particularly in Azure and M365 commercial cloud. Operating expenses increased 5% and 4% in constant currency, driven by investments in cloud and AI engineering, including compute capacity and AI talent to support product development across the portfolio. Operating margins increased year over year to 49% and were ahead of expectations with stronger than anticipated results in high-margin businesses this quarter.
每股收益为 4.13 美元,剔除对 OpenAI 投资的影响后增长 23%,按固定汇率计算增长 21%。汇率影响与指引大致相符。公司毛利率为 69%,同比略有下降,原因是对 AI 的投资,包括扩大 AI 基础设施规模以及 AI 产品功能使用量增长的影响;部分被持续的效率提升(尤其是在 Azure 和 M365 商业云中)所抵消。营业费用增长 5%,按固定汇率计算增长 4%,主要由于对云和 AI 工程的投资,包括为支持整个产品组合开发的算力和 AI 人才。营业利润率同比提高至 49%,好于预期,因为本季度高利润率业务的表现强于预期。
P02218:36
When adjusted for the impact from our investments in OpenAI, other income and expense was $401 million, as interest income more than offset interest expense, which includes the interest payments related to data center finance leases. Capital expenditures were $34.9 billion, driven by growing demand for our cloud and AI offerings. This quarter, roughly half of our spend was on short-lived assets, primarily GPUs and CPUs, to support increasing Azure platform demand, growing first-party apps and AI solutions, accelerating R&D by our product teams, as well as continued replacement for end-of-life server and networking equipment. The remaining spend was for long-lived assets that will support monetization for the next 15 years and beyond, including $11.1 billion of finance leases that are primarily for large data center sites. Cash paid for PP&E was $19.4 billion.
剔除对 OpenAI 投资的影响后,其他收入和费用为 4.01 亿美元,因为利息收入超过了利息支出(包括与数据中心融资租赁相关的利息支付)。资本开支为 349 亿美元,由云和 AI 产品不断增长的需求推动。本季度约一半的支出用于短寿命资产,主要是 GPU 和 CPU,以支持不断增长的 Azure 平台需求、不断扩大的第一方应用和 AI 解决方案、产品团队加速的研发,以及持续更换到期的服务器和网络设备。其余支出用于长寿命资产,这些资产将在未来 15 年及更长时间里支撑变现,其中包括 111 亿美元的融资租赁,主要用于大型数据中心站点。购置 PP&E 的现金支出为 194 亿美元。
P02319:31
As a reminder, the difference between total CapEx and cash paid for PP&E is primarily due to finance leases, as well as the normal timing of goods received but not yet paid. Cash flow from operations was $45.1 billion, up 32%, driven by strong cloud billings and collections, partially offset by higher supplier payments. Free cash flow increased 33% to $25.7 billion, with minimal impact from a sequential increase in CapEx, given the higher mix of finance leases. Finally, we returned $10.7 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Now to our commercial results. Commercial bookings increased 112% and 111% in constant currency and were significantly ahead of expectations, driven by Azure commitments from OpenAI, as well as continued growth in the number of $100 million plus contracts for both Azure and M365.
提醒一下,资本开支总额与购置 PP&E 现金支出之间的差异主要来自融资租赁,以及已收货但尚未付款的正常时间差。经营现金流为 451 亿美元,增长 32%,主要由于云业务强劲的开票和回款,部分被更高的供应商付款所抵消。自由现金流增长 33%,达到 257 亿美元;由于融资租赁占比较高,资本开支环比增加对其影响很小。最后,我们通过股息和股票回购向股东返还了 107 亿美元。下面是商业业绩。商业订单增长 112%,按固定汇率计算增长 111%,大幅超出预期,主要由于 OpenAI 的 Azure 承诺,以及 Azure 和 M365 单笔 1 亿美元以上合同数量的持续增长。
P02420:26
These results do not include any impact from the incremental $250 billion Azure commitments from OpenAI announced yesterday. Commercial remaining performance obligation increased to $392 billion and was up 51% year over year. The balance has nearly doubled over the past two years. Even with this growth, our weighted average duration has been relatively stable at approximately two years. Microsoft Cloud revenue was $49.1 billion ahead of expectations and grew 26% and 25% in constant currency. Microsoft Cloud gross margin percentage was slightly better than expected at 68% and down year over year due to the investments in AI that were partially offset by ongoing efficiency gains, as noted earlier. Now to segment results. Revenue from Productivity and Business Processes was $33 billion and grew 17% and 14% in constant currency.
这些业绩不包括昨天宣布的 OpenAI 增购 2500 亿美元 Azure 承诺的任何影响。商业剩余履约义务增至 3920 亿美元,同比增长 51%,余额在过去两年几乎翻了一番。即使有这样的增长,我们的加权平均期限仍相对稳定,约为两年。微软云收入为 491 亿美元,好于预期,增长 26%,按固定汇率计算增长 25%。微软云毛利率为 68%,略好于预期,但因对 AI 的投资而同比下降,部分被前面提到的持续效率提升所抵消。下面是各分部业绩。生产力与业务流程分部收入为 330 亿美元,增长 17%,按固定汇率计算增长 14%。
P02521:20
M365 commercial cloud revenue increased 17% and 15% in constant currency, with one point of benefit from end-period revenue recognition. Year over year growth was driven by both ARPU and seats, with ARPU growth again led by E5 and M365 Copilot. Paid M365 commercial seats grew 6% year over year, with installed base expansion across all customer segments, though primarily in our small and medium businesses and frontline worker offerings. M365 commercial products revenue increased 17% and 14% in constant currency ahead of expectations due to higher than expected Office 2024 transactional purchasing. M365 consumer cloud revenue increased 26% and 25% in constant currency, again driven by ARPU growth. M365 consumer subscriptions grew 7% to over 90 million. LinkedIn revenue increased 10% and 9% in constant currency, driven by marketing solutions. The talent solutions business was impacted by continued weakness in the hiring market.
M365 商业云收入增长 17%,按固定汇率计算增长 15%,其中有一个百分点来自期末收入确认的利好。同比增长由 ARPU 和席位共同推动,ARPU 增长再次由 E5 和 M365 Copilot 带动。M365 商业付费席位同比增长 6%,各客户群体的装机量都在扩大,但主要来自中小企业和一线员工产品。M365 商业产品收入增长 17%,按固定汇率计算增长 14%,由于 Office 2024 交易性采购高于预期,好于预期。M365 消费云收入增长 26%,按固定汇率计算增长 25%,同样由 ARPU 增长推动。M365 消费订阅数增长 7%,超过 9000 万。LinkedIn 收入增长 10%,按固定汇率计算增长 9%,主要由营销解决方案推动;人才解决方案业务受到招聘市场持续疲软的影响。
P02622:23
Dynamics 365 revenue increased 18% and 16% in constant currency, with continued growth across all workloads. Segment gross margin dollars increased 19% and 16% in constant currency, and gross margin percentage increased, driven by efficiency gains in M365 commercial cloud that were partially offset by investments in AI, including the impact of growing usage in M365 Copilot chat. Operating expenses increased 6% and 5% in constant currency, and operating income increased 24% and 20% in constant currency. Operating margins increased three points year over year to 62%, driven by the higher gross margin noted earlier, as well as improved operating leverage. Next, the Intelligent Cloud segment. Revenue was $30.9 billion and grew 28% and 27% in constant currency. In Azure and other cloud services, where we continue to see accelerating demand, revenue grew 40% and 39% in constant currency.
Dynamics 365 收入增长 18%,按固定汇率计算增长 16%,各类工作负载持续增长。分部毛利额增长 19%,按固定汇率计算增长 16%,毛利率上升,由 M365 商业云的效率提升推动,部分被对 AI 的投资(包括 M365 Copilot 聊天使用量增长的影响)所抵消。营业费用增长 6%,按固定汇率计算增长 5%;营业利润增长 24%,按固定汇率计算增长 20%。营业利润率同比提高三个百分点至 62%,得益于前面提到的更高毛利率以及经营杠杆的改善。接下来是智能云分部。收入为 309 亿美元,增长 28%,按固定汇率计算增长 27%。在需求持续加速的 Azure 及其他云服务中,收入增长 40%,按固定汇率计算增长 39%。
P02723:20
Results were ahead of expectations, driven by better than expected growth in our core infrastructure business, primarily from our largest customers. Azure AI services revenue was generally in line with expectations, and this quarter, demand again exceeded supply across workloads, even as we brought more capacity online. In our on-premise server business, revenue increased 1% and was relatively unchanged in constant currency. Results were ahead of expectations, driven by transactional purchasing of Windows Server 2025. Segment gross margin dollars increased 20% and 19% in constant currency, and gross margin percentage decreased year over year, driven by investments in AI that were partially offset by efficiency gains in Azure. Operating expenses increased 4% and operating income grew 27%. Operating margins were 43%, down only slightly year over year, as increased investments in AI were mostly offset by improved operating leverage. Now to More Personal Computing.
业绩好于预期,主要由于核心基础设施业务的增长好于预期,主要来自我们最大的客户。Azure AI 服务收入大致符合预期;本季度即使我们上线了更多产能,各类工作负载的需求仍再次超过供给。在本地服务器业务中,收入增长 1%,按固定汇率计算基本持平。由于 Windows Server 2025 的交易性采购,业绩好于预期。分部毛利额增长 20%,按固定汇率计算增长 19%,毛利率同比下降,原因是对 AI 的投资,部分被 Azure 的效率提升所抵消。营业费用增长 4%,营业利润增长 27%。营业利润率为 43%,同比仅略有下降,因为增加的 AI 投资大部分被经营杠杆的改善所抵消。接下来是更多个人计算分部。
P02824:17
Revenue was $13.8 billion and grew 4%. Windows OEM and devices revenue increased 6% year over year, significantly ahead of expectations, driven by strong demand ahead of Windows 10 end of support, as well as a benefit from inventory levels that remain elevated. Search and news advertising revenue ex-TAC increased 16% and 15% in constant currency, driven by growth in volume, as well as a continued benefit from third-party partnerships that was better than expected. In gaming, revenue decreased 2% and 3% in constant currency. Against a strong prior year comparable, Xbox content and services revenue increased 1% and was relatively unchanged in constant currency, driven by better than expected performance from third-party content. Segment gross margin dollars increased 11% and 10% in constant currency, and gross margin percentage increased year over year, driven by sales mix shift to higher margin businesses.
收入为 138 亿美元,增长 4%。Windows OEM 及设备收入同比增长 6%,大幅好于预期,原因是 Windows 10 停止支持前的强劲需求,以及仍然偏高的库存水平带来的利好。剔除流量获取成本后的搜索与新闻广告收入增长 16%,按固定汇率计算增长 15%,由搜索量增长以及好于预期的第三方合作持续利好推动。游戏收入下降 2%,按固定汇率计算下降 3%。在上年同期基数较高的情况下,Xbox 内容与服务收入增长 1%,按固定汇率计算基本持平,原因是第三方内容表现好于预期。分部毛利额增长 11%,按固定汇率计算增长 10%,毛利率同比上升,原因是销售结构向利润率更高的业务倾斜。
P02925:10
Operating expenses increased 4% and 3% in constant currency, and operating income increased 18% and 16% in constant currency. Operating margins increased three points year over year to 30%, driven by the higher gross margin noted earlier. Now, moving to our Q2 outlook, which, unless specifically noted otherwise, is on a U.S. dollar basis. Based on current rates, we expect FX to increase total revenue growth by two points. Within the segments, we expect FX to increase revenue growth by two points in Productivity and Business Processes and Intelligent Cloud, and one point in More Personal Computing. We expect FX to increase COGS and operating expense growth by one point. Starting with the total company, we expect revenue of $79.5 to $80.6 billion U.S. dollars, or growth of 14% to 16%. We expect COGS of $26.35 to $26.55 billion U.S.
营业费用增长 4%,按固定汇率计算增长 3%;营业利润增长 18%,按固定汇率计算增长 16%。营业利润率同比提高三个百分点至 30%,得益于前面提到的更高毛利率。下面谈谈第二季度展望,除非特别说明,均以美元计。按当前汇率,我们预计汇率将使总收入增速提高两个百分点。在分部层面,我们预计汇率将使生产力与业务流程分部和智能云分部的收入增速提高两个百分点,使更多个人计算分部提高一个百分点。我们预计汇率将使营业成本和营业费用增速提高一个百分点。先看公司整体,我们预计收入为 795 亿至 806 亿美元(原文:$79.5 to $80.6 billion),增长 14% 至 16%。我们预计营业成本为 263.5 亿至 265.5 亿美元(原文:$26.35 to $26.55 billion)。
P03026:04
dollars, or growth of 21% to 22%, and operating expense of $17.3 to $17.4 billion U.S. dollars, or growth of 7% to 8%. Operating margins should be relatively flat year over year and down sequentially, aligned with historic seasonality. Now, other income and expense. The combination of OpenAI's conversion to a public benefit corp and the ongoing nature of our partnership will result in increased volatility. Therefore, going forward, we'll provide our outlook excluding any impact from our investments in OpenAI. On that basis, in Q2, other income and expense is estimated to be roughly $100 million, as interest income will more than offset interest expense. We expect our Q2 effective tax rate to be approximately 19%. Next, capital expenditures. With accelerating demand and a growing RPO balance, we're increasing our spend on GPUs and CPUs.
增长 21% 至 22%;营业费用为 173 亿至 174 亿美元(原文:$17.3 to $17.4 billion),增长 7% 至 8%。营业利润率应同比基本持平,环比下降,与历史季节性一致。接下来是其他收入和费用。OpenAI 转为公益公司,加上我们合作的持续性质,将导致更大的波动。因此,今后我们给出的展望将剔除对 OpenAI 投资的任何影响。在此基础上,第二季度其他收入和费用预计约为 1 亿美元,因为利息收入将超过利息支出。我们预计第二季度有效税率约为 19%。接下来是资本开支。随着需求加速和 RPO 余额增长,我们正在增加在 GPU 和 CPU 上的支出。
P03127:00
Therefore, total spend will increase sequentially, and we now expect the FY26 growth rate to be higher than FY25. As a reminder, there can be quarterly spend variability from cloud infrastructure buildouts and the timing of delivery of finance leases. Next, our commercial business. In commercial bookings, we expect healthy growth in the core business on a low expiry base, when adjusted for the OpenAI contracts in the prior year. We expect commercial bookings will be positively impacted by the significant OpenAI commitments announced yesterday. As a reminder, larger long-term Azure contracts, which are more unpredictable in their timing, drive increased quarterly volatility in our bookings growth rate. Microsoft Cloud gross margin percentage should be roughly 66%, down year over year, driven by the continued investments in AI, as well as the mix shift to Azure. Now to segment guidance.
因此,总支出将环比增加,我们现在预计 2026 财年的增速将高于 2025 财年。提醒一下,云基础设施建设和融资租赁的交付时间可能导致季度支出出现波动。接下来是商业业务。在商业订单方面,剔除上一年 OpenAI 合同的影响后,我们预计核心业务在较低的到期基数上实现健康增长。我们预计昨天宣布的大额 OpenAI 承诺将对商业订单产生积极影响。提醒一下,时间上更难预测的大额长期 Azure 合同会加大订单增速的季度波动。微软云毛利率应约为 66%,同比下降,原因是对 AI 的持续投资以及销售结构向 Azure 倾斜。下面是分部指引。
P03227:51
In Productivity and Business Processes, we expect revenue of $33.3 to $33.6 billion, or growth of 13% to 14%. In M365 commercial cloud, we expect revenue growth to be between 13% and 14% in constant currency, with business trends that remain relatively stable quarter over quarter. ARPU growth will again be driven by E5 and M365 Copilot. M365 commercial products revenue growth should be in the low to mid-single digits. As a reminder, M365 commercial products include components that can be variable due to the end-period revenue recognition dynamics. M365 consumer cloud revenue growth should be in the mid-20s, driven by growth in ARPU. For LinkedIn, we expect revenue growth of approximately 10%. In Dynamics 365, we expect revenue growth to be in the mid to high teens, with continued growth across all workloads.
生产力与业务流程分部,我们预计收入为 333 亿至 336 亿美元(原文:$33.3 to $33.6 billion),增长 13% 至 14%。M365 商业云方面,我们预计按固定汇率计算收入增长在 13% 至 14% 之间,业务趋势环比保持相对稳定。ARPU 增长将再次由 E5 和 M365 Copilot 推动。M365 商业产品收入增长应在低到中个位数百分比。提醒一下,M365 商业产品中包含因期末收入确认而可能波动的部分。M365 消费云收入增速应在 20% 的中段,由 ARPU 增长推动。LinkedIn 方面,我们预计收入增长约 10%。Dynamics 365 方面,我们预计收入增长百分之十几的中高段,各类工作负载持续增长。
P03328:42
For Intelligent Cloud, we expect revenue of $32.25 to $32.55 billion, or growth of 26% to 27%. In Azure, we expect Q2 revenue growth of approximately 37% in constant currency, as demand remains significantly ahead of the capacity we have available. While we're accelerating the amount of capacity we're bringing online, we will continue to balance Azure revenue growth with the growing needs across our first-party apps and AI solutions, our own R&D efforts, and the end-of-life server replacements. Therefore, we now expect to be capacity-constrained through at least the end of our fiscal year. As a reminder, there can be quarterly variability in the year-over-year growth rates, depending on the timing of capacity delivery and when it comes online, as well as from end-period revenue recognition, depending on the mix of contracts.
智能云分部,我们预计收入为 322.5 亿至 325.5 亿美元(原文:$32.25 to $32.55 billion),增长 26% 至 27%。Azure 方面,我们预计第二季度按固定汇率计算收入增长约 37%,因为需求仍大幅领先于我们可用的产能。虽然我们在加快上线产能,但我们将继续在 Azure 收入增长与第一方应用和 AI 解决方案、我们自己的研发工作以及到期服务器更换等不断增长的需求之间进行平衡。因此,我们现在预计至少在本财年结束前都将处于产能受限状态。提醒一下,同比增速可能因产能交付和上线的时间,以及取决于合同组合的期末收入确认而出现季度波动。
P03429:34
In our on-premises server business, we expect revenue to decline in the low to mid-single digits, with ongoing customers' shift to cloud offerings. In More Personal Computing, we expect revenue to be in the $13.95 to $14.45 billion. Windows OEM and Devices revenue should decline in the mid-single digits. We expect continued momentum from Windows 10 end of support, although growth rates will be impacted by elevated inventory levels at the end of Q1 that we expect to come down through the quarter. Therefore, Windows OEM revenue should decline in the low to mid-single digits. The range of potential outcomes remains wider than normal. Devices revenue should decline year over year. Search and news advertising ex-TAC revenue growth should be in the low double digits, down sequentially as growth rates normalize, following the benefit from third-party partnerships noted earlier.
在本地服务器业务中,由于客户持续向云产品迁移,我们预计收入将下降低到中个位数百分比。在更多个人计算分部,我们预计收入为 139.5 亿至 144.5 亿美元(原文:$13.95 to $14.45 billion)。Windows OEM 及设备收入应下降中个位数百分比。我们预计 Windows 10 停止支持带来的势头将延续,不过增速将受到第一季度末偏高库存的影响,我们预计这些库存将在本季度内逐步下降。因此,Windows OEM 收入应下降低到中个位数百分比。可能结果的区间仍比平时更宽。设备收入应同比下降。剔除流量获取成本后的搜索与新闻广告收入增长应在两位数的低段,环比放缓,因为在前面提到的第三方合作利好之后增速将正常化。
P03530:22
Growth will continue to be driven by volume and revenue per search across Edge and Bing. In Xbox content and services, we expect revenue to decline in the low to mid-single digits against a prior year comparable that benefited from strong first-party performance, partially offset by growth in subscriptions. Hardware revenue should decline year over year. In closing, demand signals across bookings, RPO, and product usage are accelerating faster than we expected. We're investing in infrastructure, AI talent, and product innovation to capture that momentum and expand our leadership position. We remain focused on delivering real value to our customers that results in durable revenue growth for the long term. With that, let's go to Q&A, Jonathan.
增长将继续由 Edge 和 Bing 的搜索量和每次搜索收入推动。在 Xbox 内容与服务方面,由于上年同期受益于第一方内容的强劲表现,我们预计收入将下降低到中个位数百分比,部分被订阅增长所抵消。硬件收入应同比下降。总之,订单、RPO 和产品使用量等需求信号的加速快于我们的预期。我们正在投资基础设施、AI 人才和产品创新,以把握这一势头并扩大领先地位。我们将继续专注于为客户创造实实在在的价值,从而带来长期持久的收入增长。下面进入问答环节,Jonathan。
P03631:10
Jonathan NeilsonVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Amy. We'll now move over to Q&A. Out of respect for others on the call, we request that participants please only ask one question. Operator, can you please repeat your instructions?
谢谢 Amy。现在进入问答环节。出于对其他参会者的尊重,请每位参与者只问一个问题。接线员,请重复一下提问方式。
问答环节
P03731:24
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad, and a confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your headset before pressing the star keys. Our first question comes from the line of Keith Weiss with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed.
(主持人)女士们、先生们,如需提问,请在电话键盘上按星号键加 1,提示音表示您的线路已进入提问队列。如需撤回提问,请按星号键加 2。使用免提设备的参与者,可能需要拿起听筒后再按星号键。第一个问题来自 Morgan Stanley 的 Keith Weiss。请提问。
P03831:51
Keith WeissAnalyst, Morgan Stanley已校正
Excellent. Thank you guys for taking the question, and congratulations on another outstanding quarter. If I'm looking at Microsoft, this is two quarters in a row. We're really seeing results that are well ahead of anybody's expectations. When we were thinking about this company a year ago or five years ago, 111% commercial bookings growth was not on anybody's bingo card, if you will. Yet the stock is underperforming the broader market. The question I have is kind of getting at the zeitgeist that I think is weighing on the stock, and it's something about to change. I think AGI is kind of a nomenclature or a shorthand for that. It's something that's still included in your OpenAI agreement.
(Keith Weiss 提问)很好,感谢回答问题,祝贺又一个出色的季度。看微软,这已经是连续两个季度,我们看到的业绩都远超任何人的预期。一年前或五年前我们在思考这家公司时,111% 的商业订单增长根本不在任何人的预料之中。然而股价却跑输大盘。我的问题想触及我认为压制股价的那种时代情绪,也就是某种即将到来的变化。我认为 AGI 是这种变化的一个代称或简称,而它仍然写在你们与 OpenAI 的协议中。
P03932:37
Keith WeissAnalyst, Morgan Stanley已校正
Satya, when we think about AGI or we think about how application and computing architectures are changing, is there anything that you see on the horizon, whether it's AGI or something else, that could potentially change what appears to be a really strong positioning for Microsoft in the marketplace today, or that strength will perhaps weaken on a go-forward basis? Is there anything that you're worrying about in that evolution, and particularly the evolution of these generative AI models?
(Keith Weiss 提问)Satya,在考虑 AGI,或者考虑应用和计算架构的变化时,您是否看到地平线上有什么东西——无论是 AGI 还是其他——可能会改变微软今天在市场上看起来非常强大的地位,或者让这种优势在未来减弱?在这种演变中,特别是生成式 AI 模型的演变中,有没有让您担忧的地方?
P04033:07
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
No, thank you, Keith, for the question. Here's how I would say that I think there are two parts. We feel very, very good about even this, I would say, the new agreement that we now have with OpenAI, because I think even it just creates more certainty to all of the IP relationship we have as it relates to even this definition of AGI. Beyond that, I think your question touches on something that's pretty important, which is how are these AI systems going to truly be deployed in the real world and make a real difference and make a return for both the customers who are deploying them and obviously the providers of these systems?
(Satya Nadella 回答)谢谢 Keith 的问题。我想分两部分来说。我们对与 OpenAI 的新协议感觉非常非常好,因为我认为它为我们在知识产权方面的全部关系带来了更多确定性,甚至包括 AGI 的定义。除此之外,我认为你的问题触及了一件非常重要的事:这些 AI 系统将如何真正在现实世界中部署、产生实际影响,并为部署它们的客户以及显然为这些系统的提供方带来回报?
P04133:49
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
I think the best way to characterize the situation is that even as the intelligence capability increases, let's even say exponentially, like model version over model version, the problem is it's always going to still be jagged. I think the term people use is the jagged intelligence, even it or spiky intelligence. You may even have a capability that's fantastic at a particular task, but it may not uniformly grow. What is required is, in fact, these systems, whether it is GitHub Agent HQ or the Microsoft 365 Copilot system, don't think of this as a product. Think of it as a system that in some sense smooths out those jagged edges and really helps the capability. Just to give you a flavor for it, if I am in Microsoft 365 Copilot, I can generate an Excel spreadsheet.
(Satya Nadella 回答)我认为描述这种情况的最好方式是:即便智能能力在提升——甚至可以说是指数级地一代代提升——问题在于它始终是参差不齐的。我想人们用的说法是“锯齿状智能”或“尖峰式智能”。你可能拥有某项在特定任务上非常出色的能力,但它不会均匀增长。真正需要的是这些系统,无论是 GitHub Agent HQ 还是 Microsoft 365 Copilot 系统——不要把它们看作产品,而要看作在某种意义上抹平这些锯齿、真正帮助发挥能力的系统。举个例子,在 Microsoft 365 Copilot 中,我可以生成一个 Excel 表格。
P04234:48
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
The good news is now an Excel spreadsheet does understand Office JS, has the formulas in it. It feels like, wow, it is a great spreadsheet created by a good modeler. The more interesting thing is I can go into agent mode in Excel and iterate on that model, and yet it'll stay on rails. It won't go off rails. It'll be able to do the iteration. Then I can even give it to the analyst agent, and then it'll even make sense of it like a data analyst would of an Excel model. The reason I say all of that is because that's the type of construction that'll be needed, even when the model is magical, all-powerful. I think we will be in this jagged intelligence phase for a long time.
(Satya Nadella 回答)好消息是,现在这个 Excel 表格确实理解 Office JS,包含公式,感觉就像一位优秀的建模师做出来的好表格。更有意思的是,我可以进入 Excel 的智能体模式,在这个模型上迭代,而它会保持在轨道上,不会跑偏,能够完成迭代。然后我甚至可以把它交给分析师智能体,它会像数据分析师理解 Excel 模型那样理解它。我说这些的原因是,即使模型变得神奇、无所不能,也需要这种构造。我认为我们会在很长一段时间里处于这种锯齿状智能的阶段。
P04335:31
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
One of the fundamental things that these, whether it's GitHub, whether it's security, whether it's Microsoft 365, the three main domains we're in, we feel very, very good about building these as organizing layers for agents to help customers. By the way, that's the same thing that we're going to put into Foundry for our third-party customers. That's kind of how people will build these multi-agent systems. I feel actually pretty good about both the progress in AI. I don't think AGI, as defined at least by us in our contract, is ever going to be achieved anytime soon. I do believe we can drive a lot of value for customers with advances in AI models by building these systems. It's kind of the real question that needs to be well understood. I feel very, very confident about our ability to make progress.
(Satya Nadella 回答)我们在 GitHub、安全和 Microsoft 365 这三个主要领域所做的一件根本性的事情,是把这些系统打造为帮助客户的智能体组织层,我们对此感觉非常非常好。顺便说一句,我们也会把同样的东西放进 Foundry,提供给第三方客户,这就是人们构建多智能体系统的方式。实际上,我对 AI 的进展感觉相当好。我不认为按照至少我们合同中的定义,AGI 会在短期内实现。我确实相信,通过构建这些系统,我们可以借助 AI 模型的进步为客户带来大量价值。这才是需要被充分理解的真正问题。我对我们取得进展的能力非常非常有信心。
P04436:26
Keith WeissAnalyst, Morgan Stanley已校正
Excellent. That's super helpful.
(Keith Weiss)很好,非常有帮助。
P04536:29
Jonathan NeilsonVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Keith. Operator, next question, please.
谢谢 Keith。接线员,请接下一个问题。
P04636:33
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Brent Thill with Jefferies. Please proceed.
(主持人)下一个问题来自 Jefferies 的 Brent Thill。请提问。
P04736:39
Brent ThillAnalyst, Jefferies已校正
Thanks. Amy, on the bookings blowout, I guess many are somewhat concerned about concentration risk. I think you noted a number of $100 million contracts. Not to go into a lot of detail, can you just give us a sense of what you're seeing on that 51% RPO and 110%+ bookings growth that gives you confidence about what you're seeing in terms of the breadth and extent of some of these deals on a global basis? Thanks.
(Brent Thill 提问)谢谢。Amy,关于订单的大幅超预期,我想很多人有些担心集中度风险。我想您提到了一些 1 亿美元级别的合同。不用说得太细,能否让我们了解一下,在 51% 的 RPO 增长和 110% 以上的订单增长中,你们看到了什么,让你们对这些交易在全球范围内的广度和规模有信心?谢谢。
P04837:14
Amy HoodCFO已校正
Thanks, Brett. A couple of things to maybe take a step back on RPO. With a nearly $400 billion balance, we've been trying to help people understand sort of how to think about really the breadth of that. It covers numerous products. It covers customers of all sizes. That's been a balance that we've been growing, obviously, at a good clip. What people need to realize is it sits across multiple products because of the things Satya is talking about around creating systems and where we're investing. If you're going to have that type of balance, and then more importantly, have the weighted average duration be two years, it means that most of that is being consumed in relatively short order. People are not consuming, and I say this broadly, unless there's value.
(Amy Hood 回答)谢谢 Brent。关于 RPO,也许可以退一步说几点。在接近 4000 亿美元的余额下,我们一直在努力帮助大家理解它的广度:它涵盖众多产品,涵盖各种规模的客户。这个余额显然一直在以很好的速度增长。大家需要认识到,由于 Satya 谈到的构建系统以及我们的投资方向,它分布在多个产品上。如果你有这样的余额,更重要的是加权平均期限只有两年,这意味着其中大部分会在相对短的时间内被消耗。而且我想泛泛地说,没有价值的话,人们是不会消耗的。
P04938:10
Amy HoodCFO已校正
I think this is why we keep coming back to are we creating real-world value in our AI platforms, in our AI solutions and apps and systems. I think the way to think about RPO is it's been building across a number of customers. We're thrilled to have OpenAI be a piece of that. We're learning a ton and building leading systems because of it that are being used at scale that benefits every other customer. It's why we've tried to give a little bit more color to that RPO balance, because I do understand that there have been a lot of concerns or questions about is it long-dated? Is it coming over a long period of time? Hopefully, this is helpful for people to realize that these are contracts being signed by customers who intend to use it in relatively short order.
(Amy Hood 回答)我想这就是为什么我们一再回到这个问题:我们是否在 AI 平台、AI 解决方案、应用和系统中创造了真实的价值。我认为理解 RPO 的方式是,它是在众多客户中逐步积累起来的。我们很高兴 OpenAI 是其中的一部分,我们因此学到了很多,并打造了被大规模使用、惠及所有其他客户的领先系统。这也是为什么我们试图对 RPO 余额多做一些说明,因为我确实理解,大家有很多担忧或疑问:它是不是期限很长?是不是要在很长时间里才兑现?希望这能帮助大家认识到,这些合同是由打算在相对短时间内使用的客户签署的。
P05039:04
Amy HoodCFO已校正
At that type of scale, I think that's a pretty remarkable execution.
(Amy Hood 回答)在这样的规模下,我认为这是相当了不起的执行。
P05139:11
Brent ThillAnalyst, Jefferies已校正
Thank you.
(Brent Thill)谢谢。
P05239:13
Jonathan NeilsonVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Brett. Operator, next question, please.
谢谢 Brent。接线员,请接下一个问题。
P05339:17
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Mark Moerdler with Bernstein Research. Please proceed.
(主持人)下一个问题来自 Bernstein Research 的 Mark Moerdler。请提问。
P05439:24
Mark MoerdlerAnalyst, Bernstein Research已校正
Thank you very much for taking my question, and congratulations on the quarter. It's pretty amazing what you guys are doing. Satya and Amy, I'd like to ask you the number one question I receive, whether from investors or at AI conferences I attend. How much confidence do you have that the software and even the consumer internet business can monetize all the investments we're seeing globally, or frankly, are we in a bubble? In fact, Amy, what would be the factors you'd be watching for to assure that you're not overbuilding for current demand and that demand will sustain? Thank you.
(Mark Moerdler 提问)非常感谢回答我的问题,祝贺本季度的业绩,你们所做的事情相当惊人。Satya、Amy,我想问一个我收到最多的问题,无论来自投资者还是我参加的 AI 会议:你们有多大信心,软件甚至消费互联网业务能够让我们在全球看到的所有投资实现变现?或者坦白说,我们是否处在泡沫中?Amy,您会关注哪些因素,来确保你们没有针对当前需求过度建设,并且需求会持续?谢谢。
P05540:00
Amy HoodCFO已校正
Maybe I'll start, Satya, and then you could add. Let me talk a little bit about maybe connecting a couple of the dots, because with $400 billion of RPO that's sort of short-dated, as we talked about, our needs to continue to build out the infrastructure are very high. That's for booked business today. That is not any new booked business we started trying to accomplish on October 1, right? The way to think about that, and you saw it this quarter in particular, and as we talked about 2026, the remainder. Number one, we're pivoting toward increasingly, we talked about this, short-lived assets, both GPUs and CPUs. Again, we talk about all these workloads are burning both in terms of app building. Now, when that happens, short-lived assets generally are done to match sort of the duration of the contracts or the duration of your expectation of those contracts.
(Amy Hood 回答)也许我先说,Satya 再补充。我想把几个点连起来讲:有 4000 亿美元期限较短的 RPO,正如我们所谈到的,我们继续建设基础设施的需求非常高。这是针对今天已签约的业务,还不包括我们从 10 月 1 日开始争取的任何新业务,对吧?理解这一点的方式——你在本季度尤其能看到,以及我们谈到的 2026 年余下时间——第一,我们正越来越多地转向短寿命资产,包括 GPU 和 CPU,这一点我们谈过。再说一遍,我们谈到所有这些工作负载都在消耗两类资源,包括应用构建方面。而当这种情况发生时,短寿命资产通常是为了匹配合同期限或你对这些合同期限的预期而配置的。
P05641:02
Amy HoodCFO已校正
I sometimes think when people think about risk, they're not realizing that most of the lifetimes of these and the lifetimes of the contracts are very similar. When you think about having revenue and the bookings and coming on the balance sheet and the depreciation of short-lived assets, they're actually quite matched, Mark. As you know, we have spent the past few years not actually being short GPUs and CPUs per se. We were short the space or the power, is the language we use to put them in. We spent a lot of time building out that infrastructure. Now we're continuing to do that, also using leases. Those are very long-lived assets, as we've talked about, 15 to 20 years. Over that period of time, do I have confidence that we'll need to use all of that? It is very high.
(Amy Hood 回答)有时我认为,人们在考虑风险时没有意识到,这些资产的寿命和合同的期限非常接近。当你考虑收入、订单进入资产负债表以及短寿命资产的折旧时,Mark,它们实际上是相当匹配的。如你所知,过去几年我们其实并不是缺 GPU 和 CPU 本身,我们缺的是放置它们的空间或电力,这是我们的说法。我们花了很多时间建设这些基础设施,现在仍在继续,也在使用租赁。正如我们谈过的,这些是寿命很长的资产,15 到 20 年。在这段时间里,我有没有信心会用满这些设施?信心非常高。
P05741:53
Amy HoodCFO已校正
When I think about sort of balancing those things, seeing the pivot to GPU, CPU short-lived, seeing the pivot in terms of how those are being utilized, we are, and I said this now, we've been short now for many quarters. I thought we were going to catch up. We are not. Demand is increasing. It is not increasing in just one place. It is increasing across many places. We're seeing usage increases in products. We are seeing new products launch that are getting increasing usage, and increasing usage very quickly. When people see real value, they actually commit real usage. I sometimes think this is where this cycle needs to be thought through completely, is that when you see these kind of demand signals and we know we're behind, we do need to spend.
(Amy Hood 回答)当我考虑平衡这些因素时——看到向短寿命 GPU、CPU 的转向,看到它们的利用方式的转变——我现在要说,我们已经连续很多个季度短缺了。我原以为我们会追上,但我们没有。需求在增长,而且不只在一个地方增长,而是在很多地方增长。我们看到产品使用量在增加;我们看到新产品上线后使用量也在增加,而且增加得非常快。当人们看到真正的价值时,他们就会真正投入使用。我有时认为,这正是需要把这个周期完整想清楚的地方:当你看到这样的需求信号,并且知道我们已经落后时,我们确实需要投入。
P05842:50
Amy HoodCFO已校正
We're spending with a different amount of confidence in usage patterns and in bookings, and I feel very good about that. I have said we are now likely to be short capacity to serve the most important things we need to do, which is Azure, our first-party applications. We need to invest in product R&D, and we're doing end-of-life replacements in the fleet. We're going to spend to make sure that happens. It's about modernization, high quality, service delivery, and meeting demand. I feel good about doing that, and I feel good that we've been able to do it so efficiently and with a growing book of business behind it.
(Amy Hood 回答)我们是在对使用模式和订单有不同程度信心的情况下投入的,我对此感觉非常好。我说过,在满足我们最需要做的事情——也就是 Azure 和我们的第一方应用——方面,我们现在很可能会产能不足。我们需要投资产品研发,还在对设备进行到期更换。我们会投入以确保这些都能实现。这关乎现代化、高质量的服务交付以及满足需求。我对这样做感觉很好,也很高兴我们能够如此高效地做到这一点,并且背后有不断增长的业务储备支撑。
P05943:33
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
Yeah, the only thing I would add to what Amy captured was if you sort of look out, there are two things that matter, I think, and that are critical in terms of how we think about our allocation of capital, also our R&D. One is how efficient is our planet-scale token factory? I mean, that's at the end of the day what you have to do. In order to do that, you have to start with building out a very fungible, global fleet. It's not like we're building one data center in one region in the world that's mega scale. We are building it out across the globe for inference, for pre-training, for post-training, for RL, for data synth, what have you. Therefore, the fungibility is super important. The second thing that we're also doing is continually modernizing the fleet.
(Satya Nadella 回答)是的,我对 Amy 所说的唯一补充是:如果往前看,我认为在我们考虑资本配置以及研发时,有两件事很重要、很关键。第一是我们全球规模的 token 工厂效率有多高?我的意思是,说到底这就是你必须做的事。为此,你首先要建设一个非常可互换的全球设备群。我们不是在世界某个地区建一个超大规模的数据中心,而是在全球各地为推理、预训练、后训练、强化学习、数据合成等建设。因此可互换性非常重要。我们在做的第二件事是持续更新设备群。
P06044:27
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
It's not like we buy one version of, say, NVIDIA and load up for all the gigawatts we have. Each year you buy, you ride the Moore's Law, you continuously modernize and depreciate it. That means you also use software to grow efficiency. I talked about, I think, 30% improvement on both serving up GPT-4.1 and 5.0. That's software. By the way, it's helpful on A100s. It's helpful on GB200s, and it'll be helpful on GB300s. That's the beauty of having the efficiency of the fleet. Keep improving utilization, keep improving the efficiency. That's what you do in the token factory. The other aspect, which Amy spoke to, is we have some of the best agent systems that matter in the high-value domains. It's in information work. That's the Copilot system. Coding.
(Satya Nadella 回答)我们不是买某一代 NVIDIA 产品,然后把所有吉瓦都装满。你每年采购,顺着摩尔定律,持续更新并折旧。这意味着你还要用软件来提升效率。我想我谈到过,在服务 GPT-4.1 和 5.0 上都实现了 30% 的提升,这靠的是软件。顺便说一句,它对 A100 有帮助,对 GB200 有帮助,对 GB300 也会有帮助。这就是设备效率的好处:持续提高利用率,持续提高效率,这就是你在 token 工厂里要做的事。另一个方面,正如 Amy 所说,我们在高价值领域拥有一些最重要的智能体系统:在信息工作领域,就是 Copilot 系统;还有编程。
P06145:23
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
I mean, I should also say one of the things I like about Copilot is, I mean, Copilot ARPUs compared to M365 ARPUs. It's expansive. The same thing that happened between server and cloud, like we used to always say, is it zero sum? It turned out that the cloud was so much more expansive to the server market. The same thing is happening in AI, because first, you could say, hey, our ARPUs are too low when it comes to M365, or you could say we have the opportunity with AI to be much more expansive. Same thing with tools. I mean, tools business was not like a leading business, whereas coding business is going to be one of the most expansive AI systems. We feel very good about being in that category. Same thing with security. Same thing with health.
(Satya Nadella 回答)我还应该说,我喜欢 Copilot 的一点是 Copilot 的 ARPU 与 M365 的 ARPU 相比,它是扩张性的。就像服务器和云之间发生过的事情——我们过去总是问,这是零和吗?结果证明云比服务器市场广阔得多。AI 领域也在发生同样的事情,因为首先你可以说,我们在 M365 上的 ARPU 太低了,或者你可以说,借助 AI 我们有机会变得更具扩张性。工具也是一样。我的意思是,工具业务过去并不是领先的业务,而编程业务将成为最具扩张性的 AI 系统之一。我们对身处这个品类感觉非常好。安全也是如此,医疗也是如此。
P06246:10
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
In consumer, one of the things is it's not just about ads. It's ads plus subscriptions. That also opens up opportunity for us. When I look at the entirety of these high-value agent systems and when we look at the efficiency and fungibility of our fleet, that's what gives us the confidence to invest both the capital and the R&D talent to go after this opportunity.
(Satya Nadella 回答)在消费者领域,其中一点是它不只是广告,而是广告加订阅,这也为我们打开了机会。当我审视这些高价值智能体系统的整体,再看我们设备群的效率和可互换性时,这就是让我们有信心投入资本和研发人才去追逐这个机会的原因。
P06346:36
Mark MoerdlerAnalyst, Bernstein Research已校正
That was pretty amazing. I really appreciate all the detail.
(Mark Moerdler)非常精彩,非常感谢这么详细的说明。
P06446:41
Jonathan NeilsonVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Mark. Operator, next question, please.
谢谢 Mark。接线员,请接下一个问题。
P06546:45
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Karl Keirstead with UBS. Please proceed.
(主持人)下一个问题来自 UBS 的 Karl Keirstead。请提问。
P06646:51
Karl KeirsteadAnalyst, UBS已校正
OK, yeah, thank you. This one is for Amy. Amy, I certainly don't want to take you down too complex an accounting path with this question, but the investment in OpenAI that sits in other income at $4.1 billion is so large that I think the audience listening in could benefit from a little bit more color about what that is. It feels like it's so much larger than you were running through other income in prior quarters that it mustn't just be your share of the OpenAI losses. Could you just describe that and what we can expect in subsequent quarters and whether this signals any kind of accounting change? Thanks so much.
(Karl Keirstead 提问)好的,谢谢。这个问题问 Amy。Amy,我当然不想用这个问题把您带入太复杂的会计话题,但计入其他收入的对 OpenAI 的投资达 41 亿美元,规模如此之大,我想听众会希望对此有更多了解。它看起来比前几个季度其他收入中的数字大得多,应该不只是你们在 OpenAI 亏损中所占的份额。能否说明一下,以及后续季度我们可以预期什么,这是否预示着某种会计变更?非常感谢。
P06747:32
Amy HoodCFO已校正
The Q1 number was not impacted at all by the new agreement that was put in place. Let me first say that. Secondly, that increased loss was all due to our percentage of losses in OpenAI's debt equity method. Just to be very clear, there is not anything there that is not the increased losses from OpenAI.
(Amy Hood 回答)首先我要说,第一季度的数字完全没有受到新签协议的影响。其次,增加的亏损全部来自我们按权益法确认的 OpenAI 亏损份额。说得非常明确一点,那里没有任何不属于 OpenAI 亏损增加的内容。
P06847:55
Karl KeirsteadAnalyst, UBS已校正
OK, understood. Thank you.
(Karl Keirstead)好的,明白了,谢谢。
P06947:57
Amy HoodCFO已校正
Thanks, Karl.
(Amy Hood)谢谢 Karl。
P07047:59
Jonathan NeilsonVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Karl. Operator, next question, please.
谢谢 Karl。接线员,请接下一个问题。
P07148:03
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Mark Murphy with JP Morgan. Please proceed.
(主持人)下一个问题来自 JP Morgan 的 Mark Murphy。请提问。
P07248:10
Mark MurphyAnalyst, JPMorgan已校正
Thank you so much. We seem to be entering into a new era where the contractual commitments from a small number of AI natives are just incredibly large, not only in absolute terms, but sometimes relative to the size of the companies themselves. For instance, contracts worth hundreds of billions of dollars that are 20 times their current revenue scale. Philosophically, how do you evaluate the ability of those companies to follow through on these commitments? How do you think about placing guardrails on customer concentration for any single entity?
(Mark Murphy 提问)非常感谢。我们似乎正在进入一个新时代:少数几家 AI 原生公司的合同承诺规模之大令人难以置信,不仅在绝对值上,有时相对于这些公司自身的规模也是如此。比如价值数千亿美元、相当于其当前收入规模 20 倍的合同。从理念上说,你们如何评估这些公司履行承诺的能力?你们如何考虑为任何单一主体的客户集中度设置防护栏?
P07348:56
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
Yeah, maybe I'll start, and then Amy, you can add. It goes back a little bit, Mark, to what I said about building first the asset itself such that it's most fungible. Then to recognize the strength of even sort of our portfolio. We have a third-party business. We have a first-party business. We have third-party also spread between enterprise, digital natives. I always felt that we need a balance there, because it may start with digital natives. They're always going to be the early adopters. You always have the hit app of the generation. Then essentially, it spreads throughout. The enterprise adoption cycle is just starting. Therefore, having over the arc of time, I think that third-party balance of customers will only increase.
(Satya Nadella 回答)好的,我先说,然后 Amy 你可以补充。Mark,这在某种程度上要回到我之前说的:首先要让资产本身尽可能具备可互换性;然后要认识到我们产品组合的实力。我们有第三方业务,也有第一方业务;第三方业务又分布在企业客户和数字原生企业之间。我一直认为我们需要在这里保持平衡,因为一开始可能从数字原生企业开始,他们永远是早期采用者,每个时代总会有爆款应用,然后它基本上会扩散开来。企业的采用周期才刚刚开始。因此,随着时间推移,我认为第三方客户的平衡只会越来越好。
P07449:44
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
It's great to have the hit first-party apps in the beginning, because you can build scale that then if it's fungible, and that's where the key is. You don't want to build for a digital native as if you're just doing hosting for them. You want to build. That's where I think some of the decision-making of ours is probably getting better understood. What do we say yes to? What do we say no to? I think there was a lot of confusion. Hopefully, by now, anyone who switched on would figure this out. That's, I think, one thing we're doing on the third party. The first party is probably where a lot of our leverage comes. It's not even about one hit app on our first party even.
(Satya Nadella 回答)一开始有爆款的第一方应用是好事,因为你可以建立规模,然后只要它是可互换的——这才是关键。你不想像只是为某个数字原生企业做托管那样去为它建设,你要真正去建设。我想这也是为什么我们的一些决策现在可能更被理解了:我们对什么说“是”?对什么说“不”?我想当时有很多困惑,希望到现在,任何关注的人都已经明白了。我认为这是我们在第三方方面在做的一件事。第一方可能是我们很多杠杆的来源,而且这甚至不是关于第一方的某一个爆款应用。
P07550:27
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
Our portfolio of stuff, which I just walked through in the earlier answer, gives us again the confidence that between that mix, we will be able to use our fleet to the maximum. Remember, these assets, especially the data centers and so on, are long assets. There will be many refresh cycles for any one of these when it comes to the gear. I feel that once you think about all those dimensions, the concentration risk gets mitigated by being thoughtful about how you really ensure the build is for the broad customer base.
(Satya Nadella 回答)我在前面的回答中介绍过的我们的整个产品组合,再次给了我们信心:在这样的组合之间,我们能够最大限度地利用我们的设备群。请记住,这些资产,尤其是数据中心等,是长期资产,其中任何一个在设备方面都会经历多次更新周期。我觉得一旦你把所有这些维度都考虑进去,通过审慎地确保建设是面向广泛客户群的,集中度风险就会得到缓解。
P07651:05
Amy HoodCFO已校正
Maybe just to help with another angle of that, because I think Satya's helped a lot, when you think about concentration risk or delivering to any customer, you have to remember that because we're talking about this very large flexible fleet that can be used for anyone and for any purpose, 1P, 3P, and including our commercial cloud, by the way, which I should be quite clear on, it is pretty flexible in every regard. You have to remember that the CPU and GPU and the storage gear doesn't come into play until the contracts start happening. You're right, some of these large contracts have delivery dates over time, so you get a lot of lead time in being able to say, oh, what's the status? I think we're pretty thoughtful around what's always gone in our RPO balance and been considerate of that.
(Amy Hood 回答)也许我从另一个角度帮助说明一下,因为我认为 Satya 已经讲了很多。当你考虑集中度风险或为任何客户交付时,你必须记住,因为我们谈的是一个非常庞大、灵活的设备群,可以用于任何人、任何用途——第一方(1P)、第三方(3P),顺便说一句我应该说得很清楚,也包括我们的商业云——它在各方面都相当灵活。你必须记住,CPU、GPU 和存储设备要等到合同开始执行时才会投入。你说得对,其中一些大合同的交付日期会延续一段时间,所以你有很长的提前期来了解“现在的情况如何”。我认为我们对哪些内容一直计入 RPO 余额是相当审慎的,也一直把这一点考虑在内。
P07752:02
Amy HoodCFO已校正
There's always been that taken into account when we publish that bookings number and publish the RPO balance.
(Amy Hood 回答)我们在公布订单数字和 RPO 余额时,一直都把这些考虑在内。
P07852:11
Mark MurphyAnalyst, JPMorgan已校正
Thank you very much.
(Mark Murphy)非常感谢。
P07952:14
Jonathan NeilsonVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Mark. Operator, next question, please.
谢谢 Mark。接线员,请接下一个问题。
P08052:18
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Brad Zelnick with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed.
(主持人)下一个问题来自 Deutsche Bank 的 Brad Zelnick。请提问。
P08152:24
Brad ZelnickAnalyst, Deutsche Bank已校正
Great. Thanks so much for taking the question. I'll echo my congrats on an amazing start to the year. Amy, is there any way to quantify or frame the revenue impact of Azure being short on capacity? I appreciate the constraints you face are broad across the industry. Is there risk of workloads going elsewhere? How do you mitigate that?
(Brad Zelnick 提问)好的,非常感谢回答问题。我也要祝贺你们今年有一个惊人的开局。Amy,有没有办法量化或描述 Azure 产能不足对收入的影响?我理解你们面临的约束在整个行业都普遍存在。工作负载有没有流向别处的风险?你们如何缓解?
P08252:46
Amy HoodCFO已校正
Yeah, Brad, it's a great question. It's always hard to quantify precisely what would have been the revenue impact in quarter. I would offer a way to think about it is Azure probably does bear most of the revenue impact, because when you think about real priorities that you have to fill first, it's obviously the increasing usage and adoption and sales we've seen of Microsoft 365 Copilot and the usage of Copilot Chat, which we've seen very different patterns, which we're encouraged by. It's the adoption of security features. It's the GitHub momentum. When you're thinking about it, that is where, and it is a priority for us to allocate resourcing there first. You're all right to ask, how do I think about that?
(Amy Hood 回答)好的,Brad,这是个好问题。要精确量化当季的收入影响总是很难。我可以提供一种思考方式:收入影响可能大部分由 Azure 承担,因为当你考虑必须首先满足的真正优先事项时,显然是 Microsoft 365 Copilot 不断增长的使用、采用和销售,以及 Copilot Chat 的使用——我们看到了非常不同的模式,这让我们很受鼓舞;还有安全功能的采用、GitHub 的势头。在考虑这一点时,那里是我们优先分配资源的地方。你问我如何看待这个问题,问得很对。
P08353:42
Amy HoodCFO已校正
We've worked very hard to try to mitigate it as best we can, but we have been short in Azure, and we've been clear on it. I would say the other two priorities that I haven't mentioned maybe as much before is also just making sure our product teams and the AI talent that we've been able to hire into the company really over the past year and a half have access also to significant capacity, because we're seeing it make the product better in a loop that is adding great benefit today into products people are using today for real-world work. We are making that a priority to make sure our research teams have that, as well as our product engineering teams. Yes, it does impact Azure directly. That is the place where you see that prioritization.
(Amy Hood 回答)我们非常努力地尽可能缓解这一影响,但 Azure 一直处于短缺状态,我们对此也说得很清楚。我想说另外两个之前可能提得不多的优先事项:一是确保我们的产品团队以及过去一年半里招进公司的 AI 人才也能获得大量算力,因为我们看到这在一个循环中让产品变得更好,为人们今天用于实际工作的产品带来很大的好处。我们把确保研究团队和产品工程团队拥有这些算力作为优先事项。是的,这确实直接影响了 Azure,这就是你看到这种优先级排序的地方。
P08454:33
Amy HoodCFO已校正
I think it's probably hard for me to give an exact number, but it is safe to say that the number could be higher.
(Amy Hood 回答)我可能很难给出一个确切的数字,但可以肯定地说,这个数字本可以更高。
P08554:45
Brad ZelnickAnalyst, Deutsche Bank已校正
Great. Thank you.
(Brad Zelnick)好的,谢谢。
P08654:48
Jonathan NeilsonVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Brad. Operator, we have time for one last question.
谢谢 Brad。接线员,我们还有时间回答最后一个问题。
P08754:53
Operator
The last question will come from the line of Kash Rangan with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed.
(主持人)最后一个问题来自 Goldman Sachs 的 Kash Rangan。请提问。
P08854:59
Kash RanganAnalyst, Goldman Sachs已校正
Thank you very much. Amy, I just wanted to congratulate you. I think you said before that it is possible to accelerate Azure growth while getting efficient margins, and you've done it. Congrats on that. I have one for you, Satya. With respect to the elephant in the room, following just being a little more direct, following up on Keith Weiss's question, there's talk that another hyperscaler came in and took away the business that was rightfully Microsoft. I'm sure that there is a different point of view here. I'm wondering if you could offer some perspective on your criteria. Is it about a certain volume of business that you wish to execute on the Microsoft paper? Or is it something broader than that?
(Kash Rangan 提问)非常感谢。Amy,我想祝贺您。我记得您之前说过,可以在加速 Azure 增长的同时保持高效的利润率,而您做到了,恭喜。我有一个问题问 Satya。关于房间里的大象,说得直接一点,接着 Keith Weiss 的问题:有说法称另一家超大规模云厂商进来拿走了本应属于微软的业务。我相信你们有不同的看法。我想请您谈谈你们的标准:是希望在微软名下执行一定规模的业务?还是有比这更宽泛的考虑?
P08955:44
Kash RanganAnalyst, Goldman Sachs已校正
I don't think maybe people fully appreciate the terminal value that Microsoft will have on its balance sheet at the end of these contracts, which I think is probably being underestimated as you have a full stack and you've got the multiple vectors to monetize the databases, Foundry. To your point that you are a platform company, not just a hyperscaler, maybe that's what it is all about. Or maybe there's another story about you letting the other hyperscaler company come in from nowhere and claiming a big piece of that four to five-year puzzle. Thank you so much once again. Really appreciate it. Congratulations. Thank you, Kash. For us, again, it just always goes back to, I think, the core principle, which is build a fleet that is fungible across the planet and works for third-party and first-party and research. That's essentially what we have done.
(Kash Rangan 续问)我想人们可能没有充分认识到,这些合同结束时微软资产负债表上将拥有的终值,我认为它可能被低估了,因为你们拥有全栈能力,有多种途径对数据库、Foundry 等进行变现。正如你所说,你们是一家平台公司,而不只是超大规模云厂商,也许这才是关键。或者也许另有隐情,你们让另一家超大规模云厂商横空出世,拿走了这块四到五年的拼图中的一大块。再次非常感谢,祝贺。(Satya Nadella 回答)谢谢 Kash。对我们来说,这始终要回到核心原则:建设一个在全球可互换、同时服务第三方、第一方和研究的设备群。这基本上就是我们所做的。
P09056:38
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
When some demand comes in shapes that don't fit that goal, where it's too concentrated, not just by customer, by location, by type of skewing, I think Amy mentioned some very key things. When you think about the margin profile of a hyperscaler, you've got to remember there's the AI accelerator piece, but there's compute, there's storage. If all of the demand just comes for just one meter, that's really not a long-term business we want to be in. That's even from a third party. We have to balance it with all of our first-party stuff, because that's after all a different margin stack for us. We have to fund our own R&D and model capability, because in the long run, that's what's going to differentiate us. I look at all of those.
(Satya Nadella 回答)当有些需求的形态不符合这个目标——过于集中,不只是客户集中,还有地点集中、类型偏斜——我想 Amy 提到了一些非常关键的点。当你考虑超大规模云厂商的利润率结构时,必须记住有 AI 加速器的部分,但也有通用算力和存储。如果所有需求都只集中在一个计量项上,那真的不是我们想长期从事的业务,即使是来自第三方的需求。我们必须与所有第一方业务保持平衡,因为那毕竟是我们不同的利润率结构。我们还必须为自己的研发和模型能力提供资金,因为从长远看,这才是让我们与众不同的东西。我会综合考虑所有这些。
P09157:29
Satya NadellaChairman and CEO已校正
We sort of use all of that to make sure we are saying yes to all the demand that we want. We say no to some of the demand that may be something that we could serve, but it's not in our long-term interest. That's sort of the decision-making we've done. We feel very, very good about the decisions. In some sense, I feel even each time we say no to, the day after I feel better.
(Satya Nadella 回答)我们会综合利用这些考量,确保对我们想要的所有需求说“是”;对一些我们虽然能服务、但不符合长期利益的需求说“不”。这就是我们的决策方式。我们对这些决策感觉非常非常好。在某种意义上,我觉得每次我们说“不”之后,第二天我的感觉会更好。
P09258:01
Amy HoodCFO已校正
Cash, maybe just.
(Amy Hood)Kash,也许只是——
P09358:02
Amy HoodCFO已校正
Yeah.
(Satya Nadella)是的。
P09458:04
Amy HoodCFO已校正
Cash, I think this is our last call with you. I just want to say thanks and congratulations. It's been a privilege to work with you, and best of luck.
(Amy Hood)Kash,我想这是我们和你的最后一次电话会了。我只想说声谢谢,并祝贺你。和你共事是一种荣幸,祝你好运。
P09558:16
Amy HoodCFO已校正
Let me add to that. Best of luck, Kash.
(Satya Nadella)我也补充一句,祝你好运,Kash。
P09658:18
Kash RanganAnalyst, Goldman Sachs已校正
Thanks. Thank you so much. Very kind of you.
(Kash Rangan)谢谢,非常感谢,你们太客气了。
P09758:23
Jonathan NeilsonVP of Investor Relations
Thanks, Cash. That wraps up the Q&A portion of today's earnings call. Thank you for joining us today, and we look forward to speaking with all of you soon.
谢谢 Kash。今天财报电话会的问答环节到此结束。感谢大家今天的参与,我们期待很快与各位再次交流。
P09858:31
Thank you all.
谢谢大家。
P09958:34
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
(主持人)谢谢。今天的会议到此结束。现在可以挂断了,感谢参与。