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松墨黄铜

美满电子科技MRVL

NASDAQ 跟踪中 报表币种 USD · 财年截至 1 月 下次财报 2026-12-01(FY2027Q3) 言行一致度 94分 · 言出必行 · 报表印证
$156.76USD
2026-11-13 收盘价 · 非实时股价(行情取于 2026-11-14)
市值 1,414.0 亿美元 · 表观市盈率(TTM)53.6x · 实际市盈率(TTM)104.9x
70.6952 周329.88
总览/美满电子科技/财报分析/FY2027Q2/逐字稿

FY2027Q2 电话会逐字稿

2026-08-27 来源:谷歌财经 / Quartr 91 段 · 13 位发言人 36 段被报告引用FY2027Q2 季度页 →电话会深度解析 →
译文 91/91 段 · 引用以英文原文为准

发言人

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姓名职位机构段落
Matt MurphyChairman and CEOMarvell Technology49
Operator11
Dan DurnCFOMarvell Technology11
Ross SeymoreSVP of Investor RelationsMarvell Technology2
Ben ReitzesAnalystMelius Research4
Harlan SurAnalystJPMorgan3
Aaron RakersAnalystWells Fargo2
Joe MooreAnalystMorgan Stanley2
James SchneiderAnalystGoldman Sachs2
Quinn BoltonAnalystNeedham & Company2
Tom O'MalleyAnalystBarclays1
Vivek AryaAnalystBank of America Securities1
C.J. MuseAnalystCantor Fitzgerald1

● 公司管理层 / 主持人 ● 外部分析师

P00100:00
Operator
Good afternoon, and welcome to Marvell Technology Incorporated second quarter of fiscal year 2027 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. Please note this event is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to Mr. Ross Seymour, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.
下午好,欢迎参加美满电子科技(Marvell Technology Incorporated)2027 财年第二季度财报电话会议。目前所有参会者均处于只听模式。如果在会议期间需要接线员协助,请按电话键盘上的星号键加 0。正式演示结束后将进入问答环节。请注意,本次会议正在录音。现在我将会议交给投资者关系高级副总裁 Ross Seymour 先生。谢谢,请开始。
P00200:35
Ross SeymoreSVP of Investor Relations
Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Marvell's second fiscal quarter 2027 earnings call. Joining me today are Matt Murphy, Marvell's Chairman and CEO, Dan Durn, CFO, Chris Koopmans, President and COO, and Sandeep Bharathi, President of our Data Center Group. Let me remind everyone that certain comments made today include forward-looking statements, which are subject to significant risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from management's current expectations. Please review the cautionary statements and risk factors contained in our earnings press release, which we filed with the SEC today and posted on our website, as well as our most recent 8-K, 10-K, 10-Q, and other documents that we file from time to time with the SEC. We do not intend to update our forward-looking statements. During our call today, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures.
谢谢,大家下午好。欢迎参加 Marvell 2027 财年第二季度财报电话会议。今天与我一同参会的有 Marvell 董事长兼首席执行官 Matt Murphy、首席财务官 Dan Durn、总裁兼首席运营官 Chris Koopmans,以及我们数据中心业务部总裁 Sandeep Bharathi。我要提醒大家,今天发表的某些言论包含前瞻性陈述,这些陈述受重大风险和不确定性影响,可能导致我们的实际结果与管理层当前的预期存在重大差异。请查阅我们今天向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)提交并发布在公司网站上的财报新闻稿中所包含的警示性声明和风险因素,以及我们最近向 SEC 提交的 8-K、10-K、10-Q 及不时提交的其他文件。我们不打算更新我们的前瞻性陈述。在今天的电话会议中,我们将提及某些非公认会计准则(non-GAAP)财务指标。
P00301:29
A reconciliation between our GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures is available in our earnings press release. Let me now turn the call over to Matt for his comments on the quarter. Matt?
我们的财报新闻稿中提供了公认会计准则(GAAP)与非公认会计准则(non-GAAP)财务指标之间的调节表。现在我将电话会议交给 Matt,请他对本季度情况发表评论。Matt?
P00401:41
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Thanks, Ross, and good afternoon, everyone. Before I discuss our results and outlook, I want to briefly highlight two management transitions that occurred during our last quarter. First, Willem Meintjes stepped down as Marvell's CFO in mid-June. I deeply appreciate Willem's steady hand, leadership, and tireless commitment to transforming Marvell over his decade with the company, and I greatly respect his desire to spend more time with his family. To ensure a seamless transition, we simultaneously welcome Dan Durn as our new CFO. Dan brings more than three decades of experience in senior finance roles across semiconductor and enterprise technology companies. Having most recently served on Marvell's board of directors, Dan comes into the role with a deep understanding of our business and strategy, as well as a unique appreciation for the significant growth opportunities at Marvell ahead.
谢谢 Ross,大家下午好。在讨论我们的业绩和展望之前,我想先简要介绍一下上个季度发生的两项管理层交接。首先,Willem Meintjes 于 6 月中旬卸任 Marvell 首席财务官一职。我非常感激 Willem 在任职公司的十年间,以稳健的作风、卓越的领导力和不懈的投入推动 Marvell 转型,我也非常尊重他希望花更多时间陪伴家人的愿望。为确保平稳过渡,我们同时欢迎 Dan Durn 担任新任首席财务官。Dan 在半导体和企业级科技公司的高级财务岗位上拥有超过三十年的经验。Dan 最近曾担任 Marvell 董事会成员,因此他在履新时对我们的业务和战略有着深刻的理解,并对 Marvell 未来的重大增长机遇有着独到的认识。
P00502:29
Second, in July, we began a transition in our investor relations leadership. After eight years with Marvell, Ashish Saran will retire from the company in April 2027. I want to personally thank Ashish for his leadership, partnership, and countless contributions to Marvell. I also appreciate the thoughtfulness and care he has brought to planning this transition, including helping us identify the right successor. On that front, I am very pleased to welcome Ross Seymour, who comes to us from Deutsche Bank, where he covered the semiconductor industry for more than 25 years. Warm welcome to you, Dan and Ross. Now let me move on to our results and outlook. For the second quarter of fiscal 2027, Marvell delivered record revenue of $2.739 billion, reflecting 13% sequential and 37% year-over-year growth. Revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.94 both exceeded the midpoint of guidance.
其次,7 月份我们启动了投资者关系负责人的交接。在 Marvell 工作八年后,Ashish Saran 将于 2027 年 4 月从公司退休。我想亲自感谢 Ashish 的领导力、合作伙伴精神以及对 Marvell 作出的无数贡献。我也很感激他在规划此次交接时的深思熟虑与细致周到,包括帮助我们物色合适的继任者。在这方面,我非常高兴地欢迎 Ross Seymour 加入我们,他来自德意志银行,在那里负责半导体行业研究超过 25 年。热烈欢迎你们,Dan 和 Ross。现在让我谈谈我们的业绩和展望。在 2027 财年第二季度,Marvell 实现了创纪录的 27.39 亿美元收入,环比增长 13%,同比增长 37%。收入以及 0.94 美元的非 GAAP 每股收益均超出了指引中值。
P00603:25
On our last earnings call, we increased our sequential revenue growth expectation for the third and fourth quarters of this fiscal year to double-digit percentage growth, up from our prior outlook of high single-digit growth. Since then, our outlook has continued to strengthen, and we now expect revenue growth to further accelerate in the second half. The strength is reflected in our guidance for the third quarter of fiscal 2027, where we expect total company revenue of $3.15 billion at the midpoint, representing growth of 15% sequentially and more than 50% year over year. We expect growth to further accelerate in the fourth quarter, both sequentially and year over year. As a result, we now expect overall Marvell revenue in fiscal 2027 to grow approximately 45% year over year to roughly $12 billion, up from our prior outlook of approximately $11.5 billion just one quarter ago.
在上一次财报电话会议上,我们将本财年第三和第四季度的环比收入增长预期从此前的高个位数百分比增长上调至双位数百分比增长。自那以来,我们的展望持续走强,目前我们预计下半年收入增长将进一步加速。这一强劲势头体现在我们对 2027 财年第三季度的指引中:我们预计公司总收入中值为 31.5 亿美元,环比增长 15%,同比增长超过 50%。我们预计第四季度的环比和同比增长都将进一步加速。因此,我们目前预计 Marvell 2027 财年全年总收入将同比增长约 45% 至约 120 亿美元,高于仅仅一个季度前我们给出的约 115 亿美元的展望。
P00704:17
The increase in our revenue outlook continues to be driven by our data center business, which we now expect to grow by approximately 60% this fiscal year, up from our prior expectation of approximately 50%. Importantly, this growth remains broad-based. Interconnect continues to lead the way, while our custom business is expected to ramp significantly in the second half. For our communications and other end markets, the trajectory remains largely as expected. Despite typical quarter-to-quarter lumpiness in these businesses, we currently expect fiscal 2027 growth to approach our 10% target. Looking ahead to fiscal 2028, aggregate demand continues to accelerate, and our operations team is doing an outstanding job securing additional supply despite pervasive industry-wide constraints. As a result, we now expect Marvell's data center revenue to grow more than 60% year over year in fiscal 2028, driven by strong growth across all of our key data center businesses.
我们上调收入展望继续由数据中心业务驱动,目前我们预计该业务在本财年将增长约 60%,高于此前约 50% 的预期。重要的是,这一增长依然是全方位的。互连(Interconnect)业务继续领跑,而我们的定制化(Custom)业务预计将在下半年大幅放量。至于通信及其他终端市场,其走势基本符合预期。尽管这些业务存在典型的季度间波动,我们目前预计 2027 财年的增长将接近我们 10% 的目标。展望 2028 财年,总体需求继续加速增长,尽管全行业普遍面临供应受限,我们的运营团队依然出色地锁定了更多供应产能。因此,我们目前预计 Marvell 的数据中心收入在 2028 财年将同比增长超过 60%,这得益于我们所有核心数据中心业务的强劲增长。
P00805:14
This includes custom more than doubling, as we indicated last quarter. We look forward to providing a deeper dive into the specific drivers of our longer-term growth at our Investor Day in New York City on October 6, but the key takeaway for today is clear. The strength of our data center business continues to exceed our prior expectations. Putting it all together, we now expect fiscal 2028 revenue of approximately $18 billion, up $1.5 billion from the $16.5 billion outlook we provided just one quarter ago. Importantly, even as our revenue base becomes significantly larger, our growth rate is accelerating. We now expect fiscal 2028 revenue to grow approximately 50% year over year, compared with approximately 45% in our prior outlook. With that, let me provide color on our current business, beginning with data center.
这其中包括定制化业务增长一倍以上,正如我们上个季度所指出的那样。我们期待在 10 月 6 日于纽约市举行的投资者日(Investor Day)上,深入探讨我们长期增长的具体驱动因素,但今天的核心结论非常明确:我们数据中心业务的强劲程度持续超出我们此前的预期。综合来看,我们目前预计 2028 财年收入约为 180 亿美元,较仅仅一个季度前我们给出的 165 亿美元展望上调了 15 亿美元。重要的是,即便我们的收入基数大幅扩大,我们的增长率仍在加速。我们目前预计 2028 财年收入将同比增长约 50%,而此前的展望约为 45%。接下来,让我详细介绍一下我们当前的业务情况,首先从数据中心开始。
P00906:03
In our data center end market, we delivered record second quarter revenue of $2.17 billion, representing 18% sequential growth and 46% year-over-year growth. Both sequential and year-over-year growth accelerated from the first fiscal quarter, when data center revenue increased 11% sequentially and 27% year-over-year. Looking ahead to the third fiscal quarter, we expect this acceleration to continue, with data center revenue forecasted to grow more than 20% sequentially and roughly 75% year-over-year. The drivers of this growth remain very broad-based as AI demand for our products continues to rise. We are seeing strong tailwinds across each of our data center businesses, including interconnect, switching and custom. Connectivity continues to be a critical enabler of AI performance, driven by robust demand for both our interconnect and switching products. Thus far, the largest driver of growth for these businesses has been for scale-out applications.
在数据中心终端市场,我们第二季度实现了创纪录的 21.7 亿美元收入,环比增长 18%,同比增长 46%。环比和同比增速均较第一财季有所加速(第一财季数据中心收入环比增长 11%,同比增长 27%)。展望第三财季,我们预计这一加速趋势将延续,数据中心收入预计将环比增长超过 20%,同比增长约 75%。随着对我们产品的 AI 需求持续上升,这一增长的驱动力依然非常广泛。我们在数据中心各个业务板块都看到了强劲的顺风,包括互连、交换机(Switching)和定制化芯片。在互连和交换机产品强劲需求的推动下,连接技术(Connectivity)继续成为 AI 性能的关键赋能者。到目前为止,这些业务最大的增长驱动力来自横向扩展(scale-out)应用。
P01006:57
Here, Marvell's market-leading franchises in optical DSPs, switching, and broadband analog components continue to see significant demand. On the optical DSP side, 800G demand remains strong, while our 1.6T business is ramping rapidly, a trend we expect to accelerate further in FY 2028. Within scale-out switching, our business remains on track to more than double this year, driven by a strong ramp in our 51.2T products across a broadening array of customers. Within broadband analog, demand for our industry-leading TIAs and drivers continues to exceed expectations. Moving beyond scale-out, we expect this connectivity strength to broaden as hyperscalers build significantly larger AI clusters that increasingly span multiple data centers. As we have discussed on prior calls, aggregate bandwidth requirements for these scale-across networks are projected to be more than 10 times greater than those of current front-end DCI networks.
在这方面,Marvell 在光 DSP、交换机和宽带模拟器件领域的市场领先产品线继续迎来巨大需求。在光 DSP 方面,800G 需求依然强劲,而我们的 1.6T 业务正在快速放量,我们预计这一趋势将在 2028 财年进一步加速。在横向扩展交换机领域,得益于我们的 51.2T 产品在不断扩大的客户群中强劲放量,我们的业务今年仍有望增长一倍以上。在宽带模拟器件领域,市场对我们行业领先的跨阻放大器(TIA)和驱动器(driver)的需求继续超出预期。除了横向扩展之外,随着超大规模云厂商构建规模大得多的 AI 集群(越来越频繁地跨越多个数据中心),我们预计这种连接业务的优势将进一步拓宽。正如我们在之前的电话会议中所讨论的,这些跨数据中心扩展(scale-across)网络的总带宽需求预计将是目前前端数据中心互连(DCI)网络的 10 倍以上。
P01107:54
Marvell is ideally positioned to address this opportunity through our leadership in coherent DSP-enabled 1.6T ZR and ZR+ DCI modules. Finally, we continue to expect the adoption of scale-up networking and AI infrastructure to create a massive new TAM for Marvell. Scale-up domains are expected to become significantly larger, requiring high bandwidth interconnects closely coupled with high radix, low latency switches. While customers are initially deploying copper interconnect for scale-up networking, as cluster sizes grow, the reach and bandwidth limitations of copper are increasingly driving customers towards optical interconnects, as well as purpose-built UALink, ESUN and NVLink scale-up switches. As a result, we are investing aggressively to lead the industry in next generation scale-up optical interconnect and switching technologies. On the interconnect side, pluggable modules remain the primary form factor for scale-out networks, and we do not expect that to change.
凭借在相干 DSP 赋能的 1.6T ZR 和 ZR+ DCI 模块领域的领先地位,Marvell 处于把握这一机遇的绝佳位置。最后,我们继续预计纵向扩展(scale-up)网络和 AI 基础设施的普及将为 Marvell 创造一个巨大的新增潜在市场规模(TAM)。纵向扩展域预计将变得大得多,需要与高基数(high radix)、低延迟交换机紧密耦合的高带宽互连。虽然客户最初在纵向扩展网络中部署铜缆互连,但随着集群规模的增长,铜缆在传输距离和带宽上的限制正日益推动客户转向光互连,以及专门构建的 UALink、ESUN 和 NVLink 纵向扩展交换机。因此,我们正在大举投资,力求在下一代纵向扩展光互连和交换机技术上引领行业。在互连方面,可插拔模块仍然是横向扩展网络的主要形态,我们预计这一点不会改变。
P01208:53
However, the significantly higher bandwidth density required by scale-up networks is best served by bringing optics much closer to XPUs and switches. While the transition in scale-up networks from copper to optics is expected to take several years, with both technologies coexisting, customers are aggressively planning scale-up optics deployments starting as early as next year. Given how early we are in this transition, customers are evaluating a broad range of potential solutions with multiple technologies under consideration, including NPO and CPO packaging options, with both leveraging advanced silicon photonics as well as three different modulator technologies: MZM, EAM and MRM. Each of these choices has different considerations around cost, power and technology maturity.
然而,纵向扩展网络所需的高得多的带宽密度,最好通过将光学器件部署到离 XPU 和交换机近得多的位置来实现。虽然纵向扩展网络从铜缆向光学器件的过渡预计需要数年时间,且两种技术将共存,但客户正在积极规划最快从明年开始的纵向扩展光学器件部署。鉴于目前仍处于这一过渡的早期阶段,客户正在评估广泛的潜在解决方案,考虑多种技术路线,包括近封装光学(NPO)和共封装光学(CPO)封装选项(两者均利用先进的硅光子技术),以及三种不同的调制器技术:MZM、EAM 和 MRM。这些选择在成本、功耗和技术成熟度方面各有不同的考量。
P01309:40
Importantly, given the breadth of our optical portfolio across modulation technologies, fully supported by our broadband analog TIAs and drivers, Marvell is uniquely positioned to help customers move towards the optical scale-up architecture that best meets their needs. The full spectrum of Marvell-developed solutions is reflected in accelerating design activity with a broad set of customers. In addition to our ongoing success in CPO, we are also seeing a strong adoption of our NPO solutions at multiple customers. As a result, our fiscal 2028 revenue outlook for scale-up optics has increased meaningfully compared to prior expectations, positioning Marvell to be one of the largest enabler of NPO in AI infrastructure. Moving to scale-up switching, we are seeing similar momentum. Marvell is uniquely positioned to support all three purpose-built scale-up protocols through our internally developed UAL and ESUN switches, as well as our expanded partnership with Nvidia around NVLink Fusion.
重要的是,鉴于我们在各种调制技术上的光学产品组合广度,加上我们宽带模拟 TIA 和驱动器的全面支持,Marvell 拥有独特的优势,能够帮助客户迈向最符合其需求的光学纵向扩展架构。Marvell 自主研发的全谱系解决方案,体现在与广泛客户群体的设计导入活动正在加速。除了我们在 CPO 领域持续取得成功外,我们还看到多家客户正在强劲采用我们的 NPO 解决方案。因此,我们对 2028 财年纵向扩展光学业务的收入展望较此前预期大幅上调,使 Marvell 有望成为 AI 基础设施中最大的 NPO 赋能者之一。转到纵向扩展交换机,我们也看到了同样的势头。通过我们自主研发的 UAL 和 ESUN 交换机,以及我们与英伟达(Nvidia)围绕 NVLink Fusion 扩大的合作伙伴关系,Marvell 具备支持全部三种专用纵向扩展协议的独特优势。
P01410:37
Our scale-up switches leverage decades of experience developing large radical-sized switch silicon, combined with our in-house best-in-class high performance SerDes technology. The close coupling of optics and switching in scale-up networks provides another important differentiator for Marvell, given our market leading positions in both technologies. This allows us to deliver highly optimized scale-up solutions designed to provide customers with exceptional performance and reliability while accelerating time to market. As a result, we are engaged in multiple deep discussions with tier 1 customers across our scale-up switch portfolio, with each engagement representing a multi-billion dollar lifetime revenue opportunity given the expected size of the scale-up TAM. Taken together, we are extremely excited about the continued acceleration and broadening of networking demand as AI architectures require ever-increasing performance across scale-out, scale-across and scale-up domains. Okay, now let's turn to the custom business within our data center end market.
我们的纵向扩展交换机利用了数十年开发高基数大型交换机芯片的经验,并结合了我们内部同类最佳的高性能 SerDes 技术。纵向扩展网络中光学器件与交换机的紧密耦合为 Marvell 提供了另一个重要的差异化优势,因为我们在这两项技术上均处于市场领先地位。这使我们能够交付高度优化的纵向扩展解决方案,旨在为客户提供卓越的性能和可靠性,同时加快产品上市时间。因此,我们正围绕我们的纵向扩展交换机产品组合与多家一级(tier 1)客户展开多项深入洽谈,鉴于纵向扩展 TAM 的预期规模,每一项合作都代表着数十亿美元的全生命周期收入机会。总而言之,随着 AI 架构在横向扩展、跨数据中心扩展和纵向扩展域对性能的要求越来越高,我们对网络需求的持续加速和拓宽感到无比振奋。好,现在让我们转向数据中心终端市场中的定制化业务。
P01511:38
As I mentioned earlier, we are seeing a significant acceleration in custom demand in the second half of this year. We remain confident that this business will more than double year-over-year in fiscal 2028 and accelerate significantly in fiscal 2029. We expect this growth to be driven by both our XPU and XPU-attached products. In XPUs, we continue to make strong progress across current and next generation programs at multiple hyperscalers. In XPU attach, we are benefiting from increasing demand for both CXL and custom next. Looking further ahead, we expect our custom business to continue to deliver strong revenue growth as we see ongoing robust design activity with hyperscale customers. The most recent example of this momentum is the 8-K we filed last week, disclosing an expanded commercial agreement and associated warrant with a key hyperscaler, one of the largest adopters of custom silicon.
正如我早些时候提到的,我们看到今年下半年定制化需求显著加速。我们依然充满信心,该业务在 2028 财年将同比增长一倍以上,并在 2029 财年显著加速。我们预计这一增长将由我们的 XPU 和 XPU 配套(XPU-attached)产品共同推动。在 XPU 方面,我们在多家超大规模云厂商的当前代和下一代项目上继续取得强劲进展。在 XPU 配套产品方面,我们正受益于对 CXL 和定制化网卡(custom NICs)日益增长的需求。展望更长远的未来,随着我们与超大规模云客户保持强劲的设计合作,我们预计定制化业务将继续实现强劲的收入增长。这一势头最新的例证是我们上周提交的 8-K 文件,其中披露了与一家核心超大规模云厂商(定制化芯片最大的采用者之一)扩大的商业协议及相关的认股权证。
P01612:30
The warrant agreement encompasses custom programs already in execution that were awarded to Marvell over the past several years, new design wins, and future potential programs. The warrant structure reflects the scale and long-term potential of the relationship and further aligns common interests as our work together expands. It spans a broad range of custom silicon programs, including those that attach to the TPU ecosystem, such as AI inference accelerators, storage controllers, network interface controllers, memory interface controllers, and near memory compute. We look forward to continue working closely with this customer to enable the next generation of AI infrastructure. This expanding range of attached products and the scale of this agreement provides significant validation of the XPU attached category that Marvell has pioneered. We are excited to see both the use cases and attach rates for this category of products continue to broaden.
该认股权证协议涵盖了过去几年授予 Marvell 且已在执行中的定制化项目、新斩获的设计定点(design wins),以及未来的潜在项目。认股权证的结构体现了双方合作关系的规模和长期潜力,并随着我们合作的扩大进一步绑定了共同利益。它涵盖了广泛的定制化芯片项目,包括配套于 TPU 生态系统的产品,例如 AI 推理加速器、存储控制器、网络接口控制器(NIC)、内存接口控制器和近存计算(near memory compute)。我们期待继续与该客户密切合作,共同赋能下一代 AI 基础设施。这一不断扩大的配套产品范围以及该协议的规模,是对 Marvell 所开创的 XPU 配套产品类别的重大验证。我们很高兴看到这一类别产品的应用场景和配套率(attach rates)都在持续拓宽。
P01713:24
These products are built upon a rich portfolio of Marvell IP and perform specialized functions designed to significantly improve the performance and efficiency of the overall AI data center. This is another strong confirmation of Marvell's leadership in connectivity, compute, and memory technologies, and the increasingly important role they play in enabling our customers to design more advanced AI infrastructure. In terms of the impact of the new warrant agreement, revenue from programs covered by the agreement through fiscal 2028 is already reflected in the overall custom revenue target we have previously provided. Looking at fiscal 2029 and beyond, this agreement, along with several additional programs, gives us even greater confidence in our ability to grow the custom business to a significantly larger scale in that timeframe. We look forward to sharing more details on the long-term trajectory of our custom business at our upcoming Investor Day.
这些产品建立在丰富的 Marvell IP 组合之上,执行专门的功能,旨在显著提升整体 AI 数据中心的性能和效率。这再次有力地印证了 Marvell 在连接、算力和内存技术领域的领先地位,以及它们在赋能客户设计更先进的 AI 基础设施方面所发挥的日益重要的作用。关于新认股权证协议的影响,该协议所涵盖项目在截至 2028 财年期间产生的收入,已经反映在我们此前提供的整体定制化收入目标中。放眼 2029 财年及以后,这项协议以及另外几个项目,让我们更有信心在该时间段内将定制化业务发展到显著更大的规模。我们期待在即将到来的投资者日上分享更多关于我们定制化业务长期发展轨迹的细节。
P01814:18
Turning to our communications and other end market, we delivered second quarter revenue of $568 million, down 3% sequentially and up 10% year over year. Going forward, we expect revenue to remain somewhat lumpy on a quarterly basis given the mix of businesses in this segment. For the third fiscal quarter, we expect revenue to decline in the low to mid-teens percentage range, both sequentially and year over year, followed by a solid sequential recovery in the fourth quarter. To summarize, the momentum across our business remains exceedingly strong. In the near term, that strength is reflected in the significant increases to our outlook. Compared with the expectations we provided just one quarter ago, we have increased our fiscal 2027 revenue outlook by approximately $500 million and our fiscal 2028 outlook by approximately $1.5 billion.
转向我们的通信及其他终端市场,我们第二季度实现了 5.68 亿美元的收入,环比下降 3%,同比增长 10%。展望未来,鉴于该板块的业务组合,我们预计收入在季度间仍将保持一定的波动性。对于第三财季,我们预计收入环比和同比均将出现低至中双位数百分比区间(low to mid-teens)的下滑,随后在第四季度实现稳健的环比复苏。总结一下,我们各项业务的增长势头依然极其强劲。在短期内,这种强劲表现为我们大幅上调了业绩展望。与仅仅一个季度前我们提供的预期相比,我们将 2027 财年的收入展望上调了约 5 亿美元,并将 2028 财年的展望上调了约 15 亿美元。
P01915:09
The center of this higher outlook is our data center business, where growth continues to both accelerate and broaden. We've increased our forecast for data center revenue growth in fiscal 2027 from our prior expectation of 50% to approximately 60%, and we see potential for further acceleration in fiscal 2028. Within connectivity, we continue to see strength established in areas such as optical DSPs, while also seeing significant growth across broadband analog TIAs and drivers, scale across DCI modules, and scale-out switching. Each of these three businesses is on or ahead of the trajectory toward the billion-dollar annualized revenue run rate we highlighted last quarter. Scale-up opportunity remains massive and is still largely ahead of us. Marvell is ideally positioned for the transition toward NPO and CPO optical interconnects, as well as the adoption of purpose-built scale-up switches.
此次展望上调的核心是我们的数据中心业务,其增长继续加速且范围不断拓宽。我们将 2027 财年数据中心收入增长预测从此前预期的 50% 上调至约 60%,并且我们看到 2028 财年有进一步加速的潜力。在连接业务内部,我们在光 DSP 等成熟领域继续看到强劲表现,同时在宽带模拟 TIA 和驱动器、跨数据中心扩展 DCI 模块以及横向扩展交换机领域也看到了显著增长。这三项业务中的每一项都处于或领先于我们上季度强调的迈向 10 亿美元年化收入运行率(run rate)的轨道。纵向扩展的机遇依然巨大,且很大程度上仍在前方等待我们去开拓。Marvell 在向 NPO 和 CPO 光互连的过渡以及专用纵向扩展交换机的普及方面处于极佳的有利位置。
P02016:03
Our custom business, including both XPU and XPU attached, is also on a strong growth trajectory, both near term and longer term. The 8-K we filed last week highlights the expanded scope of our relationship with a key hyperscaler and reinforces our confidence in the increasingly important role custom silicon will play in the ongoing AI infrastructure build-out. We look forward to sharing more about the longer-term growth opportunities we see for Marvell at our Investor Day on October 6 in New York City, and we hope to see many of you there. Now with that, I'll turn the call over to Dan for more details on our recent results and outlook.
我们的定制化业务(包括 XPU 和 XPU 配套产品)无论在短期还是长期也同样处于强劲的增长轨道上。我们上周提交的 8-K 文件凸显了我们与一家核心超大规模云厂商合作范围的扩大,并强化了我们的信心,即定制化芯片将在持续推进的 AI 基础设施建设中扮演越来越重要的角色。我们期待在 10 月 6 日于纽约市举行的投资者日上,分享更多关于我们所看到的 Marvell 长期增长机遇,希望届时能见到大家。说到这里,我现在把电话交给 Dan,请他详细介绍我们近期的业绩和展望。
P02116:39
Dan DurnCFO
Thank you, Matt. Good afternoon, everyone. Before I get into the financials, since this is my first earnings call as Marvell's CFO, I want to spend a moment on three things. Why I joined Marvell, what I hope to accomplish as CFO, and what I believe that should ultimately mean for our stockholders. First, I joined Marvell because I believe the company has incredible growth potential. I believe Marvell is at a unique inflection point with a broad and diverse set of capabilities that have been intentionally built and are ideally aligned to enable the future of AI infrastructure. Second, my goal as CFO is to help Marvell scale efficiently and effectively to capture what I expect to be a tremendous opportunity. The company has a strong history of disciplined execution, and maintaining that rigor will remain paramount as we strategically allocate capital to fuel our growth.
谢谢 Matt。大家下午好。在介绍财务数据之前,由于这是我作为 Marvell 首席财务官参加的第一次财报电话会议,我想花一点时间谈三件事:我为什么加入 Marvell,我作为首席财务官希望达成什么目标,以及我认为这最终对我们的股东意味着什么。首先,我加入 Marvell 是因为我相信这家公司拥有令人难以置信的增长潜力。我认为 Marvell 正处于一个独特的拐点,拥有广泛而多元的能力,这些能力是经过精心构建的,并且完美契合未来 AI 基础设施的赋能需求。其次,我作为首席财务官的目标是帮助 Marvell 高效且有效地扩大规模,以抓住我预计将是极其巨大的机遇。公司拥有严格执行的优良传统,在我们战略性地配置资本以推动增长的过程中,保持这种严谨性将始终是重中之重。
P02217:38
Third, I expect that growth to translate into significant value creation for our stockholders. I recognize that the growth opportunity ahead must be matched by its quality, and I plan to remain intensely focused on expanding operating margins, growing cash flow, and driving attractive stockholder returns. With that, let me turn to our financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2027. Revenue was $2.739 billion, growing 37% year-over-year and 13% sequentially. Data center was our largest end market, contributing 79% of total revenue and growing 46% year-over-year. GAAP gross margin was 53.1%. Non-GAAP gross margin was 58.9%, slightly above the midpoint of our guidance. Moving to operating expenses. GAAP operating expenses were $996 million, including stock-based comp, amortization of acquired intangible assets, restructuring costs, and acquisition related costs. Non-GAAP operating expenses were $611 million, slightly above our guidance.
第三,我预计这种增长将转化为对股东的重大价值创造。我认识到,未来的增长机遇必须与增长质量相匹配,我计划继续高度专注于扩大营业利润率、增长现金流,并推动可观的股东回报。下面,让我谈谈我们 2027 财年第二季度的财务业绩。收入为 27.39 亿美元,同比增长 37%,环比增长 13%。数据中心是我们最大的终端市场,占总收入的 79%,同比增长 46%。GAAP 毛利率为 53.1%。非 GAAP 毛利率为 58.9%,略高于我们指引的中值。再看营业费用。GAAP 营业费用为 9.96 亿美元,包含股权激励费用、收购无形资产摊销、重组成本以及并购相关成本。非 GAAP 营业费用为 6.11 亿美元,略高于我们的指引。
P02318:53
GAAP operating margin was 16.8%, while non-GAAP operating margin was 36.6%. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded 180 basis points year-over-year and 160 basis points sequentially, demonstrating the significant operating leverage in our model. For the second quarter, GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.33. Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.94, a penny above the midpoint of our guidance, and up 40% year-over-year. Now turning to cash flow in the balance sheet. Cash flow from operations was $606 million in the second quarter, down slightly quarter-over-quarter, primarily reflecting the higher capacity prepayments to suppliers in support of Marvell's future growth. Inventory at the end of the second quarter was $1.36 billion, down just slightly from the prior quarter.
GAAP 营业利润率为 16.8%,而非 GAAP 营业利润率为 36.6%。非 GAAP 营业利润率同比扩大 180 个基点,环比扩大 160 个基点,展现了我们业务模式中显著的经营杠杆。第二季度,GAAP 摊薄后每股收益为 0.33 美元。非 GAAP 摊薄后每股收益为 0.94 美元,比我们指引的中值高出 0.01 美元(1 美分),同比增长 40%。现在转向现金流和资产负债表。第二季度经营活动产生的现金流为 6.06 亿美元,环比略有下降,主要反映了为支持 Marvell 未来增长而向供应商支付了更高的产能预付款。第二季度末的存货为 13.6 亿美元,较上一季度略有下降。
P02419:51
During the quarter, we repurchased $200 million of our common stock through our ongoing capital return program and returned $54 million to stockholders through cash dividends. At the end of the second quarter, total debt was $4.96 billion, with gross debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.32 times and net debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.27 times. Turning to our guidance for the third quarter of fiscal 2027. We are forecasting revenue of $3.15 billion, plus or minus 5%. We expect GAAP gross margin to be between 52.9% and 53.9%. We expect our non-GAAP gross margin to be between 57.5% and 58.5%. Revenue levels and product mix remain key determinants of gross margin in any given quarter, with the forecasted acceleration of our custom business creating the sequential headwind in the fiscal third quarter. We currently expect to maintain gross margin in this range in the fourth fiscal quarter.
在本季度内,我们通过持续推进的资本回报计划回购了 2 亿美元的普通股,并通过现金股息向股东返还了 5400 万美元。截至第二季度末,总债务为 49.6 亿美元,总债务与 EBITDA 之比为 1.32 倍,净债务与 EBITDA 之比为 0.27 倍。转向我们对 2027 财年第三季度的指引。我们预计收入为 31.5 亿美元,上下浮动 5%。我们预计 GAAP 毛利率在 52.9% 至 53.9% 之间。我们预计非 GAAP 毛利率在 57.5% 至 58.5% 之间。在任何特定季度,收入水平和产品组合仍然是决定毛利率的关键因素,而定制化业务预计在第三财季的加速放量将带来环比毛利率逆风。我们目前预计第四财季的毛利率将保持在这一区间内。
P02521:04
We project GAAP operating expense of approximately $1.015 billion in fiscal Q3 and non-GAAP operating expenses of approximately $655 million. We expect GAAP other income and expense, including interest on our debt, to be an expense of approximately $86 million. On a non-GAAP basis, we expect other income and expense, including interest on our debt, to be an expense of approximately $36 million. We expect a non-GAAP tax rate of 11%. Looking ahead, given the significant increase in our revenue and earnings outlook, we expect non-GAAP tax rate of approximately 13% in fiscal 2028. We expect basic weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 900 million and diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 921 million, both roughly flat with the second quarter. We anticipate GAAP earnings per diluted share of $0.48 to $0.58. We expect non-GAAP earnings per diluted share of $1.05 to $1.15.
我们预计第三财季 GAAP 营业费用约为 10.15 亿美元,非 GAAP 营业费用约为 6.55 亿美元。我们预计 GAAP 其他收入和支出(包括债务利息)约为净支出 8600 万美元。按非 GAAP 口径计算,我们预计其他收入和支出(包括债务利息)约为净支出 3600 万美元。我们预计非 GAAP 税率为 11%。展望未来,鉴于我们的收入和盈利展望大幅提升,我们预计 2028 财年的非 GAAP 税率约为 13%。我们预计基本加权平均流通股数约为 9 亿股,摊薄后加权平均流通股数约为 9.21 亿股,两者均与第二季度基本持平。我们预计 GAAP 摊薄后每股收益为 0.48 美元至 0.58 美元。我们预计非 GAAP 摊薄后每股收益为 1.05 美元至 1.15 美元。
P02622:16
As we look ahead, we intend to continue investing in our business to drive substantial revenue growth in the years ahead while delivering operating leverage. For fiscal 2027, we expect non-GAAP operating expenses of approximately $2.55 billion, slightly above our prior expectation of $2.45 billion, reflecting the significantly larger revenue opportunity we now see. Importantly, we expect revenue to continue growing substantially faster than operating expenses. As a result, we expect significant operating leverage, with non-GAAP operating margin likely to enter our 38%-40% long-term target range in Q4 of this fiscal year. Looking ahead to fiscal 2028, we currently expect non-GAAP operating expenses to grow at roughly half the rate of revenue growth in percentage terms.
展望未来,我们打算继续投资于我们的业务,以在未来几年推动可观的收入增长,同时释放经营杠杆。对于 2027 财年,我们预计非 GAAP 营业费用约为 25.5 亿美元,略高于此前预期的 24.5 亿美元,这反映了我们现在看到的规模大得多的收入机会。重要的是,我们预计收入增长速度将继续大幅快于营业费用。因此,我们预计将实现显著的经营杠杆,非 GAAP 营业利润率有望在本财年第四季度进入我们 38%-40% 的长期目标区间。展望 2028 财年,我们目前预计非 GAAP 营业费用的百分比增速大约是收入增速的一半。
P02723:15
This reflects continued investment against an expanding opportunity set, while yielding continued operating leverage to achieve the upper end of our target non-GAAP operating margin of 38%-40% as we progress through the year. Moving to cash usage. Based on the design wins we've secured and our confidence in the sustained customer demand, we're aggressively securing additional capacity to support our growth. We remain on pace to make approximately $1 billion of capacity prepayments to suppliers in fiscal 2027, consistent with the guidance we provided last quarter. As a reminder, these prepayments will be applied against future material purchases and will be funded through our strong balance sheet and robust operating cash flow. In parallel, we intend to continue repurchasing shares to manage dilution. Now, let me come back to where I started. I joined Marvell because I believe the company has an exceptional opportunity ahead of it.
这体现了我们针对不断扩大的机遇组合继续进行投资,同时持续释放经营杠杆,以在全年推进过程中达到我们 38%-40% 目标非 GAAP 营业利润率区间的上限。再看现金使用情况。基于我们已经锁定的设计定点以及我们对客户需求持续性的信心,我们正在积极锁定更多产能以支持增长。我们仍按计划在 2027 财年向供应商支付约 10 亿美元的产能预付款,与上季度提供的指引一致。提醒一下,这些预付款将用于抵扣未来的材料采购款,并将通过我们强劲的资产负债表和充沛的经营现金流提供资金。与此同时,我们打算继续回购股票以管理股权稀释。现在,让我回到开头的话题。我加入 Marvell 是因为我相信公司面前有着非凡的机遇。
P02824:17
Having now stepped into the CFO role, I'm even more convinced of the incredible strength of our technology portfolio, our deep customer relationships, and the substantial long-term growth potential. Our job from here, it's to execute with discipline as we efficiently scale the company to capture that opportunity and ensure that our growth translates into expanding margins, strong cash flow, and compelling returns for our stockholders. I'm honored to be Marvell's CFO at such an important point in the company's evolution, and I look forward to working with Matt and the rest of the team to deliver on the incredible opportunity we see ahead. With that, we're ready to start Q&A. Operator, please open the line and announce the instructions.
如今正式就任首席财务官后,我对我们技术组合的强大实力、深厚的客户关系以及巨大的长期增长潜力更加确信无疑。我们接下来的工作,就是在高效扩大公司规模以把握这一机遇的过程中严格执行,并确保我们的增长转化为不断扩大的利润率、强劲的现金流以及对股东极具吸引力的回报。我很荣幸能在公司发展的这样一个重要时刻担任 Marvell 的首席财务官,并期待与 Matt 及团队其他成员携手合作,兑现我们所看到的非凡机遇。下面我们准备开始问答环节。接线员,请打开线路并播报提问说明。
问答环节
P02925:07
Operator
Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. In the interest of time, please restrict yourself to one question only. If you have additional questions, please rejoin the queue. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question comes from Tom O'Malley with Barclays. Please state your question.
谢谢。我们现在开始问答环节。如果您想提问,请按电话键盘上的星号键加 1。确认音将表明您的线路已进入提问队列。如果您想将问题移出队列,可以按星号键加 2。为节省时间,请每位仅限提 1 个问题。如果您还有其他问题,请重新加入排队。现在我们将稍作停顿以汇总提问名单。我们的第一个问题来自巴克莱银行(Barclays)的 Tom O'Malley。请提问。
P03025:53
Tom O'MalleyAnalyst, Barclays
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Appreciate it, and good results. I wanted to ask first on the warrants with Google. Obviously, a very robust relationship over a multi-year period of time. I would love if you could give a little color on what is contributing to that revenue. Obviously, you have an inference accelerator, but you talked a lot about XPU attach, which you guys did kind of start the industry standard on in terms of defining. So maybe, what XPU attach are you excited about there? Any sort of color you can give us on the percentage of contribution between the inference accelerator and some of the attached that you are seeing there.
嘿,各位。感谢接受我的提问,非常感谢,祝贺取得优异业绩。我首先想问一下与谷歌(Google)的认股权证协议。显然,这是一段跨越多年的非常强劲的合作关系。希望你们能详细介绍一下有哪些业务在为这一收入作贡献。显然你们有推理加速器,但你们也谈到了很多关于 XPU 配套(XPU attach)的内容,而在定义这一类别方面,你们确实可以说是开创了行业标准。那么,在那里你们对哪些 XPU 配套产品感到兴奋?能否给我们透露一下推理加速器和你们所看到的一些配套产品之间的贡献占比情况?
P03126:26
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Yeah, great. Hey, thanks, Tom. Good to hear from you. I think you captured it well. It is a very exciting time for Marvell. This engagement and warrant is significant. You can see that in the scale of the opportunity we have. As you pointed out, a couple things I would just validate. The first is it is very broad-based. It is a number of products and product lines, which is very exciting. It includes inference accelerators, as you mentioned, also storage controllers, NICs, memory interface controllers, near memory compute, a whole bunch of different products. You are right, we did define what we call the XPU attach category a couple of years back. Actually, we gave quite a detailed view of that in our June 2025 custom silicon event.
好,非常好。嘿,谢谢你,Tom。很高兴听到你的声音。我认为你概括得很到位。对 Marvell 来说,这是一个非常令人兴奋的时刻。这项合作和认股权证意义重大,你可以从我们所拥有的机遇规模中看出这一点。正如你所指出的,有几点我想加以印证。首先,它的覆盖面非常广,涉及多个产品和产品线,这非常令人振奋。正如你提到的,它包括推理加速器,还包括存储控制器、网卡(NIC)、内存接口控制器、近存计算等一整套不同的产品。你说得对,我们确实在几年前定义了我们所称的 XPU 配套类别。实际上,我们在 2025 年 6 月的定制化芯片活动上对此给出了相当详细的阐述。
P03227:18
I think all of our projections to date have been under called, meaning that that opportunity continues to get more and more significant. So it is a broad set of products, Tom, that are covered here, and it is very broad-based in terms of where we can engage and where we are going to contribute. I would not call out any one of them at the moment specifically, but all of them in total, you can see represent. If you look at the total envelope of the opportunity, it is just massive for Marvell and game-changing at the sort of peak performance of what could be achieved now over the next six and a half years.
我认为迄今为止我们所有的预测都偏保守了,也就是说,这个机会正变得越来越重大。所以 Tom,这里涵盖了广泛的产品组合,而且在我们可以参与和做出贡献的领域方面也是全方位的。目前我不会单独点出其中某一款产品,但它们加在一起所代表的体量,如果你看整个机会的总包络线(total envelope),对 Marvell 而言是极其庞大的,并且在未来 6.5 年内若达到最高绩效目标,将彻底改变游戏规则。
P03327:56
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes from Harlan Sur with J.P. Morgan. Please state your question.
谢谢。下一个问题来自摩根大通(J.P. Morgan)的 Harlan Sur。请提问。
P03428:04
Harlan SurAnalyst, JPMorgan
Yeah, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question, and welcome to the team, Dan and Ross. Matt, given the Google commercial program you signed back in late July, $120 billion in cumulative reps over six years, if you hit all of your milestones, that puts you, if you just annualize it, at about $18.5 billion per year in revenues just in Google XPU attached custom ASICs, right? I actually thought that that would start to show up in FY 2028 or your calendar 2027, but given your guidance, looks like custom is still going to be around $5 billion-$6 billion in calendar 2027. Maybe some of the big programs associated with this commercial agreement are more back-end loaded. Maybe the better question is, the team has previously targeted $10 billion-$11 billion in custom revenues in FY 2029 or calendar 2028.
好的,下午好。感谢接受我的提问,也欢迎 Dan 和 Ross 加入团队。Matt,鉴于你们在 7 月下旬签署的谷歌商业合作项目,如果你们达成所有里程碑,6 年内累计采购额将达 1200 亿美元;如果简单按年折算,仅在谷歌 XPU 配套定制化 ASIC 上,每年就能带来约 185 亿美元的收入,对吧?我原本以为这会从 2028 财年(即你们的 2027 自然年)开始体现出来,但从你们的指引来看,2027 自然年定制化业务似乎仍将在 50 亿-60 亿美元左右。也许与该商业协议相关的一些大型项目更偏向后期放量(back-end loaded)。也许更好的问法是,团队此前曾将 2029 财年(即 2028 自然年)的定制化收入目标定在 100 亿-110 亿美元。
P03528:59
What does that number look like now based on the Google commercial agreement and some of the new programs associated with the agreement?
基于谷歌商业协议以及与该协议相关的一些新项目,现在这个数字看起来会是多少?
P03629:08
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Yeah. Great questions, Harlan. Thank you. First, you're right. If you look out to next year, we have comprehended already revenue that would come as part of this warrant in our numbers. That's because some of these programs obviously are already in flight or have already started. But the programs ahead of us that are either in execution or just starting production, those will contribute much more significantly in FY 2029. For next year, all I've said, by the way, is that custom is going to over double. So I haven't capped it, I haven't sized it exactly, but it is going to over double next year. Then you look out to FY 2029, where in our last call, I talked about a $10 billion kind of plus number for custom in FY 2029, which isn't a new number, by the way.
好的,问题非常好,Harlan,谢谢你。首先,你说得对。如果你看明年,我们在数据预测中已经包含了作为该认股权证一部分而产生的收入。这是因为其中一些项目显然已经在推进中或已经启动。但我们面前那些正在执行中或刚刚开始投产的项目,将在 2029 财年作出显著大得多的贡献。顺便说一句,对于明年,我所说的一切只是定制化业务将增长一倍以上(over double)。所以我并没有给它设上限,也没有给出确切的数字规模,但它明年确实会增长一倍以上。然后你看 2029 财年,在上次电话会议上,我谈到 2029 财年定制化业务大约是 100 亿美元以上的规模,顺便说一句,这并不是一个新数字。
P03730:01
That was something that we outlined back in June 2025, and even back in April 2024, we were talking about custom revenues in the $8 billion-$10 billion range. So we've had a consistent view of what that can look like. This opportunity with this customer greatly
那是我们在 2025 年 6 月就已经勾勒出来的,甚至早在 2024 年 4 月,我们就曾谈到定制化收入在 80 亿-100 亿美元区间。因此,我们对这项业务的潜力一直有着一致的看法。而与这位客户的这一合作机会极大地——
P03830:20
Greatly increases the revenue opportunity for us in custom with some of that potentially starting in 2029. I am not going to size it on the call here today, but you should assume with our investor day coming up, Harlan, the Marvell team, we always do a thorough job in our analyst investor days. So you should expect a very robust, detailed review of how we step through the revenue, not just through fiscal 2029, but really out until the end of the decade. So we're excited to present that to everybody, which will then really help us contextualize the scale of the warrant that we just signed, along with all the other exciting programs we have in custom. So if you don't mind, hold tight on that one. There'll be more to come.
极大地增加了我们在定制化业务上的收入机会,其中一部分可能会从 2029 年开始释放。我今天不会在电话会议上给出具体量化规模,但 Harlan,随着我们的投资者日即将到来,你可以预期,Marvell 团队在分析师和投资者日上向来会做非常透彻的工作。因此,你可以期待届时我们将非常全面、详细地梳理收入如何逐年递进,不仅是到 2029 财年,而是真正展望到本十年末(2030 年)。我们很兴奋能向大家展示这些内容,届时将真正帮助大家结合我们在定制化领域的其他令人振奋的项目,全面理解我们刚刚签署的认股权证的规模。所以如果你不介意的话,这个问题请稍作等待,后续会有更多信息。
P03931:05
But clearly there's a lot of upside bias in those numbers in fiscal 2029 and beyond in custom.
但很显然,在 2029 财年及以后的定制化业务数字上,存在着很大的上行空间。
P04031:11
Harlan SurAnalyst, JPMorgan
Yeah, absolutely. Looking forward to it. Thanks, Matt.
好的,完全理解。非常期待。谢谢你,Matt。
P04131:14
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Yeah, you're welcome.
好的,不客气。
P04231:17
Operator
Your next question comes from Vivek Arya with Bank of America Securities. Please state your question.
下一个问题来自美国银行证券(Bank of America Securities)的 Vivek Arya。请提问。
P04331:23
Vivek AryaAnalyst, Bank of America Securities
Thanks for the question and best wishes to Dan and Ross. Matt, I was hoping you could give us an update on the other large XPU program that you're planning to start in the next year. I think the assumptions there are quite modest for next year, $600 million or $700 million or so, and I was hoping you could give us an update on that. What is the opportunity for that program over time? Because that hyperscaler is just getting started on their XPU type, like every one of their competitors, I imagine they want to make that XPU program much larger than what it is. So, give us maybe an update on what the progress is. Can this be a really meaningful program for you over time?
感谢接受提问,并向 Dan 和 Ross 致以最美好的祝愿。Matt,我希望你能给我们介绍一下你们计划在明年启动的另一个大型 XPU 项目的最新进展。我认为市场对明年的假设相当保守,大约在 6 亿或 7 亿美元左右,希望你能更新一下这方面的情况。随着时间推移,这个项目的机会有多大?因为那家超大规模云厂商在他们自己的 XPU 上才刚刚起步,就像他们的每一个竞争对手一样,我想他们一定希望把这个 XPU 项目做得比现在大得多。所以,能否给我们介绍一下进展如何?随着时间推移,这能否成为你们真正意义重大的项目?
P04432:09
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Yeah, thanks, Vivek. We're very encouraged by our custom setup for next year on the double plus. That new program is clearly part of that. We've been judging that, I think, in a very conservative and practical manner as we've made progress. We continue to make progress every quarter, not only on design execution, but also supply commercials and figuring out the envelope of that opportunity. That's only gotten better. So without quantifying it exactly, what I would say is from the last call, if you look at the $1.5 billion raise we're doing for next year, just at a high level, it's broad based. Some of that is from custom next year.
好的,谢谢你,Vivek。我们对明年定制化业务增长一倍以上的格局感到非常鼓舞。那个新项目显然是其中的一部分。随着我们不断取得进展,我认为我们一直以非常保守和务实的方式来评估它。我们每个季度都在继续取得进展,不仅是在设计执行方面,还包括供应链商务以及摸清这一机会的总体规模。情况一直在变得更好。因此,在不给出确切量化数字的情况下,我想说的是,相比上一次电话会议,如果你看我们对明年上调的 15 亿美元收入预期,从宏观层面来看,它是全方位的。其中一部分就来自明年的定制化业务。
P04532:54
There's also actually get another question on this one, but probably the most meaningful part of the next year raise is actually from the scale-up optics, switching in other areas, but custom is definitely part of it, Vivek. Even when we size that opportunity, which goes back to a couple of years, we've always said that that is probably one of Marvell's largest revenue opportunities we have, and that's still the case. We're very encouraged by the prospects of this project. There'll be more to come, but it certainly is tracking, and we feel very good about next year and that layering in the year after and beyond.
关于这一点可能还会有其他问题,但明年上调预期中占比最大、最具实质性的部分,实际上来自纵向扩展光学、交换机及其他领域,不过定制化业务肯定也是其中一部分,Vivek。甚至早在几年前我们评估那个机会的规模时,我们就一直说那可能是 Marvell 所拥有的最大收入机会之一,而且现在依然如此。我们对这个项目的前景感到非常鼓舞。后续还会有更多进展,但它目前确实完全按计划推进,我们对明年的表现以及它在后年及以后的持续叠加感到非常乐观。
P04633:39
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes from Aaron Rakers with Wells Fargo. Please state your question.
谢谢。下一个问题来自富国银行(Wells Fargo)的 Aaron Rakers。请提问。
P04733:46
Aaron RakersAnalyst, Wells Fargo
Yeah, thanks for taking the question and welcome, Dan and Ross. Maybe kind of building on that last question a little bit, Matt, if you can maybe talk a little bit about what you're architecturally seeing in CXL and how that's evolving, obviously with the Structera product, and it seems to be a broadening ecosystem around that. Then, similar on an architectural perspective, any update on, you just touched on scale-up, optics, the Celestial AI numbers that you've previously outlined. How have those progressed relative to your initial targets? Thank you.
好的,感谢接受提问,也欢迎 Dan 和 Ross。Matt,我想在刚才那个问题的基础上稍微延伸一下,你能否谈谈你在 CXL 架构层面看到的情况以及它是如何演进的?显然你们有 Structera 产品,而且围绕它的生态系统似乎正在不断扩大。另外,同样从架构角度来看,关于你刚才提到的纵向扩展光学(scale-up optics)以及此前勾勒过的 Celestial AI 相关数据,有没有最新进展?与你们最初的目标相比,这些业务的进展如何?谢谢。
P04834:24
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Sure. Let me start with CXL, and then we'll talk about scale-up optics. With respect to CXL, this investment we made organically over the years has really evolved, and it's turning out to be a home run for a couple of reasons. As you might recall, this started off as a server-centric, traditional compute-centric memory architecture. It turns out all that investment we've made is just ideal for memory expansion and inferencing. We're seeing this technology now getting deployed at multiple hyperscalers with varying architectures, by the way, in extremely high volumes. One is just the demands of inferencing require it. The other is what we're seeing is as a result of the scarcity that's out there in memory, customers are modifying and adjusting their plans to actually use more of this type of technology. This is continuing to have strong upward bias.
当然。让我先从 CXL 开始,然后再谈纵向扩展光学。关于 CXL,我们多年来在内部通过有机研发进行的这项投资确实经历了演进,而且由于几个原因,它正在成为一记“本垒打”。大家可能还记得,这最初是作为一种以服务器为中心、以传统计算为中心的内存架构起步的。结果证明,我们所做的所有这些投资,恰恰非常完美地契合了内存扩展和推理(inferencing)的需求。我们看到这项技术目前正在多家超大规模云厂商中以极高的出货量部署,而且顺便说一句,它们采用了各不相同的架构。原因之一是推理需求本身就要求这样做;另一个我们看到的现象是,由于目前市场上内存供应短缺,客户正在修改和调整他们的计划,实际上更多地采用这种类型的技术。因此,这一业务继续呈现出强劲的上行趋势。
P04935:30
We've actually secured additional design wins in this area in the last couple of quarters. We're going to outline all of that at the Investor Day, but that opportunity, Aaron, turns out to be massive. I think it's a case where the pivot we made about five years ago, where we really put the pedal to the metal on organic internal investment on a number of new technologies, this is one that's really bearing fruit. Very exciting, and you should expect to see a very comprehensive memory expansion section in our Investor Day presentation. On scale-up optics, this is turning out to be, I think, one of the most exciting areas for us. Last quarter, the way we framed it was we had the Celestial AI CPO Photonic Fabric solution, which for reference, was about $150 million for next year.
在过去几个季度里,我们实际上在这一领域又锁定了更多的新设计定点。我们将在投资者日上全面介绍这一切,但 Aaron,那个机会事实证明是极其巨大的。我认为这是一个典型的例子,说明我们在大约五年前做出的战略转向——当时我们在多项新技术的内部有机研发上全力以赴(put the pedal to the metal)——如今正在结出硕果。这非常令人兴奋,你可以期待在我们的投资者日演示中看到一个非常全面的内存扩展专题章节。在纵向扩展光学方面,我认为这正在成为我们最令人振奋的领域之一。上个季度,我们的表述口径是:我们拥有 Celestial AI 的 CPO 光子互连架构(Photonic Fabric)解决方案,作为参考,其明年的收入预期约为 1.5 亿美元。
P05036:24
We had actually said that overall scale-up optics inclusive of that was about $300 million as a category. That includes NPO, by the way. As I said in my prepared remarks, all of that together, scale-up optics, is accelerating even further from the number I gave you last quarter. A significant driver of the $1.5 billion raise we have for next year, Aaron, is coming from that area. It's not just a one-trick pony. I think that's the thing I want to stress to you is the CPO is absolutely a key part of it. It will be for next year and certainly the year after. But if I look at the opportunity set that's happening now at a much faster pace, in parallel with the CPO programs we have, is for NPO.
我们当时实际上说过,包含该方案在内的整体纵向扩展光学作为一个业务类别,规模约为 3 亿美元。顺便说一句,那里面包含了 NPO。正如我在准备好的发言中所说,所有这些加在一起,整个纵向扩展光学业务,正从我上个季度给你们的数字基础上进一步加速。Aaron,我们对明年上调的 15 亿美元收入预期中,有一个相当重要的驱动力就来自这个领域。而且它绝不是“只有一招鲜”(one-trick pony)。我想向你强调的一点是,CPO 绝对是其中的核心组成部分,明年是如此,后年更是如此。但如果我看目前正在以快得多的速度涌现的机会组合,与我们的 CPO 项目并行推进的,正是 NPO。
P05137:11
In NPO, we participate through a wide variety of design wins we have and partners. Some of those are with our broadband analog products in silicon germanium, both TIAs and drivers, which we have a significant market share and content, and also on our own organically developed NPO solution, which we call our light engine, which we've been in development on for several years, and we've shown it off at OFC for several years. All of that as a category, Aaron, is really how we think about the business. Certainly, Celestial and Photonic Fabric is a key part of that. But what I want to stress is that this is not an or, it's an and. It's a little bit analogous to when people thought, well, there's 800G DSPs, and then they're going to move to 1.6T, and it's all going to just cut over.
在 NPO 领域,我们通过广泛的既有设计定点和合作伙伴参与其中。其中一些是通过我们的硅锗(silicon germanium)宽带模拟产品(包括 TIA 和驱动器)参与的,我们在该领域拥有显著的市场份额和单机价值量(content);还有一些是通过我们内部自主研发的 NPO 解决方案(我们称之为光引擎 light engine)参与的,我们已经研发了好几年,并已连续几年在光纤通信大会(OFC)上进行展示。Aaron,把所有这些作为一个整体类别来看,才是我们思考这项业务的真实方式。当然,Celestial 和 Photonic Fabric 是其中的关键部分。但我想强调的是,这不是“非此即彼”(or)的关系,而是“两者兼有”(and)的关系。这有点类似于以前人们认为:既然有了 800G DSP,当行业转向 1.6T 时,就会全部一刀切地切换过去。
P05238:02
That's not how this works anymore. Our customers have varying architectures that they're pursuing. They have a number of different solutions that they're going to implement simultaneously. We see this as an and, not an or, and I think the magnitude of our scale-up optics opportunity next year is much larger than we thought just a quarter ago. The year after is going to be, I think, way larger than I sort of could have ever comprehended back even last year when we were looking at Celestial. If you look at the solution we're providing, which will be my last comment, we are pedal to the metal on our switching roadmap and coupling those optical solutions with our switches, both UAL and ESUN, as well as being able to seamlessly integrate and architect with our customers on the XPU/GPU side.
现在的市场已经不是那样运作的了。我们的客户正在追求各不相同的架构,他们有多种不同的解决方案将同时实施。我们认为这是一个“兼而有之”而非“非此即彼”的局面,而且我认为,明年我们在纵向扩展光学领域的机会规模,比仅仅一个季度前我们所认为的要大得多。至于后年,我认为其规模将远远超出哪怕是去年我们在考察 Celestial 时我所能想象到的水平。如果你看我们正在提供的解决方案——这也是我的最后一点评论——我们在交换机路线图上正全力以赴,将这些光学解决方案与我们的交换机(包括 UAL 和 ESUN)紧密耦合,同时能够在 XPU/GPU 端与我们的客户进行无缝集成和架构协同。
P05338:54
All of that together, and having the end-to-end link that we are able to provide and the entire solution and the scale in manufacturing, R&D, the diversity of all the technologies we have in terms of packaging, modulator technologies, silicon photonics, a decade of experience there, it is a massive opportunity, and Marvell is very uniquely positioned to participate in it. We could not be happier with the Celestial team. They have integrated well. They are a key part of the program. This thing is going to be a much bigger overall business for Marvell. Thanks.
把所有这些结合在一起,凭借我们能够提供的端到端链路和完整解决方案,加上在制造、研发方面的规模,以及我们在封装、调制器技术、硅光子技术(我们在该领域拥有十年的经验)等所有技术上的多样性,这是一个巨大的机遇,而 Marvell 在参与这一机遇方面拥有极其独特的优势。我们对 Celestial 团队满意至极,他们融入得非常好,是该项目的关键组成部分。这项业务将成为 Marvell 整体规模大得多的业务。谢谢。
P05439:27
Aaron RakersAnalyst, Wells Fargo
Thanks, Matt.
谢谢你,Matt。
P05539:29
Operator
Your next question comes from Joe Moore with Morgan Stanley. Please state your question.
下一个问题来自摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)的 Joe Moore。请提问。
P05639:36
Joe MooreAnalyst, Morgan Stanley
Thank you. Along the same lines, can you talk about your progress in copper scale up? You mentioned the sort of success across the three protocols. How do you think about copper scale-up as it transitions to optical? Are those initial successes foundational to what you do in optical, or are those sort of two separate decisions?
谢谢。顺着同样的思路,你能否谈谈你们在铜缆纵向扩展(copper scale-up)方面的进展?你提到了在三种协议上都取得了成功。随着铜缆纵向扩展向光学过渡,你是如何看待这一过程的?那些初期的成功是你们在光学领域开展业务的基础,还是说这两者基本上是相互独立的决策?
P05739:58
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Yeah. Thanks, Joe. I think you're talking about from a switching perspective, right, as we implement those
好的,谢谢你,Joe。我想你是指从交换机的角度来看,对吧?即当我们实施那些——
P05840:04
Joe MooreAnalyst, Morgan Stanley
Yes
是的。
P05940:04
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
those electrical/copper solutions, and then how does that success translate when we move to optical. A couple things. One is on the Ethernet side, we've seen great traction and success with our Teralynx architecture, which came from the acquisition we did of a company called Innovium back in 2021. That business has a significant head of steam on it. We've expanded the customer base. We're driving significant revenue there, and we've proven to the market that we can deliver these solutions in volume. That translates itself, Joe, very seamlessly to scale-out. In fact, we're seeing even at 100T, our scale-out solutions be applicable to scale-up as well. We're driving that independently of the optics or not. Same thing on UAL. We're aggressively investing in UAL switching. That product development's coming along nicely, and we certainly can intercept any electrical or copper-based solution there.
——实施那些电信号/铜缆解决方案时,当向光学过渡时,这种成功如何转化。有几点可以分享。首先,在以太网方面,我们的 Teralynx 架构取得了巨大的市场认可和成功,该架构源于我们在 2021 年收购的一家名为 Innovium 的公司。这项业务目前发展势头极为强劲,我们扩大了客户群,正在创造可观的收入,并且向市场证明了我们能够批量交付这些解决方案。Joe,这种能力可以非常无缝地延伸到横向扩展(scale-out)。事实上,我们看到即便在 100T 速率下,我们的横向扩展解决方案也同样适用于纵向扩展(scale-up)。无论是否搭配光学器件,我们都在独立推动这项业务。在 UAL 方面也是如此。我们正在大力投资 UAL 交换机,产品开发进展顺利,在那里我们完全能够承接任何基于电信号或铜缆的解决方案。
P06041:09
What customers really want to see, though, and that's why I'm spending time on it, is that's all great, and at this point, they trust us that we can deliver these very complex switching products because we've done it already. Which, by the way, is no small feat. There's been a lot of companies that have tried and failed to do these radical size, very complex Ethernet switches, and it's only getting harder with the SerDes performance and the speeds. But the next level of that, Joe, is that you then need to show a compelling, clear roadmap that you can execute with credibility on the optics side, both NPO and then all the way to full integration on CPO.
不过,客户真正希望看到的是——这也是我花时间强调这一点的原因——那些固然都很好,而且到目前为止,他们相信我们能够交付这些极其复杂的交换机产品,因为我们已经做到了。顺便说一句,这绝非易事。曾有很多公司尝试开发这种超高基数、极其复杂的以太网交换机但最终失败了,而且随着 SerDes 性能和速率的提升,这只会变得越来越难。但更进一步来看,Joe,你随后需要展示一条极具说服力、清晰明确的路线图,证明你能够在光学端可靠地执行落地,既包括 NPO,也一直延伸到完全集成的 CPO。
P06141:49
Our discussions, while certainly there's opportunities in the next few years that are going to come and we're going to have on the copper side, I think why we really win long term is because we convince our customers we can execute on the full end-to-end, which really is what our customers are looking for. At the end of the day, especially on scale-up, they need to bookend the link, and they need to trust that on both sides of it and everything in between, they've got a partner that can handle that job. Point solutions at this juncture, we believe, are not going to get it done. You really have to have the end-to-end portfolio. That's what we're hearing from our customers, by the way. The existing silicon will do fine. It'll do great.
在我们的洽谈中,虽然未来几年在铜缆方面肯定还会有机会不断涌现,我们也一定会把握住,但我认为我们之所以能够赢得长期胜利,是因为我们让客户相信我们有能力在端到端全链路上执行落地,而这正是客户真正寻找的。归根结底,特别是在纵向扩展领域,他们需要把控整条链路的两端(bookend the link),他们需要确信在链路的两端以及中间的每一个环节,都有一个能够胜任这项工作的合作伙伴。我们认为,在当前这个时间节点上,单点解决方案(point solutions)是无法完成任务的,你必须真正拥有端到端的产品组合。顺便说一句,这正是我们从客户那里听到的反馈。现有的芯片业务会表现良好,会做得非常出色。
P06242:30
But I am even more excited about the optics attach once that gets going over the next few years, because it just effectively almost doubles the SAM of the switching, in terms of the attach you can get. Thanks.
但我对未来几年光学配套(optics attach)启动后的前景感到更加兴奋,就你可以获得的配套价值量而言,它实际上几乎使交换机的可服务市场规模(SAM)翻了一倍。谢谢。
P06342:44
Operator
Your next question comes from Ben Reitzes with Melius Research. Please state your question.
下一个问题来自 Melius Research 的 Ben Reitzes。请提问。
P06442:50
Ben ReitzesAnalyst, Melius Research
Hey, guys. Thanks for the question. Hey, Dan and Ross. Hey, Matt. I want to go back to the Google deal. I think people are just wrestling with this, and I realize that you have a great Analyst Day coming, so don't shoot me. For FY 2027, if you look at the $120 billion over the course of the years, that's about $18 billion a year. At the $120 billion, divided by 6.5. That's like adding an FY 2028 Marvell every year. I realize that we don't know how much is incremental versus what's already in your guides, but are we talking like FY 2029 and FY 2030 big step-ups as a result of this incrementally?
嘿,各位。感谢接受提问。嘿,Dan 和 Ross。嘿,Matt。我想回到谷歌的这笔交易上。我认为大家都在反复琢磨这件事,我知道你们很快就要举办一场盛大的分析师日活动,所以别怪我追问。从 2027 财年看起,如果你看这几年累计 1200 亿美元的规模,每年大约是 180 亿美元——用 1200 亿美元除以 6.5 年。这相当于每年都再造一个 2028 财年体量的 Marvell。我知道我们目前还不清楚其中有多少是增量部分、有多少已经包含在你们的指引中,但我们是否可以认为,受此推动,2029 财年和 2030 财年将出现巨大的增量式跃升?
P06543:41
Because these numbers are huge, and I know you're going to tell us at the Analyst Day, but I think we're all just trying to figure out how high to go in those out years, and is it at the comparable margin? Just any more color, if you're in our shoes, how we should handle it into Analyst Day or just wait. That would be great. Thanks.
因为这些数字实在太庞大了,我知道你们会在分析师日上告诉我们,但我觉得我们大家现在都在试图弄清楚,对远期那几年的预测应该调高到什么程度,以及它的利润率水平是否相当?如果你站在我们的角度,能否再多透露一点信息,告诉我们在分析师日之前该如何看待这个问题,或者干脆先等待?那将非常有帮助。谢谢。
P06644:05
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Yeah. Hey, Ben. Thanks. By the way, fully valid question. When you look at the scale of this, your math is not wrong. What you can conclude from what I am saying is because most of this is comprehended already in next year, the big impact would be in 2029 and beyond. So if you took the full performance and the full opportunity, then you are right. It is just a monster number. What I would say, we do need the Analyst Day, though, I think you guys understand, to contextualize it and probably show some ranges of outcomes. But you should assume in that timeframe that on the custom side, these numbers would be a lot larger than overall custom than anybody has been modeling so far. I think there has been doubt for years that we could even do the $8 billion-$10 billion.
好的,嘿,Ben,谢谢。顺便说一句,这个问题完全合情合理。当你看到这个规模时,你算的数学账并没有错。从我刚才所说的内容中你可以得出的结论是:因为明年绝大部分相关收入已经包含在我们的预期中了,所以真正重大的影响将在 2029 年及以后显现。因此,如果你按全额达产和全部机会规模来算,你说得没错,那确实是一个极其庞大的天文数字。我想说的是,我想你们也能理解,我们确实需要等到分析师日来把它放到完整的业务框架中去解读,并可能会展示一些不同结果区间的测算。但你可以假设,在那个时间段内,在定制化业务方面,整体定制化业务的这些数字将会比迄今为止任何人模型里预测的都要大得多。我认为多年来市场一直怀疑我们到底能不能做到 80 亿-100 亿美元。
P06745:02
This should give, I think, investors comfort that we secured a pretty big set of programs, not just here, but across the broad range of our customer set. On the margins, just in general, this is custom business and we have got a financial model for custom. We have got a financial model for our standard and merchant products. It would be in line with that. But it is significant, and I am not able to quantify it today for you, but you should assume starting in FY 2029 beyond, whatever you have modeled previously prior to the warrant for custom numbers definitely goes higher. How big, we will be happy to show the range of outcomes. But in the context of where Marvell was, Ben, we were an $8 billion company last year. We just took everybody to $12 billion this year. We have not even finished that year and 18 next year.
我认为,这应该能让投资者放心,我们已经锁定了一批规模相当可观的项目,不仅是在这一家客户这里,而是遍布我们广泛的客户群。至于利润率,总体而言,这是定制化业务,我们对定制化业务有一套财务模型,对标准品和商用(merchant)产品也有一套财务模型,它会与我们的定制化财务模型保持一致。但它的体量非常重大,今天我无法为你具体量化,但你可以假设,从 2029 财年及以后开始,无论你此前在认股权证公布前对定制化业务建立的模型数字是多少,现在肯定都要往上调。至于到底有多大,届时我们将很乐意展示不同结果的区间。但放在 Marvell 发展历程的背景下看,Ben,我们去年还是一家 80 亿美元收入的公司;今年我们刚刚把大家的预期带到了 120 亿美元,甚至这一年还没过完,明年就要达到 180 亿美元。
P06845:57
The rough math you do at full performance provides an incredible step up to the scale of the company if all those programs that come to fruition at their max performance. But I think what this is helpful to show is just the scale of the opportunity in general that Marvell is participating in, because we have significant engagements across the customer base. This one is a little unique because of the warrant that given the magnitude and the equity side, we needed to disclose it. But I think you have seen over the last couple of years, we have entered into very strategic partnerships with other big players in the AI market, and some of that we have done publicly and some of that we are doing just on our own.
如果所有这些项目都能全面开花结果并达到最高绩效,你刚才粗略计算的全额达产数字,将使公司的规模实现一次令人难以置信的跨越式升级。但我认为,这有助于向大家展示 Marvell 总体上正在参与的机遇规模有多大,因为我们在整个客户群中都有着重大的合作项目。这一次稍微有些独特,是因为涉及认股权证,鉴于其规模以及涉及股权层面,我们需要进行披露。但我想大家在过去几年里已经看到,我们已经与 AI 市场上的其他大型参与者达成了非常具有战略意义的合作伙伴关系,其中一些我们已经公开披露,还有一些则是我们自己在内部推进。
P06946:41
I think one takeaway I would have right now is just a significant validation of where Marvell sits in the market today, and we are very honored to be a part of the ecosystem, the TPU ecosystem. We will see how it plays out.
我认为现在可以得出的一个核心结论是,这极大地验证了 Marvell 今天在市场中所处的地位,我们非常荣幸能够成为这一生态系统——TPU 生态系统——的一部分。我们将拭目以待它的后续发展。
P07046:54
Ben ReitzesAnalyst, Melius Research
All right.
好的。
P07146:54
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
I hope that's enough for now. I want to save a little bit of firepower for my Investor Day.
希望目前这些信息就足够了。我想为我的投资者日保留一点“重磅弹药”(firepower)。
P07247:01
Ben ReitzesAnalyst, Melius Research
No, thank you, and I appreciate that, and congrats on that deal. I'll see you soon.
不,非常感谢,我很理解,并祝贺达成这笔交易。我们很快见。
P07347:07
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Yeah. Thanks, Ben.
好的,谢谢你,Ben。
P07447:10
Operator
Your next question comes from C.J. Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please state your question.
下一个问题来自 Cantor Fitzgerald 的 C.J. Muse。请提问。
P07547:16
C.J. MuseAnalyst, Cantor Fitzgerald
Yeah, good afternoon. Thank you for taking the question. I think one of the more interesting takeaways from Nvidia's report last night is Jensen's view of the fungibility of compute networking and memory to deliver performance in the AI data center in a cost-constrained world. Considering your vast experience and expertise across all these three areas, how is this backdrop, particularly in light of where memory pricing is today, support your new design wins? Is it really focused on the memory controllers, custom HBM to increase shoreline, or is it also driving strength on the XPU side as well? Would love to hear your thoughts there. Thank you.
好的,下午好。感谢接受提问。我认为昨晚英伟达财报中最有意思的看点之一,是黄仁勋(Jensen)关于在成本受限的世界里,通过算力、网络和内存之间的可替代性与协同互换(fungibility)来交付 AI 数据中心性能的观点。考虑到你们在这三大领域都拥有深厚的经验和专长,特别是在当前内存价格高企的背景下,这一行业大背景如何支持你们斩获新的设计定点?这种需求主要是集中在内存控制器、用于增加芯片边缘带宽密度(shoreline)的定制化 HBM 上,还是也在推动 XPU 端的强劲需求?非常想听听你的看法。谢谢。
P07647:56
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Yeah. Thanks, C.J. No, first of all, I see the same thing. I'm very mind-melded with what they talked about. I think at the broadest level to start, it definitely, this fungibility requirement, given the dynamic nature of the market and some of the constraints we're seeing, some are supply constraints, some are power constraints, some are architectural constraints. Having our ability to very quickly execute custom and semi-custom designs or modify our products or adapt to shifting architectures at Marvell, it's a key capability, this flexibility that the company has, because we've built a business around being able to customize quickly, and it's been in our DNA even from 2021 Investor Day. We talked about how every hop in the network, at some point, was going to get some level of customization, and it wasn't going to just be the accelerator.
好的,谢谢你,C.J.。首先,我看到了完全相同的趋势,我与他们谈到的观点高度共鸣。我认为首先从最宏观的层面来看,鉴于市场的动态变化特性以及我们所看到的一些限制因素——有些是供应受限,有些是电力受限,有些则是架构受限——确实对这种协同互换能力提出了要求。在 Marvell,我们拥有非常快速地执行定制化和半定制化设计、修改产品或适应不断变化的架构的能力,这种灵活性是公司的一项核心能力,因为我们已经围绕“快速定制化”打造了一整套业务体系,甚至早在 2021 年投资者日时,这就已经刻在了我们的基因里。当时我们就谈到,网络中的每一跳(every hop)在某个时间点都会实现某种程度的定制化,而绝不仅仅局限于加速器本身。
P07748:50
Here we are five years later, and that's playing out. CXL and memory expansion is one example, where very quickly customers are adapting. There's also other opportunities where to optimize for inference, as an example, and this was one of the things that was in the warrant, but it's a trend in the market. AI inference accelerators, that's another trend in the market you see. I think companies are all looking at how they can maximize their performance, how they can maximize the cost and performance relative to the tokens generated. We're in a monetization era, so this stuff really matters. It went from training very quickly to inference and to companies now monetizing this. We're seeing a big pickup in activity, and it's not just on the custom side.
五年后的今天,这一切正在成为现实。CXL 和内存扩展就是一个例子,客户正在非常迅速地调整适应。此外还有其他机会,例如针对推理进行优化——这也是认股权证协议中包含的内容之一,但它本身也是市场的一大趋势。AI 推理加速器就是你所看到的另一个市场趋势。我认为所有公司都在研究如何最大化自身的性能,以及如何相对于所生成的 token 数量来最大化成本效益和性能。我们正处于一个商业化变现的时代,因此这些事情至关重要。市场非常迅速地从训练转向了推理,并转向了各家公司如今对 AI 进行商业化变现。我们看到相关活动大幅增加,而且这并不仅仅局限于定制化业务端。
P07849:41
This discussion we had earlier about CPO and NPO and optics and copper, that's all moving very fast because, again, companies are architecting at a speed we really haven't seen to make sure that they have the most competitive solutions. Marvell fits right in there, CJ, on a number of fronts. It's not just, quote, "our custom revenue," but it's the solutions underneath we provide, including our networking and our storage and memory in our compute.
我们刚才关于 CPO、NPO 以及光学与铜缆的讨论,所有这些都在非常快速地推进,因为各家公司正在以我们前所未见的速度进行架构设计,以确保自己拥有最具竞争力的解决方案。C.J.,Marvell 在多个战线上都完美契合这一趋势。这不仅体现在所谓的“我们的定制化收入”上,更体现在我们底层所提供的各种解决方案上,包括我们的网络、存储、内存以及算力技术。
P07950:17
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes from James Schneider with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead with your question.
谢谢。下一个问题来自高盛(Goldman Sachs)的 James Schneider。请提问。
P08050:25
James SchneiderAnalyst, Goldman Sachs
Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. I was wondering if you could maybe just give us a little bit of update in terms of the growth rate for connectivity you expect. I think, Matt, you outlined those growth rates for both this fiscal year, next fiscal year, last quarter. Can you maybe just give us an update on where those are landing given the incremental strength? Sounds like most of that's being driven by that subsegment right now.
下午好,感谢接受我的提问。我想请问,关于你们对连接业务(connectivity)增长率的预期,能否给我们更新一下最新情况?Matt,我记得你上个季度曾列出过该业务在本财年和下一财年的增长率预期。鉴于目前的增量走强,能否给我们更新一下这些增长率目前处于什么水平?听起来目前大部分增量似乎都是由这个子板块推动的。
P08150:51
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Well, yeah, thanks, Jim. As I said, the way to think about it is the $500 million raised for this year and the $1.5 billion for next year is broad-based. Connectivity clearly is a driver, and I say connectivity at a broader level, because underneath that, we spent time talking about scale-up optics. That's one, which is our NPO and CPO and SiGe products. But it's also just the transceiver market for scale-out and optical DSPs going into that segment. That's upsized versus the prior growth rates we talked about. So that's in the $500 million and the $1.5 billion. That business continues to be absolutely on fire, and we're executing well there. And then within connectivity as well, as a broader segment, you also have our switching, which is biasing higher this year, but also from our last quarter update, again next year.
好的,谢谢你,Jim。正如我所说,思考这个问题的方式是:今年上调的 5 亿美元和明年上调的 15 亿美元是全方位的。连接业务显然是一个重要的驱动力,而且我是在更广义的层面上谈论连接业务,因为在其之下,我们刚才花时间谈到了纵向扩展光学——这是其中一块,包括我们的 NPO、CPO 和锗硅(SiGe)产品。但同时也包括面向横向扩展的光模块市场以及进入该细分市场的光 DSP。相比我们此前谈到的增长率,这一块的规模预期已经上调了。因此,它包含在今年上调的 5 亿美元和明年上调的 15 亿美元之中。这项业务继续极其火爆,我们在那里的执行也非常出色。此外,在更广义的连接业务板块内部,还有我们的交换机业务,它今年的预期有所上调,而且相比我们上季度的更新,明年的预期也再次上调。
P08251:49
You really have those three plus, I'd say, custom that are all floating up versus our prior expectations. But Jim, we're really seeing broad-based strength. I think it's across almost all of our product lines when we look out, but those are a few of the ones I'd highlight. And you're right, connectivity is a bigger bucket, is probably the largest driver net of the $1.5 billion raise. If I just look at all those pieces I mentioned underneath, scale-out, scale-up, and switching.
因此,你实际上看到这三大块加上定制化业务,全都比我们此前的预期有所上浮。但 Jim,我们看到的确实是全方位的强劲需求。放眼未来,我认为这几乎涵盖了我们所有的产品线,以上只是我重点指出的几个领域。而且你说得对,如果我看刚才提到的底层所有这些细分板块——横向扩展、纵向扩展和交换机——连接业务作为一个更大的业务板块,净额来看可能是明年 15 亿美元上调中最主要的驱动力。
P08352:21
James SchneiderAnalyst, Goldman Sachs
Thank you.
谢谢。
P08452:24
Operator
Thank you. And our last question for today comes from Quinn Bolton with Needham & Company. Please state your question.
谢谢。今天最后一个问题来自 Needham & Company 的 Quinn Bolton。请提问。
P08552:30
Quinn BoltonAnalyst, Needham & Company
Thanks for squeezing me in. I guess, Matt, just wanted to come back to the near-term guidance. Within data center, I think you guided up greater than 20% sequentially. But with margins coming down 90 basis points quarter-on-quarter, is custom the fastest-growing segment within data center that drives that lower margin, or is there some other mix going on within data center kind of driving the lower 90, or sorry, the 90 basis point lower guidance for the October quarter? Thank you.
感谢在最后安排我提问。Matt,我想回到近期指引上来。在数据中心业务内部,我记得你们指引环比增长超过 20%。但在毛利率环比下降 90 个基点的情况下,定制化业务是不是数据中心内部增长最快的细分板块、从而拉低了利润率?还是说数据中心内部存在其他一些产品组合变化,导致了 10 月所在季度(第三财季)的毛利率指引环比下降 90 个基点?谢谢。
P08653:02
Matt MurphyChairman and CEO
Yeah, sure. Thanks. I will tee it up, but I am going to have Dan comment because you guys are sparing him too much on this call. He is the new CFO. You are supposed to be asking him questions, and you are asking me all the questions. Joking aside, you can clearly see it in the numbers. Stronger Q3 guide implied much stronger Q4 guide. We did say custom was ramping meaningfully in the second half. I said that. Dan said that. Dan, maybe why do not you make a few comments on the margins and how you see that playing out, and also through next year as well as we grow. Thanks.
好的,没问题,谢谢。我先起个头,但我打算让 Dan 来回答,因为各位在今天的电话会议上太放过他了。他是新任首席财务官,你们本来应该向他提问的,结果你们把所有问题都抛给了我。玩笑归玩笑,你可以从数字中清楚地看到这一点:更强劲的第三季度指引,以及隐含的强劲得多的第四季度指引。我们确实说过定制化业务将在下半年显著放量,我说过,Dan 也说过。Dan,不如你来对利润率情况发表几点评论,谈谈你认为这会如何演变,以及随着我们业务增长,明年全年会是什么态势。谢谢。
P08753:42
Dan DurnCFO
Sure. Just jumping in, we clearly see the performance of the company doing well. You see the acceleration in Q2, followed with acceleration in Q3, followed with acceleration in Q4. Part of the acceleration story in Q3, as you point out, mix is the primary driver. We have got a strong ramp in custom, and so you can see that play out in the profiling of the margins. Not a surprise. We have been signaling that custom ramp for quite some time. As we window into Q4, that strength, we are signaling a bigger step-up, much larger step-up from a revenue standpoint if you roll in the $12 billion annual target. That step-up in Q4 is broad-based. You see it not only in custom, you see it in connectivity, you see it in a rebound in comm and other. So broad-based performance.
当然。直接切入正题,我们清楚地看到公司的业绩表现非常好。你看到了第二季度的加速,紧接着是第三季度的加速,随后又是第四季度的加速。关于第三季度的加速增长,正如你所指出的,产品组合(mix)是主要驱动因素。我们的定制化业务正在强劲放量,因此你可以看到这一点反映在利润率的结构变化中。这并不令人意外,我们已经在相当长一段时间里持续释放定制化业务放量的信号了。当我们展望第四季度时,如果结合全年 120 亿美元的收入目标来看,我们释放的信号是从收入角度将出现一次幅度大得多的跃升。第四季度的这一跃升是全方位的:你不仅在定制化业务中看到它,在连接业务中也能看到它,同时还能看到通信及其他业务的反弹。所以这是全方位的强劲表现。
P08854:34
Net it all out, we see Q4 gross margins in the same target range as Q3. If we use the back half of the year as a jumping-off point and think about how that looks going into FY28, that broad-based strength continues. We take the momentum exiting this year, and we push that forward into next year, and it is across custom, it is across connectivity. All parts of the business are higher. They are up. Gross margin depends on ultimate mix. My preliminary view is gross margins next year are going to be in a similar range, same range as we are exiting this year. So back half of this year, same range for FY28. So we feel good about the performance of the company. We are going to drive growth at this company. We are going to do it with discipline. And we are going to deliver strong margins.
综合相抵之后,我们预计第四季度的毛利率将保持在与第三季度相同的目标区间内。如果我们以今年下半年的表现作为起点,去思考进入 2028 财年后的态势,这种全方位的强劲势头将会延续。我们将带着今年年底收官时的增长势头,一路向前推进到明年,而且这涵盖了定制化业务和连接业务,业务的所有板块都在走高、都在增长。毛利率最终取决于具体的产品组合。我的初步看法是,明年的毛利率将处于类似的区间,与我们今年年底收官时的区间相同。也就是说,今年下半年是什么区间,2028 财年也大致处于同一区间。因此,我们对公司的业绩表现感到满意。我们将推动这家公司实现增长,我们将以严格的纪律来执行,并且我们将交付强劲的利润率。
P08955:30
But when we think about that margin profile, operating margin still has significant leverage embedded in it. You are going to see it up in Q3. You are going to see us entering our target long-term model range, 38%-40% exiting this year. You will see us achieve the high end of that range as we progress through FY28, and we are going to reset that long-term target model here in the coming weeks at the Analyst Day. So we feel good about the performance of the company and the broad-based strength.
但当我们思考这一利润率结构时,营业利润率中依然蕴含着显著的经营杠杆。你将在第三季度看到营业利润率上升;你将看到我们在今年年底收官时进入 38%-40% 的长期目标模型区间;你将看到我们在 2028 财年的推进过程中达到该区间的上限;而且我们将在未来几周的投资者日(Analyst Day)上重新设定这一长期目标模型。总之,我们对公司的业绩表现和全方位的强劲势头感到非常满意。
P09056:03
Quinn BoltonAnalyst, Needham & Company
Thanks, Dan.
谢谢你,Dan。
P09156:06
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you all for your participation. This does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect and have a wonderful day.
谢谢。女士们、先生们,感谢各位的参与。今天的电话会议到此结束。您可以挂断电话了,祝您度过美好的一天。